We present an algorithm for the decomposition of periodic financial return data into orthogonal factors of expected return and "systemic", "productive", and "nonproductive" risk. Generally, when the number of funds does not exceed the number of periods, the expected return of a portfolio is an affine function of its pr…
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arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “orthogonal risk functions”
Improves statistical learning bounds with self-concordant losses.
problem Statistical prediction with nuisance components.
method Orthogonal statistical learning with self-concordant loss.
result Non-asymptotic bounds on excess risk improved by a dimension factor.
The Shapley value theory is used for risk allocation in non-orthogonal risk factors.
problem Risk allocation among non-orthogonal risk factors in financial portfolios.
method Using Shapley value from cooperative game theory to allocate risk contributions.
result Explicit formulas and numerical algorithms for calculating risk allocations are derived.
New methods for estimating conditional odds and risk ratios improve treatment decision rules.
problem Estimation of conditional odds and risk ratios lags behind conditional average treatment effects.
method Proposed novel estimators based on doubly robust transformations and orthogonal risk functions.
result Proposed estimators significantly reduce bias and mean squared error in complex settings.
A new gradient boosting method improves interpretability of probabilistic models.
problem Learning interpretable yet accurate probabilistic models with limited rule complexity.
method A new objective function that measures the angle between risk gradient and condition output vector projection.
result Significantly improves comprehensibility/accuracy trade-off of fitted ensemble.
Novel prior for orthogonal functions improves functional component estimation.
problem Improving orthogonality in functional principal component analysis.
method Sequential adaptive priors for orthogonal functions using hierarchical conditionally normal distributions.
result Proposed prior leads to nearly orthogonal posterior estimates.
Proposes FOAGP for efficient orthogonal effect decomposition of black-box computer experiments.
problem Challenges in sensitivity analysis of black-box computer experiments with complex, nonlinear functional outputs.
method Functional-output orthogonal additive Gaussian process (FOAGP) with conditional orthogonality constraint.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in orthogonal effect decomposition and variance decomposition through simulations and real-world application.
Meta-learner estimates heterogeneous DiD effects robustly.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data with DiD.
method Doubly robust meta-learner for CATT, using convex risk minimization and auxiliary models.
result Superior performance over existing methods in empirical tests.
Paper proposes robust method to detect risk heterogeneity across ethnic groups.
problem Detecting risk heterogeneity across ethnic groups in ICU studies.
method Proposes a robust framework using Neyman orthogonality for inference.
result Demonstrates improved inferential stability and reduced bias compared to standard methods.
Study optimizes estimation of orthogonal and rotation matrices from noisy data.
problem Estimating orthogonal and rotation matrices from noisy data.
method Iterative polar decomposition algorithm initialized by spectral methods.
result Algorithm achieves optimal error rate of $(1+o(1)) rac{σ^2 d(d-1)}{2np}$.
We study the Chern-Simons partition function of orthogonal quantum group invariants, and propose a new orthogonal Labastida-Mariño-Ooguri-Vafa conjecture as well as degree conjecture for free energy associated to the orthogonal Chern-Simons partition function. We prove the degree conjecture and some interesting cases o…
Unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning for various statistical parameters.
problem Inference on smooth functionals of nonparametric M-estimands.
method Unified framework using gradient, Hessian, and linear approximation; solves two risk minimization problems.
result Efficient autoDML estimators with double robustness and robustness to misspecification.
Orthogonal random features approximate a Bessel kernel, offering sharper bounds than random Fourier features.
problem Approximating Gaussian kernel efficiently for large datasets.
method Use of Haar orthogonal matrices to construct orthogonal random features and analyze their bias and variance.
result Orthogonal random features approximate a Bessel kernel, not the Gaussian kernel, with sharper bounds.
A novel dictionary-based approach for predicting functions.
problem Functional-output regression with non-orthogonal dictionaries.
method Projection learning (PL) with reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (KPL).
result KPL offers a flexible and computationally efficient solution.
Derives new orthogonal coordinates for evolving surfaces and curves.
problem Accounting for geometric effects in boundary layer asymptotics.
method Elementary derivation of orthogonal signed-distance coordinates.
result Provides vector calculus identities for these coordinates.
