We discuss the relative merits of optimistic and randomized approaches to exploration in reinforcement learning. Optimistic approaches presented in the literature apply an optimistic boost to the value estimate at each state-action pair and select actions that are greedy with respect to the resulting optimistic value f…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,694 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “optimistic selection”
Proposes Optimistic Pessimistically Initialised Q-Learning (OPIQ) for better exploration in RL.
problem Pessimistic initialisation of Q-values in deep RL leads to poor exploration performance.
method Augments pessimistically initialised Q-values with count-based bonuses to ensure optimism.
result OPIQ outperforms non-optimistic DQN variants in hard exploration tasks.
It is well known that in stochastic multi-armed bandits (MAB), the sample mean of an arm is typically not an unbiased estimator of its true mean. In this paper, we decouple three different sources of this selection bias: adaptive \emph{sampling} of arms, adaptive \emph{stopping} of the experiment, and adaptively \emph{…
Efficiently solves exploration-exploitation in LQR using Lagrangian relaxation.
problem Exploration-exploitation dilemma in linear quadratic regulator (LQR) setting.
method Relax optimistic optimization into a constrained extended LQR problem, then solve using Riccati equations.
result Computes -optimistic controller efficiently with Riccati equations.
Yokota suggested an optimistic limit method of the Kashaev invariants of hyperbolic knots and showed it determines the complex volumes of the knots. His method is very effective and gives almost combinatorial method of calculating the complex volumes. However, to describe the triangulation of the knot complement, he re…
SIREN protocol corrects optimistic winner's scores in LLM evaluation.
problem Optimistic winner's scores in LLM evaluation due to adaptive benchmarking.
method SIREN protocol that freezes post-search shortlist, separates selection and evaluation, and uses bootstrap for uncertainty quantification.
result SIREN provides valid confidence intervals for procedure-performance curves and deployment conclusions.
Safe linear bandits over unknown polytopes avoid safety violations and suboptimal actions.
problem Online approach to linear programming with unknown constraints and risks.
method Doubly-optimistic strategy (DOSS) for safe linear bandits over polytopes.
result DOSS achieves tight bounds on efficacy regret and safety violations.
A generalized optimistic method for saddle point problems with improved complexity.
problem Solving convex-concave saddle point problems efficiently.
method Proposes a generalized optimistic method that includes the optimistic gradient method as a special case, handling constrained saddle point problems with composite objective functions and arbitrary norms.
result Best-known global iteration complexity bounds for first-, second-, and higher-order methods.
Bayesian classifier improves robustness with optimistic score ratio.
problem Limited information on class-conditional distribution.
method Optimistic score ratio for robust binary classification.
result Bayesian classifier using optimistic score ratio is robust and computationally tractable.
We show that the optimistic limits of the colored Jones polynomials of the hyperbolic knots coincide with the optimistic limits of the Kashaev invariants modulo .
Efficiently identifies best algorithms for game tasks.
problem Selecting optimal algorithms for game tasks efficiently.
method Best arm identification for multi-armed bandits with confidence intervals.
result Significantly improved performance in simple regret and error probability.
Portfolio allocation is crucial for investment companies. However, getting the best strategy in a complex and dynamic stock market is challenging. In this paper, we propose a novel Adaptive Deep Deterministic Reinforcement Learning scheme (Adaptive DDPG) for the portfolio allocation task, which incorporates optimistic …
The optimistic limit is the mathematical formulation of the classical limit which is a physical method to expect the actual limit by using saddle point method of certain potential function. The original optimistic limit of the Kashaev invariant was formulated by Yokota, and a modified formulation was suggested by the a…
Optimistic estimate predicts best fitting performance of nonlinear models.
problem Evaluating the potential of nonlinear models in fitting.
method Proposes an optimistic estimate to quantify the smallest sample size for fitting nonlinear models.
result Predicts specific subsets of targets that can be fitted at overparameterization.
We derive an alternative proof for the regret of Thompson sampling (\ts) in the stochastic linear bandit setting. While we obtain a regret bound of order as in previous results, the proof sheds new light on the functioning of the \ts. We leverage on the structure of the problem to show …
New algorithm reduces regret in sequential decision-making problems.
problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in online sequential decision problems.
method Variational Bayesian optimistic sampling (VBOS) for optimizing policies.
result VBOS achieves Bayesian regret for stochastic multi-armed bandits.
