Orthogonal Random Forest improves causal inference by reducing sensitivity to estimation error.
problem Improving causal inference by reducing sensitivity to estimation error of nuisance parameters.
method Combines Neyman-orthogonality with generalized random forests to estimate conditional moment models.
result Achieves the same error rate as an oracle with a priori knowledge of nuisance parameters under mild assumptions.
Automatic debiasing for causal and policy effects using Neural Nets and Random Forests.
problem Estimating causal and policy effects from high-dimensional or non-parametric regression functions.
method Automatic learning of Riesz representation using Neural Nets and Random Forests.
result Automatic debiasing method performs well compared to state-of-the-art algorithms.
Proposes modifications to model-based forests for HTE estimation in observational data.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in observational studies with complex outcomes.
method Orthogonalization strategy from Robinson (1988) applied to model-based forests.
result The orthogonalization strategy reduces confounding effects in simulated studies.
ESRF reduces ARF ensemble size without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Over-provisioning of ARF ensemble leads to high CPU and memory consumption.
method ESRF uses a swap and elastic component to dynamically adjust the number of classifiers.
result ESRF reduces the number of classifiers by up to one third without sacrificing accuracy.
Ensembles of randomized decision trees, usually referred to as random forests, are widely used for classification and regression tasks in machine learning and statistics. Random forests achieve competitive predictive performance and are computationally efficient to train and test, making them excellent candidates for r…
New random forest method provides optimal rates and confidence bands.
problem Improving random forest regression rates and constructing confidence bands.
method Proposed Ehrenfest centered purely random forests achieve optimal rates; used Gaussian approximation for supremum of empirical processes.
result Explicit asymptotic uniform confidence bands constructed for both random forest types.
Improved random forest proximities capture data geometry.
problem Inaccurate random forest proximities do not reflect learned data geometry.
method Introduce RF-GAP: Geometry- and Accuracy-Preserving proximities.
result RF-GAP improves geometric representation in tasks like data imputation.
We propose random hinge forests, a simple, efficient, and novel variant of decision forests. Importantly, random hinge forests can be readily incorporated as a general component within arbitrary computation graphs that are optimized end-to-end with stochastic gradient descent or variants thereof. We derive random hinge…
Random forests reduce bias and variance, especially in low SNR settings.
problem Reducing bias and variance in machine learning models, particularly in low SNR scenarios.
method Empirical study of random forests and bagging ensembles, focusing on the importance of mtry tuning. result Random forests reduce both bias and variance, outperforming bagging ensembles in high SNR settings.
Improved random forest models enhance machine learning predictions.
problem Equal weights for random forest base decision trees are not optimal.
method Proposes algorithms to modify weighting strategy of regular random forest.
result Numerical results show significant improvements over regular random forest.
Enhances random forest consistency and introduces DMRF for improved performance.
problem Improving the consistency and efficiency of random forest algorithms.
method Strengthened proof methods and propose DMRF algorithm.
result DMRF achieves better theoretical and experimental performance than previous variants.
New random forest variants achieve optimal performance in high dimensions.
problem Handling dependencies between features in high-dimensional data.
method Using oblique splits in random forests with general split directions.
result Achieved minimax optimal convergence rates in arbitrary dimension.
This paper is a comment on the survey paper by Biau and Scornet (2016) about random forests. We focus on the problem of quantifying the impact of each ingredient of random forests on their performance. We show that such a quantification is possible for a simple pure forest , leading to conclusions that could apply more…
RFpredInterval package builds prediction intervals for random forests and boosted forests.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in random forest and boosted forest point predictions.
method 16 methods to build prediction intervals with random forests and boosted forests.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in building prediction intervals.
Random forests improve probability estimates through kernel regression.
problem Improving the principled approach to random forest probability estimation.
method Forge a connection between random forests and kernel regression, develop a proximity kernel model.
result Improves statistical footing of random forest probability estimation.
Proposes a more accurate random forest algorithm by selecting the best-performing trees.
problem Improving accuracy in binary classification problems.
method Best-scored random forest: selects the best-performing tree from random candidates.
result The best-scored random forest can be more accurate than the original random forest.