We provide non-asymptotic excess risk guarantees for statistical learning in a setting where the population risk with respect to which we evaluate the target parameter depends on an unknown nuisance parameter that must be estimated from data. We analyze a two-stage sample splitting meta-algorithm that takes as input ar…
New algorithms learn sparse set functions in non-orthogonal Fourier bases.
problem Learning sparse set functions in non-orthogonal Fourier bases.
method Novel algorithms using non-orthogonal Fourier transforms.
result At most queries for non-zero Fourier coefficients.
New algorithms reduce orthogonality constraint enforcement time in machine learning.
problem Efficiently solving orthogonality constraints in machine learning.
method Extending the landing algorithm to Stiefel manifold, incorporating stochastic and variance reduction techniques.
result All proposed methods achieve the same convergence rate as Riemannian counterparts enforcing constraints.
A new method tests Expected Shortfall by analyzing both duration and severity of VaR violations.
problem Lack of separate testing for frequency and severity in ES backtesting.
method Uses bivariate orthogonal polynomials to derive moment conditions for durations and severities.
result Proposes a Wald test for identifying mis-specified components in ES models.
Paper links set derivatives to its orthogonal projections.
problem Understanding the relationship between set derivatives and projections.
method Derives equations from topological link between Minkowski functional partial derivatives and set boundary.
result System of equations for orthogonal projections derived.
This guide simplifies high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization.
problem High-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization.
method Modular presentation, three-step recipe, localized Rademacher complexity, local maximal inequalities, metric-entropy integrals.
result Recover familiar rates for various function classes and derive regret bounds for nuisance components.
The paper develops methods to reduce deployment risk under dynamic covariate shifts.
problem Reduction of deployment risk under dynamic covariate shifts.
method Time-domain Poincare inequality and Jacobian-velocity theorem to identify and control directional tangent energy.
result Drift-aligned tangent regularization (DTR) reduces risk volatility and directional gain in low-rank drift regimes.
EP-learning framework improves causal contrast estimation efficiency.
problem Estimating heterogeneous causal contrasts efficiently and stably.
method EP-learning framework combining T-learning and DR-learning.
result EP-learners are oracle-efficient and outperform competitors.
PCCs combine PCA and copulas for high-dimensional tail dependence modeling.
problem Modeling tail dependence in high-dimensional data.
method Principal Component Copulas (PCCs) integrating PCA and copulas.
result PCCs provide excellent performance on systemic risk measures.
This paper addresses the risk-minimization problem, with and without mortality securitization, à la Föllmer-Sondermann for a large class of equity-linked mortality contracts when no model for the death time is specified. This framework includes the situation where the correlation between the market model and the time o…
New method relaxes PCA orthogonality constraints using explained variance of correlated components.
problem Difficulty in using PCA for sparse design due to orthogonality constraints and non-differentiable penalty.
method Introduce expvar(Y) to measure variance explained by correlated components, relax orthogonality constraints.
result Two expvar(Y) definitions suitable for block PCA formulations without orthogonality constraints.
The paper finds at least N orthogonal Finsler geodesic chords in a disk-like manifold.
problem Existence and multiplicity of orthogonal Finsler geodesic chords in a disk-like manifold.
method Study of Finsler geodesic chords under reversibility assumption.
result At least N orthogonal Finsler geodesic chords found in a disk-like manifold.
Based on the orthogonal Labastida-Mari{ñ}o-Ooguri-Vafa conjecture made by L. Chen & Q. Chen [5], we derive an infinite product formula for Chern-Simons partition functions, which generalizes the Liu-Peng's [19] recent results to the orthogonal case. Symmetry property of this new infinite product structure is also discu…
New methods calibrate causal estimates using standard predictive models.
problem Calibrating causal treatment effect estimates.
method Developed algorithms to transform causal estimation into standard calibration.
result General algorithms for causal calibration using standard predictive models.
Semi-parametric framework for nonlinear system identification
problem Nonlinear system identification
method Orthogonal Gaussian process regression
result Interpretable models from incomplete physics
DONUT improves treatment effect estimation by enforcing orthogonality constraints.
problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data is challenging due to unobserved outcomes.
method DONUT uses a regularization framework that formalizes unconfoundedness as orthogonality, leading to deep orthogonal networks.
result DONUT outperforms state-of-the-art methods in estimating average treatment effects.
The paper develops statistical inference methods for SHAP values.
problem Lack of statistical inference for SHAP values in model-agnostic feature importance.
method Semi-parametric approach using U-statistics and Neyman orthogonal scores for functionals of nested regressions.
result Asymptotically normal estimates of the pth powers of SHAP values for various p.
