We revisit the notion of individual fairness proposed by Dwork et al. A central challenge in operationalizing their approach is the difficulty in eliciting a human specification of a similarity metric. In this paper, we propose an operationalization of individual fairness that does not rely on a human specification of …
Operationalizes engagement as human behavior, linking theory and data.
problem Fuzziness of engagement concept.
method Formal framework, Melchoir Model, model comparison, theory-driven hypothesis.
result Engagement can be shaped and interpreted using data-driven methods.
The emph{securities market} is the fundamental theoretical framework in economics and finance for resource allocation under uncertainty. Securities serve both to reallocate risk and to disseminate probabilistic information. emph{Complete} securities markets - which contain one security for every possible state of natur…
New framework optimizes for 'value' rather than engagement.
problem Gap between engagement signals and desired notion of 'value'.
method Measurement theory framework, latent variable model, qualitative evaluation.
result Operationalizes and optimizes for a desired notion of 'value'.
Most of the existing solutions to enterprise threat management are preventive approaches prescribing means to prevent policy violations with varying degrees of success. In this paper we consider the complementary scenario where a number of security violations have already occurred, or security threats, or vulnerabiliti…
This work shifts focus from prediction to intervention in social systems.
problem The limitations of focusing solely on prediction in automated decision systems.
method Shift from prediction-focused paradigm to intervention-oriented approach.
result A new perspective unifies statistical frameworks and tools for ADS design, implementation, and evaluation.
Paper develops adaptive models for robust energy forecasting with missing data.
problem Operational models assume complete data; missing data can degrade forecast accuracy.
method Adaptive robust optimization and adversarial machine learning for missing data.
result Proposed models perform well even with short-term missing data and significantly outperform imputation with longer-term missing data.
Deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) used in practice employ potentially hundreds of layers and 10,000s of nodes. Such network sizes entail significant computational complexity due to the large number of convolutions that need to be carried out; in addition, a large number of parameters needs to be learned and…
New OLO algorithms use Stein's method for better performance tradeoffs.
problem Achieving optimal tradeoffs in adversarial online linear optimization.
method Operationalizing Stein's method for computationally efficient OLO algorithms.
result Additively sharp upper bounds on regret and total loss.
This paper presents a general iterative bias correction procedure for regression smoothers. This bias reduction schema is shown to correspond operationally to the L2 Boosting algorithm and provides a new statistical interpretation for L2 Boosting. We analyze the behavior of the Boosting algorithm applied to commo…
ABOUT ML aims to improve transparency in ML lifecycle documentation.
problem Lack of standard documentation in machine learning lifecycle.
method Initiative to operationalize ML transparency and standardize documentation.
result Helps address gaps in ML lifecycle documentation.
We introduce a framework for performing regression between two Hilbert spaces. This is done based on Kirszbraun's extension theorem, to the best of our knowledge, the first application of this technique to supervised learning. We analyze the statistical and computational aspects of this method. We decompose this task i…
X-SHAP assesses multiplicative variable contributions in machine learning models.
problem Understanding multiplicative interactions in machine learning models.
method Model-agnostic method that extends SHAP to assess multiplicative contributions.
result X-SHAP proves useful in capturing multiplicative feature importance.
The paper investigates how ambiguous data and cognitive biases affect machine learning in humanitarian decision making.
problem Ambiguous data and cognitive biases impact the interpretability of machine learning models in humanitarian decision making.
method The study will explore the effects of data ambiguity and cognitive biases on machine learning algorithms in humanitarian contexts.
result The research aims to uncover the specific ways in which ambiguous data and cognitive biases influence the interpretability of machine learning models in humanitarian decision making.
Examines fairness in ML for health, highlighting its importance and challenges.
problem Ensuring fairness in ML models for health to prevent health disparities.
method Reviews fairness notions in ML for health, including group, individual, and causal-based approaches.
result Discusses the importance and challenges of fairness in health-focused ML applications.
News embeddings improve volatility forecasts.
problem Improving volatility forecasting accuracy.
method Transformed news text into embeddings, evaluated standalone and combined with benchmarks.
result News contains useful predictive information, especially for stock-related content.
