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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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155309464618 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for partial order inference

Differentiable relaxation for inferring partial orders from noisy linear data.

problem Inference of partial orders from linear data with noisy observations.
method Introducing a differentiable relaxation to model noisy linear extensions, replacing discontinuous precedence and feasibility with smooth surrogates.
result Smooth posterior that preserves partial-order semantics, supports gradient-based inference, and converges to hard likelihood.

Algorithm improves reinforcement learning in MDPs with partial order policies.

problem Improving reinforcement learning in MDPs with partial order policies.
method Epoch-based reinforcement learning algorithm leveraging a partial order over policy class.
result Achieves an O(wlog(Θ)T)O(\sqrt{w \log(|Θ|) T}) regret bound, independent of state and action space sizes.

A new method for state estimation on complex networks.

problem Reconstructing latent dynamics from multivariate time-series on topological cell complexes.
method Topology-aware state space framework derived from stochastic partial differential equations, with state evolution following heat-like topological diffusion.
result The proposed method successfully recovers latent states and topological structures in real-world networks.

Sig-DEG speeds up diffusion models by distilling them into faster approximations.

problem Computational intensity of diffusion models at inference time.
method Signature-based differential equation generation to summarize Brownian motion.
result Sig-DEG reduces inference steps by an order of magnitude while maintaining generation quality.

WNVI solves inverse problems without forward models using neural networks.

problem Solving high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems based on PDEs.
method WNVI uses weighted residuals and SVI with neural networks to infer state variables and unknowns.
result WNVI is more accurate and efficient than traditional methods and handles ill-posed problems.

The paper tackles partial inference in structured prediction using a convex optimization approach.

problem Maximizing a score function with unary and pairwise potentials in graph label spaces.
method Generative model approach with two-stage convex optimization for label recovery.
result Conditions for recovering a majority of labels with provable guarantees.

Inference for normal and Monte Carlo distributions using minimum relative entropy.

problem Inference from partial information on expectations and covariances.
method Minimum relative entropy sub-manifolds, analytical formulas, Monte Carlo simulations.
result Improved numerical implementation for inference from partial information.

Directed graphs occur throughout statistical modeling of networks, and exchangeability is a natural assumption when the ordering of vertices does not matter. There is a deep structural theory for exchangeable undirected graphs, which extends to the directed case via measurable objects known as digraphons. Using digraph…

2015-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In reinforcement learning (RL), agents often operate in partially observed and uncertain environments. Model-based RL suggests that this is best achieved by learning and exploiting a probabilistic model of the world. 'Active inference' is an emerging normative framework in cognitive and computational neuroscience that …

2019-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New BED method handles online inference for partially observed dynamical systems.

problem Optimizing data collection for partially observable, partially online dynamical systems.
method Derived estimators of expected information gain and its gradient for SSMs, using nested particle filters.
result Successfully handles both partial observability and online inference in realistic models.

New algorithm infers trajectories from partial observations using optimal transport.

problem Inferring trajectories from partial observations of coupled systems.
method Extends MFL algorithm to latent SDEs using observable state space models and partial observations.
result Experiments show significant outperformance over latent-free baseline.

Prove strong ribbon concordance induces a partial order on links, certify minimality for a handful of knots, and find minimal ribbon minimal knots.

problem Prove strong ribbon concordance induces a partial order on links.
method Use results from knot Floer homology to certify minimality under the ribbon partial order.
result Certify minimality for a handful of knots and find minimal ribbon minimal knots.

Study uses deep neural networks for inference in partially linear models with dependent data.

problem Inference in partially linear models with dependent data.
method First stage deep neural network (DNN) estimation followed by n\sqrt{n}-consistent and asymptotically normal estimator.
result The DNN-estimated finite dimensional parameter achieves n\sqrt{n}-consistency and asymptotic normality.

A new approach uses partial likelihood to improve tree-based density estimation and inference.

problem Inference on tree-based models suffers from overfitting and reduced efficiency due to data-independent partitioning.
method Proposes a partial likelihood approach to data-dependent partitioning of tree-based models.
result Significant gains in estimation accuracy and computational efficiency from adopting partial likelihood.

