A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
R package otsfeatures analyzes ordinal time series data.
Paper introduces novel distances for clustering ordinal time series.
We introduce two types of ordinal pattern dependence between time series. Positive (resp. negative) ordinal pattern dependence can be seen as a non-paramatric and in particular non-linear counterpart to positive (resp. negative) correlation. We show in an explorative study that both types of this dependence show up in …
BinConv improves time series forecasting by preserving ordinal information in a classification framework.
New RNN model forecasts unseen time series with little training data.
We propose a new variational Bayes estimator for high-dimensional copulas with discrete, or a combination of discrete and continuous, margins. The method is based on a variational approximation to a tractable augmented posterior, and is faster than previous likelihood-based approaches. We use it to estimate drawable vi…
New method detects dynamical system changes in time series data.
This work proposes a new feature for transportation mode classification using GPS trajectories.
Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range of activities, models must not only provide accurate forecasts, but also quantify…
MDF represents time series motifs as images for improved classification.
Study financial markets using synchronization measures and clustering algorithms.
Ordinal regression (OR) is a special multiclass classification problem where an order relation exists among the labels. Recent years, people share their opinions and sentimental judgments conveniently with social networks and E-Commerce so that plentiful large-scale OR problems arise. However, few studies have focused …
Ordinal regression falls between discrete-valued classification and continuous-valued regression. Ordinal target variables can be associated with ranked random variables. These random variables are known as order statistics and they are closely related to ordinal regression. However, the challenge of using order statis…
SurvCORN predicts survival curves using conditional ordinal ranking networks.
This paper offers a general and comprehensive definition of the day-of-the-week effect. Using symbolic dynamics, we develop a unique test based on ordinal patterns in order to detect it. This test uncovers the fact that the so-called "day-of-the-week" effect is partly an artifact of the hidden correlation structure of …
As the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) grows, systems are increasingly being monitored by arrays of sensors returning time-series data at ever-increasing 'volume, velocity and variety' (i.e. Industrial Big Data). An obvious use for these data is real-time systems condition monitoring and prognostic time to failure…
Algorithm finds real line mapping from points under ordinal constraints.
New methods for ordinal classification of interval-valued data and functional data.
This study uses persistent homology to analyze complex transitional networks from time series data.
Proposes a new method for rank-consistent ordinal regression without weight-sharing constraints.
OMERF extends random forest for hierarchical data and ordinal responses.
Reinforcement learning usually makes use of numerical rewards, which have nice properties but also come with drawbacks and difficulties. Using rewards on an ordinal scale (ordinal rewards) is an alternative to numerical rewards that has received more attention in recent years. In this paper, a general approach to adapt…
Proposes models to better represent ordinal data with non-unimodal distributions.
K-Models clusters functional data with ordinal constraints for better interpretability.
A new framework estimates causal effects for ordinal variables.
New method uniquely identifies causal structure from ordinal data.
Binary feedback outperforms ordinal comparisons in ranking recovery.
Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal via the use of the Poisson and binomial probability distributions. We evaluate …
Many real-world datasets are labeled with natural orders, i.e., ordinal labels. Ordinal regression is a method to predict ordinal labels that finds a wide range of applications in data-rich domains, such as natural, health and social sciences. Most existing ordinal regression approaches work well for independent and id…
The real-world data is often susceptible to label noise, which might constrict the effectiveness of the existing state of the art algorithms for ordinal regression. Existing works on ordinal regression do not take label noise into account. We propose a theoretically grounded approach for class conditional label noise i…
Deep neural networks for ordinal outcomes combining image and tabular data.
TabSODA improves imputation of surveys with skips and ordinal data.
This study introduces balanced DRPS and OrderedLogitNN for better QDE of discrete-level questions.
Study homeomorphism groups of ordinals, proving strong distortion and normal generators.
Estimates roughness of financial volatility paths using horizontal visibility graphs.
Ordinal Regression (OR) aims to model the ordering information between different data categories, which is a crucial topic in multi-label learning. An important class of approaches to OR models the problem as a linear combination of basis functions that map features to a high dimensional non-linear space. However, most…
Ordinal regression is aimed at predicting an ordinal class label. In this paper, we consider its semi-supervised formulation, in which we have unlabeled data along with ordinal-labeled data to train an ordinal regressor. There are several metrics to evaluate the performance of ordinal regression, such as the mean absol…
Develops an ordinal-similarity framework for scalable and interpretable representation alignment.
Ordinal data are often seen in real applications. Regular multicategory classification methods are not designed for this data type and a more proper treatment is needed. We consider a framework of ordinal classification which pools the results from binary classifiers together. An inherent difficulty of this framework i…
When eliciting judgements from humans for an unknown quantity, one often has the choice of making direct-scoring (cardinal) or comparative (ordinal) measurements. In this paper we study the relative merits of either choice, providing empirical and theoretical guidelines for the selection of a measurement scheme. We pro…
A new kernel measures brain network similarities, improving disease classification.
This paper applies deep learning to ordinal regression, modeling it as a binary search.
The paper identifies and critiques problems with risk matrices using ordinal scales.
Ordinal Data are those where a natural order exist between the labels. The classification and pre-processing of this type of data is attracting more and more interest in the area of machine learning, due to its presence in many common problems. Traditionally, ordinal classification problems have been approached as nomi…
We propose a novel method for automatic pain intensity estimation from facial images based on the framework of kernel Conditional Ordinal Random Fields (KCORF). We extend this framework to account for heteroscedasticity on the output labels(i.e., pain intensity scores) and introduce a novel dynamic features, dynamic ra…
In many real-world prediction tasks, class labels include information about the relative ordering between labels, which is not captured by commonly-used loss functions such as multi-category cross-entropy. Recently, the deep learning community adopted ordinal regression frameworks to take such ordering information into…
Develops methods to control risk in ordinal classification tasks.
In recent years it has become popular to study machine learning problems in a setting of ordinal distance information rather than numerical distance measurements. By ordinal distance information we refer to binary answers to distance comparisons such as . For many problems in machine learning and statist…