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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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150299449598 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for path distributions

Study finds a limiting distribution for free path lengths on flat surfaces with circular obstacles.

problem Understanding free path lengths on flat surfaces with circular obstacles.
method Proved the existence of a limiting distribution using radius of obstacles as a parameter.
result Relates the limiting distribution to heights of zippered rectangle decompositions.

Optimal transport with path constraints for distributions of different masses.

problem Comparing distributions with different total masses under path constraints.
method Introduces a model for unbalanced optimal transport with path constraints, proving existence of solutions.
result Existence of solutions to path constrained unbalanced optimal transport for various constraints.

New graph distances derived from optimal transport framework using path flows.

problem Develop new graph distances for clustering and classification.
method Bag-of-paths framework with Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution and optimal transport relaxation.
result Interpolates between shortest-path and resistance distances, improving performance.

Unified approach to DP problems using Gumbel distribution and variational Bayesian inference.

problem Solving classical optimal path problems in a probabilistic framework.
method Gumbel distribution and variational Bayesian inference for latent optimal paths.
result Unified approach transforms DP problems into directed acyclic graphs with Gibbs distribution.

New methods improve Monte Carlo estimation of partition functions.

problem Estimating the normalization constant of complex distributions.
method Annealing through paths of distributions to estimate partition functions.
result Optimal path for estimation is arithmetic, improving efficiency.

Generative model for TPPs using signatures and distributional discrepancies.

problem Limitations of signature methods for TPPs and lack of global sequence-level loss in neural models.
method Introduce interarrival embedding to lift jump paths to continuous paths of bounded variation, enabling signature methods for discrete event sequences. Develop sigTPP, a signature-based generative model trained on path-level loss.
result sigTPP achieves the best average rank across multiple metrics and outperforms or is within a standard error of the strongest baseline in 64% of dataset-metric pairs.

New MCMC method improves sampling from multimodal distributions.

problem Sampling from multimodal distributions is challenging for classical MCMC methods.
method Interpolating along the diffusion path, preserving mode weights and mixing properties.
result MAD-Path sampler improves global exploration and mode-weight estimation.

We show a duality which arises from distributions of Cartan type, having growth (2, 3, 5), from the view point of geometric control theory. In fact we consider the space of singular (or abnormal) paths on a given five dimensional space endowed with a Cartan distribution, which form another five dimensional space with a…

2013-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This work develops a generic framework, called the bag-of-paths (BoP), for link and network data analysis. The central idea is to assign a probability distribution on the set of all paths in a network. More precisely, a Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution is defined over a bag of paths in a network, that is, on a representati…

2013-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The relaxed maximum entropy problem is concerned with finding a probability distribution on a finite set that minimizes the relative entropy to a given prior distribution, while satisfying relaxed max-norm constraints with respect to a third observed multinomial distribution. We study the entire relaxation path for thi…

2013-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Introduces q-paths for generalizing geometric annealing paths in machine learning.

problem Limited applicability of existing path methods in machine learning.
method Develops a family of paths derived from a generalized mean, including geometric and arithmetic mixtures.
result Empirical gains in Bayesian inference and generative model evaluation.

New analysis of annealing paths in sampling and estimation.

problem Sampling from complex distributions and estimating normalization constants.
method Extending known results on Bregman divergence to quasi-arithmetic means under monotonic embedding.
result Analogous result for quasi-arithmetic means, highlighting the interplay between means, parametric families, and divergence functionals.

New method identifies causal structure in count data using cumulants and path analysis.

problem Challenges in discovering causal structure from count data, especially due to non-identifiability.
method Poisson Branching Structural Causal Model (PB-SCM) with path analysis using high-order cumulants.
result Causal order is identifiable under specific conditions in PB-SCM using cumulant information.

Develops diffusion samplers for target distributions with efficient score and density estimates.

problem Estimating scores and densities for time-varying distributions.
method Sequential Monte Carlo with diffusion paths and control variates.
result Effective samplers for time-varying distributions with theoretical guarantees and practical applications.

