New methods resolve conflicting treatment effect estimates in health tech assessments.
problem Conflicting conclusions from different sponsors analyzing the same data.
method Arbitrated indirect treatment comparisons (ArMAIC) targeting a common target population.
result Estimates treatment effects in a common target population, resolving the MAIC paradox.
Estimates KL divergence with fairness considerations for sub-populations.
problem Fairly estimate KL divergence between distributions considering sub-populations.
method Proposes multi-group attribution for KL divergence estimation, derived from multi-calibration.
result Shows multi-group attribution provides better KL divergence estimates conditioned on sub-populations.
Unified approach for fair classification with overlapping groups.
problem Ensuring fairness across multiple overlapping groups in prediction problems.
method Probabilistic population analysis leading to Bayes-optimal classifier, unifying existing methods.
result Outperforms baselines in fairness-performance tradeoff on real datasets.
New method improves covariance estimation for weighted samples.
problem Improving covariance estimation for weighted sample data.
method Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.
result Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.
We study methods for improving fairness to subgroups in settings with overlapping populations and sequential predictions. Classical notions of fairness focus on the balance of some property across different populations. However, in many applications the goal of the different groups is not to be predicted equally but ra…
Method leverages data transfer for estimating CATE with KRR.
problem Leveraging findings from one study to estimate CATE in a different population.
method Overlap-adaptive transfer learning of CATE using kernel ridge regression.
result The method achieves superior efficiency and adaptability in estimating CATE.
New metric scores perturbations across populations, not cells, improving model comparison.
problem Single-cell perturbation data overlaps, making per-cell accuracy unreliable.
method Average per-cell probability vectors over all cells of a perturbation to form a population profile and rank candidate perturbations.
result Classifier Discrimination Score (CDS) identifies true perturbation more reliably than pseudobulk-based scores.
Firms implementing digital advertising campaigns face a complex problem in determining the right match between their advertising creatives and target audiences. Typical solutions to the problem have leveraged non-experimental methods, or used "split-testing" strategies that have not explicitly addressed the complexitie…
A powerful approach for understanding neural population dynamics is to extract low-dimensional trajectories from population recordings using dimensionality reduction methods. Current approaches for dimensionality reduction on neural data are limited to single population recordings, and can not identify dynamics embedde…
Develops a weighting framework to generalize ITRs from source to target populations.
problem Challenges in generalizing ITRs from a source population to a target population with differing characteristics.
method A robust sample weighting framework using a reproducing kernel Hilbert space to balance covariates and improve ITR learning methods.
result Improves ITR estimation for the target population compared to other weighting methods.
Researchers developed a generic model to account for structural variability in SHM.
problem Variability in natural frequency due to operational and environmental conditions limits SHM technologies.
method An overlapping mixture of Gaussian processes (OMGP) was used to generate a generic representation of normal condition.
result The OMGP model provided a generic representation (form) to characterise the normal condition of structures.
Estimates causal effect of managed care plans on NYC Medicaid spending.
problem Generalizing causal estimates to a target population not well-represented by randomized studies.
method Conditional cross-design synthesis estimators combining randomized and observational data.
result Estimates causal effect of managed care plans on health care spending.
Proposes efficient data acquisition for personalized treatment effects from observational data.
problem Efficiently acquiring outcomes for personalized treatment effects in observational studies.
method Introduces causal, Bayesian acquisition functions to select points with overlapping support.
result Demonstrates improved sample efficiency and accuracy in learning personalized treatment effects.
Insiders camouflage trading to balance wealth and stealth, avoiding legal penalties.
problem Legal penalties and insider trading among liquidity traders.
method Kyle-type model with a diverse spectrum of prosecution schemes.
result Existence and uniqueness of equilibria for large populations, with a stealth index revealing trading scale.
New method bypasses global fit for LISA's Galactic binaries, extracting population parameters directly.
problem Disentangling LISA's Galactic binary sources from backgrounds in a computationally intensive process.
method Simulation-based approach using normalizing flow to infer population parameters.
result Direct inference of population parameters from LISA's frequency strain series.
Paper tackles efficient risk estimation under dataset shift conditions.
problem Limited data from target population; auxiliary data available.
method Semiparametric efficiency theory; efficient and multiply robust estimators.
result Developed estimators for various dataset shift conditions.
