Proposes a parsimonious graph spectral method for time series data.
problem Efficiently transmitting multivariate time series data.
method Graph spectral embedding with unsupervised, parsimonious encoding.
result Near-linear computational complexity and interpretable event structure.
We present a theory of homogeneous volatility bridge estimators for log-price stochastic processes. The main tool of our theory is the parsimonious encoding of the information contained in the open, high and low prices of incomplete bridge, corresponding to given log-price stochastic process, and in its close value, fo…
SplitWise enhances stepwise regression by adaptively encoding numeric predictors into binary features.
problem Capturing nonlinear relationships in regression models without sacrificing interpretability.
method Adaptive encoding of numeric predictors into binary features using shallow decision trees, assessed by AIC or BIC.
result Consistently produces more parsimonious and generalizable models than traditional techniques.
Bayesian inference simplified for machine learning models.
problem Difficulty in specifying general prior belief in machine learning architectures.
method Parsimonious inference using information theory and Kolmogorov complexity.
result Framework quantifies model complexity and prediction information, reducing memorization.
The parsimonious Gaussian mixture models, which exploit an eigenvalue decomposition of the group covariance matrices of the Gaussian mixture, have shown their success in particular in cluster analysis. Their estimation is in general performed by maximum likelihood estimation and has also been considered from a parametr…
Paper proposes a novel auto-encoder for latent density estimation.
problem Challenges of learning generative probabilistic models due to curse of dimensionality.
method Joint dimensionality reduction and non-parametric density estimation framework using a novel estimator.
result Proposed model achieves promising results on various datasets.
Parsimonious neural networks discover interpretable physical laws from data.
problem Discovering interpretable physical laws from data using machine learning.
method Combining neural networks with evolutionary optimization to balance accuracy and parsimony.
result Developed models for classical mechanics and materials melting temperature prediction.
Probabilistic grammars improve equation discovery from data.
problem Discovering scientific laws from data using equations.
method Proposed probabilistic context-free grammars to encode soft constraints and a Monte-Carlo algorithm.
result Probabilistic grammars lead to more efficient equation discovery.
This paper proposes a parsimoniously time varying parameter vector autoregressive model (with exogenous variables, VARX) and studies the properties of the Lasso and adaptive Lasso as estimators of this model. The parameters of the model are assumed to follow parsimonious random walks, where parsimony stems from the ass…
A parsimonious model reduces over-parameterization in skewed matrix variate mixtures.
problem Over-parameterization in skewed matrix variate mixtures.
method Parsimonious family of 256 models using bilinear factor analyzers constrained over clusters, with AECM algorithm for estimation.
result Extensive simulations and real-world datasets (MNIST, Olivetti faces) demonstrate the method's effectiveness.
A family of parsimonious shifted asymmetric Laplace mixture models is introduced. We extend the mixture of factor analyzers model to the shifted asymmetric Laplace distribution. Imposing constraints on the constitute parts of the resulting decomposed component scale matrices leads to a family of parsimonious models. An…
A family of parsimonious Gaussian cluster-weighted models is presented. This family concerns a multivariate extension to cluster-weighted modelling that can account for correlations between multivariate responses. Parsimony is attained by constraining parts of an eigen-decomposition imposed on the component covariance …
AdaRL adapts quickly to new environments with minimal data.
problem Quickly adapting to new environments in reinforcement learning.
method AdaRL uses a parsimonious graphical representation to encode changes across domains.
result AdaRL can efficiently adapt policies to target domains with few samples.
New model combines neural networks and embeddings for better choice modeling interpretability.
problem Limited behavioral insights in embedding representations for categorical variables.
method Combines discrete choice models and neural networks using embeddings for interpretability.
result Proposed models deliver state-of-the-art predictive performance while preserving interpretability.
We propose an elementary model to price European physical delivery swaptions in multicurve setting with a simple exact closed formula. The proposed model is very parsimonious: it is a three-parameter multicurve extension of the two-parameter Hull-White (1990) model. The model allows also to obtain simple formulas for a…
Finite mixtures of regression models offer a flexible framework for investigating heterogeneity in data with functional dependencies. These models can be conveniently used for unsupervised learning on data with clear regression relationships. We extend such models by imposing an eigen-decomposition on the multivariate …
GD-VAEs learn dynamics from observations using geometric and topological information.
problem Learning parsimonious representations of nonlinear dynamics from observations.
method Develops data-driven methods incorporating geometric and topological information using Variational Autoencoders (VAEs).
result GD-VAEs provide methods for learning reduced dimensional representations of nonlinear dynamics.
