We study the role of active and passive investors in an investment market with uncertainties. Active investors concentrate on a single or a few stocks with a given probability of determining the quality of them. Passive investors spread their investment uniformly, resembling buying the market index. In this toy market …
Passive investing can incur hidden costs due to market timing inefficiencies.
problem Hidden costs in passive investing due to market timing inefficiencies.
method Analysis of passive investing strategies, including gradual share acquisition and post-announcement trading.
result Post-announcement trading can earn significant profits, often exceeding 1%.
Study shows big winner stocks significantly impact passive and active investment strategies.
problem Impact of big winner stocks on passive and active investment strategies.
method Numerical and analytical techniques applied to historical stock price data.
result Concentrated portfolios underperform equally weighted indexes due to missing big winner stocks.
The Heston model optimizes portfolio management based on real market data.
problem Choosing between active and passive investment strategies.
method Calibrated Heston model to real stock market data.
result Passive strategy can outperform active strategy depending on market parameters.
This study proposes an equal-weight portfolio strategy to reduce risk compared to traditional ETFs.
problem Risk of passive ETFs not matching optimal portfolio weights.
method Introduced an equal-weight portfolio strategy to reduce idiosyncratic risk.
result Equal-weight portfolio has lower risk than traditional ETFs, especially during idiosyncratic events.
Model A outperforms passive investment in stock index prediction with less exposure.
problem Predicting short-term stock index movements with high accuracy.
method Dynamic Deep Neural Networks (DNN) for trading decisions.
result Model A outperforms passive investment and conventional ML methods.
Study proposes a neural network approach for high inflation investment portfolios with leverage constraints.
problem Optimizing investment portfolios with high inflation and bounded leverage constraints.
method Formulated an optimal control problem, established a closed-form solution, and developed a novel LFNN approach.
result The LFNN strategy outperforms a passive benchmark by about 200 bps with a high probability of success.
Given a new candidate asset represented as a time series of returns, how should a quantitative investment manager be thinking about assessing its usefulness? This is a key qualitative question inherent to the investment process which we aim to make precise. We argue that the usefulness of an asset can only be determine…
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been gaining increasing popularity in the investment community as is evidenced by the high growth both in the number of ETFs and their net assets since 2000. As ETFs are in nature similar to index mutual funds, in this paper we examined if this growing demand for ETFs can be explained …
Leveraged ETFs can boost returns but increase risk.
problem Risk and return trade-off in leveraged ETF investing.
method Bootstrapped Monte-Carlo simulations of mixed stock and bond portfolios.
result Leverage can amplify returns without significantly increasing risk for long-term investors.
A fractal approach to the long-short portfolio optimization is proposed. The algorithmic system based on the composition of market-neutral spreads into a single entity was considered. The core of the optimization scheme is a fractal walk model of returns, optimizing a risk aversion according to the investment horizon. …
This paper reviews and analyzes various modeling approaches for financial index tracking.
problem Efficient replication of market index performance in financial markets.
method Categorization into three frameworks: optimization, statistical, and machine learning; empirical study on S&P 500 dataset.
result Optimization-based models deliver the most precise index tracking, statistical-based models achieve the strongest return-risk balance, and data-driven models provide competitive performance.
Investors can enhance their portfolios by strategically using LETFs, especially with dynamic strategies.
problem Unsuitability of passive or static approaches to LETFs leads to undesirable risk-return profiles.
method Demonstrated the effectiveness of simple dynamic strategies in exploiting favorable Omega ratio dynamics.
result Dynamic strategies can exploit the compounding effect of LETFs, improving risk-return profiles.
LLMs struggle to outperform markets over long periods and diverse stocks.
problem Overstated effectiveness of LLM-based investing strategies due to biases.
method FINSABER framework for systematic backtests over two decades and 100+ symbols.
result Previously reported LLM advantages deteriorate significantly under broader evaluation.
Paper uses inverse optimization to measure risk preference from investment portfolios.
problem Measuring subjective risk preference in investment portfolios.
method Inverse optimization on mean-variance framework.
result Quantified risk preference parameters validated with existing measures.
Research identifies four motivational groups for crypto-metaverse landowners.
problem Understanding motivations of retail investors in the crypto-metaverse.
method Detailed financial behavior survey and principal components analysis.
result Four distinct motivational groups identified: Aesthetics, Social, Speculation, Innovation.
