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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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207414620827 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for optimal dose interval

Proposes a method for generating prediction intervals in dose-response models using conformal prediction.

problem Uncertainty quantification in continuous treatments for personalized healthcare decisions.
method Causal dose-response problem framed as covariate shift, using weighted conformal prediction with propensity estimation and kernel functions.
result Demonstrates the significance of covariate shift assumptions for robust prediction intervals.

Shared Keyboard design improves phase I clinical trials by borrowing information across doses.

problem Interim decisions based on current dose data may overlook signals from neighboring doses.
method Bayesian model-assisted design using Beta kernel process with kernel-weighted pseudo-counts.
result Significant improvements in identifying maximum tolerated dose and safety.

Develops a two-stage conformal prediction method for Parkinson's disease medication needs.

problem Heterogeneous disease progression and treatment response in Parkinson's Disease.
method Two-stage conformal prediction framework with statistical guarantees.
result Quantifies uncertainty in medication needs predictions, improving clinical trust and quality of life.

CASCADE improves uncertainty communication in Parkinson's disease medication management.

problem Uncertainty in clinical decision-making for Parkinson's disease patients.
method CASCADE uses a novel conformal prediction framework to adaptively scale prediction intervals based on classification uncertainty.
result CASCADE produces more efficient and robust prediction intervals for Parkinson's disease patients.

We study the problem of finding the optimal dosage in early stage clinical trials through the multi-armed bandit lens. We advocate the use of the Thompson Sampling principle, a flexible algorithm that can accommodate different types of monotonicity assumptions on the toxicity and efficacy of the doses. For the simplest…

2019-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Determining the optimal initial dose for warfarin is a critically important task. Several factors have an impact on the therapeutic dose for individual patients, such as patients' physical attributes (Age, Height, etc.), medication profile, co-morbidities, and metabolic genotypes (CYP2C9 and VKORC1). These wide range f…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

SEEDA optimizes dose allocation in clinical trials to balance efficacy and safety.

problem Complex relationships between efficacy and toxicity in new drug trials.
method Adaptive clinical trial methodology that maximizes cumulative efficacy while ensuring safety constraints.
result SEEDA outperforms existing methods in finding optimal doses with higher success rates and fewer patients.

Warfarin dosing remains challenging due to narrow therapeutic index and highly individual variability. Incorrect warfarin dosing is associated with devastating adverse events. Remarkable efforts have been made to develop the machine learning based warfarin dosing algorithms incorporating clinical factors and genetic va…

2018-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new method to measure and avoid harm in machine learning decisions.

problem Measuring and avoiding harm in machine learning algorithms.
method Formal definition of harm and benefit using causal models, counterfactual objective functions.
result Demonstrates that standard machine learning methods can lead to harmful policies under distributional shifts.

A new model improves CT image quality from low-dose scans.

problem Improving CT image quality from low-dose scans.
method Multi-layer Residual Sparsifying Transform (MRST) learning model for low-dose CT reconstruction.
result The MRST model outperforms conventional methods in maintaining subtle details.

Proposes a framework for automated radiation therapy treatment planning with uncertainty quantification.

problem Quantifying uncertainties in dose-related quantities for automated treatment planning.
method Three-step pipeline: feature extraction, dose statistic prediction, and dose mimicking.
result Probabilistic treatment plans agree better with clinical counterparts than non-probabilistic ones.

SDF-Bayes finds safe drug combinations safely, balancing optimism and caution.

problem Finding safe drug combinations in clinical trials with multiple drugs and patient heterogeneity.
method SDF-Bayes uses Bayesian statistics to choose the most likely MTD while ensuring safety constraints.
result SDF-Bayes outperforms existing methods in both accuracy and safety for drug combination trials.

A new cycleGAN architecture reduces memory and parameter requirements for low-dose CT denoising.

problem Efficient unsupervised low-dose CT denoising with minimal memory and parameter usage.
method Single switchable generator using AdaIN layers for efficient training and inference.
result The proposed method outperforms previous cycleGAN approaches with half the parameters.

A novel dose-finding design for cancer clinical trials using level set estimation.

problem Finding the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) in phase I cancer clinical trials.
method Proposes a novel dose-finding design based on level set estimation (LSE) to determine the next dose.
result The proposed LSE design achieves higher accuracy in estimating the MTD and lower risk of overdosing compared to existing designs.

