Small deformations of marginally (outer) trapped surfaces are considered by using their stability operator. In the case of spherical symmetry, one can use these deformations on any marginally trapped round sphere to prove several interesting results. The concept of 'core' of a black hole is introduced: it is a minimal …
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48 results for “operating margins”
In order to protect brokers from customer defaults in a volatile market, an active margin system is proposed for the transactions of margin lending in China. The probability of negative return under the condition that collaterals are liquidated in a falling market is used to measure the risk associated with margin loan…
We present a max-margin nonparametric latent feature model, which unites the ideas of max-margin learning and Bayesian nonparametrics to discover discriminative latent features for link prediction and automatically infer the unknown latent social dimension. By minimizing a hinge-loss using the linear expectation operat…
Quantum probability theory reveals hidden structure in joint probability distributions.
problem Understanding hidden structure in joint probability distributions.
method Modeling joint probability distributions as density operators and applying partial trace.
result Decoding extra information in reduced density operators that captures subsystem interactions.
Recently, the infinitesimal moduli space of heterotic compactifications was described in supergravity and related to the cohomology of a target space differential. In this paper we identify the marginal deformations of the corresponding heterotic nonlinear sigma model with cohomology classes of a worldsheet BRST …
The marginal maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) estimation problem, which calculates the mode of the marginal posterior distribution of a subset of variables with the remaining variables marginalized, is an important inference problem in many models, such as those with hidden variables or uncertain parameters. Unfo…
The paper examines risk aggregation under mixtures of marginals, finding that more homogeneous distributions lead to larger uncertainty.
problem Investigating the impact of mixing on risk aggregation uncertainty.
method Analyzes ordering relations and inequalities for aggregation sets under distribution and quantile mixtures.
result More homogeneous marginals result in larger aggregation sets, indicating greater model uncertainty.
Proposes MFSWB for marginal fairness in SWB, improving efficiency and performance.
problem Achieving marginal fairness in SWB averaging.
method Defining MFSWB as a constrained SWB problem, proposing two surrogate problems and a new slicing distribution.
result Surrogate MFSWB problems effectively minimize distances to marginals and encourage marginal fairness.
Study approximates operators on labelled conditional distributions for non-exchangeable systems.
problem Approximating operators on constrained probability measures for non-exchangeable systems.
method Combines cylindrical approximations and DeepONet-type neural architecture for finite-dimensional representations.
result Establishes a universal approximation theorem for continuous operators on .
We develop an HMC algorithm to easily marginalize random effects in LMMs.
problem Bayesian inference in LMMs is challenging, especially marginalizing random effects.
method Developed an HMC algorithm to marginalize random effects in LMMs efficiently.
result Marginalization is always beneficial when applicable and improves various models, especially cognitive science models.
A new diffusion method approximates Schrödinger bridge with improved convergence.
problem Approximating Schrödinger bridge with Langevin diffusion.
method Leveraging Langevin diffusion to approximate Schrödinger bridge.
result The difference between the two approximations is proportional to the score function.
Small deformations of marginally outer trapped surfaces (MOTS) are studied by using the stability operator introduced by Andersson-Mars-Simon. Novel formulae for the principal eigenvalue are presented. A characterization of the many marginally outer trapped tubes (MOTT) passing through a given MOTS is given, and the po…
L'effet de levier de trésorerieq-fin.GN
The effect of leverage on liquidity is a tool for analysing the level of liquidity for a given production process. It measures the sensitivity of the level of liquidity that results from changes in the volume of production and unit operating margin. A commercial activity is liquid at the moment when all costs are cover…
The univariate piecing-together approach (PT) fits a univariate generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) to the upper tail of a given distribution function in a continuous manner. We propose a multivariate extension. First it is shown that an arbitrary copula is in the domain of attraction of a multivariate extreme value …
Unified tractability conditions for various compositional inference queries.
problem Analyzing tractability of probabilistic and causal inference queries.
method Algebraic perspective on circuits, focusing on semiring operators.
result Unified sufficient conditions for tractable composition of operators.
Sequential Monte Carlo techniques are useful for state estimation in non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamic models. These methods allow us to approximate the joint posterior distribution using sequential importance sampling. In this framework, the dimension of the target distribution grows with each time step, thus it is nec…
A new variational method for SSMs improves inference efficiency.
problem Hard variational inference for state space models.
method Proposes variational marginal particle filter (VMPF) based on Rao-Blackwellization.
result VMPF provides tighter variational bounds and sometimes benefits from unbiased reparameterization.