New GMM models fit high-dimensional data with fewer parameters.
problem Overparameterization and lack of flexibility in GMMs for high-dimensional data.
method Piecewise-constant covariance eigenvalue profiles, EM and penalized EM algorithms.
result Superior likelihood-parsimony tradeoffs in density fitting, clustering, and denoising.
Develops a model for causal discovery in path spaces.
problem Discover causal relationships in path spaces using asymmetric independence.
method Theory linking E-separation in DMGs to conditional independence in SDEs, proving global Markov property, characterizing equivalence classes of graphs.
result Each equivalence class of graphs has a greatest element as a parsimonious representation, which can be identified from data.
MFNets constructs efficient multifidelity surrogates from diverse information sources.
problem Creating accurate surrogates from multiple, potentially costly or inaccurate data sources.
method Directed acyclic graph of connections, gradient-based minimization of least squares objective, flexible information source structure.
result Error reduction by orders-of-magnitude, especially in low-data scenarios.
We consider the problem of non-parametric regression with a potentially large number of covariates. We propose a convex, penalized estimation framework that is particularly well-suited for high-dimensional sparse additive models. The proposed approach combines appealing features of finite basis representation and smoot…
Bayesian context trees capture complex dependencies in categorical sequences.
problem Complex, long-range dependencies in categorical sequences are not well captured by simple models.
method Parsimonious Bayesian context trees with model-based agglomerative clustering for efficient inference.
result The proposed framework outperforms existing models on real-world data.
Investigates deep hedging under rough volatility models.
problem Performance of deep hedging framework under non-Markovian conditions.
method Analysis of rough volatility models, use of parsimonious network architectures.
result Parsimonious network architectures can capture non-Markovian time-series.
Proposes a non-convex optimization method for a parsimonious weighted naive Bayes classifier.
problem Improving naïve Bayes classifier performance with a large number of input variables.
method Sparse regularization of model log-likelihood for direct estimation of variable weights.
result Optimization-based weighted naïve Bayes classifiers achieve equivalent performance to averaging-based classifiers.
Quantizes latent space to improve disentanglement in models.
problem Learning disentangled representations from unlabeled data.
method Quantizes latent space into discrete code vectors with a learnable scalar codebook and applies high weight decay regularization.
result Quantized-latent autoencoder (QLAE) outperforms prior work in disentanglement without sacrificing data reconstruction.
A new method reduces high-dimensional data's impact on CWMs using TSNE.
problem High-dimensional data hampers CWMs' accuracy and speed.
method TSNE for dimensionality reduction, parsimonious technique, expectation maximization.
result TSNE enhances CWMs' performance in high-dimensional space.
Method selects most useful network model for various tasks.
problem Impact of translating raw data to network models is unexamined.
method Proposes a network model selection methodology focusing on utility and parsimony.
result Demonstrates the importance of network definition for system behavior.
Let G be a nonabelian, simple group with a nontrivial conjugacy class C⊆G. Let K be a diagram of an oriented knot in S3, thought of as computational input. We show that for each such G and C, the problem of counting homomorphisms π1(S3∖K)→G that send meridians of K to C is al…
Parsimonious Dynamic Mode Decomposition selects sparse modes robustly.
problem Manual tuning of sparsity parameters in traditional DMD.
method Time-delay embedding and Orthogonal Matching Pursuit.
result Autonomously determines optimally sparse subset of modes.
A new tensor regression model preserves multidimensional data structure.
problem Complex multidimensional data loses intrinsic connections and parameter explosion.
method Developed a parsimonious tensor regression model using Tucker structure and shrinkage penalization.
result The model outperforms benchmark models in forecasting.
Proposes a new approach to approximate maximum likelihood for complex models.
problem Intractable likelihood functions in complex parametric models.
method Simulation-based constrained approximation to the structural model.
result Estimators nearly as efficient as maximum likelihood, feasible in many cases.
Optimal AFs minimize RFR test error and sensitivity.
problem Finding optimal AFs for RFR to minimize test error and sensitivity.
method Closed-form solution for AFs minimizing test error and sensitivity under different functional parsimony.
result Optimal AFs can be linear, saturated linear, or Hermite polynomial expressions.
