A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
System prioritizes rough sleeper alerts to improve outreach success.
Algorithm improves resource allocation for food outreach to homeless.
Ray marching method visualizes flat surfaces efficiently.
Optimizes data labeling for causal effect estimation with missing outcomes.
Many businesses are using recommender systems for marketing outreach. Recommendation algorithms can be either based on content or driven by collaborative filtering. We study different ways to incorporate content information directly into the matrix factorization approach of collaborative filtering. These content-booste…
DQ4FairIM uses RL to maximize influence while ensuring fairness across all groups.
Exploration is a fundamental aspect of Reinforcement Learning, typically implemented using stochastic action-selection. Exploration, however, can be more efficient if directed toward gaining new world knowledge. Visit-counters have been proven useful both in practice and in theory for directed exploration. However, a m…
Spatial ABM predicts housing market trends in Sydney.
Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the sustainability of lenders outreaching to the poor. Specifically, using the elements of net…
With the recent trend of applying machine learning in every aspect of human life, it is important to incorporate fairness into the core of the predictive algorithms. We address the problem of predicting the quality of public speeches while being fair with respect to sensitive attributes of the speakers, e.g. gender and…
Machine learning predicts plant phenotypes from soil microbiome data.
Gang violence is a severe issue in major cities across the U.S. and recent studies [Patton et al. 2017] have found evidence of social media communications that can be linked to such violence in communities with high rates of exposure to gang activity. In this paper we partnered computer scientists with social work rese…
Extends positive and almost positive links to successively almost positive ones.
Success conditioning optimizes policies by imitating successful trajectories, solving a trust-region optimization problem.
Previous studies have used a specific success metric within an algorithmic search framework to prove machine learning impossibility results. However, this specific success metric prevents us from applying these results on other forms of machine learning, e.g. transfer learning. We define decomposable metrics as a categ…
We review recent numerical results on the role of talent and luck in getting success by means of a schematic agent-based model. In general the role of luck is found to be very relevant in order to get success, while talent is necessary but not sufficient. Funding strategies to improve the success of the most talented p…
Television is an ever-evolving multi billion dollar industry. The success of a television show in an increasingly technological society is a vast multi-variable formula. The art of success is not just something that happens, but is studied, replicated, and applied. Hollywood can be unpredictable regarding success, as m…
Predicting startup success using Crunchbase data and deep learning.
Enhances VC startup success predictions using graph augmented time series models.
Proposes a new framework to manage venture capital portfolio risk by focusing on deal-level correlations.
A new method predicts student skill success rates in real-time.
Study predicts success of crypto-tokens on Pump.fun platform.
New method forecasts workforce reintegration success rates.
New bounds on AE success probability in GP models.
We study the problem of identifying the top arms in a multi-armed bandit game. Our proposed solution relies on a new algorithm based on successive rejects of the seemingly bad arms, and successive accepts of the good ones. This algorithmic contribution allows to tackle other multiple identifications settings that w…
Vanguard uses AI to create personalized financial plans.
Paper proposes a new method for training nonconvex models.
The muti-layer information bottleneck (IB) problem, where information is propagated (or successively refined) from layer to layer, is considered. Based on information forwarded by the preceding layer, each stage of the network is required to preserve a certain level of relevance with regards to a specific hidden variab…
We consider the problem of learning from sparse and underspecified rewards, where an agent receives a complex input, such as a natural language instruction, and needs to generate a complex response, such as an action sequence, while only receiving binary success-failure feedback. Such success-failure rewards are often …
In this paper, we propose a new fast and robust recursive algorithm for near-separable nonnegative matrix factorization, a particular nonnegative blind source separation problem. This algorithm, which we refer to as the successive nonnegative projection algorithm (SNPA), is closely related to the popular successive pro…
Study of new link types and their invariants, extending previous results.
System recommends workouts and predicts success rates using RNNs.
The paper introduces SuccessProbaMax to optimize policy success probability in online advertising.
To a compact Riemann surface of genus g can be assigned a principally polarized abelian variety (PPAV) of dimension g, the Jacobian of the Riemann surface. The Schottky problem is to discern the Jacobians among the PPAVs. Buser and Sarnak showed, that the square of the first successive minimum, the squared norm of the …
Using the trends of estimated abilities in terms of item response theory for online testing, we can predict the success/failure status for the final examination to each student at early stages in courses. In prediction, we applied the newly developed nearest neighbor method for determining the similarity of learning sk…
Many manifold embedding algorithms fail apparently when the data manifold has a large aspect ratio (such as a long, thin strip). Here, we formulate success and failure in terms of finding a smooth embedding, showing also that the problem is pervasive and more complex than previously recognized. Mathematically, success …
GRPO optimizes LLMs with verifiable rewards, amplifying policy success.
We address the issue of the factors driving startup success in raising funds. Using the popular and public startup database Crunchbase, we explicitly take into account two extrinsic characteristics of startups: the competition that the companies face, using similarity measures derived from the Word2Vec algorithm, as we…
A successful grasp requires careful balancing of the contact forces. Deducing whether a particular grasp will be successful from indirect measurements, such as vision, is therefore quite challenging, and direct sensing of contacts through touch sensing provides an appealing avenue toward more successful and consistent …
Develops a fair post-processing method for student success predictions.
We present a simple and general result that the sign of the variations or increments of uncorrelated times series are predictable with a remarkably high success probability of 75% for symmetric sign distributions. The origin of this paradoxical result is explained in details. We also present some tests on synthetic, fi…
Latent factor models have been used widely in collaborative filtering based recommender systems. In recent years, deep learning has been successful in solving a wide variety of machine learning problems. Motivated by the success of deep learning, we propose a deeper version of latent factor model. Experiments on benchm…
Gradient ascent method successfully removes specific data points from neural networks without retraining.
AdaBoost's success explained through noise influence measure.
Study shows adversarial attacks can fool speech-to-text models, and PCA is ineffective as a defense.
This study analyzes counterfactual explanations for student success models.
Recently, deep models have had considerable success in several tasks, especially with low-level representations. However, effective learning from sparse noisy samples is a major challenge in most deep models, especially in domains with structured representations. Inspired by the proven success of human guided machine l…
Dan Lovallo and Daniel Kahneman must be commended for their clear identification of causes and cures to the planning fallacy in "Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions" (HBR July 2003). Their look at overoptimism, anchoring, competitor neglect, and the outside view in forecasting is highly …