The paper tackles online learning problems with monotone arm sequences, achieving optimal or near-optimal regret bounds.

problem Online learning problems with ordinal and monotone arm sequences, such as dynamic pricing and clinical trials.
method Proposes algorithms for continuum-armed bandit problems with monotone arm sequences, achieving optimal or near-optimal regret bounds.
result Achieves optimal or near-optimal regret bounds for monotone arm sequences, differing from the continuous-armed bandit literature.

A ML-based method reconstructs 3D organ doses from 2D radiographs for pediatric abdominal radiotherapy.

problem Reconstructing detailed 3D dose distributions for childhood cancer survivors using limited 2D radiographs.
method Surrogate-free ML approach using 142 abdominal planning CTs, 300 artificial plans, and evolutionary algorithm.
result Accurate 3D dose reconstructions with MAEs ≤ 1.7 Gy for edge organs, validated on independent dataset.

A major challenge in computed tomography (CT) is to reduce X-ray dose to a low or even ultra-low level while maintaining the high quality of reconstructed images. We propose a new method for CT reconstruction that combines penalized weighted-least squares reconstruction (PWLS) with regularization based on a sparsifying…

2017-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a neural surrogate for proton dose calculation using Monte Carlo dropout uncertainty.

problem Computational demand in proton therapy workflows requiring repeated evaluations.
method Integrates Monte Carlo dropout into a neural network surrogate for fast, differentiable dose predictions and uncertainty quantification.
result Shows significant speedups over MC while retaining uncertainty information.

Paper develops methods to estimate derivative of dose-response curve for continuous treatments.

problem Estimating the derivative of the dose-response curve for continuous treatments.
method Doubly robust (DR) inference method using kernel smoothing, bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators.
result Proposes novel bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators for continuous treatments.

Exploratory cancer drug studies test multiple tumor cell lines against multiple candidate drugs. The goal in each paired (cell line, drug) experiment is to map out the dose-response curve of the cell line as the dose level of the drug increases. We propose Bayesian Tensor Filtering (BTF), a hierarchical Bayesian model …

2019-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Controlled interventions provide the most direct source of information for learning causal effects. In particular, a dose-response curve can be learned by varying the treatment level and observing the corresponding outcomes. However, interventions can be expensive and time-consuming. Observational data, where the treat…

2016-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes estimators for complex dose-response curves using kernel methods.

problem Estimating complex dose-response curves with continuous treatments, mediators, and covariates.
method Kernel ridge regression with sequential kernel embedding technique.
result Simple estimators for mediated and time-varying dose response curves with nonasymptotic uniform rates.

A new algorithm uses concavity in Gaussian processes to optimize decisions in bandit problems.

problem Optimizing decisions in sequential problems with context-dependent rewards.
method Proposes a UCB algorithm using a shape-constrained reward function estimator based on a Gaussian Process model with concavity constraints.
result Derives regret bounds for the proposed UCB algorithm.

We study the problem of policy evaluation and learning from batched contextual bandit data when treatments are continuous, going beyond previous work on discrete treatments. Previous work for discrete treatment/action spaces focuses on inverse probability weighting (IPW) and doubly robust (DR) methods that use a reject…

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Method bounds continuous-valued treatment effects when confounding variables are hidden.

problem Inferring causal effects of continuous treatments when hidden confounders are present.
method Novel methodology to bound average and conditional average continuous-valued treatment effects.
result Method gives tighter coverage of true dose-response curve than existing methods.

A human-in-the-loop ML framework for precision dosing reduces expert workload and removes bias.

problem High cost of data annotation and lack of appropriate data for ML models.
method Incorporates human experts into the model learning loop to improve interpretability and reduce bias.
result The approach learns interpretable rules from data and potentially lowers expert workload.

Proposes a method to estimate causal effects of continuous treatments using instrumental variables.

problem Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders.
method Introduces a novel framework using instrumental variables and a uniform regular weighting function to identify and estimate average dose-response functions.
result Establishes the asymptotic properties of the proposed methods for estimating average dose-response functions.

SHIFT improves robustness in estimating dose-response functions with heavy-tailed contamination.

problem Outliers bias estimates of average dose-response functions in heavy-tailed data.
method SHIFT combines cross-fit nuisance orthogonalization, Welsch-loss, and defensive OLS refit.
result SHIFT reduces RMSE from 1.03 to 0.33 on localized contamination test.

The paper integrates AI and expert knowledge to optimize radiotherapy decisions.

problem Optimizing radiation dose planning considering patient-specific information.
method Integrating Gaussian process models with deep neural networks to quantify uncertainty.
result Improves AI model performance and guides clinical decision making.