Bayesian method learns causal orderings from heterogeneous data.
problem Learning causal structure from heterogeneous data.
method Order-based Bayesian framework for Gaussian DAG models.
result Causal ordering is identifiable up to two permutations.
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New pruning method for sparse additive models speeds up causal structure learning.
problem Efficiently prune spurious edges from fully-connected DAG induced by estimated topological order.
method Sparse additive models combined with randomized tree embedding and group-wise sparse regression.
result Significantly faster than existing pruning methods while maintaining comparable accuracy.
One of the basic tasks for Bayesian networks (BNs) is that of learning a network structure from data. The BN-learning problem is NP-hard, so the standard solution is heuristic search. Many approaches have been proposed for this task, but only a very small number outperform the baseline of greedy hill-climbing with tabu…
New criterion for bi-ordering free groups under automorphisms.
problem Bi-ordering free groups under automorphisms.
method New criterion for bi-ordering free groups.
result Fundamental group of the magic manifold is bi-orderable.
Structural equation models and Bayesian networks have been widely used to analyze causal relations between continuous variables. In such frameworks, linear acyclic models are typically used to model the datagenerating process of variables. Recently, it was shown that use of non-Gaussianity identifies a causal ordering …
A prognosis oriented microscopic stock market modelcond-mat.stat-mech
We present a new microscopic stochastic model for an ensemble of interacting investors that buy and sell stocks in discrete time steps via limit orders based on individual forecasts about the price of the stock. These orders determine the supply and demand fixing after each round (time step) the new price of the stock …
Paper proposes a second-order method for faster SVI convergence.
problem Poor convergence rate of first-order SVI algorithms.
method Derives Hessian matrix and implements two numerical schemes for efficient second-order SVI.
result Proposed approach achieves faster convergence compared to first-order SVI.
Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have recently become the primary choice for learning from graph-structured data, superseding hash fingerprints in representing chemical compounds. However, GCNs lack the ability to take into account the ordering of node neighbors, even when there is a geometric interpretation of the …
Performance Optimization of a Fuzzy Entropy based Feature Selection and Classification Frameworkcs.LG
Optimized fuzzy entropy framework improves feature selection and classification performance.
problem Improving feature selection and classification in fuzzy entropy frameworks.
method Implemented and compared combinations of ideal vectors, maximal similarity classifiers, and fuzzy entropy functions.
result Optimized combination of ideal vector, similarity classifier, and fuzzy entropy function achieved the most stable performance for all three datasets.
In the context of variable selection, ensemble learning has gained increasing interest due to its great potential to improve selection accuracy and to reduce false discovery rate. A novel ordering-based selective ensemble learning strategy is designed in this paper to obtain smaller but more accurate ensembles. In part…
Generative model improves intraday electricity price forecasting.
problem Intraday electricity price forecasting for improved trading strategies.
method Generative neural network model for probabilistic path forecasts.
result Generative model leads to higher profit gains than benchmark methods.
New depth function for partial orders helps compare machine learning algorithms.
problem Comparing machine learning algorithms using non-standard data types.
method Adapted simplicial depth to partial orders, using ufg depth for comparison.
result Demonstrates promising variety of analysis approaches based on ufg methods.
Interpretable framework evaluates structure learning methods for causal discovery from observational data.
problem Evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption violations in causal discovery.
method Six-dimensional evaluation metric (DOS) tailored for causal discovery.
result Amortized causal discovery delivers results with high proximity to the optimal solution.
Statistical shape models enhance machine learning algorithms providing prior information about deformation. A Point Distribution Model (PDM) is a popular landmark-based statistical shape model for segmentation. It requires choosing a model order, which determines how much of the variation seen in the training data is a…
In this paper, we consider a generalized multivariate regression problem where the responses are monotonic functions of linear transformations of predictors. We propose a semi-parametric algorithm based on the ordering of the responses which is invariant to the functional form of the transformation function. We prove t…
In this work, a deep learning-based quantization scheme for log-likelihood ratio (L-value) storage is introduced. We analyze the dependency between the average magnitude of different L-values from the same quadrature amplitude modulation (QAM) symbol and show they follow a consistent ordering. Based on this we design a…
Popular deep neural networks (DNNs) spend the majority of their execution time computing convolutions. The Winograd family of algorithms can greatly reduce the number of arithmetic operations required and is present in many DNN software frameworks. However, the performance gain is at the expense of a reduction in float…
Scalable method learns context-specific models for hundreds of variables.
problem Learning context-specific models for large numbers of variables.
method Order-based Markov chain Monte-Carlo search with context-specific sparsity assumption.
result Method scales to hundreds of variables and learns accurate models.
