New pricing algorithm learns demand curves and optimizes prices in dynamic markets.
problem Dynamic pricing in markets with incomplete demand information and shifting conditions.
method Actor-Critic Information-Directed Pricing (ACIDP) using IDS algorithms and auditing procedures.
result ACIDP outperforms UCB and TS in market environment shifts.
Study optimal liquidation under high risk aversion and small price impact.
problem Optimal liquidation of options under high risk aversion and linear price impact.
method Analyzes Bachelier model with linear price impact, computes utility indifference prices, and finds asymptotically optimal portfolios.
result Establishes a scaling limit for vanishing price impact and computes corresponding utility indifference prices.
This paper addresses a novel data science problem, prescriptive price optimization, which derives the optimal price strategy to maximize future profit/revenue on the basis of massive predictive formulas produced by machine learning. The prescriptive price optimization first builds sales forecast formulas of multiple pr…
Optimizes bidding strategy for Maker Protocol auctions.
problem Minimizing costs in Maker Protocol auctions.
method Developed and optimized a bidding function using historical data.
result Most auctions end at higher prices than optimal recommendations.
Optimizes insurance pricing by accounting for policyholders' price sensitivity.
problem Traditional insurance pricing does not consider policyholders' price sensitivity.
method Formulates insurance pricing as a decision-making problem and uses off-policy evaluation and stochastic control.
result Neural networks outperform existing techniques for policy optimization.
Paper optimizes trading strategies by creating shadow prices for markets with transaction costs.
problem Optimizing trading strategies in markets with transaction costs.
method Developed shadow prices to simplify optimization into a frictionless market, considering second-order transaction costs.
result Alternative strategies outperform shadow prices for risk aversion different from one.
Optimizes reserve prices for first-price auctions to maximize revenue.
problem Optimizing reserve prices for first-price auctions in display advertising.
method Gradient-based algorithm to adaptively update and optimize reserve prices based on bidder responsiveness to experimental shocks.
result Revenue optimization in first-price auctions can be decomposed into demand and bidding components, and techniques are introduced to reduce variance of each.
Data-driven method for option pricing using historical asset prices.
problem Tackling the gap between historical asset prices and risk-neutral option pricing.
method Identifying a pricing kernel process, solving utility maximization and functional optimization problems using deep learning.
result Demonstrated the efficiency of the data-driven option pricing methodology.
In this article, we develop a general framework to study optimal execution and to price block trades. We prove existence of optimal liquidation strategies and we provide regularity results for optimal strategies under very general hypotheses. We exhibit a Hamiltonian characterization for the optimal strategy that can b…
Unified framework for ESG-inclusive portfolio optimization and pricing.
problem Incorporating ESG ratings into dynamic asset pricing theory.
method Introducing ESG-valued return as a linear transformation of financial and ESG scores, preserving traditional risk aversion with an ESG affinity parameter.
result Developed a more complex portfolio optimization problem in a space governed by reward, risk, and ESG score.
Paper introduces benchmark-neutral pricing for long-term contracts.
problem High prices of long-term contracts under risk-neutral pricing.
method Uses growth optimal portfolio as numeraire and new pricing measure.
result Identifies minimal possible prices for contingent claims.
Optimizes trading in markets with unpredictable price impacts.
problem Optimizing trading strategies in markets with stochastic price impacts.
method Singular perturbation methods to approximate optimal control problem.
result Proves approximations are accurate to specified order using sub- and super-solutions.
The paper proposes a machine learning technique to optimize prices in fashion e-commerce.
problem Optimizing prices for millions of products in fashion e-commerce to maximize revenue and profit.
method Demand prediction, price elasticity, multiple price demand pairs, linear programming optimization.
result The model improved revenue by 1% and gross margin by 0.81% in AB tests.
New models optimize quotes for automated market makers considering various price dynamics and demand variability.
problem Optimizing quotes for automated market makers in volatile price environments.
method Advanced models incorporating stochastic volatility, jumps, Hawkes processes, and Markov-modulated Poisson processes.
result Optimal quotes can be computed using numerical methods tailored to each model.
We introduce a criterion how to price derivatives in incomplete markets, based on the theory of growth optimal strategy in repeated multiplicative games. We present reasons why these growth-optimal strategies should be particularly relevant to the problem of pricing derivatives. We compare our result with other alterna…
Study optimal liquidation strategies on Uniswap v2/v3 considering price impact.
problem Optimal liquidation of large positions on Uniswap v2/v3 under transient price impact.
method Dynamic programming and numerical approximation for Uniswap v3, closed-form solutions for v2.
result Obtained optimal strategies for both Uniswap v2 and v3, showing how liquidity profile influences them.