This study improves stock investment strategies using advanced neural networks.
problem Improving stock investment strategies for better performance.
method Used LSTM-GRU neural networks combined with SVM for stock prediction.
result LSTM-GRU outperformed benchmarks in stock predictions.
Paper introduces a new multi-kernel algorithm for better gradient approximation.
problem Improving gradient approximation in high-dimensional problems.
method Develops a multi-kernel passive stochastic gradient algorithm with variance reduction.
result The multi-kernel algorithm performs better in high-dimensional problems.
This review analyzes recent advances in solving index tracking problems.
problem Creating a portfolio that closely follows a specific index with lower costs.
method Systematic review of mathematical approaches and metaheuristics.
result Metaheuristics have been extensively applied and improved in solving index tracking problems.
New RL method learns from passive data by modeling intentions.
problem Learning from passive data like videos without rewards or actions.
method Model intentions using temporal difference learning, learning representations from raw data.
result Successfully learns features from passive data that accelerate downstream RL tasks.
Active learning can't improve over passive in certain settings.
problem Active learning vs. passive learning in nonparametric settings.
method Analyzing margin conditions and their effects on active learning performance.
result Nuances in margin conditions determine whether active learning can outperform passive learning.
The paper analyzes fairness of compensation-based risk-sharing schemes for fund payouts.
problem Fair allocation of payouts in an endowment contingency fund.
method Analyzes two types of administrators and general non-negative loss distributions.
result General conditions for actuarial fairness are provided.
This paper aims to incorporate passive symmetries in machine learning for better generalization.
problem Machine learning's reliance on arbitrary choices leads to passive symmetries that can limit generalization.
method Translation among physics, mathematics, and machine learning to understand and implement passive symmetries.
result Respecting passive symmetries can improve machine learning's ability to generalize.
This paper investigates the market impact of passive orders.
problem Understanding the market impact of passive orders executed through limit orders.
method Developed a microstructure model linking liquidity dynamics and price moves, replacing the constant information content assumption with a function dependent on available volume.
result Derived useful approximations for market impact curves, leading to closed-form formulas.
Simple model uses time series momentum to outperform benchmarks in equity and bond markets.
problem Finding systematic excess returns in various markets.
method Time series momentum applied to multiple investable indices without complex parameter estimation.
result Significant outperformance in equity and bond markets, nearly doubling returns.
DeepPocket uses graph convolutional reinforcement learning for better financial portfolio management.
problem Maximizing return on investment while managing risk in correlated financial assets.
method Graph convolutional reinforcement learning framework with feature extraction, local information collection, and actor-critic reinforcement learning.
result DeepPocket outperformed market indexes on five real-life datasets over three investment periods, including during the Covid-19 crisis.
We develop a simple stock selection model to explain why active equity managers tend to underperform a benchmark index. We motivate our model with the empirical observation that the best performing stocks in a broad market index often perform much better than the other stocks in the index. Randomly selecting a subset o…
Study uses RL to optimize risky vs. risk-free asset allocation.
problem Optimal asset allocation in volatile financial markets.
method Formulated as MDP, uses DDPG with TiDE for dynamic policy learning.
result DDPG-TiDE outperforms Q-learning and buy-and-hold strategies.
ROI-driven data analytics guides investment in empirical data analysis.
problem Determining the optimal depth and breadth of data analytics.
method Conceptual framework validated through empirical studies focusing on dependency extraction in Mozilla Firefox project.
result ROI-driven data analytics helps avoid over-analyzing empirical data.
Deep RL algorithm trades high-dimensional stock portfolios.
problem Trading high-dimensional stock portfolios with data gaps and non-unique history lengths.
method Deep Q-learning algorithm, sequentially setting up environments, rewarding based on asset returns and cash reservation.
result Algorithm outperforms all passive and active benchmarks by a large margin.
We study the theoretical advantages of active learning over passive learning. Specifically, we prove that, in noise-free classifier learning for VC classes, any passive learning algorithm can be transformed into an active learning algorithm with asymptotically strictly superior label complexity for all nontrivial targe…
Model predicts active and passive cosponsorship motivations in Congress.
problem Identifying motivations behind cosponsorship in U.S. Congress.
method Encoder+RGCN model learning from bill texts and speeches.
result F1-score of 0.88 for predicting active and passive cosponsorship.
