FNFs model parameter-dependent densities by combining a fixed flow with a polynomial parameter-dependent transformation.
arXiv research
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We propose an estimation method for the conditional mode when the conditioning variable is high-dimensional. In the proposed method, we first estimate the conditional density by solving quantile regressions multiple times. We then estimate the conditional mode by finding the maximum of the estimated conditional density…
Training-free model learns SDE dynamics without training, accelerating parameter studies.
We study the Euler-Lagrange equations for a parameter dependent -invariant Lagrangian on a homogeneous -space. We consider the pullback of the parameter dependent Lagrangian to the Lie group , emphasizing the special invariance properties of the associated Euler-Poincaré equations with advected parameters.
Tensor trains speed up option pricing for multi-asset options.
This letter assesses model risk in credit capital requirements and finds substantial tail risk.
Noise in SGD affects overparameterized models, favoring sparse solutions.
Economic systems are similar with physic systems for their large number of individuals and the exist of equilibrium. In this paper, we present a model applying the equilibrium statistical model in economic systems. Consistent with statistical physics, we define a series of concepts, such as economic temperature, econom…
The paper explores how polynomial roots and operator eigenvalues change with parameters.
This paper examines a Markovian model for the optimal irreversible investment problem of a firm aiming at minimizing total expected costs of production. We model market uncertainty and the cost of investment per unit of production capacity as two independent one-dimensional regular diffusions, and we consider a general…
We review recent progress in modeling credit risk for correlated assets. We start from the Merton model which default events and losses are derived from the asset values at maturity. To estimate the time development of the asset values, the stock prices are used whose correlations have a strong impact on the loss distr…
We define the equivariant family index of a family of elliptic operators invariant with respect to the free action of a bundle $\GR$ of Lie groups. If the fibers of $\GR \to B$ are simply-connected solvable, we then compute the Chern character of the (equivariant family) index, the result being given by an Atiyah-Singe…
We empirically investigate the best trade-off between sparse and uniformly-weighted multiple kernel learning (MKL) using the elastic-net regularization on real and simulated datasets. We find that the best trade-off parameter depends not only on the sparsity of the true kernel-weight spectrum but also on the linear dep…
We analyze correlations between squared volatility indices, VIX and VXO, and realized variances -- the known one, for the current month, and the predicted one, for the following month. We show that the ratio of the two is best fitted by a Beta Prime distribution, whose shape parameters depend strongly on which of the t…
Estimates matrix trace optimization with statistical learning theory.
We define parameter dependent -foams and their associated web and arc algebras, and verify that they specialize to several known or constructions related to higher link and tangle invariants. Moreover, we show that all these specializations are equivalent, and we ded…
We establish continuous maximal regularity results for parabolic differential operators acting on sections of tensor bundles on Riemannian manifolds. As an application, we show that solutions to the Yamabe flow instantaneously regularize and become real analytic in space and time. The regularity result is obtained by i…
It is the purpose of this article to establish a technical tool to study regularity of solutions to parabolic equations on manifolds. As applications of this technique, we prove that solutions to the Ricci-DeTurck flow, the surface diffusion flow and the mean curvature flow enjoy joint analyticity in time and space, an…
A novel class of integrable surfaces is recorded. This class of O surfaces is shown to include and generalize classical surfaces such as isothermic, constant mean curvature, minimal, `linear' Weingarten, Guichard and Petot surfaces and surfaces of constant Gaussian curvature. It is demonstrated that the construction of…
We focus on improving the accuracy of an approximate model of a multiscale dynamical system that uses a set of parameter-dependent terms to account for the effects of unresolved or neglected dynamics on resolved scales. We start by considering various methods of calibrating and analyzing such a model given a few well-r…
We propose a random walk model of asset returns where the parameters depend on market stress. Stress is measured by, e.g., the value of an implied volatility index. We show that model parameters including standard deviations and correlations can be estimated robustly and that all distributions are approximately normal.…
Study geometric flows with varying parameters and prove continuous dependence.
We present a new, fully generative model of optical telescope image sets, along with a variational procedure for inference. Each pixel intensity is treated as a Poisson random variable, with a rate parameter dependent on latent properties of stars and galaxies. Key latent properties are themselves random, with scientif…
This article finds constant scalar curvature Kahler metrics on certain compact complex surfaces. The surfaces considered are those admitting a holomorphic submersion to a curve, with fibres of genus at least 2. The proof is via an adiabatic limit. An approximate solution is constructed out of the hyperbolic metrics on …
This work improves the Euler method for masked diffusion models, providing tighter convergence guarantees.