Novel estimation methods improve MAR model accuracy for high-dimensional time series.
problem Limited estimation techniques for Matrix Autoregressive (MAR) models.
method Adapted Yule-Walker equations and Burg's method.
result Proposed methods achieve comparable model fit to VAR models.
Bayesian method reconstructs hidden higher-order interactions from network data.
problem Lack of explicit higher-order interactions in pairwise network data.
method Bayesian approach based on parsimony, infers higher-order structures when statistically supported.
result Demonstrated applicability to various datasets, synthetic and empirical.
We present a comprehensive theory of homogeneous volatility (and variance) estimators of arbitrary stochastic processes that fully exploit the OHLC (open, high, low, close) prices. For this, we develop the theory of most efficient point-wise homogeneous OHLC volatility estimators, valid for any price processes. We intr…
This paper introduces hierarchical Gaussian process priors for neural networks to capture weight correlations and inductive biases.
problem Capturing weight correlations and inductive biases in neural networks.
method Hierarchical Gaussian process priors with unit embeddings and input-dependent kernels.
result Hierarchical Gaussian process priors provide competitive predictive performance and desirable uncertainty estimates.
Combining Bayesian nonparametrics and a forward model selection strategy, we construct parsimonious Bayesian deep networks (PBDNs) that infer capacity-regularized network architectures from the data and require neither cross-validation nor fine-tuning when training the model. One of the two essential components of a PB…
Recent years have demonstrated that using random feature maps can significantly decrease the training and testing times of kernel-based algorithms without significantly lowering their accuracy. Regrettably, because random features are target-agnostic, typically thousands of such features are necessary to achieve accept…
Researchers develop multi-utility representations for incomplete preferences linked to risk measures.
problem Handling incomplete preferences induced by set-valued risk measures.
method Established dual representations of set-valued risk measures to create parsimonious and well-behaved multi-utility representations.
result Unified dual representations of set-valued risk measures, linking them to scalar risk measures.
For a long time interest-rate models were built on a single yield curve used both for discounting and forwarding. However, the crisis that has affected financial markets in the last years led market players to revise this assumption and accommodate basis-swap spreads, whose remarkable widening can no longer be neglecte…
PRISM infers model structures and parameters from simulations, controlling complexity at test time.
problem Choosing among large model families for scientific discovery.
method Simulation-based encoder-decoder that infers model structures and parameters, with test-time complexity control.
result PRISM scales to large model families and performs model selection in biophysical diffusion MRI.
Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible distributions over functions that enable high-level assumptions about unknown functions to be encoded in a parsimonious, flexible and general way. Although elegant, the application of GPs is limited by computational and analytical intractabilities that arise when data are sufficien…
To model high dimensional data, Gaussian methods are widely used since they remain tractable and yield parsimonious models by imposing strong assumptions on the data. Vine copulas are more flexible by combining arbitrary marginal distributions and (conditional) bivariate copulas. Yet, this adaptability is accompanied b…
PASTIS method selects simple models from noisy data.
problem Selecting correct models from large candidate libraries.
method PASTIS (Parsimonious Stochastic Inference) using extreme value theory.
result PASTIS outperforms other methods in model identification and predictive capability.
The problem to accurately and parsimoniously characterize random series of events (RSEs) present in the Web, such as e-mail conversations or Twitter hashtags, is not trivial. Reports found in the literature reveal two apparent conflicting visions of how RSEs should be modeled. From one side, the Poissonian processes, o…
Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks offer improved interpretability and parsimony in science tasks.
problem Improving interpretability and parsimony in science-oriented tasks.
method Theoretical analysis of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) with generalization bounds and model complexity.
result Generalization bounds for KAN with various activation functions, scaling with the l1 norm of coefficient matrices and Lipschitz constants. Solving for adversarial examples with projected gradient descent has been demonstrated to be highly effective in fooling the neural network based classifiers. However, in the black-box setting, the attacker is limited only to the query access to the network and solving for a successful adversarial example becomes much …
Model for valuing options on epidemic spread.
problem Valuation of options on epidemic spread during an outbreak.
method Stochastic differential SIR model for epidemic dynamics.
result Parsimonious model for option valuation on epidemic spread.