Support vector regression (SVR) has been widely used to reduce the high computational cost of computer simulation. SVR assumes the input parameters have equal sample sizes, but unequal sample sizes are often encountered in engineering practices. To solve this issue, a new prediction approach based on SVR, namely as hig…
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48 results for “parameter sampling”
This paper describes how to convert a machine learning problem into a series of map-reduce tasks. We study logistic regression algorithm. In logistic regression algorithm, it is assumed that samples are independent and each sample is assigned a probability. Parameters are obtained by maxmizing the product of all sample…
This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and test samples. Conditional on the tuning parameter, the training sample creates …
Inference in general Ising models is difficult, due to high treewidth making tree-based algorithms intractable. Moreover, when interactions are strong, Gibbs sampling may take exponential time to converge to the stationary distribution. We present an algorithm to project Ising model parameters onto a parameter set that…
This paper presents sampling-based speech parameter generation using moment-matching networks for Deep Neural Network (DNN)-based speech synthesis. Although people never produce exactly the same speech even if we try to express the same linguistic and para-linguistic information, typical statistical speech synthesis pr…
Paper extends Chernoff sampling for active testing and parameter estimation, improving neural network and regression models.
problem Reducing sample complexity in hypothesis testing and model parameter estimation.
method Developed an extension of Chernoff sampling for active learning and parameter estimation.
result Non-asymptotic bounds for sample complexity and estimation error in active learning.
This paper shows using sub-sample estimates can improve optimization results in large-scale problems.
problem Large-scale optimization problems with uncertain parameters often lead to suboptimal solutions due to mis-specifications or extreme sample characteristics.
method The paper introduces the use of sub-sample estimates to reduce errors in stochastic optimization models, providing theoretical analysis and numerical examples.
result Sub-sample optimization can achieve improved results over full-sample solution estimates in large-scale problems.
Gibbs sampling is a workhorse for Bayesian inference but has several limitations when used for parameter estimation, and is often much slower than non-sampling inference methods. SAME (State Augmentation for Marginal Estimation) \cite{Doucet99,Doucet02} is an approach to MAP parameter estimation which gives improved pa…
Paper improves Thompson Sampling for linear contextual bandits.
problem Empirical Thompson Sampling does not achieve optimal regret bounds.
method Develops a novel estimator with adaptive data augmentation and coupling.
result Achieves nearly minimax optimal performance.
Two simulation-based methods improve optimal sampling design in systems biology.
problem Optimal selection of sampling points for accurate parameter estimation in dynamical systems.
method E-optimal-ranking (EOR) and LSTM neural network-based methods.
result Simulation studies show the proposed methods outperform random selection and classical E-optimal design.
Study shows sample complexity for logistic regression with normal covariates.
problem Estimating parameters of logistic regression with normal design.
method Analyzes sample complexity in terms of dimension and inverse temperature.
result Shows two change-points in sample complexity curve based on inverse temperature.
New method samples Jeffreys prior for objective Bayesian inference.
problem Sampling from Jeffreys prior is challenging.
method Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm
result Samples can be directly used in Bayesian methods.
Efficiently estimate Boolean product distribution parameters from truncated samples.
problem Estimating parameters of Boolean product distributions from truncated samples.
method Introducing fatness of truncation set, using membership queries, and adapting Stochastic Gradient Descent.
result Efficiently learn Boolean product distributions from truncated samples with small sample complexity.
Sampling one or more effective solutions from large search spaces is a recurring idea in machine learning, and sequential optimization has become a popular solution. Typical examples include data summarization, sample mining for predictive modeling and hyper-parameter optimization. Existing solutions attempt to adaptiv…
This paper improves parameter estimation in cardiac models using Gaussian process-based MH sampling.
problem Uncertainty in estimating patient-specific model parameters from sparse and noisy clinical data.
method Integrates surrogate modeling into Metropolis-Hastings sampling to improve computational efficiency and accuracy.
result Significant gain in computational efficiency without compromising accuracy, and insights into tissue heterogeneity.
Thompson Sampling remains differentially private with minimal modifications.
problem Ensuring privacy in Thompson Sampling for multi-arm bandits.
method Demonstrated differential privacy of original Thompson Sampling, provided per-round guarantees, and introduced modifications for tighter privacy.
result Privacy guarantees can be tuned by modifying the algorithm, and these modifications impact expected regret.
Proposes a new sampling method for online learning with cumulative oversampling.
problem Budgeted Influence Maximization in online learning.
method Cumulative Oversampling (CO) method for online learning.
result CO-based algorithm achieves comparable regret to UCB-based algorithms and performs similarly to Thompson Sampling.