Bayesian framework explains diverse explanatory values.
problem Understanding and predicting human preferences for explanations.
method Developed a Bayesian account to integrate various explanatory values.
result Core values from psychology, statistics, and philosophy emerge from a common framework.
This paper operationalizes the Exponential Mechanism using Normalizing Flows for private optimization.
problem Improving privacy in machine learning while maintaining accuracy and efficiency.
method Using Normalizing Flows to approximate sampling from the Exponential Mechanism for private optimization.
result ExpM+NF provides more privacy than non-private SGD but not as much as DPSGD.
Counterfactuals help compare different scenarios in CI and XAI.
problem Comparing how counterfactuals are used in causal inference and explainable AI.
method Formal definition and comparison of counterfactuals in CI and XAI.
result Identified opportunities for cross-fertilization between CI and XAI.
The study reveals unspanned risks in equity option risk premiums, explaining negative premiums for certain options.
problem Explaining negative risk premiums for certain equity option types.
method Developed a decomposition of equity option risk premiums, operationalized the pricing kernel process, and incorporated unspanned risks.
result Empirical evidence supports the presence of unspanned risks, explaining negative risk premiums for certain options.
Paper develops an AI-driven framework for systematic investing.
problem Manual prompts limit model adaptability and data snooping biases.
method Closed-loop system with self-evolving AI, out-of-sample validation, and economic rationale.
result Long-short portfolios on factor signals outperform with Sharpe ratio 3.11 and return 59.53%.
We compare the acquisition of knowledge in humans and machines. Research from the field of developmental psychology indicates, that human-employed hypothesis are initially guided by simple rules, before evolving into more complex theories. This observation is shared across many tasks and domains. We investigate whether…
Paper generalizes pricing and hedging of volatility swaps in stochastic models.
problem Pricing and hedging of volatility swaps in stochastic volatility models.
method Generalizes zero vanna approximation to seasoned swaps, derives hedges using vanilla options and variance swaps.
result Pricing and hedging of volatility swaps are made practical and robust.
A text mining approach is proposed based on latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) to analyze the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) consumer complaints. The proposed approach aims to extract latent topics in the CFPB complaint narratives, and explores their associated trends over time. The time trends will then be…
Proposes a new fairness definition based on equity for machine learning classification.
problem Machine learning systems can perpetuate societal biases.
method Formalizes a new fairness definition based on equity, operationalizes it for classification, and evaluates its effectiveness.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new fairness definition for equitable classification.
We develop a new statistical test for comparing variables with varying scales.
problem Comparing variables with different scales in multidimensional spaces.
method Order based on expectations of random variables, generalized stochastic dominance (GSD) order, regularized statistical test, linear optimization, imprecise probability models.
result Validated through multidimensional data from various fields.
Mobile and ubiquitous sensing of urban air quality has received increased attention as an economically and operationally viable means to survey atmospheric environment with high spatial-temporal resolution. This paper proposes a machine learning based mobile air pollution sensing framework, called Deep-MAPS, and demons…
In this paper, we propose a new method called ProfWeight for transferring information from a pre-trained deep neural network that has a high test accuracy to a simpler interpretable model or a very shallow network of low complexity and a priori low test accuracy. We are motivated by applications in interpretability and…
A new method for unsupervised disentanglement using axis-aligned cliffs.
problem Unsupervised disentanglement of latent factors under nonlinear maps.
method Encouraging axis-aligned discontinuities (cliffs) in the estimated density of factors.
result Cliff method outperforms baselines on disentanglement benchmarks.
According to a mainstream position in contemporary cognitive science and philosophy, the use of abstract compositional concepts is both a necessary and a sufficient condition for the presence of genuine thought. In this article, we show how the ability to develop and utilise abstract conceptual structures can be achiev…
Accurate prediction of user consumption is a key part not only in understanding consumer flexibility and behavior patterns, but in the design of robust and efficient energy saving programs as well. Existing prediction methods usually have high relative errors that can be larger than 30% and have difficulties accounting…
Density-based clustering relies on the idea of linking groups to some specific features of the probability distribution underlying the data. The reference to a true, yet unknown, population structure allows to frame the clustering problem in a standard inferential setting, where the concept of ideal population clusteri…
In this work we consider the problem of anomaly detection in heterogeneous, multivariate, variable-length time series datasets. Our focus is on the aviation safety domain, where data objects are flights and time series are sensor readings and pilot switches. In this context the goal is to detect anomalous flight segmen…
Study finds transparency and model performance metrics increase trust in AutoML systems.
problem Understanding what information influences trust in AutoML systems.
method Three studies: qualitative interviews, controlled experiment, and card-sorting task.
result Transparency and model performance metrics are most important for establishing trust in AutoML systems.