New bounds for online portfolio selection without smoothness assumptions.
problem Online portfolio selection with non-Lipschitz, non-smooth losses.
method Data-dependent bounds using novel smoothness characterizations and FTRL with self-concordant regularizers.
result Achieves logarithmic regrets when data is 'easy' and sublinear worst-case regrets.
Optimistic Natural Policy Gradient: a Simple Efficient Policy Optimization Framework for Online RLcs.LG
Optimistic NPG improves policy optimization in online RL with efficient sample complexity.
problem Limited theoretical understanding of policy optimization, especially in online RL.
method Combines natural policy gradient with optimistic policy evaluation.
result Achieves optimal dimension dependence sample complexity for learning near-optimal policies.
Characterizes concept classes for optimistic online learning.
problem Understanding minimal assumptions for online learnability.
method Investigates two questions about concept classes' learnability.
result Characterizes all concept classes for optimistically universal online learnability.
We show how to take any two parameter-free online learning algorithms with different regret guarantees and obtain a single algorithm whose regret is the minimum of the two base algorithms. Our method is embarrassingly simple: just add the iterates. This trick can generate efficient algorithms that adapt to many norms s…
New algorithms reduce forecasting errors by leveraging optimistic learning and hinting.
problem Real-time climate forecasting with delayed feedback.
method Developed optimistic online learning algorithms that reduce regret under delayed feedback.
result Optimistic learning algorithms achieve optimal regret guarantees under delayed feedback.
In many cases an intelligent agent may want to learn how to mimic a single observed demonstrated trajectory. In this work we consider how to perform such procedural learning from observation, which could help to enable agents to better use the enormous set of video data on observation sequences. Our approach exploits t…
Omega method mitigates noise in stochastic game optimization.
problem Noise sensitivity and convergence issues in stochastic game optimization.
method Omega method incorporates EMA of historic gradients in its update rule.
result Omega method outperforms optimistic gradient method in stochastic games.
New method minimizes regret in AMDP with high probability.
problem Pessimistic regret analysis in AMDP.
method Developed a new policy search method achieving optimistic regret.
result Achieved sublinear optimistic regret with high probability.
Practical or scientific considerations often lead to selecting a subset of parameters as ``important.'' Inferences about those parameters often are based on the same data used to select them in the first place. That can make the reported uncertainties deceptively optimistic: confidence intervals that ignore selection g…
Unified framework for model- and value-optimistic reinforcement learning.
problem Designing and analyzing algorithms for episodic reinforcement learning.
method Lagrangian duality for a unified view of optimism.
result Unified algorithms with both efficient implementation and probabilistic analysis.
Study optimal policy regret in partially observable Markov games with adaptive opponents.
problem Optimal sequential decision-making in partially observable environments against strategic, adaptive opponents.
method An epoch-based optimistic maximum-likelihood algorithm that selects one policy per epoch using confidence sets built cumulatively from past data.
result Achieves policy regret for fixed problem parameters, with explicit dependence on horizon, adversary memory, confidence radius, and aggregate Eluder dimension.
Proposes H-UCRL for efficient model-based RL with sublinear regret.
problem Greedy policy exploration in model-based RL ignores epistemic uncertainty.
method Reparameterizes plausible models, hallucinates control, augments input space, solves with greedy planners.
result H-UCRL achieves provably sublinear regret for Gaussian Process models.
A fundamental problem arising in many areas of machine learning is the evaluation of the likelihood of a given observation under different nominal distributions. Frequently, these nominal distributions are themselves estimated from data, which makes them susceptible to estimation errors. We thus propose to replace each…
New method for optimistic planning in MDPs using regularization.
problem Optimistic planning in infinite-horizon discounted MDPs.
method Regularized dynamic programming for approximate value iteration.
result Achieves near-optimal statistical guarantees in learning policies.
Optimistic Hedge achieves optimal regret bounds in two-player zero-sum games.
problem Achieving optimal regret bounds for optimistic Hedge in two-player zero-sum games.
method Refined regret analysis and optimization problem formulation.
result Optimistic Hedge achieves regret bounds, matching upper and lower bounds.
Efficiently selects seed nodes to maximize content influence in unknown social networks.
problem Maximizing content spread in social networks with unknown network model.
method Formulated as an infinite-horizon discounted MDP, uses model-based reinforcement learning to select seed users adaptively.
result Established a regret bound of for the algorithm.