Paper studies MCCR models with scale parameters tending to zero, revealing optimal learning rate and comparing robustness.
problem Analyzing MCCR models with scale parameters approaching zero.
method Investigates MCCR models with scale parameters tending to zero, revealing optimal learning rate and comparing robustness.
result Optimal learning rate of MCCR models is in the asymptotic sense.
Sampling Distributions of Optimal Portfolio Weights and Characteristics in Low and Large Dimensionsq-fin.PM
Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown parameters and to account for the parameter uncertainty in the decision process. Most oft…
In the regression setting, given a set of hyper-parameters, a model-estimation procedure constructs a model from training data. The optimal hyper-parameters that minimize generalization error of the model are usually unknown. In practice they are often estimated using split-sample validation. Up to now, there is an ope…
Dense Distributions from Sparse Samples: Improved Gibbs Sampling Parameter Estimators for LDAstat.ML
We introduce a novel approach for estimating Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) parameters from collapsed Gibbs samples (CGS), by leveraging the full conditional distributions over the latent variable assignments to efficiently average over multiple samples, for little more computational cost than drawing a single addit…
Study shows annealing with adaptive schedule reduces mode collapse in NFs for parameter estimation.
problem Mode collapse in normalizing flows for multimodal distributions.
method Annealing with an adaptive schedule based on effective sample size (ESS).
result Our approach reduces mode collapse and converges marginal likelihood faster than MCMC methods.
Thompson sampling used for linear bandits with normal-gamma priors.
problem Optimizing decisions in uncertain environments with linear dependencies and unknown parameters.
method Bayesian Thompson sampling with multivariate normal-gamma priors.
result Derivation of a Bayesian regret bound for the approach.
Cost-effective search for lower-error region in material parameter space using multifidelity Gaussian process modelingcond-mat.mtrl-sci
Efficiently estimates material parameter space with multifidelity Gaussian process modeling.
problem Estimating a region of material parameter space with similar precipitate shapes.
method Multifidelity Gaussian process modeling to reduce computational cost.
result Significant reduction in sampling cost for accurate LER estimation.
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are simple and extremely powerful techniques to sample from almost arbitrary distributions. The flaw in practice is that it can take a large and/or unknown amount of time to converge to the stationary distribution. This paper gives sufficient conditions to guarantee that univa…
Fast algorithms for learning a Gaussian under halfspace truncation with optimal sample complexitycs.DS
Optimal algorithm learns Gaussian under halfspace truncation with minimal samples.
problem Learning a Gaussian distribution truncated to an unknown halfspace.
method Efficient algorithm using samples and runtime dominated by empirical covariance matrix computation.
result Optimal sample and time complexity bounds for learning a Gaussian under halfspace truncation.
Method estimates parameters of complex nonlinear systems.
problem Parameter estimation for nonlinear systems with derivative states.
method Regularized linear regression using differentiation filtering and least squares.
result Finite-sample bound on mean absolute error of estimation.
This paper improves system identification by reducing sample complexity for high-dimensional linear dynamical systems.
problem High sample complexity for learning partially observed linear dynamical systems in high dimensions.
method Introduces an -regularized estimation method that reduces sample complexity from linear to logarithmic with system dimension.
result Markov parameters can be learned with logarithmic number of samples relative to system dimension, improving sample complexity.
Method infers parameters in complex diffusion processes.
problem Parameter inference in high-dimensional, non-linear diffusion processes.
method Differentiable score matching to approximate diffusion bridges, used in an importance sampler.
result Numerically stable framework for parameter inference and diffusion mean estimation.
BDeu marginal likelihood score is a popular model selection criterion for selecting a Bayesian network structure based on sample data. This non-informative scoring criterion assigns same score for network structures that encode same independence statements. However, before applying the BDeu score, one must determine a …
Efficient algorithms improve learning of large-margin halfspaces.
problem Learning large-margin halfspaces efficiently and reproducibly.
method Design of efficient, dimension-independent, polynomial-time algorithms; SGD-based approach; DP-to-Replicability reduction.
result Improved sample complexity compared to previous algorithms, with optimal sample complexity for one algorithm.
The paper reduces sample complexity for estimating novel task parameters with few meta-learning tasks.
problem Meta-learning sparse linear regression with limited data.
method Accessing multiple similar tasks to recover common support and reduce novel task sample complexity.
result The sample complexity for estimating the parameter of a novel task is greatly reduced to O(1) with respect to the number of tasks.
