New framework learns physics from output measurements only.
problem Learning governing physics from only output measurements.
method Stochastic calculus, sparse learning, Bayesian statistics, Euler Maruyama scheme.
result Potential to identify governing physics from sparse, noisy, incomplete data.
A new variable importance measure for DRFs detects broader impacts on output distributions.
problem Estimating full conditional distributions of multivariate outputs given inputs.
method Based on the drop and relearn principle and MMD distance.
result Consistent and high-performing variable importance measure for DRFs.
A new approach to sensitivity analysis without the Sobol decomposition.
problem Traditional sensitivity indices like Sobol indices have limitations.
method Introducing sensitivity measures that generalize existing indices and define interaction effects.
result Sensitivity measures can create new indices and define interaction effects.
We present the Procrustes measure, a novel measure based on Procrustes rotation that enables quantitative comparison of the output of manifold-based embedding algorithms (such as LLE (Roweis and Saul, 2000) and Isomap (Tenenbaum et al, 2000)). The measure also serves as a natural tool when choosing dimension-reduction …
Enhances fairness in multi-output models using optimal transport.
problem Improving fairness in multi-output models like multi-task/multi-class classification and representation learning.
method Post-processing method using optimal transport mappings to move model outputs towards empirical Wasserstein barycenter.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the proposed approach on multi-task/multi-class classification and representation learning tasks.
This paper introduces a novel approach to measuring privacy risks in deep computer vision models based on intermediate outputs.
problem The exposure of intermediate results in hidden layers of deep computer vision models poses significant privacy concerns.
method The approach leverages Degrees of Freedom (DoF) to evaluate the amount of information retained in each layer and combines this with the rank of the Jacobian matrix to assess sensitivity to input variations.
result The proposed framework provides deeper insights into privacy risks associated with intermediate representations without requiring adversarial attack simulations.
We develop a method for quantile-based sensitivity analysis in models with discontinuities.
problem Uncertainty in interpreting discontinuous models using traditional derivatives.
method Quantile-based derivatives for discontinuous models with discrete inputs.
result Derivatives of quantile-based outputs are well-defined and provide meaningful insights.
Optimal estimator derived for partially observable LTI systems.
problem Optimal estimator for partially observable LTI systems.
method State-space representation for derivation of optimal estimator.
result Derivation of minimum error variance estimator for partially observable LTI systems.
Reverse sensitivity analysis for risk models under various stresses.
problem Understanding model changes under output stress.
method Deriving the closest stressed distribution and model parameters.
result Numerically efficient method for calculating stressed model.
A new measure PC allows fair comparison of AIWP and NWP models.
problem Fair comparison of AIWP and NWP model outputs.
method Postprocessing deterministic model outputs with isotonic distributional regression (IDR) and calculating PC as mean CRPS of postprocessed forecasts.
result The GraphCast model outperforms the ECMWF HRES model in WeatherBench 2 data.
Learning to predict multi-label outputs is challenging, but in many problems there is a natural metric on the outputs that can be used to improve predictions. In this paper we develop a loss function for multi-label learning, based on the Wasserstein distance. The Wasserstein distance provides a natural notion of dissi…
Starting from a dataset with input/output time series generated by multiple deterministic linear dynamical systems, this paper tackles the problem of automatically clustering these time series. We propose an extension to the so-called Martin cepstral distance, that allows to efficiently cluster these time series, and a…
Global sensitivity analysis with variance-based measures suffers from several theoretical and practical limitations, since they focus only on the variance of the output and handle multivariate variables in a limited way. In this paper, we introduce a new class of sensitivity indices based on dependence measures which o…
Economic systems, traditionally analyzed as almost independent national systems, are increasingly connected on a global scale. Only recently becoming available, the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) is one of the first efforts to construct the multi-regional input-output (MRIO) tables at the global level. By viewing t…
Active learning aims to train a classifier as fast as possible with as few labels as possible. The core element in virtually any active learning strategy is the criterion that measures the usefulness of the unlabeled data based on which new points to be labeled are picked. We propose a novel approach which we refer to …
New clustering method uses Wasserstein distance to analyze simulation outputs.
problem Analyzing stochastic simulation outputs to uncover relationships and patterns.
method Agglomerative clustering using regularized Wasserstein distance.
result Identifies staffing plans yielding similar performance outcomes.