Paper simplifies balancing weights by relaxing outcome assumptions.
problem Estimating missing outcomes in a target population.
method Relaxes outcome assumptions to simplify balancing weights.
result Balancing weights can be simplified with convex loss and minimum worst-case bias.
We quantify forgetting in post-training models, distinguishing mass and drift.
problem Understanding and preventing forgetting in post-training generative models.
method Developed theoretical results under a two-mode mixture abstraction, formalizing mass and drift forgetting.
result Forgetting can be precisely quantified based on divergence direction, geometric overlap, and training regime.
New algorithm learns policies without uniform overlap assumption.
problem Learning optimal policies from non-uniformly collected data.
method Pessimistic Policy Learning (PPL) using lower confidence bounds.
result Efficient policy learning for adaptively collected data.
One-pass SGD dynamics in overparameterized quadratic networks show slow escape from poor solutions.
problem Slow escape from poor generalization solutions in overparameterized neural networks.
method Analysis of one-pass SGD dynamics using ordinary differential equations for overlap matrices.
result Overparameterization only modestly accelerates escape from poor solutions.
Machine learning models predict bluebottles' presence on beaches, addressing class imbalance and unreliable absence data.
problem Predicting bluebottles' presence on beaches with machine learning, tackling class imbalance and unreliable absence data.
method Used Multilayer Perceptron, Random Forest, and XGBoost models; employed data augmentation techniques like SMOTE, Random Undersampling, and Synthetic Negative Approach.
result Random Forests combined with Synthetic Negative Approach provided the best predictive model, identifying wind direction as a key factor.
Bayesian method models multivalued power data from wind farms.
problem Accurate modeling of power curves with multivalued relationships.
method Overlapping mixture of probabilistic regression models.
result Model accurately represents practical power data.
Policy learning can be used to extract individualized treatment regimes from observational data in healthcare, civics, e-commerce, and beyond. One big hurdle to policy learning is a commonplace lack of overlap in the data for different actions, which can lead to unwieldy policy evaluation and poorly performing learned …
Clustering of data sets is a standard problem in many areas of science and engineering. The method of spectral clustering is based on embedding the data set using a kernel function, and using the top eigenvectors of the normalized Laplacian to recover the connected components. We study the performance of spectral clust…
New shrinkage estimator for GMV portfolio reduces risk in high-dimensional asset settings.
problem Estimating the global minimum variance portfolio in high-dimensional settings with limited data.
method Dynamic shrinkage of the GMV portfolio using previous data as a target.
result The new estimator outperforms traditional methods in high-dimensional asset settings.
Research from a variety of fields including psychology and linguistics have found correlations and patterns in personal attributes and behavior, but efforts to understand the broader heterogeneity in human behavior have not yet integrated these approaches and perspectives with a cohesive methodology. Here we extract pa…
Unified framework for fairness, robustness, and distribution shifts.
problem Diverse failure modes of machine learning systems.
method Formalizes biases as violations of conditional independence and proves equivalence conditions.
result Equivalent effects of biases in different failure modes under specific conditions.
This work introduces a novel estimation method, called LOVE, of the entries and structure of a loading matrix A in a sparse latent factor model X = AZ + E, for an observable random vector X in Rp, with correlated unobservable factors Z \in RK, with K unknown, and independent noise E. Each row of A is scaled and sparse.…
Study on signal recovery from low-rank matrix with sparse noise.
problem Inference of a rank-one signal in the presence of sparse noise.
method Replica method from statistical physics, recursive distributional equations, population dynamics algorithm.
result Critical signal strength for recovery via top eigenvector identified.
Overlapping clustering problem is an important learning issue in which clusters are not mutually exclusive and each object may belongs simultaneously to several clusters. This paper presents a kernel based method that produces overlapping clusters on a high feature space using mercer kernel techniques to improve separa…
Deconfounding scores improve causal effect estimation with weak overlap.
problem Challenges in causal treatment effect estimation due to weak overlap in high-dimensional data.
method Propose deconfounding scores to preserve identification and target estimation while improving overlap.
result Prognostic scores are overlap-optimal under a broad family of generalized linear models with Gaussian features.