We give the global picture of the normalized Ricci flow on generalized flag manifolds with two or three isotropy summands. The normalized Ricci flow for these spaces descents to a parameter depending system of two or three ordinary differential equations, respectively. We present here the qualitative study of these sys…
We investigate a class of multi-dimensional two-component systems of Monge-Ampère type that can be viewed as generalisations of heavenly-type equations appearing in self-dual Ricci-flat geometry. Based on the Jordan-Kronecker theory of skew-symmetric matrix pencils, a classification of normal forms of such systems is o…
In this paper, we address the challenging problem of selecting tuning parameters for high-dimensional sparse regression. We propose a simple and computationally efficient method, called path thresholding (PaTh), that transforms any tuning parameter-dependent sparse regression algorithm into an asymptotically tuning-fre…
In this paper we introduce a parameter dependent class of Krylov-based methods, namely CD, for the solution of symmetric linear systems. We give evidence that in our proposal we generate sequences of conjugate directions, extending some properties of the standard Conjugate Gradient (CG) method, in order to preserve the…
Monte Carlo sampling for Bayesian posterior inference is a common approach used in machine learning. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo procedures that are used are often discrete-time analogues of associated stochastic differential equations (SDEs). These SDEs are guaranteed to leave invariant the required posterior distrib…
An agent-based model for financial markets has to incorporate two aspects: decision making and price formation. We introduce a simple decision model and consider its implications in two different pricing schemes. First, we study its parameter dependence within a supply-demand balance setting. We find realistic behavior…
Uncertainty sampling, a popular active learning algorithm, is used to reduce the amount of data required to learn a classifier, but it has been observed in practice to converge to different parameters depending on the initialization and sometimes to even better parameters than standard training on all the data. In this…
We identify Melrose's suspended algebra of pseudodifferential operators with a subalgebra of the algebra of parametric pseudodifferential operators with parameter space . For a general algebra of parametric pseudodifferential operators, where the parameter space may now be a cone , we construct a uniq…
We propose a framework to study the optimal liquidation strategy in a limit order book for large-tick stocks, with spread equal to one tick. All order book events (market orders, limit orders and cancellations) occur according to independent Poisson processes, with parameters depending on price move directions. Our goa…
In this note we identify the leading terms of the (reduced) K-energy map with a universal linear combination of the principal and subdominant coefficients of the weight of the Hilbert point. This shows that the weight introduced by Donaldson in [SKD02] is just the weight of the CM-polarisation.The eq…
Penalized (or regularized) regression, as represented by Lasso and its variants, has become a standard technique for analyzing high-dimensional data when the number of variables substantially exceeds the sample size. The performance of penalized regression relies crucially on the choice of the tuning parameter, which d…
Spectral clustering is sensitive to how graphs are constructed from data particularly when proximal and imbalanced clusters are present. We show that Ratio-Cut (RCut) or normalized cut (NCut) objectives are not tailored to imbalanced data since they tend to emphasize cut sizes over cut values. We propose a graph partit…
The log returns of financial time series are usually modeled by means of the stationary GARCH(1,1) stochastic process or its generalizations which can not properly describe the nonstationary deterministic components of the original series. We analyze the influence of deterministic trends on the GARCH(1,1) parameters us…
Sparsity promoting norms are frequently used in high dimensional regression. A limitation of such Lasso-type estimators is that the optimal regularization parameter depends on the unknown noise level. Estimators such as the concomitant Lasso address this dependence by jointly estimating the noise level and the regressi…
We set up a structural model to study credit risk for a portfolio containing several or many credit contracts. The model is based on a jump--diffusion process for the risk factors, i.e. for the company assets. We also include correlations between the companies. We discuss that models of this type have much in common wi…
We consider a continuous curve of linear elliptic formally self-adjoint differential operators of first order with smooth coefficients over a compact Riemannian manifold with boundary together with a continuous curve of global elliptic boundary value problems. We express the spectral flow of the resulting continuous fa…
Miura-type transformations (MTs) are an essential tool in the theory of integrable nonlinear partial differential and difference equations. We present a geometric method to construct MTs for differential-difference (lattice) equations from Darboux-Lax representations (DLRs) of such equations. The method is applicable t…
Survey of de Casteljau's algorithm's applications in geometric data analysis.
Generalizes Rips' result on hyperbolic spaces to metric spaces, showing collapses for tree metrics.
Quantum reservoirs risk bounds are analyzed using Rademacher complexity.
Spectral clustering methods which are frequently used in clustering and community detection applications are sensitive to the specific graph constructions particularly when imbalanced clusters are present. We show that ratio cut (RCut) or normalized cut (NCut) objectives are not tailored to imbalanced cluster sizes sin…
Holomorphic curves in moduli spaces are quasi-isometrically immersed.
The study proves that sets with constant nonlocal curvature are composed of equal balls under certain conditions.