Optimizes Thompson sampling policies using policy gradient methods.
problem Improving Thompson sampling in bandit problems.
method Applies policy gradient algorithms to optimize Thompson sampling policies.
result Direct policy search on Thompson sampling improves performance.
A method for estimating parameters from entangled single-sample distributions, robust to high-noise data.
problem Estimating common parameters from entangled single-sample distributions.
method Iterative trimming of samples to estimate the parameter.
result The method can tolerate a constant fraction of high-noise data points.
Paper fine-tunes a simulation-driven estimator to reduce out-of-distribution errors.
problem Out-of-distribution errors in simulation-driven parameter estimators.
method Fine-tuning a Two-Stage estimator to improve accuracy for true parameters outside the sampled range.
result The fine-tuning approach reduces out-of-distribution errors and improves accuracy.
The Mallows model, introduced in the seminal paper of Mallows 1957, is one of the most fundamental ranking distribution over the symmetric group . To analyze more complex ranking data, several studies considered the Generalized Mallows model defined by Fligner and Verducci 1986. Despite the significant research in…
Neural networks improve gravitational-wave parameter estimation.
problem Estimating parameters of binary black hole systems from gravitational-wave data.
method Autoregressive normalizing flows for likelihood-free inference.
result Performance comparable to current best deep-learning approaches, with fast sampling.
The focus in this paper is Bayesian system identification based on noisy incomplete modal data where we can impose spatially-sparse stiffness changes when updating a structural model. To this end, based on a similar hierarchical sparse Bayesian learning model from our previous work, we propose two Gibbs sampling algori…
Parametric model reduction of mean-field and stochastic systems via higher-order action matchingstat.ML
This work learns models for population dynamics using variational methods and higher-order quadrature.
problem Modeling population dynamics of physical systems with stochastic and mean-field effects.
method Variational problem to infer gradient fields, combining Monte Carlo sampling with higher-order quadrature rules.
result Accurate prediction of population dynamics over a wide range of parameters.
Unified contrastive learning for likelihood-free inference.
problem Parameter inference in models with intractable likelihood.
method Unified contrastive learning scheme for both density ratio and direct posterior estimation.
result Unified approach clarifies method selection and comparison.
Two approaches improve parameter learning in various mixture models.
problem Parameter learning in mixture models.
method Complex-analytic and algebraic-combinatorial methods.
result Improved sample sufficiency for parameter estimation in specific mixture models.
The parameters of temporal models, such as dynamic Bayesian networks, may be modelled in a Bayesian context as static or atemporal variables that influence transition probabilities at every time step. Particle filters fail for models that include such variables, while methods that use Gibbs sampling of parameter variab…
Uncertainty quantification of neural network models of evolving processes via Langevin samplingcs.LG
A scalable framework uses Langevin sampling to approximate neural network models of evolving processes.
problem Uncertainty quantification in neural network models of dynamic systems.
method Flexible data model based on NODE, joint learning of data model and posterior parameters, Langevin sampling.
result Demonstrated performance on chemical reaction and material physics data, compared favorably to variational inference.
Improved sample complexity for Gaussian Mixture Models using Pair Correlation Factor.
problem Understanding the sample complexity of Gaussian Mixture Models.
method Introducing Pair Correlation Factor (PCF) to measure clustering of component means and improving sample complexity bounds.
result The Pair Correlation Factor (PCF) more accurately determines the difficulty of parameter recovery in Gaussian Mixture Models.
We unify slice sampling and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling, demonstrating their connection via the Hamiltonian-Jacobi equation from Hamiltonian mechanics. This insight enables extension of HMC and slice sampling to a broader family of samplers, called Monomial Gamma Samplers (MGS). We provide a theoretical anal…
A new framework for structured bandits using influence diagrams and variational Thompson sampling.
problem Complex statistical dependencies in structured bandit problems.
method Influence diagram framework, variational Thompson sampling, tracking structured posterior distribution.
result Empirically evaluated algorithms perform as well as or better than existing baselines.
Study extends bounds on sample covariance matrices with general dependence.
problem Quantitative bounds on sample covariance matrices with i.i.d. columns.
method Extends previous work on deterministic equivalent to rectangular random matrices with general dependence structure.
result Proves quantitative bounds involving dimensions and spectral parameter, including closer proximity to real positive semi-line.
Proposes a new measure to evaluate stability of statistical parameters under distributional shifts.
problem Difficulty in transferring knowledge across data sets due to distributional changes.
method Introduces a measure of instability quantifying sensitivity of statistical parameters to Kullback-Leibler divergence and directional shifts.
result The proposed measure can elucidate the type of shifts a parameter is sensitive to and improve estimation accuracy under shifted distributions.