Mapper is an unsupervised machine learning algorithm generalising the notion of clustering to obtain a geometric description of a dataset. The procedure splits the data into possibly overlapping bins which are then clustered. The output of the algorithm is a graph where nodes represent clusters and edges represent the …
Improves confidence calibration in neural networks by smoothing labels based on class similarity.
problem Improving confidence calibration in deep neural networks for safety-critical applications.
method Proposes a novel label smoothing technique where label values are based on similarities with the reference class, using different similarity measurements.
result Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art calibration techniques on various datasets and network architectures.
Study efficient interactive learning for structured outputs with reliable computation.
problem Interactive learning with noisy labels and structured output spaces.
method Identify and utilize CRISPs (probabilistic models) that guarantee reliable and efficient computation of probabilistic quantities.
result CRISPs enable robust and efficient active and skeptical learning in large structured output spaces.
Framework estimates multiple plausible solutions with uncertainty measures.
problem Machine learning models need to propose multiple plausible solutions with meaningful uncertainty.
method Discrete latent variables model one-to-many mappings, allowing effective conditional probability estimation.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art in uncertainty estimation and is practical.
Proposes a method for evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness using DEA.
problem Evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness in large data sets.
method Introduces two regularized DEA models (SBM and GP-SBM) to estimate both dimension-specific and aggregate efficiency scores.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency and validity compared to conventional methods.
The study evaluates saliency metrics for image classifier outputs, finding inconsistencies and unreliability.
problem Inconsistencies and unreliability in saliency metrics for evaluating pixel relevance.
method Investigated existing saliency metrics, calculated and compared their consistency, and applied psychometric testing methods.
result Saliency metrics can be statistically unreliable and inconsistent, affecting comparative rankings.
New measures assess differences in causal graphs' separations.
problem Evaluating causal discovery algorithms' output.
method Proposes new distance measures capturing causal graphs' separations.
result Proposed distances assess differences in causal graphs' separations.
Nonparametric method measures influence of training images on diffusion model outputs.
problem Quantifying influence of individual training examples on diffusion model outputs.
method Patch-level similarity between generated and training images, using optimal score function.
result Strong attribution performance, matching gradient-based approaches and outperforming baselines.
While a typical supervised learning framework assumes that the inputs and the outputs are measured at the same levels of granularity, many applications, including global mapping of disease, only have access to outputs at a much coarser level than that of the inputs. Aggregation of outputs makes generalization to new in…
The goal of supervised feature selection is to find a subset of input features that are responsible for predicting output values. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) allows computationally efficient feature selection based on linear dependency between input features and output values. In this pa…
New method identifies key genes affecting phenotypes in biological systems.
problem Identifying genes that drive specific phenotypes in complex biological systems.
method Data-driven observability decomposition using Koopman operators.
result Koopman operator representation identifies genes that drive phenotypes.
It can be difficult to tell whether a trained generative model has learned to generate novel examples or has simply memorized a specific set of outputs. In published work, it is common to attempt to address this visually, for example by displaying a generated example and its nearest neighbor(s) in the training set (in,…
A computer code can simulate a system's propagation of variation from random inputs to output measures of quality. Our aim here is to estimate a critical output tail probability or quantile without a large Monte Carlo experiment. Instead, we build a statistical surrogate for the input-output relationship with a modest …
New bounds derived for machine learning algorithms using convex functions.
problem Bounding generalization error in machine learning.
method Using strongly convex functions and subgaussian loss tails, derived new generalization bounds.
result Generalization bounds can be derived using any strongly convex function of the joint input-output distribution.
Bayesian kernel regression improves functional output prediction.
problem Functional output regression in supervised learning.
method Kernel methods, leveraging covariance structure within function values.
result Enhanced prediction accuracy and handling of high-dimensional nonlinearity.
IoT nodes compress measurements into DNN outputs for efficient communication.
problem Efficient communication of high-dimensional IoT data with limited bandwidth.
method Modeling IoT node measurements as DNN intermediate outputs and optimizing model parameters.
result Approximately 96% reduction in transmissions with only 2.5% loss in inference accuracy.