A new method speeds up overlapping group lasso computations.
problem Time-consuming optimization of overlapping group lasso on large-scale problems.
method Non-overlapping statistical approximation to overlapping group lasso.
result The proposed penalty is statistically equivalent to overlapping group lasso.
We consider the problem of estimating community memberships of nodes in a network, where every node is associated with a vector determining its degree of membership in each community. Existing provably consistent algorithms often require strong assumptions about the population, are computationally expensive, and only p…
In medicine, visualizing chromosomes is important for medical diagnostics, drug development, and biomedical research. Unfortunately, chromosomes often overlap and it is necessary to identify and distinguish between the overlapping chromosomes. A segmentation solution that is fast and automated will enable scaling of co…
New method improves CATE estimation in low overlap regions.
problem Low overlap in CATE estimation leads to poor performance of meta-learners.
method Overlap-Adaptive Regularization (OAR) that regularizes models proportionally to overlap weights.
result OAR significantly improves CATE estimation in low-overlap settings.
Proposes a sensitivity framework to handle limited overlap in causal inference.
problem Limited overlap between treated and control groups in observational studies.
method Sensitivity framework based on worst-case confidence bounds on bias introduced by trimming.
result Protects against spurious findings by quantifying uncertainty in regions with limited overlap.
Producing overlapping schemes is a major issue in clustering. Recent proposed overlapping methods relies on the search of an optimal covering and are based on different metrics, such as Euclidean distance and I-Divergence, used to measure closeness between observations. In this paper, we propose the use of another meas…
The study simplifies assessing overlap in logistic regression models using empirical likelihood.
problem Assessing overlap in multidimensional logistic regression models.
method Translation of Silvapulle's condition to empirical likelihood maximization, mechanized with R code.
result Minimal overlapping structures are cataloged in dimensions less than four, providing rules for higher dimensions.
This paper investigates robust and efficient DR/RDR estimators for WATEs.
problem Lack of systematic investigation into robustness and efficiency conditions for WATE estimation.
method Proposes three RDR estimators using semiparametric efficient influence function and double/debiased machine learning.
result Demonstrates the practical relevance of the methods in medical and social sciences.
Recently, to solve large-scale lasso and group lasso problems, screening rules have been developed, the goal of which is to reduce the problem size by efficiently discarding zero coefficients using simple rules independently of the others. However, screening for overlapping group lasso remains an open challenge because…
Community detection is a fundamental problem in network analysis which is made more challenging by overlaps between communities which often occur in practice. Here we propose a general, flexible, and interpretable generative model for overlapping communities, which can be thought of as a generalization of the degree-co…
RISA improves VFL by using imputed samples with low uncertainty.
problem Limited overlapping samples constrain VFL performance.
method Imputing non-overlapping samples and using evidence theory to select reliable imputed samples.
result Significant performance gains achieved, especially with limited overlapping samples.
As research into community finding in social networks progresses, there is a need for algorithms capable of detecting overlapping community structure. Many algorithms have been proposed in recent years that are capable of assigning each node to more than a single community. The performance of these algorithms tends to …
dLDS models neural dynamics as sparse combinations of simpler components.
problem Understanding complex neural dynamics at a population level.
method Proposes a decomposed dynamical system model trained through dictionary learning.
result Model efficiently captures and demix diverse neural dynamics.
We present a principled approach for detecting overlapping temporal community structure in dynamic networks. Our method is based on the following framework: find the overlapping temporal community structure that maximizes a quality function associated with each snapshot of the network subject to a temporal smoothness c…
New mechanism detects overlap density for weak-to-strong generalization.
problem Understanding what aspects of data enable weak-to-strong generalization.
method Data-centric mechanism and overlap detection algorithm.
result Overlap density is a key factor in weak-to-strong generalization.
We calculate eigenvector overlaps between intersecting time periods of covariance matrices.
problem Analyzing overlapping time periods in covariance matrices.
method Girko linearisation and extended local laws.
result Computed eigenvector overlaps for intersecting time intervals.
Community detection is a task of fundamental importance in social network analysis that can be used in a variety of knowledge-based domains. While there exist many works on community detection based on connectivity structures, they suffer from either considering the overlapping or non-overlapping communities. In this w…