Probabilistic Forecasting and Simulation of Electricity Markets via Online Dictionary Learningstat.AP
The problem of probabilistic forecasting and online simulation of real-time electricity market with stochastic generation and demand is considered. By exploiting the parametric structure of the direct current optimal power flow, a new technique based on online dictionary learning (ODL) is proposed. The ODL approach inc…
Margin trading and short selling boost green tech innovation in China.
problem Encouraging green technology innovation in Chinese companies.
method Quasi-experimental research using panel data of Chinese listed companies, double difference model.
result Margin trading and short selling increase green tech innovation significantly.
Link prediction is a fundamental task in statistical network analysis. Recent advances have been made on learning flexible nonparametric Bayesian latent feature models for link prediction. In this paper, we present a max-margin learning method for such nonparametric latent feature relational models. Our approach attemp…
Generative models often fail to preserve joint structure despite matching marginals.
problem Generative models fail to capture complex dependencies beyond univariate marginals.
method Introduced D_Sigma(P,Q) = ||Sigma_P - Sigma_Q||_F to measure covariance-level dependence fidelity.
result Covariance-level divergence can lead to structural instability in downstream inference.
Researchers expand on best subset selection theory, identifying key complexities.
problem Understanding model selection performance in high-dimensional sparse linear regression.
method Analyzing residualized signals, orthogonality, and spurious projections to establish margin conditions.
result Established necessary and sufficient margin conditions for BSS model consistency.
The new generation of machine learning processors have evolved from multi-core and parallel architectures that were designed to efficiently implement matrix-vector-multiplications (MVMs). This is because at the fundamental level, neural network and machine learning operations extensively use MVM operations and hardware…
Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) have been attracting increasing research attention due to its great potential in inference over graph structures. However, insufficient effort has been devoted to the aggregation methods between different convolution graph layers. In this paper, we introduce a graph attribute…
Optimizes classifiers for varying levels of automation.
problem Supervised learning models often perform worse than human experts on specific instances.
method Focuses on convex margin-based classifiers, showing the problem is NP-hard. For SVMs, the objective function is decomposed into monotone and modular components, allowing efficient algorithms to solve the problem.
result The approach demonstrates that classifiers optimized for varying levels of automation can outperform full automation and human-only models.
Paper proposes a new method for training diffusion models using Markov operators.
problem Training efficiency and accuracy in diffusion models.
method Operator-informed score matching using spectral decomposition of Markov operators.
result Improved score matching for both low and high-dimensional distributions.
Cumulative entropy regularization introduces a regulatory signal to the reinforcement learning (RL) problem that encourages policies with high-entropy actions, which is equivalent to enforcing small deviations from a uniform reference marginal policy. This has been shown to improve exploration and robustness, and it ta…
Rapidly estimating the remaining wall thickness (RWT) is paramount for the non-destructive condition assessment evaluation of large critical metallic pipelines. A robotic vehicle with embedded magnetism-based sensors has been developed to traverse the inside of a pipeline and conduct inspections at the location of a br…
We consider the structured-output prediction problem through probabilistic approaches and generalize the "perturb-and-MAP" framework to more challenging weighted Hamming losses, which are crucial in applications. While in principle our approach is a straightforward marginalization, it requires solving many related MAP …
Paper proposes ManiF-SMC for effective approximate machine unlearning.
problem Limited unlearning effectiveness and potential to undermine original learning objectives.
method Reformulates approximate unlearning as pushing erased samples towards semantic neighbors in retained data, using a margin-based triplet loss.
result Achieves unlearning effectiveness comparable to state-of-the-art methods while operating purely in representation space.
Support vector machine (SVM) has attracted great attentions for the last two decades due to its extensive applications, and thus numerous optimization models have been proposed. To distinguish all of them, in this paper, we introduce a new model equipped with an soft-margin loss (dubbed as -SVM) whic…
Physics-informed Gaussian Process Regression in Solving Eigenvalue Problem of Linear Operatorsstat.ML
Physics-informed GP regression solves eigenvalue problems by identifying non-trivial eigenspaces.
problem Solving eigenvalue problems of linear operators with trivial solutions.
method Constructing a transfer function-type indicator using physics-informed Gaussian Process posterior.
result The posterior covariance is non-trivial only for eigenvalues of the operator, indicating non-trivial eigenspaces.