Study evaluates deep learning methods for climate downscaling over Spain.
problem Deep learning methods' extrapolation capability for climate projections.
method Intercomparison experiment using PP and RCM emulation models.
result Existing models struggle with extrapolating unseen conditions.
Paper presents a new framework for optimal asset and signal combination.
problem Optimal asset and signal combination problem.
method Two-stage approach: reformulate dynamic portfolio selection problem, then use Canonical Correlation Analysis.
result Improved performance of proposed method over natural benchmarks.
Study proposes explainable analytics for manufacturing process planning.
problem Improving data-driven decision-making in manufacturing.
method Combines process mining, machine learning, and XAI. Uses deep learning for prediction and Shapley values/ICE plots for explanations.
result Enhanced decision-making capabilities through local post-hoc explanations.
Develops RES metrics for stable rare-event forecasting evaluation.
problem Challenges in evaluating forecasts of rare events.
method Rare-event-stable (RES) metrics designed to maintain stable thresholds under extreme rarity.
result RES metrics maintain stable thresholds, consistent model rankings, and near-complete prevalence invariance.
This article revisits an analysis on inaccuracies of time series averaging under dynamic time warping conducted by \cite{Niennattrakul2007}. The authors presented a correctness-criterion and introduced drift-outs of averages from clusters. They claimed that averages are inaccurate if they are incorrect or drift-outs. F…
Instrumented data enables causal scientific machine learning
problem Insufficient data for causal scientific machine learning
method Instrumented data with explicit model, uncertainty, and counterfactuals
result Supports causal interventions through Pearl's do-operator
Proposes a new criterion for reliable uncertainty estimation in deep neural networks.
problem Inability of existing approaches to provide reliable uncertainty estimates for deep neural networks.
method Develops a density uncertainty layer architecture that satisfies the proposed criterion.
result Density uncertainty layers provide more reliable uncertainty estimates and robust out-of-distribution detection.
Researchers and financial professionals require robust computerized tools that allow users to rapidly operationalize and assess the semantic textual content in financial news. However, existing methods commonly work at the document-level while deeper insights into the actual structure and the sentiment of individual se…
Meta-learning improves model performance by optimizing data acquisition.
problem Lack of operationally realistic data limits model performance.
method Gaussian process surrogate fit to metadata-driven training data variations.
result Meta-learning enhances model performance compared to random data acquisition.
Proposes RTL model for sentiment classification and key word detection in online reviews.
problem Sentiment classification and key word detection in online reviews for hospitality industry.
method Regularized Text Logistic (RTL) regression model.
result RTL model achieves satisfactory classification performance and identifies key word features.
This work develops a non-parametric test for relational independence in non-i.i.d. data.
problem Testing independence in relational systems where data samples are not i.i.d.
method Kernel mean embedding for relational variables, consistent non-parametric scalable kernel test.
result Empirically validated effectiveness compared to state-of-the-art tests.
Develops variable-lag Granger causality for more accurate time series analysis.
problem Fixed time delay assumption in Granger causality does not fit many real-world applications.
method Variable-lag Granger causality, inferring with arbitrary time delays.
result Performs better than existing methods in coordinated collective behavior studies.
Transfer learning improves MNI's performance in high-dimensional linear regression.
problem Improving model performance in high-dimensional linear regression with diverse data.
method Proposes a Transfer MNI approach, analyzing its excess risk and conditions for outperformance.
result Identifies free-lunch covariate shift regimes where knowledge transfer benefits.
New framework assesses LLM security risks in BFSI.
problem Lack of domain-specific security evaluation for LLMs in BFSI.
method Risk-aware evaluation framework combining taxonomy, automated red-teaming, and ensemble judging.
result Higher decoding stochasticity and adaptive interaction lead to more severe disclosures.