A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We study a nonparametric contextual bandit problem where the expected reward functions belong to a Hölder class with smoothness parameter β. We show how this interpolates between two extremes that were previously studied in isolation: non-differentiable bandits (β≤1), where rate-optimal regret is achieved by run…
The paper develops a theory for identifying the best arm in non-parametric multi-armed bandits with a fixed budget.
problem Identifying the best arm in non-parametric multi-armed bandits with a limited number of trials.
method The paper proposes upper and lower bounds on the average log-probability of misidentification using information-theoretic quantities and a refined analysis of the successive-rejects strategy.
result The paper provides new upper and lower bounds on the average log-probability of misidentification, which generalize existing bounds.
Contextual bandit algorithms are sensitive to the estimation method of the outcome model as well as the exploration method used, particularly in the presence of rich heterogeneity or complex outcome models, which can lead to difficult estimation problems along the path of learning. We study a consideration for the expl…
Inspired by the Reward-Biased Maximum Likelihood Estimate method of adaptive control, we propose RBMLE -- a novel family of learning algorithms for stochastic multi-armed bandits (SMABs). For a broad range of SMABs including both the parametric Exponential Family as well as the non-parametric sub-Gaussian/Exponential f…
Thompson Sampling has been demonstrated in many complex bandit models, however the theoretical guarantees available for the parametric multi-armed bandit are still limited to the Bernoulli case. Here we extend them by proving asymptotic optimality of the algorithm using the Jeffreys prior for 1-dimensional exponential …
Existing strategies for finite-armed stochastic bandits mostly depend on a parameter of scale that must be known in advance. Sometimes this is in the form of a bound on the payoffs, or the knowledge of a variance or subgaussian parameter. The notable exceptions are the analysis of Gaussian bandits with unknown mean and…
We present a new strategy for gap estimation in randomized algorithms for multiarmed bandits and combine it with the EXP3++ algorithm of Seldin and Slivkins (2014). In the stochastic regime the strategy reduces dependence of regret on a time horizon from (lnt)3 to (lnt)2 and eliminates an additive factor of o…
We investigate the use of bootstrapping in the bandit setting. We first show that the commonly used non-parametric bootstrapping (NPB) procedure can be provably inefficient and establish a near-linear lower bound on the regret incurred by it under the bandit model with Bernoulli rewards. We show that NPB with an approp…
In stochastic multi-armed bandits, the reward distribution of each arm is assumed to be stationary. This assumption is often violated in practice (e.g., in recommendation systems), where the reward of an arm may change whenever is selected, i.e., rested bandit setting. In this paper, we consider the non-parametric rott…
Many efficient algorithms with strong theoretical guarantees have been proposed for the contextual multi-armed bandit problem. However, applying these algorithms in practice can be difficult because they require domain expertise to build appropriate features and to tune their parameters. We propose a new method for the…
We consider K-armed stochastic bandits and consider cumulative regret bounds up to time T. We are interested in strategies achieving simultaneously a distribution-free regret bound of optimal order KT and a distribution-dependent regret that is asymptotically optimal, that is, matching the κlnT lower b…
New algorithm reduces best-in-class regret in contextual bandits.
problem Compete with the best policy in a class without model restrictions.
method Proposes an algorithm that updates policies by minimizing a pessimistic objective, including a clipped inverse-propensity estimate and variance penalty.
result Achieves fast best-in-class regret rates, including polylogarithmic rates in the parametric case.
Motivated by the application of real-time pricing in e-commerce platforms, we consider the problem of revenue-maximization in a setting where the seller can leverage contextual information describing the customer's history and the product's type to predict her valuation of the product. However, her true valuation is un…
We propose a bandit algorithm that explores by randomizing its history of rewards. Specifically, it pulls the arm with the highest mean reward in a non-parametric bootstrap sample of its history with pseudo rewards. We design the pseudo rewards such that the bootstrap mean is optimistic with a sufficiently high probabi…
Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) method is arguably the most celebrated one used in online decision making with partial information feedback. Existing techniques for constructing confidence bounds are typically built upon various concentration inequalities, which thus lead to over-exploration. In this paper, we propose a n…
This study presents two new algorithms for solving linear stochastic bandit problems. The proposed methods use an approach from non-parametric statistics called bootstrapping to create confidence bounds. This is achieved without making any assumptions about the distribution of noise in the underlying system. We present…
Algorithm BGLM-OFU minimizes regret in combinatorial causal bandits with binary models.
problem Minimizing expected regret in combinatorial causal bandits with binary generalized linear models.
method BGLM-OFU algorithm based on maximum likelihood estimation for Markovian BGLMs, and causal inference techniques for linear models with hidden variables.
result Achieves O(TlogT) regret for binary generalized linear models.
Efficient exploration remains a major challenge for reinforcement learning. One reason is that the variability of the returns often depends on the current state and action, and is therefore heteroscedastic. Classical exploration strategies such as upper confidence bound algorithms and Thompson sampling fail to appropri…
The computational costs of inference and planning have confined Bayesian model-based reinforcement learning to one of two dismal fates: powerful Bayes-adaptive planning but only for simplistic models, or powerful, Bayesian non-parametric models but using simple, myopic planning strategies such as Thompson sampling. We …