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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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22436586 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for path-wise regret

The paper proves a regret bound for a sub-Gaussian mixture on unbounded data.

problem Tackles the challenge of achieving regret bounds for sub-Gaussian mixtures on unbounded data.
method Uses path-wise (deterministic) regret bounds and a cumulative variance process to derive the bound.
result Shows that on a specific event, the regret is eventually bounded by ln(ln V_T).

Paper introduces a new gradient estimator for SNNs.

problem High variance in score function gradient estimator impedes SNNs training.
method Developed a differentiable point process to derive path-wise gradient estimator.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of path-wise gradient estimator through simulations.

New method detects and clusters market regimes in multidimensional data.

problem Detecting and clustering market regimes in complex data structures.
method Non-parametric online market regime detection and clustering using path-wise two-sample tests and maximum mean discrepancy.
result Successfully detected and clustered market regimes in various data structures.

New method approximates diffusion process posteriors using moment functions.

problem Approximating posteriors of stochastic differential equations.
method Constructs variational process as controlled prior, approximates posterior with moment functions, uses natural gradient descent.
result Richer variational approximations for state-dependent diffusion terms.

URGE improves diffusion model quality without gradients or Hessian.

problem Improving sample quality in diffusion models without gradient evaluations.
method Path-wise importance reweighting via Girsanov change of measure.
result URGE achieves better generation quality than existing methods.

A new method for stochastic optimal control improves accuracy over existing techniques.

problem Improving the accuracy of stochastic optimal control for noisy systems.
method Stochastic Optimal Control Matching (SOCM) using Iterative Diffusion Optimization (IDO) with path-wise reparameterization trick.
result SOCM achieves lower error than existing techniques for three out of four control problems, sometimes by an order of magnitude.

We revisit the choice of SGD for training deep neural networks by reconsidering the appropriate geometry in which to optimize the weights. We argue for a geometry invariant to rescaling of weights that does not affect the output of the network, and suggest Path-SGD, which is an approximate steepest descent method with …

2015-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops SINNOs for approximating stochastic processes.

problem Approximating stochastic processes with neural networks.
method Developed stochastic interpolation neural network operators (SINNOs) with random coefficients.
result Established boundedness, interpolation accuracy, and approximation capabilities of SINNOs.

New method transforms complex stochastic equations into simpler ones for efficient simulation.

problem Efficient simulation of complex path-dependent stochastic processes.
method Transforms Volterra-type SDEs into standard diffusion processes using convolution kernels.
result Proposes a numerical simulation scheme with a strong convergence rate of 1/2.

AdaPID optimizes diffusion-based samplers by dynamically adjusting schedules.

problem Optimizing the intermediate-time dynamics in diffusion-based samplers.
method Develops a time-varying stiffness schedule using Piece-Wise-Constant (PWC) parametrizations and a hierarchical refinement approach.
result QoS-driven PWC schedules consistently improve sampling fidelity and accuracy.

Study on Langevin dynamics for recovering planted signals in spiked matrix models.

problem Recovering a planted signal in spiked matrix models.
method Path-wise characterization of overlap using integro-differential equations and explicit formula derivation.
result Sharp phase transition in limiting overlap: positive in one regime, zero in another due to injected noise.

New methods for calculating credit valuation adjustment with reduced noise and faster computation.

problem High statistical noise in computing sensitivities of CVA due to non-differentiable default intensities.
method Ad hoc analytical estimators to overcome non-differentiability and finite differences.
result Low statistical noise and fast computation of sensitivities to market quotes.

New algorithm for continuous-time switching systems using variational inference.

problem Inference in time-series data with continuous-time switching systems.
method Developed a variational inference algorithm combining Gaussian process approximation and posterior inference for Markov jump processes.
result Bayesian latent state estimates and point estimates of unknown parameters for arbitrary points on the real axis.

Regret minimization is treated as the golden rule in the traditional study of online learning. However, regret minimization algorithms tend to converge to the static optimum, thus being suboptimal for changing environments. To address this limitation, new performance measures, including dynamic regret and adaptive regr…

2020-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the sliding regret of stochastic bandit algorithms.

problem Measuring the one-shot behavior of no-regret algorithms in stochastic bandits.
method Introducing sliding regret to measure the worst pseudo-regret over a time-window.
result Randomized methods have optimal sliding regret, while index policies have the worst possible sliding regret.

This paper analyzes regret bounds for Gaussian process Thompson sampling.

problem Analyzing the performance of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) in Bayesian optimization.
method The paper derives several regret bounds for GP-TS, including a lower bound, upper bounds on the second moment of cumulative regret, expected lenient regret, and improved cumulative regret.
result The paper provides improved regret upper bounds for GP-TS, showing that it suffers from a polynomial dependence on 1/δ1/δ with probability δδ.

