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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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140280419559 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for overlapping distributions

Improved off-policy evaluation for MDPs with weak distributional overlap.

problem Evaluation of policies when target and data-collection distributions are not strongly overlapping.
method Truncated Doubly Robust (TDR) estimators for off-policy evaluation in MDPs under weak distributional overlap.
result TDR estimators can recover large-sample behavior and are consistent even when distribution ratios are not square-integrable.

A new method optimizes anomaly scoring from score distribution to improve AD performance.

problem Vulnerability to anomaly contamination and lack of adaptability in existing AD methods.
method Optimizes anomaly scoring function from score distribution perspective, using Overlap loss.
result Overlap loss-based AD models significantly outperform state-of-the-art methods.

New model for detecting communities in weighted bipartite networks.

problem No model for community detection in overlapping bipartite weighted networks.
method Introduces BiMMDF model allowing any distribution with block structure.
result Efficient algorithm with theoretical guarantee of consistent estimation.

A new model for detecting overlapping communities in weighted networks.

problem Community detection in overlapping weighted networks with mixed membership and edge weights.
method Mixed membership distribution-free (MMDF) model with an efficient spectral algorithm and fuzzy weighted modularity.
result The MMDF model can estimate community memberships and evaluate community quality for weighted networks.

A new method reduces communication costs in distributed learning.

problem Reduces communication bottlenecks in distributed learning.
method Local SGD with communication-computation overlap and delay-corrected sparse model averaging.
result Theoretical convergence guarantees for smooth non-convex objectives.

New method improves covariance estimation for weighted samples.

problem Improving covariance estimation for weighted sample data.
method Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.
result Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.

Temperature scaling fails for distributions with class overlaps, while Mixup improves calibration.

problem Temperature scaling's performance degrades with class overlaps, leading to poor calibration.
method Identified temperature scaling's limitations and compared it with Mixup for calibration.
result Mixup significantly outperforms temperature scaling in calibration metrics with class overlaps.

Statistical test verifies long-term rating system calibration with overlapping time windows.

problem Verifying supervisory requirements for overlapping time windows in rating systems.
method Analyzes long-run default rate distribution and correlation effects; presents conservative calibration test methods.
result Developed a test for individual and portfolio levels that can handle unknown variance.

A new OOD detector using an overlap index improves accuracy without high computational costs.

problem Effective OOD detection for machine learning models in open-world scenarios.
method Proposes an overlap index-based confidence score function for OOD detection.
result The proposed method achieves competitive accuracy with lower computational costs compared to state-of-the-art detectors.

K-fold Cross Validation is commonly used to evaluate classifiers and tune their hyperparameters. However, it assumes that data points are Independent and Identically Distributed (i.i.d.) so that samples used in the training and test sets can be selected randomly and uniformly. In Human Activity Recognition datasets, we…

2019-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

CausalMix generates synthetic data with causal controls for mixed-type tables.

problem Synthetic data for causal inference with mixed-type and multimodal tabular data.
method CausalMix combines Gaussian latent priors with data-type-specific decoders for control over overlap, confounding, and treatment effect heterogeneity.
result CausalMix achieves state-of-the-art distributional metrics and stable causal control.

Commonly-used clustering algorithms usually find ellipsoidal, spherical or other regular-structured clusters, but are more challenged when the underlying groups lack formal structure or definition. Syncytial clustering is the name that we introduce for methods that merge groups obtained from standard clustering algorit…

2018-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Deconfounding scores improve causal effect estimation with weak overlap.

problem Poor overlap in treatment and control groups makes causal effect estimators brittle.
method Introduces feature representations that improve overlap without introducing bias.
result Deconfounding scores satisfy a zero-covariance condition that is identifiable in observed data.

BayesBag improves reproducibility of Bayesian inference under model misspecification.

problem Bayesian posteriors can be unreliable and inconsistent under model misspecification.
method Apply bagging to the Bayesian posterior to improve reproducibility.
result Bagged posteriors typically satisfy reproducibility criteria under misspecification.

The paper tackles scalarization issues in A2C RL algorithms, proposing methods to avoid gradient overlap and noise.

problem Scalarization issues in A2C RL algorithms leading to gradient overlap and uncontrolled noise.
method Proposes techniques to avoid gradient overlap and noise in A2C RL algorithms.
result Pilot experiments show the proposed method speeds up training in A2C RL algorithms.

Bayesian ptychography method reduces overlap for faster imaging.

problem Reduced overlap leads to large data volumes and long acquisition times.
method Generative model combined with MCMC for posterior sampling.
result Framework consistently outperforms iterative reconstruction methods with reduced overlap.