Enhances random forest performance with exogenous randomness.
problem Improving random forest performance through exogenous randomness.
method Developed non-asymptotic MSE expansions for individual trees and forests, identified two types of randomness, and conducted simulations.
result Exogenous randomness, particularly feature subsampling, reduces both bias and variance of random forests.
Improves random survival forest model by weighted averaging.
problem Improving the performance of random survival forest.
method Modifies random forest by weighted averaging of trees, optimizing weights via quadratic optimization to maximize Harrell's C-index.
result The weighted random survival forest outperforms the original model in numerical examples.
We improve random forest consistency and performance with DMRF, a new variant.
problem Improving the consistency and performance of random forest models.
method Developed DMRF, a data-driven multinomial random forest, by modifying proof methods and improving data utilization.
result DMRF achieves strong consistency with probability 1, surpassing previous models in classification tasks.
RPSF improves shapelet-based random forest accuracy and speed.
problem Limitations of random shapelet forest, including high training cost and limited information per node.
method Combines pairs of shapelets, omits threshold searching, and uses DMDI for interpretability.
result Improves accuracy and training speed of shapelet-based random forest.
Online random forests improve Q-learning performance in specific gym environments.
problem Improving Q-learning performance in reinforcement learning tasks.
method Proposed online random forests as Q-function approximators and growing them as learning progresses.
result Improved performance over state-of-the-art Deep Q-Networks in specific gym environments.
Paper explores grafting consistent estimators to improve Random Forest consistency.
problem Ensuring Random Forests are consistent despite their performance.
method Grafting consistent estimators onto a shallow CART.
result Grafted estimators provide a consistency guarantee and perform well empirically.
Random forests have proven to be reliable predictive algorithms in many application areas. Not much is known, however, about the statistical properties of random forests. Several authors have established conditions under which their predictions are consistent, but these results do not provide practical estimates of ran…
Transforms random forests into efficient neural networks using imitation learning.
problem Inefficient architectures of existing methods for transforming random forests into neural networks.
method Generates training data from a random forest and learns a neural network to imitate its behavior.
result Implicit transformation creates efficient neural networks with better generalization.
Theoretical study of random forests for nonlinear time series.
problem Theoretical justification for using random forests in time series modeling.
method Uniform concentration inequality for regression trees and random forests consistency proof.
result Consistency of random forests for nonlinear autoregressive processes.
In this paper we propose using the principle of boosting to reduce the bias of a random forest prediction in the regression setting. From the original random forest fit we extract the residuals and then fit another random forest to these residuals. We call the sum of these two random forests a \textit{one-step boosted …
HDI-Forest improves regression prediction intervals using Random Forest.
problem Improving the quality of prediction intervals in regression tasks.
method HDI-Forest is a novel quality-based PI estimation method based on Random Forest, optimizing PI quality metrics directly from standard tree-based models.
result HDI-Forest significantly reduces PI width by over 20% compared to previous methods, while maintaining or improving coverage probability.
Alpha-trimming prunes trees in random forests to improve predictive performance.
problem Improving predictive performance of random forests by locally adaptive tree pruning.
method Alpha-trimming is a fast pruning algorithm that prunes trees in a random forest based on signal-to-noise ratio, controlled by a tuning parameter.
result Alpha-trimming often lowers mean squared prediction error compared to fully grown random forests.
Survival forests estimate treatment effects with censored data.
problem Estimating treatment effects in survival analysis with censored data.
method Causal survival forests using orthogonal estimating equations.
result Survival forests perform well relative to baselines in treatment effect estimation.
New methods improve prediction performance and reduce computation time in boosting and random forest models.
problem Improving prediction performance and reducing computation time in boosting and random forest models.
method Random tree depth injection approach for Boosting and Random Forests.
result The new methods can improve prediction performance and reduce computation time by up to 40%.
Random forests are a type of ensemble method which makes predictions by combining the results of several independent trees. However, the theory of random forests has long been outpaced by their application. In this paper, we propose a novel random forests algorithm based on cooperative game theory. Banzhaf power index …
Random forests' performance is analyzed with rates of convergence and asymptotic normality established.
problem Theoretical understanding of random forests' performance and behavior.
method Generalized U-statistics framework to analyze random forest predictions.
result Random forest predictions can remain asymptotically normal for larger subsample sizes.
