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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for optimal negotiation

A framework for fair derivative contract pricing and risk-sharing between parties with funding differences.

problem Price asymmetry due to funding differences in bilateral contracts.
method Defines a negotiation problem that maximizes the sum of utilities for two parties, deriving optimal prices and collateral.
result Optimal negotiation price and collateral can be used to interpret margin requirements.

Paper automates car negotiation in intersections using Q-learning.

problem Automated vehicles negotiate with human-driven cars in intersections.
method Deep Q-learning applied to simulated traffic with various driver behaviors.
result 98% success rate in avoiding collisions with other vehicles.

Optimal margin loan agreements for sophisticated gamblers and brokers.

problem Finding fair interest rates and loan sizes between gamblers and brokers.
method Derives formulas for optimal arrangements based on gamblers' risk preferences and market conditions.
result Gambler gains higher capital growth with lower interest rates, broker gains intermediary profit.

Optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks are derived without specific dependency assumptions.

problem Finding optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks without assuming their dependency structure.
method Assumes maximal expected utility criterion and independent negotiation of reinsurance for each risk. Derives optimality conditions and shows that under mild assumptions, optimal contracts are classical (non-randomized) type.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts exist and can be classical (non-randomized) type under mild assumptions.

The paper analyzes a game where players must balance short-term and long-term interests, leading to cooperative or competitive outcomes.

problem Analyzing time inconsistency in inter-personal decision-making under non-exponential discounting.
method Iterative procedures and Zorn's lemma to find Nash equilibria between players' intra-personal equilibria.
result Inter-personal equilibria exist and depend on the impatience levels of the players.

We describe an agent-based simulation of a fictional (but feasible) information trading business. The Gas Price Information Trader (GPIT) buys information about real-time gas prices in a metropolitan area from drivers and resells the information to drivers who need to refuel their vehicles. Our simulation uses real wor…

2013-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This research improves debt collection strategies using advanced machine learning.

problem Accurate estimation of propensity to pay and cashflow for optimal debt collection.
method Developed a machine learning framework with pre-processing and model selection.
result The proposed model outperforms current industry strategies.

We show how to restructure the counterparty risk faced by the originator of a securitization or covered bond arising from an interest rate hedging swap assisted by a "one-way" collateral agreement. This risk emerges when the swap is negotiated between the special purpose vehicle and a third party that covers itself thr…

2013-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The present paper analyses the formal parallelism existing between the laws of thermodynamics and some economic principles. Based on previous works, we shall show how the existence in Economics of principles analogous to those in thermodynamics involves the occurrence of economic events that remind of well-known phenom…

2015-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Siegel's paradox is a fundamental question in international finance about exchange rates for futures contracts and has puzzled many scholars for over forty years. The unorthodox approach presented in this article leads to an arbitrage-free solution which is invariant under currency re-denominations and is symmetric, as…

2018-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A number of approaches to solving the well-known transfer pricing problem are known. However, few models satisfactorily resolve the core problem of allowing both the source and receiving divisions to earn a profit on transfers during a period in such a way that sub-optimal output levels are avoided. In 1969, Samuel pro…

2009-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Two-layer model studies reinsurance contracts and competition between insurer and reinsurers.

problem Modeling and analyzing reinsurance contracts and competition between insurer and reinsurers.
method Two-layer stochastic game model with insurer negotiating with reinsurers, and reinsurers competing for business.
result Existence and uniqueness of equilibrium strategies for the insurer and reinsurers, characterized in semiclosed form.

AGENTICAITA uses AI agents to autonomously trade markets without human intervention.

problem Inability of traditional trading systems to adapt to market complexity.
method Introduces an agentic AI framework with specialized LLM agents reasoning, negotiating, and acting.
result Demonstrated operational correctness and non-trivial inter-agent negotiation in live market conditions.

A fair reward system boosts participation in federated learning.

problem Fairness in federated learning among competitive agents with siloed data.
method Hierarchically fair federated learning (HFFL) framework with proportional rewards based on contribution levels.
result Efficacy of HFFL in maintaining fairness and facilitating federated learning in competitive settings.

Paper proposes an intersection decision algorithm for autonomous vehicles.

problem Navigating intersections with non-automated vehicles.
method Combines reinforcement learning for high-level decisions and model predictive control for low-level planning.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms another controller in success rate and training episodes.

