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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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12243547 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for outlier rejection

Paper formalizes continual semi-supervised anomaly detection, showing promising results.

problem Formalizing continual semi-supervised anomaly detection in real-world conditions.
method Baseline model of variational autoencoder (VAE) with deep generative replay and outlier rejection.
result Outlier rejection shows promising results, often surpassing baseline methods.

This describes a statistical technique called "tonsuring" for exploratory data analysis in finance. Instead of rejecting "outlier" data that conflicts with the model, this strips out "inlier" data to get a clearer picture of how the market changes for larger moves.

2011-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper provides high-probability bounds on false discovery proportions in conformal inference.

problem Existing methods fail to provide high-probability bounds on the realized false discovery proportion.
method Constructing a high-probability envelope for the empirical distribution function of null conformal p-values by sampling from their joint distribution.
result Establishes finite-sample, distribution-free upper bounds on the FDP that hold simultaneously over all possible rejection thresholds.

How to self-localize large teams of underwater nodes using only noisy range measurements? How to do it in a distributed way, and incorporating dynamics into the problem? How to reject outliers and produce trustworthy position estimates? The stringent acoustic communication channel and the accuracy needs of our geophysi…

2017-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New method corrects motion artifacts in MR images without paired data.

problem Lack of paired data for supervised training in deep learning for MR motion correction.
method Outlier-rejecting bootstrap subsampling and aggregation, using optimal transport cycleGAN.
result Outperforms existing deep learning methods in correcting motion artifacts from TSM.

Reliably detecting anomalies in a given set of images is a task of high practical relevance for visual quality inspection, surveillance, or medical image analysis. Autoencoder neural networks learn to reconstruct normal images, and hence can classify those images as anomalies, where the reconstruction error exceeds som…

2019-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

MOSAIC selects few informative exemplars from high-dimensional data with non-linear structures.

problem Representative selection from high-dimensional data with non-linear structures.
method MOSAIC uses a multi-criteria approach with a quadratic formulation to maximize global representation power, diversity, and outlier detection.
result MOSAIC maximizes data coverage in a transformed space and achieves robustness to various outlier types.

Paper proposes a new method for training small models on regression problems.

problem Training small models for regression problems with noisy labels.
method Developed a new loss function and a multi-task network approach.
result Improved model accuracy on various datasets, consistent across different levels of annotation errors.

Paper tackles regression with cost-based rejection, balancing prediction and rejection costs.

problem Regression with cost-based rejection, balancing prediction and rejection costs in a continuous target space.
method Formulated expected risk, derived Bayes optimal solution, proposed surrogate loss function.
result Bayes optimal solution can be recovered by the proposed surrogate loss function.

We provide a method for approximating Bayesian inference using rejection sampling. We not only make the process efficient, but also dramatically reduce the memory required relative to conventional methods by combining rejection sampling with particle filtering. We also provide an approximate form of rejection sampling …

2015-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithmic trading systems on DEXs reject most candidate tokens, but the counterfactual outcome of rejected candidates is rarely measured.

problem Measuring the counterfactual outcome of rejected tokens in algorithmic trading systems on decentralized exchanges.
method Post-Rejection Follow-up Sampling (PRFS) introduces a methodology for collecting and analyzing the data needed to evaluate filter precision against actual market outcomes of rejected candidates.
result PRFS produces the data needed to evaluate filter precision against actual market outcomes of rejected candidates, not against synthetic backtest reconstructions.

RMT-Net tackles biased credit scoring data by learning from both default/non-default and rejection/approval tasks.

problem Missing-not-at-random selection bias in financial credit scoring data.
method Reject-aware Multi-Task Network (RMT-Net) that leverages the correlation between default/non-default and rejection/approval tasks.
result RMT-Net improves credit scoring models by learning from both default/non-default and rejection/approval tasks.

Optimal regression with reject option using conditional variance thresholding.

problem Regression with reject option to handle uncertain predictions.
method Derive optimal rule based on thresholding conditional variance, semi-supervised estimation using labeled and unlabeled data.
result The predictor with reject option is almost as good as the optimal predictor in terms of risk and rejection rate.

A dealer manages quotes and rejection rules to control slippage risk in FX markets.

problem Managing inventory risk and latency risk in OTC FX market making.
method Dynamic programming and adiabatic-quadratic approximation to optimize quotes and rejection rules.
result Developed a method to optimize quotes and rejection rules for managing slippage risk.

Delayed rejection HMC improves sampling efficiency for multiscale distributions.

problem Hamiltonian Monte Carlo struggles with wide-ranging distributions, especially in high-curvature areas.
method Introduces a delayed rejection variant of HMC, using geometrically smaller step sizes for retries.
result Up to five-fold performance gains in effective sample size per gradient evaluation.

Credit scoring models support loan approval decisions in the financial services industry. Lenders train these models on data from previously granted credit applications, where the borrowers' repayment behavior has been observed. This approach creates sample bias. The scoring model (i.e., classifier) is trained on accep…

2019-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper connects rejection learning to Bhattacharyya divergence.

problem Learning models to abstain from predictions.
method Developed a link between rejection and thresholding different statistical divergences, focusing on Bhattacharyya divergence.
result Rejector obtained by joint ideal distribution corresponds to thresholding of skewed Bhattacharyya divergence.