Survival strategies in a market with self-determined prices are closely tied to log-optimal investment.
problem Survival of wealth in a market with endogenous prices.
method Assume only one's actions affect prices, use log-optimal strategy, disregard actual prices.
result Survival strategies are asymptotically close to log-optimal strategies.
Method determines asset prices in incomplete markets to optimize portfolios.
problem Optimizing portfolios in incomplete markets with price constraints.
method Maximum entropy in the mean to adjust distortion function from bid-ask data.
result Prices of assets comply with portfolio optimization constraints.
RL accelerates portfolio optimization and option pricing by dynamically adjusting preconditioner sizes.
problem Large linear systems in portfolio optimization and option pricing lead to slow convergence.
method Reinforcement Learning (RL) dynamically adjusts block-preconditioner sizes to accelerate convergence.
result RL-driven solver significantly reduces computational cost and accelerates convergence.
Optimizes risk-neutral probabilities for derivative pricing.
problem Deriving bounds on derivative values under multiple risk-neutral scenarios.
method Convex optimization over the set of risk-neutral probability distributions.
result Tractable finite-dimensional optimization problems for pricing.
ICON-OCnet solves optimal execution problems with neural networks and few examples.
problem Optimal order execution in markets with unknown price impact.
method Transformer-based neural network architecture (ICON-OCnet) that learns price impact from few examples and applies it to optimal execution strategies.
result ICON-OCnet accurately infers price impact models and retrieves optimal execution strategies for various propagator kernels.
Study optimal futures trading strategies for assets with multiscale central tendency price model.
problem Optimal dynamic trading of futures with multiscale central tendency price model.
method Derive no-arbitrage futures prices, solve HJB equations for optimal strategies.
result Optimal trading strategies depend on asset parameters and futures risk premia.
We introduce a two-agent problem which is inspired by price asymmetry arising from funding difference. When two parties have different funding rates, the two parties deduce different fair prices for derivative contracts even under the same pricing methodology and parameters. Thus, the two parties should enter the deriv…
Paper develops a fair pricing algorithm for dynamic settings with uncertain demand.
problem Fair pricing in dynamic, uncertain demand scenarios.
method Contextual bandit algorithm with dynamic pricing and demand learning.
result Achieves optimal regret bound with fairness constraints.
LSTM model predicts stock prices for optimized portfolios.
problem Accurate stock price prediction for optimized portfolio design.
method Past stock prices from 2016-2020, LSTM model for prediction.
result High accuracy of LSTM model in predicting stock returns.
New approach uses deep generative models for inventory and pricing decisions.
problem Data-driven inventory and pricing decisions in feature-based newsvendor problems.
method Conditional deep generative models (cDGMs) to learn demand distribution and generate probabilistic forecasts.
result Effective in optimizing inventory and pricing decisions, with theoretical guarantees and real-world applications.
We study optimal liquidation in the presence of linear temporary and transient price impact along with taking into account a general price predicting finite-variation signal. We formulate this problem as minimization of a cost-risk functional over a class of absolutely continuous and signal-adaptive strategies. The sto…
Risk hedging can reduce operational costs by adjusting prices and production levels in response to asset price movements.
problem How risk hedging impacts operational decisions in response to asset price movements.
method Developed and solved a risk-management model integrating risk hedging into a price-setting newsvendor problem.
result Hedging generally reduces optimal price and VPQ, but may increase VPQ under certain conditions.
An important but rarely-addressed option pricing question is how to choose appropriate strikes for implied volatility inputs when pricing more exotic multi-asset derivatives. By means of Malliavin Calculus we construct an optimal log-linear strikevconvention for exchange options under stochastic volatility models. This…
The problem of determining the European-style option price in the incomplete market has been examined within the framework of stochastic optimization. An analytic method based on the discrete dynamic programming equation (Bellman equation) has been developed that gives the general formalism for determining the option p…
Optimal control models for limit order trading often assume that the underlying asset price is a Brownian motion since they deal with relatively short time scales. The resulting optimal bid and ask limit order prices tend to track the underlying price as one might expect. This is indeed the case with the model of Avell…
Optimal hedging strategy found in markets with incomplete pricing kernels.
problem Finding optimal hedging in markets with incomplete pricing kernels.
method Demonstrated existence of an optimal hedge portfolio using an expected least squared-error criterion.
result Existence of an optimal hedge portfolio in Lévy-Ito markets.
