RegTech improves compliance and risk management through tech solutions.
problem Increasing regulatory costs and reliance on tech for crisis management.
method Examining RegTech solutions and their benefits.
result RegTech will be a promising market due to rising compliance costs and tech reliance.
We propose a diffusion process to describe the global dynamic evolution of credit operations at a national level given observed operations at a subnational level in a sovereign country. Empirical analysis with a unique dataset from Brazilian federate constituents supports the conclusions. Despite the heterogeneity obse…
The basic financial purpose of corporation is creation of its value. Liquidity management should also contribute to realization of this fundamental aim. Many of the current asset management models that are found in financial management literature assume book profit maximization as the basic financial purpose. These boo…
Study optimizes natural resource harvesting under model uncertainty using risk measures.
problem Optimal harvesting policy selection for natural resources under model uncertainty.
method Investigated using neoclassical growth model dynamics and convex risk measures, specifically Fréchet risk measures.
result Robust harvesting strategies quantifying operational and marginal risk under model uncertainty.
Paper introduces reinforcement learning for managing power grids.
problem Balancing power flows and maintaining grid stability in real-time.
method Reinforcement Learning applied to power network operations.
result Demonstrates feasibility of machine learning in power grid management.
PowRL uses RL to manage power grids robustly, reducing overloads and maintaining power reliability.
problem Managing transient stability and preventing blackouts in power networks with uncertain generation and load demands.
method PowRL leverages a novel heuristic for overload management and RL-guided topology selection to ensure safe and reliable operation.
result PowRL outperforms other agents in L2RPN challenges, demonstrating robust performance in various scenarios.
We numerically study an Asset Liability Management problem linked to the decommissioning of French nuclear power plants. We link the risk aversion of practitioners to an optimization problem. Using different price models we show that the optimal solution is linked to a de-risking management strategy similar to a concav…
New bounds for quantile aggregation unify and clarify existing methods.
problem Analytical bounds for quantile aggregation with dependence uncertainty.
method Using inf-convolution of quantile-based risk measures, establish new analytical bounds called convolution bounds.
result Convolution bounds are the best available and provide sharp results in many cases.
Paper proposes real-time risk metrics for stablecoin protocols.
problem Lack of risk management frameworks for stablecoins.
method Developed two risk metrics: capitalization and liquidity.
result Demonstrated practical benefits of real-time on-chain data.
Continued reliance on human operators for managing data centers is a major impediment for them from ever reaching extreme dimensions. Large computer systems in general, and data centers in particular, will ultimately be managed using predictive computational and executable models obtained through data-science tools, an…
Decision tool helps manage biofouling risks for ships in the Baltic Sea.
problem Biofouling of ships causes environmental and economic issues.
method Bayesian networks to identify biofouling management strategies.
result Optimal biofouling management includes biocidal-free coating and in-water cleaning.
Study improves machine learning for long-term financial portfolio management.
problem Machine learning precision declines with long-term data.
method Data augmentation using multiple time scales and learning data.
result Generalization performance can be maintained for long-term tasks.
The basic financial purpose of an enterprise is maximization of its value. Trade credit management should also contribute to realization of this fundamental aim. Many of the current asset management models that are found in financial management literature assume book profit maximization as the basic financial purpose. …
This paper explores deep learning for financial trading, integrating sentiment analysis.
problem Maximizing profit and minimizing loss in financial trading.
method Supervised and reinforcement learning schemes, integrating sentiment analysis.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of deep learning methods in financial trading.
Deep learning optimizes gas storage operations.
problem Optimizing underground natural gas storage operations.
method Reinforcement learning techniques applied to high-dimensional forward markets with constraints.
result Performance of deep learning method superior to least-squares Monte-Carlo approach.
Paper uses RL to optimize SFC deployment and VNF management in NFV networks.
problem Optimizing SFC deployment and VNF management in NFV networks to reduce packet loss.
method Reinforcement Learning (PPO) to optimize SFC deployment and VNF management.
result PPO agent reduces packet loss in SFC deployment and VNF management.