The aim of this text is to provide an elementary and self-contained exposition of Gromov's argument on topological overlap (the presentation is based on Gromov's work, as well as two follow-up papers of Matousek and Wagner, and of Dotterrer, Kaufman and Wagner). We also discuss a simple generalization in which the vert…

2015-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extends causal inference methods beyond unconfoundedness and overlap assumptions.

problem Treatment effect identification in studies violating unconfoundedness and overlap.
method Statistical learning theory approach to identify ATE and ATT.
result General conditions for identifying ATE and ATT, including scenarios like Regression Discontinuity designs.

Free energy perturbation (FEP) was proposed by Zwanzig more than six decades ago as a method to estimate free energy differences, and has since inspired a huge body of related methods that use it as an integral building block. Being an importance sampling based estimator, however, FEP suffers from a severe limitation: …

2020-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

FCPCA fuzzy clusters high-dimensional time series data efficiently.

problem Ambiguous clustering of multivariate time series data with overlapping distributions.
method FCPCA based on common principal component analysis.
result FCPCA outperforms existing methods in fuzzy clustering of multivariate time series.

Algorithm estimates nonparametric mixtures from grouped data.

problem Estimating identifiable nonparametric mixture models from grouped observations.
method Oracle inequality for weighted kernel density estimators and general consistency result.
result Consistent estimation of mixture components from grouped observations.

Hypothesis testing in singular models is fundamentally about identifiable vs. non-identifiable parameters.

problem Testing in singular models is inherently problematic due to non-identifiability and degeneracy of Fisher information.
method Formalized the overlap obstruction and showed that hypotheses over non-identifiable parameters are untestable, while those over identifiable parameters reduce to classical testing.
result Hypotheses over non-identifiable parameters are untestable, while those over identifiable parameters reduce to classical testing.

Overlapping clustering problem is an important learning issue in which clusters are not mutually exclusive and each object may belongs simultaneously to several clusters. This paper presents a kernel based method that produces overlapping clusters on a high feature space using mercer kernel techniques to improve separa…

2012-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Deconfounding scores improve causal effect estimation with weak overlap.

problem Challenges in causal treatment effect estimation due to weak overlap in high-dimensional data.
method Propose deconfounding scores to preserve identification and target estimation while improving overlap.
result Prognostic scores are overlap-optimal under a broad family of generalized linear models with Gaussian features.

A new method speeds up overlapping group lasso computations.

problem Time-consuming optimization of overlapping group lasso on large-scale problems.
method Non-overlapping statistical approximation to overlapping group lasso.
result The proposed penalty is statistically equivalent to overlapping group lasso.

Proposes a sensitivity framework to handle limited overlap in causal inference.

problem Limited overlap between treated and control groups in observational studies.
method Sensitivity framework based on worst-case confidence bounds on bias introduced by trimming.
result Protects against spurious findings by quantifying uncertainty in regions with limited overlap.

Producing overlapping schemes is a major issue in clustering. Recent proposed overlapping methods relies on the search of an optimal covering and are based on different metrics, such as Euclidean distance and I-Divergence, used to measure closeness between observations. In this paper, we propose the use of another meas…

2012-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This study evaluates cluster search algorithms using Gaussian mixture models.

problem Determining the optimal number of clusters in data sets generated by Gaussian mixture models.
method Examined centroid- and model-based cluster search algorithms in various cases.
result Model-based algorithms are more robust to cluster overlap and covariance type than centroid-based methods.

This research improves asset life prediction by integrating deep learning with mixture distributions.

problem Predicting residual useful life for assets with multiple failure modes.
method Integrates mixture (log)-location-scale distribution with deep learning.
result Proposed models outperform existing methods in predicting residual useful life.

The study simplifies assessing overlap in logistic regression models using empirical likelihood.

problem Assessing overlap in multidimensional logistic regression models.
method Translation of Silvapulle's condition to empirical likelihood maximization, mechanized with R code.
result Minimal overlapping structures are cataloged in dimensions less than four, providing rules for higher dimensions.

GAME improves matrix completion by considering subgroup-specific latent structures.

problem Heterogeneous data with overlapping categories, smoothing away subgroup-specific variation.
method Group-Aware Matrix Estimation (GAME) with overlapping nuclear-norm penalties.
result GAME outperforms global low-rank estimators in structured missingness regimes.

One dimensional stylized model taking into account spatial activity of firms with uniformly distributed customers is proposed. The spatial selling area of each firm is defined by a short interval cut out from selling space (large interval). In this representation, the firm size is directly associated with the size of i…

2007-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