This paper proposes a parsimoniously time varying parameter vector autoregressive model (with exogenous variables, VARX) and studies the properties of the Lasso and adaptive Lasso as estimators of this model. The parameters of the model are assumed to follow parsimonious random walks, where parsimony stems from the ass…
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48 results for “parsimonious assumption”
Bayesian context trees capture complex dependencies in categorical sequences.
problem Complex, long-range dependencies in categorical sequences are not well captured by simple models.
method Parsimonious Bayesian context trees with model-based agglomerative clustering for efficient inference.
result The proposed framework outperforms existing models on real-world data.
The parsimonious Gaussian mixture models, which exploit an eigenvalue decomposition of the group covariance matrices of the Gaussian mixture, have shown their success in particular in cluster analysis. Their estimation is in general performed by maximum likelihood estimation and has also been considered from a parametr…
For a long time interest-rate models were built on a single yield curve used both for discounting and forwarding. However, the crisis that has affected financial markets in the last years led market players to revise this assumption and accommodate basis-swap spreads, whose remarkable widening can no longer be neglecte…
Parsimonious neural networks discover interpretable physical laws from data.
problem Discovering interpretable physical laws from data using machine learning.
method Combining neural networks with evolutionary optimization to balance accuracy and parsimony.
result Developed models for classical mechanics and materials melting temperature prediction.
To model high dimensional data, Gaussian methods are widely used since they remain tractable and yield parsimonious models by imposing strong assumptions on the data. Vine copulas are more flexible by combining arbitrary marginal distributions and (conditional) bivariate copulas. Yet, this adaptability is accompanied b…
Proposes a non-convex optimization method for a parsimonious weighted naive Bayes classifier.
problem Improving naïve Bayes classifier performance with a large number of input variables.
method Sparse regularization of model log-likelihood for direct estimation of variable weights.
result Optimization-based weighted naïve Bayes classifiers achieve equivalent performance to averaging-based classifiers.
A parsimonious model reduces over-parameterization in skewed matrix variate mixtures.
problem Over-parameterization in skewed matrix variate mixtures.
method Parsimonious family of 256 models using bilinear factor analyzers constrained over clusters, with AECM algorithm for estimation.
result Extensive simulations and real-world datasets (MNIST, Olivetti faces) demonstrate the method's effectiveness.
Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks offer improved interpretability and parsimony in science tasks.
problem Improving interpretability and parsimony in science-oriented tasks.
method Theoretical analysis of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) with generalization bounds and model complexity.
result Generalization bounds for KAN with various activation functions, scaling with the norm of coefficient matrices and Lipschitz constants.
A family of parsimonious shifted asymmetric Laplace mixture models is introduced. We extend the mixture of factor analyzers model to the shifted asymmetric Laplace distribution. Imposing constraints on the constitute parts of the resulting decomposed component scale matrices leads to a family of parsimonious models. An…
Improved SINDy autoencoder for identifying noisy dynamical systems.
problem Robust identification of noisy dynamical systems from data.
method Incorporates noise-separating neural network structures into SINDy autoencoder architecture.
result Accurately recovers latent dynamics and estimates measurement noise from noisy observations.
Paper tackles sparse recovery with shuffled labels, establishing statistical and computational limits.
problem Sparse recovery with shuffled labels, focusing on permutation matrix and sparse signal reconstruction.
method Statistical and computational analysis, including minimax lower bounds and exhaustive-search based estimator.
result Established statistical and computational limits for correct recovery of permutation matrix and support set.
Proposes I-prior extension for additive interaction models.
problem Challenges in estimating and selecting models with interactions.
method Extends I-prior methodology to multiple covariates, introducing a parsimonious model specification.
result Improves estimation and model selection for additive interaction models.
A family of parsimonious Gaussian cluster-weighted models is presented. This family concerns a multivariate extension to cluster-weighted modelling that can account for correlations between multivariate responses. Parsimony is attained by constraining parts of an eigen-decomposition imposed on the component covariance …
We propose an elementary model to price European physical delivery swaptions in multicurve setting with a simple exact closed formula. The proposed model is very parsimonious: it is a three-parameter multicurve extension of the two-parameter Hull-White (1990) model. The model allows also to obtain simple formulas for a…
New framework for network regression models accounting for community structure.
problem Inaccurate modeling of residual dependencies in network regression models.
method Modeling errors as community-based and exploiting exchangeability properties.
result Parsimonious standard errors for regression parameters.