AAMDRL uses DRL to manage assets in noisy, changing environments.
problem Learning in noisy, self-adapting environments with sequential data.
method Augmented state information, one-period lag, walk forward analysis.
result AAMDRL outperforms traditional methods in asset management.
Novel framework identifies pump-specific deterioration rates using Bayesian hierarchical hazard modeling and causal discovery.
problem Challenges in asset management due to heterogeneous deterioration rates in pump equipment.
method Bayesian hierarchical hazard modeling with causal discovery, GPU-accelerated No-U-Turn Sampling (NUTS), and DirectLiNGAM.
result Identified striking heterogeneity in deterioration rates, with negative effects 400 times larger than positive effects.
Paper shows re-solving heuristics have constant regret for price-based revenue management.
problem Optimal pricing policies for revenue management with time constraints.
method Proves re-solving heuristics have O(1) regret compared to optimal policies. result Improved regret bound to O(1) from O(lnT), complemented by Ω(lnT) gap with fluid model. We study the asymptotic behavior of the difference between the values at risk VaR(L) and VaR(L+S) for heavy tailed random variables L and S for application in sensitivity analysis of quantitative operational risk management within the framework of the advanced measurement approach of Basel II (and III). Here L describe…
Decentralised fund framework allocates capital via tokenised vaults.
problem Traditional asset management's inefficiencies and centralisation.
method Permissionless, multi-strategy capital allocation through on-chain vaults.
result Self-regulating, cooperative optimisation across financial domains.
Enhances crowd safety through AI and data-driven models.
problem Improving crowd safety during events.
method Innovative data collection, AI, and machine learning.
result Accurate multi-day forecasts for event planning.
Review of uncertainty representation methods in risk management.
problem Inadequate consideration of uncertainty in risk management.
method Systematic literature review of 370 publications.
result Probabilistic methods are predominant, but fuzzy and evidence-based approaches are also useful.
This study investigates the use of reinforcement learning to guide a general purpose cache manager decisions. Cache managers directly impact the overall performance of computer systems. They govern decisions about which objects should be cached, the duration they should be cached for, and decides on which objects to ev…
Study uses VC correlation to uncover directional financial relationships.
problem Understanding causal relationships between financial variables.
method Volatility constrained correlation (VC correlation) method.
result Operating income is most influential, while market capitalization and revenue are most susceptible.
The introduction of automated flight control and management systems have made possible aircraft designs that sacrifice arodynamic stability in order to incorporate stealth technology intro their shape, operate more efficiently, and are highly maneuverable. Therefore, modern flight management systems are reliant on mult…
Derivative-informed models improve financial surrogates for accurate hedging and risk management.
problem Developing fast surrogate models for financial derivatives and risk quantities.
method Derivative-informed operator learning framework combining neural operators, random features, and tangent sensitivity equations.
result The framework reduces hedging and risk errors by 40-76% compared to standard surrogates.
New pricing framework allocates costs of operating reserves and transmission.
problem Allocating costs of operating reserves and transmission efficiently.
method Causation-based framework using contingency-constrained scheduling models.
result More comprehensive and efficient cost-reflective market operations.
Deep neural networks reduce portfolio tail-risk by 99% in crisis-era simulations.
problem Managing tail risk in financial portfolios.
method Parameterizing convex-risk minimization with deep neural networks.
result Significant reduction in one-day 99% CVaR.
Paper tackles time inconsistency in portfolio management with stochastic volatility and power utility.
problem Time inconsistency in portfolio management with stochastic volatility and power utility.
method Extended Hamilton Jacobi Bellman (HJB) equation, fixed point iteration, and linear parabolic PDE.
result Subgame perfect strategies are characterized and solved through numerical experiments.
We develop the first basic Operational Risk perspective on key risk management issues associated with the development of new forms of electronic currency in the real economy. In particular, we focus on understanding the development of new risks types and the evolution of current risk types as new components of financia…
The study improves load forecasting for electricity consumers using advanced machine learning models.
problem Improving short-term load forecasting for effective scheduling and decision-making.
method Proposes and evaluates statistical nonlinear models, including LSTM and GRU, for 15-min frequency electricity load forecasting.
result Advanced models outperform other models in out-of-sample forecasting accuracy, as shown by the Diebold-Mariano test.