Differential privacy, a notion of algorithmic stability, is a gold standard for measuring the additional risk an algorithm's output poses to the privacy of a single record in the dataset. Differential privacy is defined as the distance between the output distribution of an algorithm on neighboring datasets that differ …
Active learning method reduces labeling cost for regression models with aggregated data.
problem Reducing labeling cost for training regression models with aggregated data.
method Sequentially selects sets to be labeled using mutual information quantifying model parameter uncertainty.
result Achieves better predictive performance with fewer labeled sets.
Randomly initialized wide neural networks with zero-mean activations are nearly independent, potentially solving AI interpretability limits.
problem Measuring the limits of AI interpretability.
method Randomly initialized neural networks with large width and zero-mean activation functions.
result Neural networks with zero-mean activations are nearly independent, solving the computational no-coincidence conjecture.
New method uses spherical convolutional Wasserstein distance to validate climate models.
problem Ensuring the accuracy of global climate models.
method Spherical convolutional Wasserstein distance to measure model differences.
result Phase 6 models show modest improvements in realistic climatologies.
Many structured prediction problems (particularly in vision and language domains) are ambiguous, with multiple outputs being correct for an input - e.g. there are many ways of describing an image, multiple ways of translating a sentence; however, exhaustively annotating the applicability of all possible outputs is intr…
We consider a trader who wants to direct his portfolio towards a set of acceptable wealths given by a convex risk measure. We propose a black-box algorithm, whose inputs are the joint law of stock prices and the convex risk measure, and whose outputs are the numerical values of initial capital requirement and the funct…
Paper introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in landmark localization.
problem Systematic underestimation of total predictive uncertainty in landmark localization.
method Conformal prediction framework for multi-output regression, generating flexible prediction regions.
result Methods outperform existing approaches in validity and efficiency across 2D and 3D datasets.
The increasing role of recommender systems in many aspects of society makes it essential to consider how such systems may impact social good. Various modifications to recommendation algorithms have been proposed to improve their performance for specific socially relevant measures. However, previous proposals are often …
We consider a contracting problem in which a principal hires an agent to manage a risky project. When the agent chooses volatility components of the output process and the principal observes the output continuously, the principal can compute the quadratic variation of the output, but not the individual components. This…
Efficiently explains model outputs using HSIC, a dependence measure.
problem Efficiently explain model outputs for various architectures.
method HSIC, RKHS, Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces, black-box attribution.
result Up to 8 times faster than previous methods while maintaining fidelity.
Study efficient neural operator learning using variation spaces.
problem Operator learning using encoder-decoder neural networks.
method Introduce variation space for nonlinear operators, establish approximation bounds.
result Algebraic approximation and learning rates for polynomially decaying input and output encoding errors.
A new framework for structured prediction on non-vectorial spaces.
problem Structured prediction on non-vectorial output spaces.
method Defining a suitable geometry for implicit loss functions.
result Efficient algorithmic framework with sharp statistical analysis.
Quantum neural networks converge to Gaussian processes as they grow.
problem Understanding the convergence of quantum neural networks to Gaussian processes.
method Analyzing Haar random unitary and orthogonal deep QNNs, considering input states, measurement observables, and non-independence of unitary matrix entries.
result Quantum neural networks outputs converge to Gaussian processes in the limit of large Hilbert space dimension.
Prediction and explanation are key objects in supervised machine learning, where predictive models are known as black boxes and explanatory models are known as glass boxes. Explanation provides the necessary and sufficient information to interpret the model output in terms of the model input. It includes assessments of…
Estimates input from output of nonlinear systems using ANN.
problem Estimating unknown compositional input from system output.
method Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for nonlinear system inversion.
result ANNs can compete with optimal bounds for linear systems and demonstrate promising results for nonlinear systems.
New methods target conditional demographic parity using optimal transport distances.
problem Auditing and enforcing conditional demographic parity (CDP) in models with complex conditioning variables.
method Developed novel measures of conditional demographic disparity (CDD) based on optimal transport distances and regularization-based approaches.
result Validated methods airbit{} and airlp{} effectively target CDP in real-world datasets with continuous model outputs.