Finite mixtures of regression models offer a flexible framework for investigating heterogeneity in data with functional dependencies. These models can be conveniently used for unsupervised learning on data with clear regression relationships. We extend such models by imposing an eigen-decomposition on the multivariate …
New GMM models fit high-dimensional data with fewer parameters.
problem Overparameterization and lack of flexibility in GMMs for high-dimensional data.
method Piecewise-constant covariance eigenvalue profiles, EM and penalized EM algorithms.
result Superior likelihood-parsimony tradeoffs in density fitting, clustering, and denoising.
High-dimensional data models, often with low sample size, abound in many interdisciplinary studies, genomics and large biological systems being most noteworthy. The conventional assumption of multinormality or linearity of regression may not be plausible for such models which are likely to be statistically complex due …
Clusters of crypto assets by path signature improve diversification and reduce fees.
problem Building diversified portfolios of volatile cryptocurrencies.
method Clustering digital assets using path signatures to identify similar behavior patterns.
result Optimal portfolios outperform unfiltered ones, reducing transaction fees.
We consider the problem of non-parametric regression with a potentially large number of covariates. We propose a convex, penalized estimation framework that is particularly well-suited for high-dimensional sparse additive models. The proposed approach combines appealing features of finite basis representation and smoot…
Investigates deep hedging under rough volatility models.
problem Performance of deep hedging framework under non-Markovian conditions.
method Analysis of rough volatility models, use of parsimonious network architectures.
result Parsimonious network architectures can capture non-Markovian time-series.
Sparse dictionary learning (SDL) has become a popular method for adaptively identifying parsimonious representations of a dataset, a fundamental problem in machine learning and signal processing. While most work on SDL assumes a training dataset of independent and identically distributed samples, a variant known as con…
A neural network approach solves dynamic portfolio optimization without dynamic programming.
problem Dynamic portfolio optimization with multiple constraints and high rebalancing frequency.
method Parsimonious neural network without dynamic programming, avoiding high-dimensional expectations.
result Proves convergence to theoretical optimal solution under general conditions.
A new method reduces high-dimensional data's impact on CWMs using TSNE.
problem High-dimensional data hampers CWMs' accuracy and speed.
method TSNE for dimensionality reduction, parsimonious technique, expectation maximization.
result TSNE enhances CWMs' performance in high-dimensional space.
A Kyle-inspired model with adaptive agents explains excess volatility and volatility clustering.
problem Reconciling asymmetrically informed traders with adaptive market hypothesis.
method Proposes a model with adaptive agents using inductive reasoning, reconciling Kyle model with Adaptive Market Hypothesis.
result Microfoundations for GARCH models and volatility clustering explained.
Method selects most useful network model for various tasks.
problem Impact of translating raw data to network models is unexamined.
method Proposes a network model selection methodology focusing on utility and parsimony.
result Demonstrates the importance of network definition for system behavior.
Let be a nonabelian, simple group with a nontrivial conjugacy class . Let be a diagram of an oriented knot in , thought of as computational input. We show that for each such and , the problem of counting homomorphisms that send meridians of to is al…
We propose and study a multi-scale approach to vector quantization. We develop an algorithm, dubbed reconstruction trees, inspired by decision trees. Here the objective is parsimonious reconstruction of unsupervised data, rather than classification. Contrasted to more standard vector quantization methods, such as K-mea…
Parsimonious Dynamic Mode Decomposition selects sparse modes robustly.
problem Manual tuning of sparsity parameters in traditional DMD.
method Time-delay embedding and Orthogonal Matching Pursuit.
result Autonomously determines optimally sparse subset of modes.
A new tensor regression model preserves multidimensional data structure.
problem Complex multidimensional data loses intrinsic connections and parameter explosion.
method Developed a parsimonious tensor regression model using Tucker structure and shrinkage penalization.
result The model outperforms benchmark models in forecasting.
