A geometric approach to differential game theory is illustrated. The parallel pursuit is considered as a two-player zero-sum differential game. The optimal strategies of each player is designed based on Riemann-Finsler geometry. Our approach incorporates a closed loop optimal control and the presentation is familiar wi…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Deep fictitious play converges to Nash equilibrium in stochastic differential games.
GT-DDP optimizer trains residual networks using game theory.
Transforms game optimization dynamics into frequency domain for precise hyperparameter analysis.
The paper solves investment problems with uncertain factors using game theory.
This paper studies the optimal extraction and taxation of nonrenewable natural resources. It is well known that the market values of the main strategic resources such as oil, natural gas, uranium, copper,..., etc, fluctuate randomly following global and seasonal macroeconomic parameters, these values are modeled using …
The paper solves TIC LQ control problems using stochastic differential games.
The study examines how brokers' identity affects their trading strategies on the Toronto Stock Exchange.
Paper solves complex game theory problems with new equations.
Games generalize the single-objective optimization paradigm by introducing different objective functions for different players. Differentiable games often proceed by simultaneous or alternating gradient updates. In machine learning, games are gaining new importance through formulations like generative adversarial netwo…
This paper optimizes trading strategies to minimize risk and maximize profit while accounting for market uncertainty.
This paper uses recent results on continuous-time finite-horizon optimal switching problems with negative switching costs to prove the existence of a saddle point in an optimal stopping (Dynkin) game. Sufficient conditions for the game's value to be continuous with respect to the time horizon are obtained using recent …
Solves a game between brokers and informed traders using stochastic differential equations.
New algorithm improves on static methods in Active Simple Hypothesis Testing.
This paper presents a novel approach to numerically solve stochastic differential games for nonlinear systems. The proposed approach relies on the nonlinear Feynman-Kac theorem that establishes a connection between parabolic deterministic partial differential equations and forward-backward stochastic differential equat…
Game theory models how agents trade in a risky asset considering price impact and a common signal.
Mean field game theory studies the behavior of a large number of interacting individuals in a game theoretic setting and has received a lot of attention in the past decade (Lasry and Lions, Japanese journal of mathematics, 2007). In this work, we derive mean field game partial differential equation systems from determi…
Paper resolves ambiguity in non-convex bilevel optimization problems.
Algorithm identifies correct hypothesis from alternatives in bandit problems.
The extragradient method accelerates convergence in complex game dynamics.
A new method uses Mean Field Games to optimize mixture models of Bernoulli and categorical distributions.
This paper studies the valuation and optimal strategy of convertible bonds as a Dynkin game by using the reflected backward stochastic differential equation method and the variational inequality method. We first reduce such a Dynkin game to an optimal stopping time problem with state constraint, and then in a Markovian…
New algorithm solves non-convex, non-differentiable min-max games.
We consider risk-averse agents who compete for liquidity in an Almgren--Chriss market impact model. Mathematically, this situation can be described by a Nash equilibrium for a certain linear-quadratic differential game with state constraints. The state constraints enter the problem as terminal boundary conditions f…
New algorithms solve nonconvex-nonconcave minimax optimization problems.
This paper introduces a new class of Dynkin games, where the two players are allowed to make their stopping decisions at a sequence of exogenous Poisson arrival times. The value function and the associated optimal stopping strategy are characterized by the solution of a backward stochastic differential equation. The pa…
New ODE models show saddle-point optimization methods converge differently, with last-iterate convergence for OGDA.
Financial markets are often driven by latent factors which traders cannot observe. Here, we address an algorithmic trading problem with collections of heterogeneous agents who aim to perform optimal execution or statistical arbitrage, where all agents filter the latent states of the world, and their trading actions hav…
In this paper, we apply the idea of fictitious play to design deep neural networks (DNNs), and develop deep learning theory and algorithms for computing the Nash equilibrium of asymmetric -player non-zero-sum stochastic differential games, for which we refer as \emph{deep fictitious play}, a multi-stage learning pro…
In this paper, we consider a risk-based optimal investment problem of an insurer in a regime-switching jump diffusion model with noisy memory. Using the model uncertainty modeling, we formulate the investment problem as a zero-sum, stochastic differential delay game between the insurer and the market, with a convex ris…
Proposes a game-theoretic framework for ML trust regulation.
In this paper we propose and analyze a class of -player stochastic games that include finite fuel stochastic games as a special case. We first derive sufficient conditions for the Nash equilibrium (NE) in the form of a verification theorem. The associated Quasi-Variational-Inequalities include an essential game comp…
Study on optimal trading in a finite population with market frictions and asymmetric information.
In this article we consider a game theoretic approach to the Risk-Sensitive Benchmarked Asset Management problem (RSBAM) of Davis and Lleo \cite{DL}. In particular, we consider a stochastic differential game between two players, namely, the investor who has a power utility while the second player represents the market …
Recent successes of game-theoretic formulations in ML have caused a resurgence of research interest in differentiable games. Overwhelmingly, that research focuses on methods and upper bounds on their speed of convergence. In this work, we approach the question of fundamental iteration complexity by providing lower boun…
This paper investigates a hybrid stochastic differential reinsurance and investment game between one reinsurer and two insurers, including a stochastic Stackelberg differential subgame and a non-zero-sum stochastic differential subgame. The reinsurer, as the leader of the Stackelberg game, can price reinsurance premium…
Deep learning is built on the foundational guarantee that gradient descent on an objective function converges to local minima. Unfortunately, this guarantee fails in settings, such as generative adversarial nets, that exhibit multiple interacting losses. The behavior of gradient-based methods in games is not well under…
AutoBayes simplifies variational inference by composing models and optimizing them.
The paper analyzes arbitrage opportunities in a large investor market with common stock noises.
Paper proves existence and uniqueness of solutions to nonlocal systems, generalizing stochastic game theory.
We consider differentiable games where the goal is to find a Nash equilibrium. The machine learning community has recently started using variants of the gradient method (GD). Prime examples are extragradient (EG), the optimistic gradient method (OG) and consensus optimization (CO), which enjoy linear convergence in cas…
Study shows how multiple traders can trade together without excessive price impact.
This paper presents OptNet, a network architecture that integrates optimization problems (here, specifically in the form of quadratic programs) as individual layers in larger end-to-end trainable deep networks. These layers encode constraints and complex dependencies between the hidden states that traditional convoluti…
Investors' strategic trading affects asset prices, modeled as a game.
Paper studies optimal tracking portfolio in mean field game of large fund competition.
This paper analyzes a game between insurer and reinsurer under ambiguity and risk aversion, optimizing reinsurance and investment strategies.
Although recent work in AI has made great progress in solving large, zero-sum, extensive-form games, the underlying assumption in most past work is that the parameters of the game itself are known to the agents. This paper deals with the relatively under-explored but equally important "inverse" setting, where the param…
We study the competition of two strategic agents for liquidity in the benchmark portfolio tracking setup of Bank, Soner, Voß (2017). Specifically, both agents track their own stochastic running trading targets while interacting through common aggregated temporary and permanent price impact à la Almgren and Chriss (2001…