Paper tackles online learning for DR management with incentives.
problem Estimating baseline consumption in DR programs with consumer incentives.
method Online learning scheme using least-squares with perturbed reward prices.
result Achieves low regret of $\mathcal{O}\left((\log{T})^2
ight)$ compared to optimal.
Proposes a new method to learn meta-priors from data.
problem Improving learning systems with domain knowledge and controlling parameter learning rates.
method Hierarchical Empirical Bayes approach to decouple learning rates of features.
result Meta-prior learning improves performance and convergence time in various applications.
Paper tackles AI risks by customizing metrics and models.
problem AI risks are multidimensional and immaturely managed.
method Decomposes AI risks into data protection, fairness, etc., and develops metrics and models.
result Customized metrics and models reduce AI risk uncertainty.
Blockchain protocol improves traditional mutual funds with performance fees and investor protection.
problem Operational issues and performance fees in traditional mutual funds.
method Developed a blockchain protocol that integrates features of mutual funds and hedge funds.
result Blockchain can simplify performance fee calculations and protect investors.
Proposes a Big Data framework for SC forecasting, including data preprocessing and machine learning.
problem Improving SC forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
method Data collection, preprocessing, machine learning model training, hyperparameter tuning, performance evaluation.
result Optimized SC forecasting models enhance workforce, inventory, and overall SC performance.
An online framework improves investment management by making incremental updates.
problem Offline investment processes restrict silos from collectively pursuing a unified goal.
method Developed an online algorithm workflow for portfolio management.
result The online framework outperforms market benchmarks and reduces overfitting.
GAICF proposes a framework for managing generative AI risks in banking.
problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.
This paper studies the problem of spectrum shortage in an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) network during critical missions such as wildfire monitoring, search and rescue, and disaster monitoring. Such applications involve a high demand for high-throughput data transmissions such as real-time video-, image-, and voice- st…
The purpose of this research article is to discover how the econophysics analysis can complement the econometrics models in application to the risk management in the central banks and financial institutions, operating within the nonlinear dynamical financial system. We consider the modern risk management models and sho…
The study optimizes supply chain management through a dice-based model to predict cleaner production.
problem Uncertainty in supply chain management and economic predictions.
method A 4-component SC module (environmental, demand, economic, social uncertainties) ranked by weight, using Analytical Hierarchical Process and optimization of a weighted cost function.
result Identifies conditions validating the sustainability of a business venture and optimizes market uncertainty.
This study identifies financial risk paths in digital-transformed enterprises.
problem Identifying financial risks in digital-transformed enterprises.
method DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC method.
result Political and economic environment affects enterprise's financial structure.
Models to price long term loans in the securities lending business are developed. These longer horizon deals can be viewed as contracts with optionality embedded in them. This insight leads to the usage of established methods from derivatives theory to price such contracts. Numerical simulations are used to demonstrate…
GARCH-UGH improves VaR estimation for financial risk management.
problem Dynamic estimation of extreme VaR in financial time series.
method AR-GARCH filtering followed by a bias-reduced extreme value estimator.
result GARCH-UGH estimates are more accurate than conventional methods.
This paper tackles bandit optimization with a new pairwise comparison oracle for unknown strongly concave functions.
problem Maximizing an unknown strongly concave function over T periods with a biased pairwise comparison oracle.
method Introduced a discretization technique and local polynomial approximation to relate the problem to linear bandits. Developed a tournament successive elimination technique to localize the discretized cell and run LinUCB algorithm on cells.
result Established optimal regret bounds and improved state-of-the-art results in operations management problems.
Paper identifies a shared toolkit of strategies for risk management across fields.
problem Uncertainty and risk management in various fields.
method Systematic identification and categorization of 110 strategies.
result RDOT: Risk-reducing Design and Operations Toolkit provides versatile responses to uncertainty.
Reinforcement learning for optimizing retirement plans and target dated funds.
problem Optimizing financial goals through periodic investments and withdrawals.
method G-Learner and GIRL algorithms for goal-based wealth management.
result G-Learner provides a computationally tractable solution for wealth management tasks.