Proposes a new approach to approximate maximum likelihood for complex models.
problem Intractable likelihood functions in complex parametric models.
method Simulation-based constrained approximation to the structural model.
result Estimators nearly as efficient as maximum likelihood, feasible in many cases.
Optimal AFs minimize RFR test error and sensitivity.
problem Finding optimal AFs for RFR to minimize test error and sensitivity.
method Closed-form solution for AFs minimizing test error and sensitivity under different functional parsimony.
result Optimal AFs can be linear, saturated linear, or Hermite polynomial expressions.
New method models asymmetric data with improved tail dependence.
problem Asymmetric data and tail dependence modeling.
method Generalized Skew-t Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis.
result Improved modeling of asymmetric data with tail effects.
Novel estimation methods improve MAR model accuracy for high-dimensional time series.
problem Limited estimation techniques for Matrix Autoregressive (MAR) models.
method Adapted Yule-Walker equations and Burg's method.
result Proposed methods achieve comparable model fit to VAR models.
Mixtures of experts probabilistically divide the input space into regions, where the assumptions of each expert, or conditional model, need only hold locally. Combined with Gaussian process (GP) experts, this results in a powerful and highly flexible model. We focus on alternative mixtures of GP experts, which model th…
Bayesian method reconstructs hidden higher-order interactions from network data.
problem Lack of explicit higher-order interactions in pairwise network data.
method Bayesian approach based on parsimony, infers higher-order structures when statistically supported.
result Demonstrated applicability to various datasets, synthetic and empirical.
Combining Bayesian nonparametrics and a forward model selection strategy, we construct parsimonious Bayesian deep networks (PBDNs) that infer capacity-regularized network architectures from the data and require neither cross-validation nor fine-tuning when training the model. One of the two essential components of a PB…
Recent years have demonstrated that using random feature maps can significantly decrease the training and testing times of kernel-based algorithms without significantly lowering their accuracy. Regrettably, because random features are target-agnostic, typically thousands of such features are necessary to achieve accept…
Researchers develop multi-utility representations for incomplete preferences linked to risk measures.
problem Handling incomplete preferences induced by set-valued risk measures.
method Established dual representations of set-valued risk measures to create parsimonious and well-behaved multi-utility representations.
result Unified dual representations of set-valued risk measures, linking them to scalar risk measures.
PASTIS method selects simple models from noisy data.
problem Selecting correct models from large candidate libraries.
method PASTIS (Parsimonious Stochastic Inference) using extreme value theory.
result PASTIS outperforms other methods in model identification and predictive capability.
The problem to accurately and parsimoniously characterize random series of events (RSEs) present in the Web, such as e-mail conversations or Twitter hashtags, is not trivial. Reports found in the literature reveal two apparent conflicting visions of how RSEs should be modeled. From one side, the Poissonian processes, o…
Solving for adversarial examples with projected gradient descent has been demonstrated to be highly effective in fooling the neural network based classifiers. However, in the black-box setting, the attacker is limited only to the query access to the network and solving for a successful adversarial example becomes much …
Options on infectious diseasesq-fin.CP
Model for valuing options on epidemic spread.
problem Valuation of options on epidemic spread during an outbreak.
method Stochastic differential SIR model for epidemic dynamics.
result Parsimonious model for option valuation on epidemic spread.
The paper analyzes methods for sparse Bayesian regression in nonlinear system identification.
problem Learning sparse models in Bayesian regression with nonlinear applications.
method Two classes of methods: regularization and thresholding based, built on automatic relevance determination (ARD).
result Analytical demonstration of favorable performance with sparse solutions in linear problems.
Model-based clustering imposes a finite mixture modelling structure on data for clustering. Finite mixture models assume that the population is a convex combination of a finite number of densities, the distribution within each population is a basic assumption of each particular model. Among all distributions that have …
A new model captures financial asset returns' tail behaviors and outperforms GARCH family.
problem Capturing the dynamic tail behaviors of financial asset returns.
method Combines LSTM with a novel parametric quantile function.
result Out-of-sample forecasts of conditional quantiles or VaR outperform GARCH family.
Traditionally, many text-mining tasks treat individual word-tokens as the finest meaningful semantic granularity. However, in many languages and specialized corpora, words are composed by concatenating semantically meaningful subword structures. Word-level analysis cannot leverage the semantic information present in su…