Credit scoring models based on accepted applications may be biased and their consequences can have a statistical and economic impact. Reject inference is the process of attempting to infer the creditworthiness status of the rejected applications. In this research, we use deep generative models to develop two new semi-s…

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A method for making predictions with a reject option using conformal prediction.

problem Uncertainty in machine learning predictions, especially when models are unsure.
method Formalizing ML with reject option, using conformal prediction for distribution-free error guarantees.
result Theoretical guarantees on error rate for prediction sets with distribution-free validity.

We consider the problem of selective prediction (also known as reject option) in deep neural networks, and introduce SelectiveNet, a deep neural architecture with an integrated reject option. Existing rejection mechanisms are based mostly on a threshold over the prediction confidence of a pre-trained network. In contra…

2019-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel method for classification with rejection using ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers.

problem Avoid risky misclassification in error-critical applications.
method Learning an ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers.
result Improved classification accuracy and flexibility in loss selection.

A new neural network method improves interpretability and detection of outliers.

problem Improving interpretability and detection of outliers in neural networks.
method Prototype-based learning (PbL) using a winner-take-all (WTA) network with two prototypes: positive and negative.
result The negative prototype is similar to the positive one, aligning with the BCM theory.

Rejection Sampling is a fundamental Monte-Carlo method. It is used to sample from distributions admitting a probability density function which can be evaluated exactly at any given point, albeit at a high computational cost. However, without proper tuning, this technique implies a high rejection rate. Several methods h…

2018-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms reduce rejection sampling complexity for shape-constrained distributions.

problem Generating exact samples from shape-constrained distributions efficiently.
method Sublinear query complexity algorithms for rejection sampling.
result Sublinear complexity algorithms for sampling from shape-constrained distributions.

We clarify the status of log-periodicity associated with speculative bubbles preceding financial crashes. In particular, we address Feigenbaum's [2001] criticism and show how it can be rebuked. Feigenbaum's main result is as follows: ``the hypothesis that the log-periodic component is present in the data cannot be reje…

2001-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method combining CNFs and rejection-resampling for sampling from unnormalized densities.

problem Sampling from unnormalized probability densities, especially multimodal ones.
method Combines continuous normalizing flows with rejection-resampling steps based on importance weights.
result The method improves sampling accuracy and performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.

RED-2400 is a public benchmark of trading events from a Solana exchange, labeled by algorithmic rejection.

problem Analyzing algorithmically-rejected trading events for insights into market dynamics.
method Public dataset of 6,660 algorithmically-rejected trading events, linked to post-rejection price and liquidity trajectories.
result First window of a planned series of datasets extending the time horizon and enabling regime-stratified analysis.

We propose Generative Well-intentioned Networks (GWINs), a novel framework for increasing the accuracy of certainty-based, closed-world classifiers. A conditional generative network recovers the distribution of observations that the classifier labels correctly with high certainty. We introduce a reject option to the cl…

2019-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative classifier derived from any discriminative classifier rejects illegal inputs.

problem Detecting and rejecting illegal inputs like adversarial examples and out-of-distribution samples.
method SDIM-logit: learns generative classifier from logits of any discriminative classifier, imposing statistical constraints.
result SDIM-logit inherits performance of base classifier without loss and can reject illegal inputs.

Active learning is an important technique to reduce the number of labeled examples in supervised learning. Active learning for binary classification has been well addressed in machine learning. However, active learning of the reject option classifier remains unaddressed. In this paper, we propose novel algorithms for a…

2019-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome treatment requires fetoscopic laser photocoagulation of placental vascular anastomoses to regulate blood flow to both fetuses. Limited field-of-view (FoV) and low visual quality during fetoscopy make it challenging to identify all vascular connections. Mosaicking can align multiple ove…

2019-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Generation of pseudorandom numbers from different probability distributions has been studied extensively in the Monte Carlo simulation literature. Two standard generation techniques are the acceptance-rejection and inverse transformation methods. An alternative approach to Monte Carlo simulation is the quasi-Monte Carl…

2014-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Naive approaches to amortized inference in probabilistic programs with unbounded loops can produce estimators with infinite variance. This is particularly true of importance sampling inference in programs that explicitly include rejection sampling as part of the user-programmed generative procedure. In this paper we de…

2019-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Counterfactual explanations can be obtained by identifying the smallest change made to a feature vector to qualitatively influence a prediction; for example, from 'loan rejected' to 'awarded' or from 'high risk of cardiovascular disease' to 'low risk'. Previous approaches often emphasized that counterfactuals should be…

2019-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The wide and rapid adoption of deep learning by practitioners brought unintended consequences in many situations such as in the infamous case of Google Photos' racist image recognition algorithm; thus, necessitated the utilization of the quantified uncertainty for each prediction. There have been recent efforts towards…

2019-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