BWS selects best window subsets for efficient data pruning.
problem Challenges in selecting subsets of large datasets for neural network training.
method Best Window Selection (BWS) by choosing optimal window intervals from ordered sample scores.
result BWS outperforms other methods across various selection ratios and datasets.
Proposes an efficient method for ordered counterfactual explanations.
problem Insufficient explanation of perturbation vectors for executing actions.
method Mixed-Integer Linear Optimization (MILP) approach for evaluating and extracting optimal pairs of actions and orders.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of the proposed method on real datasets.
We consider the task of learning a causal graph in the presence of latent confounders given i.i.d.~samples from the model. While current algorithms for causal structure discovery in the presence of latent confounders are constraint-based, we here propose a score-based approach. We prove that under assumptions weaker th…
We develop a new statistical test for comparing variables with varying scales.
problem Comparing variables with different scales in multidimensional spaces.
method Order based on expectations of random variables, generalized stochastic dominance (GSD) order, regularized statistical test, linear optimization, imprecise probability models.
result Validated through multidimensional data from various fields.
Startups is a popular phenomenon that has a significant impact on global economy growth, innovation and society development. However, there is still insufficient understanding about startups, particularly, how to start a new business in the relation to consequent performance. Toward this knowledge, we have performed an…
Bayesian networks are a class of popular graphical models that encode causal and conditional independence relations among variables by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We propose a novel structure learning method, annealing on regularized Cholesky score (ARCS), to search over topological sorts, or permutations of nodes,…
Estimation, Prediction, and Assortment Optimization for Markov Chain Choice Models with Panel Datacs.LG
Proposes new methods for Markov chain choice models with panel data.
problem Dependence among transactions for the same customer in historical data.
method Expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms incorporating partial-ordering preference information.
result EM algorithms outperform traditional methods on synthetic and real datasets.
The standard deviation and Gini mean difference order based on tail behavior.
problem Ordering between standard deviation and Gini mean difference for real-valued risks.
method Analysis of the mean excess function of the pairwise difference .
result Dominance regimes of SD and GMD are determined by tail behavior of the distribution.
xDeepInt learns both vector-wise and bit-wise feature interactions.
problem Learning feature interactions for CTR prediction and recommendation.
method Polynomial Interaction Network (PIN) architecture with subspace-crossing mechanism.
result xDeepInt outperforms state-of-the-art models in CTR prediction and recommendation.
We extend the recently introduced theory of Lovasz-Bregman (LB) divergences (Iyer & Bilmes 2012) in several ways. We show that they represent a distortion between a "score" and an "ordering", thus providing a new view of rank aggregation and order based clustering with interesting connections to web ranking. We show ho…
We extend the recently introduced theory of Lovasz-Bregman (LB) divergences (Iyer & Bilmes, 2012) in several ways. We show that they represent a distortion between a 'score' and an 'ordering', thus providing a new view of rank aggregation and order based clustering with interesting connections to web ranking. We show h…
Enhances clustering performance with a novel high-order Laplacian matrix.
problem Limited representation capability and insufficient information exploitation in multi-view spectral clustering.
method Proposes a multi-view spectral clustering algorithm that learns a high-order optimal neighborhood Laplacian matrix.
result Improves clustering performance through enhanced representation capacity of the learned optimal Laplacian matrix.
In this paper we introduce a completely continuous and time-variate model of the evolution of market limit orders based on the existence, uniqueness, and regularity of the solutions to a type of stochastic partial differential equations obtained in Zheng and Sowers (2012). In contrary to several models proposed and res…
Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by incorporating regularized approaches, such as the lasso in VAR estimation. Traditional a…
New algorithm speeds up learning of graphical models.
problem Learning graphical models with sparse structure efficiently.
method Vertex-greedy score-based algorithm for learning DAGs.
result Polynomial runtime for learning DAG models.