Orthogonal random features approximate a Bessel kernel, offering sharper bounds than random Fourier features.
problem Approximating Gaussian kernel efficiently for large datasets.
method Use of Haar orthogonal matrices to construct orthogonal random features and analyze their bias and variance.
result Orthogonal random features approximate a Bessel kernel, not the Gaussian kernel, with sharper bounds.
Despite widespread interest and practical use, the theoretical properties of random forests are still not well understood. In this paper we contribute to this understanding in two ways. We present a new theoretically tractable variant of random regression forests and prove that our algorithm is consistent. We also prov…
Paper proposes a new method combining random forests and Lasso selection.
problem Improving random forest performance by applying Lasso regression.
method Adaptive Lasso weighting applied to random forest predictions.
result Unified framework strictly outperforms other methods in simulations and real-world datasets.
Develops a new random forest method for clustered data with improved prediction and inference.
problem Improving prediction and inference accuracy for clustered data with within-cluster dependence.
method Clustered Random Forests, using weighted least squares estimators for leaf predictions.
result Optimal prediction and inference weights vary under covariate shift, necessitating user-chosen weights.
Proves bounds on spanning two-forests and random cut sizes.
problem Counting spanning two-forests and estimating random cut sizes.
method Uses pairwise effective resistances and potential theory.
result Establishes bounds on the number of spanning two-forests and average cut size.
This paper explains CART random forests using stochastic control theory.
problem Understanding the inner workings of CART random forests.
method Developed a stochastic-control perspective on CART random forests, interpreting feature subsampling as a random feasible action set and the split rule as a policy.
result Established that the CART policy is locally stabilizing but globally suboptimal for the forest objective.
We optimize large Random Forests into faster, smaller decision diagrams.
problem Efficiency and size of large Random Forests.
method Aggregating large Random Forests into a single, semantically equivalent decision diagram.
result Significant speed-ups and reduction in data structure size.
Forest-guided smoothing uses random forest outputs for interpretable local smoothers.
problem Creating interpretable local smoothers from complex random forest outputs.
method Uses random forest outputs to define spatially adaptive bandwidth matrices for a linear smoother.
result Improves interpretability and applicability of random forest outputs for various analyses.
Paper assesses error estimates of Random Forests classification.
problem Quantitative assessment of Random Forests error estimates.
method Theoretical and empirical investigation of various error estimation methods.
result Random Forests' error estimates are closer to true error rate than average prediction error.
Random forests classify Pokemon names based on evolutionary status.
problem Classifying Pokemon names into pre-evolution and post-evolution categories.
method Trained random forests using sound symbolism from Pokemon names, conducted experiments with human participants.
result Random forests outperform human participants in classifying Pokemon names.
Local Linear Forests improve random forests for smooth signals and causal inference.
problem Random forests struggle with smooth signals and poor predictive performance in smooth effects.
method Pairing forest kernel with local linear regression adjustment.
result Improves asymptotic rates of convergence and accuracy on real and simulated data.
Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted forest (DDBF), a novel ensemble algorithm that incorporates the notion of hard …
Random forests use randomness to improve model performance in noisy data.
problem Improving model performance in low signal-to-noise ratio settings.
method Demonstrates that randomness in random forests acts as implicit regularization, similar to shrinkage penalties in regularized regression.
result Random forests achieve strong performance by implicitly regularizing model complexity, especially in noisy data.
Random forests are stable and provide reliable prediction intervals.
problem Stability and reliability of random forest prediction intervals.
method Established stability under mild conditions and proved coverage bounds.
result Non-asymptotic lower and upper bounds for prediction interval coverage.
Random forests with attention and self-attention improve regression performance.
problem Improving regression model performance on various datasets.
method Proposes new models using attention and self-attention mechanisms to solve regression problems.
result The models improve model performance on many datasets.
New method improves feature importance assessment in random forests.
problem Improving feature importance measures for random forests.
method Hypothesis testing via self-normalized feature-residual correlation test (FACT).
result The method provides theoretically justified feature importance tests with controlled type I error and appealing power.