Dynamic risk factor model improves portfolio performance in high dimensions.
problem Dynamic portfolio allocation in high-dimensional financial markets.
method Time-varying sparsity on factor loadings, sequential learning of parameters and volatilities.
result Significant portfolio performance improvements and higher utility gains.
The paper analyzes performance criteria for competing fund managers in Ito-diffusion markets.
problem Analyzing performance of competing fund managers in Ito-diffusion markets.
method Developed forward relative performance criteria and forward Nash equilibrium for passive and competitive cases.
result Extended performance criteria for investment problems in Ito-diffusion markets.
Benchmark evaluates LLM trading agents by masking identifiers to prevent memory leaks.
problem Evaluate LLM trading agents without relying on market memory or noise.
method Data-side masking protocol, Barra-style performance attribution framework.
result LLM agents' returns are largely explained by market and style exposure, not stock selection.
An ensemble method enhances cryptocurrency trading strategies using deep reinforcement learning.
problem Improving generalization performance in stochastic cryptocurrency trading environments.
method Model selection and mixture distribution policy to ensemble deep reinforcement learning models.
result Improved out-of-sample performance compared to benchmarks.
JIT liquidity providers can sometimes reduce overall market liquidity by crowding out passive LPs.
problem JIT liquidity providers can reduce overall market liquidity by crowding out passive LPs.
method Game-theoretic model with asymmetrically informed agents to analyze JIT liquidity provision in blockchain-based decentralized exchanges.
result JIT LPs only provide liquidity to uninformed orders and crowd out passive LPs when order volume is not sufficiently elastic to pool depth, potentially reducing overall market liquidity.
Finsler space is differentiable manifold for which Minkowski space is the fiber of the tangent bundle. To understand structure of the reference frame in Finsler space, we need to understand the structure of orthonormal basis in Minkowski space. In this paper, we considered the definition of orthonormal basis in Minkows…
In this paper we study a symmetry group of vector space. Basis manifold is a homogeneous space of a symmetry group. This concept leads us to the definition of active and passive transformations on basis manifold. Active transformation can be expressed as a transformation of vector space. Passive transformation gives ab…
Mean representations of VAEs are correlated but still useful for tasks.
problem Correlation between mean and sampled representations of VAEs.
method Selective posterior collapse to identify active and passive variables.
result Passive variables in mean representations are correlated but uncorrelated in sampled ones.
Novel framework for efficient entity alignment labeling.
problem Efficient labeling of entity alignments in knowledge graphs.
method Active and passive learning strategies to select informative instances.
result Passive learning achieves comparable performance to active learning.
We provide new results concerning label efficient, polynomial time, passive and active learning of linear separators. We prove that active learning provides an exponential improvement over PAC (passive) learning of homogeneous linear separators under nearly log-concave distributions. Building on this, we provide a comp…
In Passive POMDPs actions do not affect the world state, but still incur costs. When the agent is bounded by information-processing constraints, it can only keep an approximation of the belief. We present a variational principle for the problem of maintaining the information which is most useful for minimizing the cost…
Physics-informed learning framework for pH systems and EB-PBC control.
problem Control of port-Hamiltonian systems from trajectory data.
method Co-learning of pH system model and EB-PBC through alternating optimization.
result Proven stability and robustness of the learned controller.
Paper introduces active and passive causal inference techniques.
problem Causal inference in machine learning.
method Categorizes causal inference techniques into active and passive approaches.
result Describes and discusses various causal inference methods.
Stabilizes online learning by using weighted reservoir sampling.
problem Real-world deployment sensitivity to outliers causes low accuracy in final solutions.
method Weighted reservoir sampling to stabilize ensemble model without additional data passes.
result Risk of ensemble classifier is bounded with respect to the underlying online learning method's regret.
Actively sampled data can have very different characteristics than passively sampled data. Therefore, it's promising to investigate using different inference procedures during AL than are used during passive learning (PL). This general idea is explored in detail for the focused case of AL with cost-weighted SVMs for im…
This paper considers the problem of isolating a small number of exchange traded funds (ETFs) that suffice to capture the fundamental dimensions of variation in U.S. financial markets. First, the data is fit to a vector-valued Bayesian regression model, which is a matrix-variate generalization of the well known stochast…