In this paper, we obtain a property of the expectation of the inverse of compound Wishart matrices which results from their orthogonal invariance. Using this property as well as results from random matrix theory (RMT), we derive the asymptotic effect of the noise induced by estimating the covariance matrix on computing…
Paper shows CR -curvature orthogonal to CR pluriharmonic functions.
problem Understanding CR -curvature and pluriharmonic functions on CR manifolds.
method Obtained a cohomological expression for the integral of CR -curvature and pluriharmonic functions.
result CR -curvature is orthogonal to CR pluriharmonic functions.
New method estimates and optimizes policy differences using orthogonal learning.
problem Offline reinforcement learning with safety concerns and cost limitations.
method Dynamic R-learner for estimating and optimizing , leveraging orthogonal estimation.
result Consistent policy optimization with improved convergence rates.
Formula for Laplace-Beltrami on orthogonal group in Euclidean coords.
problem Computing Laplace-Beltrami on constrained submanifolds.
method Embedded gradient vector field method, explicit formula derivation.
result Explicit formula for Laplace-Beltrami on orthogonal group.
A machine learning method selects optimal orthonormal bases for functional data analysis.
problem Lack of formal criteria for choosing initial orthonormal bases in functional data methods.
method Proposes a machine learning algorithm to learn and place knots for efficient orthogonal spline bases (splinets).
result Demonstrates efficiency, especially for sparse functional data and complex physical systems.
EigenVI uses orthogonal function expansions for efficient variational inference.
problem Efficiently approximate complex distributions in variational inference.
method EigenVI constructs variational approximations using orthogonal function expansions, minimizing Fisher divergence.
result EigenVI provides more accurate approximations than existing methods for Gaussian BBVI.
The paper argues for using Neyman orthogonal score for balancing in debiased machine learning.
problem Debiased machine learning requires a proper approach to balance covariates.
method The paper advocates for using Riesz regression with basis functions of X for balancing.
result Covariate balancing is only valid when the score-relevant regression error is a function of covariates alone.
Geodesic flows with diagonalisable integrals are orthogonal.
problem Understanding geodesic flows with specific integrals.
method Analyzing quadratic integrals for geodesic flows.
result Diagonalisable integrals imply orthogonal separation of variables.
We address the problem of algorithmic fairness: ensuring that sensitive variables do not unfairly influence the outcome of a classifier. We present an approach based on empirical risk minimization, which incorporates a fairness constraint into the learning problem. It encourages the conditional risk of the learned clas…
Improved Gaussian process models for interpretable predictions.
problem Complex responses require high-dimensional interaction terms in additive Gaussian processes.
method Orthogonal additive kernel (OAK) with orthogonality constraint on additive functions.
result OAK models achieve similar or better predictive performance with fewer terms, retaining interpretability.
The paper solves PDEs from matrices with orthogonal columns, linking them to Hessian metrics and symmetric spaces.
problem Solving third order PDEs for strictly convex smooth functions.
method Geometric methods using Hessian metrics and symmetric spaces.
result Explicit solutions and a family of non-generic solutions with applications in Poisson geometry and Kahler structures.
Overparameterized models improve performance in sequential learning tasks.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in overparameterized neural networks.
method Two-task linear regression problem with random orthogonal transformations.
result Overparameterization mitigates catastrophic forgetting in sequential learning tasks.
We show how Ramond free neutral Fermi fields lead to a -function theory of BKP type which describes iso-orthogonal deformations of systems of ortogonal curvilinear coordinates. We also provide a vertex operator representation for the classical Ribaucour transformation.
The theory of slice regular functions of a quaternion variable is applied to the study of orthogonal complex structures on domains Ω of R^4. When Ω is a symmetric slice domain, the twistor transform of such a function is a holomorphic curve in the Klein quadric. The case in which Ω is the complement of a parabola is st…
Study shows RFRR's effectiveness with nearly orthogonal data in overparameterized settings.
problem Understanding the effectiveness of random feature regression with nearly orthogonal data.
method Investigates RFRR with nearly orthogonal deterministic unit-length input data vectors in the overparameterized regime.
result Shows high-probability non-asymptotic concentration results for RFRR's training, cross-validation, and generalization errors.
A l1-norm penalized orthogonal forward regression (l1-POFR) algorithm is proposed based on the concept of leaveone- out mean square error (LOOMSE). Firstly, a new l1-norm penalized cost function is defined in the constructed orthogonal space, and each orthogonal basis is associated with an individually tunable regulari…