Paper presents a copula-based method to efficiently generate correlated sample paths from multi-step time series models.

problem Generating realistic correlation structures in multi-step forecast sample paths is expensive and time-consuming.
method Copula-based approach to generate correlated sample paths in one forward pass.
result Improved sample path quality and significant speedup over autoregressive sampling.

The paper improves semantic interpolation in latent spaces of implicit models.

problem Interpolating between latent points in implicit models requires careful distributional matching.
method Proposes modifying the prior code distribution to concentrate more probability mass near the origin.
result Linear interpolation paths are shortest and pass through high-density regions, improving sample quality and semantics.

The path probability of a particle undergoing stochastic motion is studied by the use of functional technique, and the general formula is derived for the path probability distribution functional. The probability of finding paths inside a tube/band, the center of which is stipulated by a given path, is analytically eval…

2016-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper calculates sensitivities for financial derivatives using path weighting methods.

problem Computing sensitivities for path-dependent financial derivatives with high variance and degeneracy issues.
method Proposes explicit path weighting formula, variance reduction adjustment, and covariance inflation technique.
result Effective methods to address high variance and degeneracy in sensitivities computation.

Path-independent equilibrium models improve network performance on harder problems.

problem Improving network performance on harder problem instances.
method Investigated path-independent equilibrium models and their impact on network performance.
result Path independence correlates with better performance on harder problem instances.

New method uses DistRL to estimate entire payoff distribution for financial derivatives.

problem Traditional methods focus on expected option value; this tackles risk-aware pricing.
method Reinterprets and proposes a framework using Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DistRL).
result Demonstrates enhanced risk-aware pricing and uncertainty quantification on Asian options.

Develops path-dependent optimal transport for exotic derivatives calibration.

problem Calibrating volatility models to exotic derivatives prices.
method Semimartingale optimal transport in path-dependent setting, duality results, dimension reduction via semifiltrations.
result Exact calibration of volatility models to path-dependent derivative prices.

Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a diffusion equation with a diffusion coefficient that inversely depends on the dat…

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study bounds financial path expectations using martingale distributions.

problem Bounding path-dependent financial expectations over martingale distributions.
method Relaxed martingale optimal transport problem, approximated via linear programming.
result Empirical relaxation can be approximated within O(n^(-1/2)) error.

Positive paths connect diffeomorphisms on contact manifolds.

problem Defining and analyzing positivity in diffeomorphism groups of manifolds with contact structures.
method By examining paths of diffeomorphisms that are positively transverse to the contact distribution, showing flexibility and connecting diffeomorphisms.
result Any two diffeomorphisms on standard contact structure of R^(2n+1) can be connected by a positive path.

Paper introduces a new IV estimator using ridge regression for better performance.

problem Improving IV estimator performance in linear models with endogeneity.
method Uses ridge regression with an empirically selected regularization parameter.
result The ridge estimator outperforms two-stage least squares under certain conditions.

Recently proposed budding tree is a decision tree algorithm in which every node is part internal node and part leaf. This allows representing every decision tree in a continuous parameter space, and therefore a budding tree can be jointly trained with backpropagation, like a neural network. Even though this continuity …

2014-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New model learns SDEs without gradient matching for non-uniform time increments.

problem Learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for SDEs.
method Formulates sensitivity equations for learning and optimizes path distributions.
result Robust and efficient learning of SDE systems with non-uniform time increments.

Analytical model prices options with moving barriers under non-Gaussian distributions.

problem Pricing options with moving barriers under non-Gaussian distributions.
method Path-integral formalism adapted from galaxy formation models, incorporating higher-order cumulants.
result Analytical pricing model for vanilla and barrier options without volatility smile.

GH-PID uses guided harmonic paths for efficient SOT with interpretable diagnostics.

problem Efficiently solving Stochastic Optimal Transport with hard terminal distributions and soft costs.
method Guided Harmonic Path-Integral Diffusion (GH-PID) framework with low-dimensional guidance.
result GH-PID generates geometry-aware, cost-reducing trajectories that match terminal distributions.