Managers of US National Forests must decide what policy to apply for dealing with lightning-caused wildfires. Conflicts among stakeholders (e.g., timber companies, home owners, and wildlife biologists) have often led to spirited political debates and even violent eco-terrorism. One way to transform these conflicts into…

2017-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Game-theoretic models predict asset prices in financial markets.

problem Understanding price formation in financial markets with limited liquidity.
method Developed game-theoretic models for many-person and mean-field games, derived analytical formulas, and numerically assessed results.
result The derived price converges to the mean-field counterpart under specific conditions.

The paper analyzes RfQ processes on MD2C platforms using probabilistic models.

problem Analyzing the negotiation process on MD2C platforms to ensure dealers' profitability.
method Probabilistic graphical models and causal inference.
result Generative models can match predictive accuracy of discriminative models while enforcing business requirements.

New architecture improves decision-making in dense traffic.

problem Designing accurate and compact learning architectures for autonomous vehicles in crowded conditions.
method Attention-based architecture that accounts for interactions between vehicles.
result Significant performance gains and interpretable interaction patterns.

Approach for assessing supply chain cyber risks using expert judgment and forecasting.

problem Supply chain managers face challenges in assessing cyber risks affecting business factors.
method Structured expert judgment and forecasting models to assess various attack techniques and impacts.
result Facilitates implementation of risk management activities and decision-making processes.

Paper improves COCO problem, reducing constraint violation at the cost of slightly more regret.

problem Online Convex Optimization with adversarial constraints.
method Proposes new policies that trade off regret for reduced constraint violation.
result Achieves ildeO(dT+Tβ) ilde{O}(\sqrt{dT}+ T^β) regret and ildeO(dT1β) ilde{O}(dT^{1-β}) CCV.

The moving sofa problem, posed by L. Moser in 1966, asks for the planar shape of maximal area that can move around a right-angled corner in a hallway of unit width, and is conjectured to have as its solution a complicated shape derived by Gerver in 1992. We extend Gerver's techniques by deriving a family of six differe…

2016-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Autonomous driving is a multi-agent setting where the host vehicle must apply sophisticated negotiation skills with other road users when overtaking, giving way, merging, taking left and right turns and while pushing ahead in unstructured urban roadways. Since there are many possible scenarios, manually tackling all po…

2016-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

On June 26th, 2004, Central bank governors and the heads of bank supervisory authorities in the Group of Ten (G10) countries issued a press release and endorsed the publication of "International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: a Revised Framework", the new capital adequacy framework commonly k…

2005-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep RL mimics human driving for collision avoidance in self-driving cars.

problem Developing human-like driving policies for autonomous vehicles in mixed traffic environments.
method Model-free, deep reinforcement learning approach using a combination of rule-based and expert-driven data.
result Demonstrated human-like driving policies through Gaussian process modeling of track position and speed distributions.

Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.

problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.

S3^3Attention improves long sequence attention with smoothed skeleton sketching.

problem Quadratic complexity of vanilla Attention makes it unsuitable for long sequence tasks.
method S3^3Attention uses smoothing and matrix sketching to balance information preservation and computation.
result S3^3Attention significantly outperforms vanilla Attention and other Attention variants.

IDAS approach for autonomous vehicles to make decisions under merging scenarios.

problem Decision making for autonomous vehicles in merging scenarios with varying driver cooperativeness.
method IDAS approach using multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) with curriculum learning and masking mechanism.
result IDAS approach can handle uncertainties in real-world scenarios and make strategic decisions.

Money is a technology for promoting economic prosperity. Over history money has become increasingly abstract, it used to be hardware, gold coins and the like, now it is mostly software, data structures located in banks. Here I propose the logical conclusion of the abstraction of money: to use as money the most general …

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Developed a cost and revenue model for HEMS to estimate breakeven transport volumes under different reimbursement and labor cost assumptions.

problem Estimating breakeven transport volumes for HEMS under varying reimbursement and labor cost assumptions.
method Developed a two-part model: cost framework and actuarial revenue model using healthcare encounter data and payer reimbursement rates.
result Estimated breakeven transport volumes under different reimbursement and labor cost assumptions.

Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether show signs of financial bubbles, leading to market crashes.

problem Cryptocurrencies' price volatility and potential for financial bubbles.
method Applied quantitative models including Log Periodic Power Law and Phillips-Shi-Yu tests.
result Bitcoin and Ether exhibit bubble characteristics, predicting market crashes.

Bayesian optimization reduces computational effort in aircraft design optimization.

problem High computational cost in industrial aircraft design optimization.
method Constrained Bayesian optimization (Super Efficient Global Optimization with Mixture of Experts)
result Significant computational efficiency improvements over existing Isight optimizers.