ParKCa combines multiple causal inference methods to infer new causes from known and unknown factors.

problem Causal inference from observational data when randomized experiments are not feasible.
method ParKCa uses a stacking approach to combine results from multiple causal inference methods.
result ParKCa infers more causes than existing methods in real-world and simulated datasets.

New methods improve estimation accuracy in noisy settings.

problem Estimating treatment effects in the presence of treatment noise.
method Developed new structure-agnostic cumulant estimators and practical procedures for higher-order robustness.
result Demonstrated that existing DML estimator is suboptimal for non-Gaussian treatment noise and introduced ACE procedures for improved accuracy.

PPI uses predictions and weighting to infer from partially labeled data.

problem Valid inference with partially labeled data.
method Combines model-based predictions with bias correction from labeled data, using Horvitz-Thompson and Hájek corrections.
result IPW-adjusted PPI with estimated propensities performs similarly to known-probability case.

Efficiently learns from partial labels using variational inference.

problem Learning from noisy and ambiguous partial labels in crowdsourcing.
method Amortized variational inference for probabilistic posterior approximation.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in accuracy and efficiency.

In this paper, we introduce a partial order on neighborhood equivalence classes of maximally spread essential multibranched surfaces embedded in a 3-manifold. We show that if a maximally spread essential multibranched surface is atoroidal and acylindrical, then its equivalence class is minimal with respect to the parti…

2019-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

It is well known that a countable group admits a left-invariant total order if and only if it acts faithfully on R by orientation preserving homeomorphisms. Such group actions are special cases of group actions on simply connected 1-manifolds, or equivalently, actions on oriented order trees. We characterize a class of…

2005-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformer learns to infer partial MDPs for efficient in-context adaptation and exploration.

problem Efficiently adapt and explore in-context without gradient-based updates.
method Uses a transformer to learn inference from training tasks, considering hypothesis space of partial models.
result Adaptation speed and exploration-exploitation balance approach those of an exact posterior sampling oracle.

Develops statistical methods for rates of change on Riemannian manifolds.

problem Statistical inference for rates of change in spatial processes over non-Euclidean domains.
method Formalizes smoothness and constructs differential processes for Riemannian manifolds, derives conditions for kernel existence, and develops predictive inference.
result Validates theoretical findings through simulation experiments for derivatives over polyhedral meshes.

Efficiently predicts high-fidelity PDE solutions using multi-fidelity Gaussian processes.

problem Expensive high-fidelity solutions for PDEs on discretized domains.
method Multi-Fidelity High-Order Gaussian Process (MFHoGP) that integrates multi-fidelity examples and scales to large numbers of outputs.
result Significantly reduces the cost of high-fidelity PDE solutions through efficient Gaussian process modeling.

We present a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method for estimating posterior probabilities of structural features in Bayesian networks. The method draws samples from the posterior distribution of partial orders on the nodes; for each sampled partial order, the conditional probabilities of interest are computed exactly. We…

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved Bayesian neural network inference by selectively removing redundant modes.

problem Redundant modes in Bayesian neural network posteriors complicate approximate inference.
method Structured partial stochasticity and deterministic subset selection of weights.
result Improved performance of approximate inference schemes with simplified posterior distribution.

A new RG approach connects discrete and continuous time descriptions of Gaussian processes.

problem Discretization of continuous stochastic processes for accurate simulation or model inference.
method Renormalization Group (RG) approach for Gaussian time series generated by auto-regressive models.
result RG fixed points correspond to discretizations of linear SDEs, providing insights into process accuracy.

Unified method for inference on partially identified causal effects using covariates.

problem Partial identification of causal effects due to unobserved joint potential outcomes.
method Model-agnostic approach using duality theory for optimal transport problems.
result Uniformly valid inference for a wide class of estimands, even with inaccurate nuisance parameter estimates.

Belief Propagation has been widely used for marginal inference, however it is slow on problems with large-domain variables and high-order factors. Previous work provides useful approximations to facilitate inference on such models, but lacks important anytime properties such as: 1) providing accurate and consistent mar…

2013-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