The notion of \emph{policy regret} in online learning is a well defined? performance measure for the common scenario of adaptive adversaries, which more traditional quantities such as external regret do not take into account. We revisit the notion of policy regret and first show that there are online learning settings …

2018-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimistic Hedge achieves optimal regret bounds in two-player zero-sum games.

problem Achieving optimal regret bounds for optimistic Hedge in two-player zero-sum games.
method Refined regret analysis and optimization problem formulation.
result Optimistic Hedge achieves O(logmlogn)O(\sqrt{\log m \log n}) regret bounds, matching upper and lower bounds.

We consider an online learning process to forecast a sequence of outcomes for nonconvex models. A typical measure to evaluate online learning algorithms is regret but such standard definition of regret is intractable for nonconvex models even in offline settings. Hence, gradient based definition of regrets are common f…

2018-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal switching regret for all segmentations in online convex optimisation.

problem Non-stationary online convex optimisation problems.
method Developed an efficient algorithm to achieve optimal switching regret on every possible segmentation.
result Achieved asymptotically optimal switching regret on every possible segmentation simultaneously.

New approach for distributed online optimization of non-convex losses with sublinear regret.

problem Regret evaluation and consensus in distributed, multi-agent systems with non-convex losses.
method Composite regret metric and consensus-based online normalized gradient (CONGD) approach for pseudo-convex losses; offline optimization oracle for general non-convex losses.
result First sublinear regret bound for general distributed online non-convex learning.

Regret minimization is a powerful tool for solving large-scale problems; it was recently used in breakthrough results for large-scale extensive-form game solving. This was achieved by composing simplex regret minimizers into an overall regret-minimization framework for extensive-form game strategy spaces. In this paper…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the Thompson sampling algorithm in an adversarial setting, specifically, for adversarial bit prediction. We characterize the bit sequences with the smallest and largest expected regret. Among sequences of length TT with k<T2k < \frac{T}{2} zeros, the sequences of largest regret consist of alternating zeros and …

2019-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper considers the stability of online learning algorithms and its implications for learnability (bounded regret). We introduce a novel quantity called {\em forward regret} that intuitively measures how good an online learning algorithm is if it is allowed a one-step look-ahead into the future. We show that given…

2012-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new GG^\star regret measure for online convex optimization with smooth losses.

problem Online convex optimization with smooth losses.
method Introduces a new GG^\star regret measure that depends on the cumulative squared gradient norm.
result The GG^\star regret can be arbitrarily sharper than existing measures when losses have vanishing curvature.

Bandit algorithms struggle with consistent performance and robustness.

problem Achieving consistent and robust performance in stochastic multi-armed bandit settings.
method Analyzing regret minimization trade-offs and proposing distribution-oblivious algorithms.
result Logarithmic regret is inconsistent and super-logarithmic regret is necessary for consistent learning.

Paper improves worst-case regret bounds for RLSVI in reinforcement learning.

problem Minimizing regret in reinforcement learning with randomized value functions.
method Introduces a clipping variant of Thompson Sampling for RLSVI.
result Achieves a ildeO(H2SAT) ilde{\mathrm{O}}(H^2S\sqrt{AT}) worst-case regret bound.

Paper solves no-swap regret minimization for combinatorial bandits with polylogarithmic dependence on N.

problem Design efficient no-swap regret algorithms for combinatorial bandits with exponentially large action space.
method Introduces a no-swap-regret learning algorithm with polylogarithmic dependence on N and demonstrates efficient implementation.
result Achieves no-swap regret with polylogarithmic dependence on N, resolving an open problem.

New algorithms minimize simple and cumulative regret in contextual bandits.

problem Minimizing simple and cumulative regret in contextual bandit settings.
method Proposed new algorithms using conformal arm sets (CASs).
result Near-optimal minimax guarantees for simple regret and state-of-the-art guarantees for cumulative regret.

Paper explores rate-preserving reductions between Blackwell approachability and no-regret learning.

problem Tackles rate-preserving reductions between Blackwell approachability and no-regret learning.
method Studies fine-grained reductions and optimal rates of convergence.
result Shows that rate-preserving reductions do not always hold, but provides conditions for when they do.

Algorithm minimizes regret and converges to equilibria in Markov games.

problem Regret minimization and convergence to equilibria in general-sum Markov games under adversarial opponents.
method Decentralized algorithm that uses policy optimization and controls path length to achieve sublinear regret.
result Sublinear regret guarantees for convergence to correlated equilibrium in Markov games.

There are two variants of the classical multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem that have received considerable attention from machine learning researchers in recent years: contextual bandits and simple regret minimization. Contextual bandits are a sub-class of MABs where, at every time step, the learner has access to side in…

2018-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm achieves both static and dynamic regret optimally against an oblivious adversary for deterministic losses.

problem Achieving optimal static and dynamic regret simultaneously in adversarial bandits.
method Extends impossibility result to deterministic losses, uses negative static regret and Blackwell approachability.
result First algorithm achieving optimal static and dynamic regret simultaneously against an oblivious adversary.