The paper finds formulas for word lengths and conjugacy classes in surface groups.
problem Finding formulas for word lengths and conjugacy classes in surface groups.
method Investigating symmetric presentations and normal forms of conjugacy classes.
result Derives three formulae for word lengths and provides efficient algorithms for conjugacy problems.
RL agent learns to place limit orders for trading signals in financial markets.
problem Training an RL agent to execute trading signals in limit order book markets.
method Deep Duelling Double Q-learning with APEX architecture, using synthetic alpha signals.
result RL agent outperforms heuristic trading strategies in inventory management and order placing.
We consider concepts and models for measuring inequality in the distribution of resources with a focus on how inequality varies as a function of covariates. Lorenz introduced a device for measuring inequality in the distribution of income that indicates how much the incomes below the u quantile fall short of the…
Optimizes pension mix of PAYGO, EET, and individual savings.
problem Balancing PAYGO, EET, and individual savings in funded pension schemes.
method Solves a Nash equilibrium between pension participants and government, considering age-dependent preferences and optimal asset allocation.
result Identifies critical ages and optimal contribution rates for maximizing overall utility.
VI struggles to fully quantify uncertainty when distributions don't factorize.
problem Uncertainty quantification in non-factorizable distributions.
method Analysis of variational inference trade-offs and divergence choices.
result Different divergences yield different measures of uncertainty in VI.
RGRR allocates between QQQ and DIA based on relative states, improving Sharpe and CAGR.
problem Optimizing ETF allocation between QQQ and DIA for better risk-adjusted returns.
method Screened relative and macro states, globally screened interactions, fixed position mapping, walk-forward validation.
result RGRR improves Sharpe and CAGR compared to 100% QQQ and 50/50 QQQ-DIA allocations.
Improved iterative methods for risk parity portfolio weights.
problem Solving for portfolio weights in risk parity allocation.
method Enhanced CCD and Newton methods, including a rescaling step and improved initial guess.
result Improved CCD method is the best, three times faster with 40% fewer iterations.
We describe a novel optimization method for finite sums (such as empirical risk minimization problems) building on the recently introduced SAGA method. Our method achieves an accelerated convergence rate on strongly convex smooth problems. Our method has only one parameter (a step size), and is radically simpler than o…
A new method combines Laplace and Variational Bayes for scalable inference.
problem Complex models and large datasets make exact inference infeasible.
method Low-Rank Variational Bayes Correction (VBC) using Laplace method and Variational Bayes correction in a lower dimension.
result The method ensures scalability in both model complexity and data size.
Unified framework for model explanation methods based on feature removal.
problem Unclear relationships and preferences among various model explanation methods.
method Characterizes removal-based explanations along three dimensions.
result Unified 26 existing methods, including widely used approaches.
This work reviews and evaluates methods for predicting prediction intervals in regression problems.
problem Calibration of prediction intervals in regression problems.
method Four classes of methods: Bayesian, ensemble, direct interval estimation, and conformal prediction.
result Conformal prediction can be used as a general calibration procedure.
Derives kernel PCA with Nyström method for scalability.
problem Scalability of kernel PCA.
method Nyström method for kernel PCA.
result Provides scalable alternative to full kernel PCA.
In this paper, the author considers the numerical computation of CVA for large systems by Mote Carlo methods. He introduces two types of stochastic mesh methods for the computations of CVA. In the first method, stochastic mesh method is used to obtain the future value of the derivative contracts. In the second method, …
New method combines spectral and sparse methods for Gaussian processes.
problem Efficiently fitting Gaussian processes to large datasets.
method Orthogonally decoupled variational Fourier features.
result Competitive performance on synthetic and real-world data.
A Large-Scale Comparative Analysis of Imputation Methods for Single-Cell RNA Sequencing Dataq-bio.GN
A comprehensive benchmark of 15 scRNA-seq imputation methods across various datasets and analyses.
problem Imputation of single-cell RNA sequencing data to recover latent transcriptional signals.
method Evaluation of 15 imputation methods across 30 datasets and 6 downstream analyses.
result Traditional methods generally outperform DL-based methods in scRNA-seq data analysis.