Investigates optimal insurance and reinsurance strategies with incomplete market information.
problem Optimal investment-reinsurance problem for insurance companies with unknown market risk.
method Converted the original problem into a filtered observation problem, applied stochastic control theory, and used Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations.
result Explicit formulas for value function and optimal strategy provided.
Study near-maturity convergence rates of American put prices in Lévy models.
problem Analyzing convergence rates of optimal exercise prices in Lévy models.
method Examined two settings: jumps of unbounded and bounded variation, deriving near-maturity expansions.
result Near-maturity convergence rate of optimal exercise price is of order √(T-t).
New loss functions optimize pricing policies using transaction data, ensuring expected revenue guarantees.
problem Optimizing pricing policies with transaction data where valuation data is not directly observed.
method Introducing convex loss functions for contextual pricing, focusing on log-concave valuation distributions.
result Proved expected revenue bounds for generalized hinge and quantile pricing loss functions.
The paper analyzes optimal liquidation strategies for cryptocurrencies considering both temporary and permanent price impacts.
problem Optimal liquidation strategies for cryptocurrencies in the presence of price impacts.
method Analytical and numerical solutions, including finite differences and optimal policy iteration.
result Optimal liquidation policies vary based on the functional form of temporary and permanent price impacts.
We study the optimal stopping problem of pricing an American Put option on a Zero Coupon Bond (ZCB) in the Musiela's parametrization of the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) model for forward interest rates. First we show regularity properties of the price function by probabilistic methods. Then we find an infinite dimensional…
Optimal liquidation strategy with price impact and signal exploitation.
problem Maximizing revenue-risk in a market with transient and temporary price impact.
method Infinite dimensional stochastic control approach, backward stochastic differential equation, operator-valued Riccati equation.
result Explicit expression for the optimal trading strategy.
We study a multiplicative transient price impact model for an illiquid financial market, where trading causes price impact which is multiplicative in relation to the current price, transient over time with finite rate of resilience, and non-linear in the order size. We construct explicit solutions for the optimal contr…
Study reveals optimal price prediction through volume imbalance analysis.
problem Understanding the relationship between prices and volume imbalance in high-frequency trading.
method Developed a market-making model to analyze price-imbalance connection and solve optimization problems.
result Optimal quoting of predictive imbalance is confirmed, useful for financial regulation.
New algorithm adapts to unknown demand smoothness for dynamic pricing.
problem Dynamic pricing with unknown Hölder smoothness of demand function.
method Self-similarity condition and adaptive algorithm.
result Adaptive algorithm achieves minimax optimal regret without prior knowledge of smoothness.
The study examines how including additional call option prices affects model-independent price bounds for exotic derivatives.
problem Improving model-independent price bounds for exotic derivatives using additional call option prices.
method Characterization of market settings that guarantee improved price bounds and exclusion of any improvement.
result The inclusion of additional call option prices can significantly impact model-independent price bounds.
Optimal stock price prediction model using recurrent neural networks with RMSprop optimizer.
problem Stock price prediction using neural networks.
method Comparison of fully connected, convolutional, and recurrent architectures; inclusion of three optimization techniques.
result Single layer recurrent neural network with RMSprop optimizer produces optimal results with validation and test MAE of 0.0150 and 0.0148 respectively.
Optimal trading strategy derived for nonlinear price impact models.
problem Optimal trading with nonlinear price impact induced by alpha signals.
method Variational approach, nonlinear Fredholm equation, iterative scheme.
result Existence and uniqueness of optimal trading strategy under monotonicity condition.
We present the Integrated Size and Price Optimization Problem (ISPO) for a fashion discounter with many branches. Based on a two-stage stochastic programming model with recourse, we develop an exact algorithm and a production-compliant heuristic that produces small optimality gaps. In a field study we show that a distr…
Study dynamic trading in options to improve price bounds for exotic derivatives.
problem Improving price bounds for exotic derivatives through dynamic option trading.
method Extend semi-static trading strategies to include dynamic option trading, analyze duality results and pricing rules.
result Improved price bounds for exotic derivatives compared to conventional methods.
The pricing, hedging, optimal exercise and optimal cancellation of game or Israeli options are considered in a multi-currency model with proportional transaction costs. Efficient constructions for optimal hedging, cancellation and exercise strategies are presented, together with numerical examples, as well as probabili…
The determination of acceptability prices of contingent claims requires the choice of a stochastic model for the underlying asset price dynamics. Given this model, optimal bid and ask prices can be found by stochastic optimization. However, the model for the underlying asset price process is typically based on data and…