The paper proposes a method to improve sales forecasts by selecting optimal reference classes.
problem Improving forecasts of sales growth exposed to behavioural bias.
method Finding optimal reference classes for each company based on specific predictors and matching forecast distributions to actual sales.
result The past operating margins are strong predictors for future sales distributions.
This study develops an online predictive optimization framework for dynamically operating a transit service in an area of crowd movements. The proposed framework integrates demand prediction and supply optimization to periodically redesign the service routes based on recently observed demand. To predict demand for the …
BI-EqNO: Generalized Approximate Bayesian Inference with an Equivariant Neural Operator Frameworkstat.ML
BI-EqNO improves Bayesian inference with flexible neural operators.
problem Inaccurate estimation of marginal likelihoods in approximate Bayesian methods.
method Equivariant neural operator framework for generalized approximate Bayesian inference.
result BI-EqNO enhances both deterministic and stochastic approaches to Bayesian inference.
GD at EoS edge minimizes logistic loss without monotonic convergence.
problem Understanding GD's implicit bias at the edge of stability.
method Theoretical analysis of logistic regression with constant stepsize GD.
result GD with any constant stepsize minimizes logistic loss over long time scales.
Decision stumps accurately screen variables in nonparametric models.
problem Challenges in theoretical properties of tree-based variable importance measures.
method Derive performance guarantees for variable selection using a single-level CART decision tree (decision stump).
result Decision stumps can perform consistent model selection despite being inaccurate for estimation.
A novel probabilistic approach forecasts imbalance prices in Belgium.
problem Forecasting imbalance prices in short-term energy markets.
method Two-step approach: compute net regulation volume state transition probabilities, then infer imbalance prices.
result The probabilistic approach outperforms deterministic and Gaussian Process models.
Given labeled points in a high-dimensional vector space, we seek a low-dimensional subspace such that projecting onto this subspace maintains some prescribed distance between points of differing labels. Intended applications include compressive classification. Taking inspiration from large margin nearest neighbor class…
The grid integration of intermittent Renewable Energy Sources (RES) causes costs for grid operators due to forecast uncertainty and the resulting production schedule mismatches. These so-called profile service costs are marginal cost components and can be understood as an insurance fee against RES production schedule u…
Study optimizes natural resource harvesting under model uncertainty using risk measures.
problem Optimal harvesting policy selection for natural resources under model uncertainty.
method Investigated using neoclassical growth model dynamics and convex risk measures, specifically Fréchet risk measures.
result Robust harvesting strategies quantifying operational and marginal risk under model uncertainty.
The paper tackles domain generalization using functional regression.
problem Learning a model that generalizes well across different source distributions.
method Functional regression approach to learn a linear operator between marginal and conditional distributions.
result The proposed algorithm achieves finite sample error bounds for the idealized risk.
Though with progress, model learning and performing posterior inference still remains a common challenge for using deep generative models, especially for handling discrete hidden variables. This paper is mainly concerned with algorithms for learning Helmholz machines, which is characterized by pairing the generative mo…
In a Bayesian learning setting, the posterior distribution of a predictive model arises from a trade-off between its prior distribution and the conditional likelihood of observed data. Such distribution functions usually rely on additional hyperparameters which need to be tuned in order to achieve optimum predictive pe…
Paper introduces md-vtrees for efficient probabilistic and causal inference.
problem Efficient inference in complex probabilistic models.
method Introduces md-vtrees to generalize tractability conditions for advanced inference queries.
result Derives first polytime algorithms for causal inference queries.
We introduce a dynamic mechanism for the solution of analytically-tractable substructure in probabilistic programs, using conjugate priors and affine transformations to reduce variance in Monte Carlo estimators. For inference with Sequential Monte Carlo, this automatically yields improvements such as locally-optimal pr…
Unified theory of ownership concentration, overlap, and dependence.
problem Understanding the complex layers of ownership concentration, overlap, and dependence in financial markets.
method Develops a unified quadratic framework for analyzing these layers and their interactions.
result Unified framework shows that the same residual operator measures static overlap and governs linearized market transmission.
Paper provides exponential convergence guarantees for Iterative Markovian Fitting.
problem Addressing the Schrödinger Bridge problem in computational optimal transport and generative modeling.
method Develops non-asymptotic exponential convergence guarantees for Iterative Markovian Fitting.
result First non-asymptotic exponential convergence guarantees for IMF under mild structural assumptions.