Optimistic method adapted for faster convex-concave min-max problems.
problem Solving convex-concave min-max optimization problems efficiently.
method Adaptive, line search-free second-order methods combining optimistic updates and second-order information.
result Achieves optimal convergence rate without line search or backtracking.
New method selects best offline RL policies from logged data.
problem Hyperparameter selection challenges offline RL.
method Offline hyperparameter selection for RL algorithms.
result Reliable ranking and selection of policies across hyperparameters.
This paper develops a model of reference-dependent assessment of subjective beliefs in which loss-averse people optimally choose the expectation as the reference point to balance the current felicity from the optimistic anticipation and the future disappointment from the realisation. The choice of over-optimism or over…
Optimistic PPO variant solves linear MDPs with improved regret bound.
problem Understanding theoretical limits of PPO in linear MDPs.
method Proposes an optimistic variant of PPO for episodic adversarial linear MDPs with full-information feedback.
result Establishes a regret bound.
Bandits roaming Hilbert spacequant-ph
The thesis optimizes quantum state exploration using bandit algorithms.
problem Maximizing reward in online learning of quantum state properties.
method Multi-armed bandit approach to select observables, minimizing regret.
result Optimal strategies with matching upper and lower bounds for regret.
Optimistic covariance-adaptive algorithms improve combinatorial semi-bandits regret.
problem Optimal regret in stochastic combinatorial semi-bandits with adaptive covariance estimation.
method Design of OLS-UCB-C and COS-V algorithms leveraging online covariance estimation.
result Improved gap-free regret with T^1/2 complexity for COS-V.
Study optimizes linear regression analysis for high-dimensional settings.
problem Understanding high-dimensional linear regression with interpolation and regularization.
method Localized uniform convergence analysis of optimistic rates for linear regression.
result Recover guarantees for ridge and LASSO regression under random designs.
Novel approach to universal online learning for bounded losses, closing open problems.
problem Characterizing processes for universal online learning under non-i.i.d. conditions.
method Characterization of processes admitting strong and weak universal learning, introduction of optimistically universal learning rule.
result Introduction of a novel 1NN algorithm that is optimistically universal for bounded losses.
We address the issue of limit cycling behavior in training Generative Adversarial Networks and propose the use of Optimistic Mirror Decent (OMD) for training Wasserstein GANs. Recent theoretical results have shown that optimistic mirror decent (OMD) can enjoy faster regret rates in the context of zero-sum games. WGANs …
Solves open problem on universally consistent online learning with unbounded losses.
problem Open problem on universally consistent online learning with unbounded losses.
method Constructs random measurable partitions of the instance space.
result Simple memorization rule is optimistically universal for any unbounded loss.
We study adaptive regret bounds in terms of the variation of the losses (the so-called path-length bounds) for both multi-armed bandit and more generally linear bandit. We first show that the seemingly suboptimal path-length bound of (Wei and Luo, 2018) is in fact not improvable for adaptive adversary. Despite this neg…
In this paper, we prove some convergence results of a special case of optimistic policy iteration algorithm for stochastic shortest path problem. We consider both Monte Carlo and methods for the policy evaluation step under the condition that the termination state will eventually be reached almost surely.
The paper discusses methods for interval estimation of coefficients in penalized regression models for insurance data.
problem Valid inference on coefficients after feature selection in GLM family for insurance data.
method Proposes methodologies for constructing confidence intervals of coefficients after feature selection in GLM family.
result Valid inference on coefficients after feature selection in GLM family for insurance data.
Accelerates policy optimization in RL with optimistic and adaptive updates.
problem Improving policy optimization methods in reinforcement learning.
method Integrates foresight into policy improvement step via optimistic and adaptive updates.
result Designs an optimistic policy gradient algorithm, adaptive via meta-gradient learning.
New algorithm optimizes online decision-making with dynamically generated actions.
problem Balancing action generation costs with optimal decision-making in online learning.
method Doubly-optimistic algorithm using LCB for action selection and UCB for action generation.
result Achieves optimal regret bound of .
New causal models perform poorly when evaluated on biased training sets.
problem Sample selection bias affects the evaluation of causal models' prediction performance.
method Re-evaluated prediction performance of causal models on a genetic perturbation data set, proposing a less-biased evaluation set.
result Causal models have similar or worse performance when evaluated on a less-biased set compared to standard association-based estimators.