In this paper, we study a time-inconsistent consumption-investment problem with random endowments in a possibly incomplete market under general discount functions. We provide a necessary condition and a verification theorem for an open-loop equilibrium consumption-investment pair in terms of a coupled forward-backward …
arXiv research
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Paper tackles stochastic control with mean and higher-order moments, finding Nash equilibria.
Investigates time-inconsistent portfolio selection under MMV preferences.
Study time-inconsistent portfolio optimization for competitive agents with relative performance criteria.
Study shows how multiple traders can trade together without excessive price impact.
The paper analyzes strategic irreversible investments with novel dynamic strategies.
In this paper, we formulate a general time-inconsistent stochastic linear--quadratic (LQ) control problem. The time-inconsistency arises from the presence of a quadratic term of the expected state as well as a state-dependent term in the objective functional. We define an equilibrium, instead of optimal, solution withi…
In this paper, we consider the asset-liability management under the mean-variance criterion. The financial market consists of a risk-free bond and a stock whose price process is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion. The liability of the investor is uncontrollable and is modeled by another geometric Brownian motion. W…
We study the competition of two strategic agents for liquidity in the benchmark portfolio tracking setup of Bank, Soner, Voß (2017). Specifically, both agents track their own stochastic running trading targets while interacting through common aggregated temporary and permanent price impact à la Almgren and Chriss (2001…
Study analyzes portfolio liquidation games influenced by self-exciting order flow.
Paper characterizes equilibrium strategies for stochastic control with higher-order moments.
Investigates RI strategies for life insurers with LRD mortality rates.
Model explains periodic trading in financial markets through game theory.
We propose a model of inter-bank lending and borrowing which takes into account clearing debt obligations. The evolution of log-monetary reserves of banks is described by coupled diffusions driven by controls with delay in their drifts. Banks are minimizing their finite-horizon objective functions which take into a…
We consider the problem of online planning in a Markov Decision Process when given only access to a generative model, restricted to open-loop policies - i.e. sequences of actions - and under budget constraint. In this setting, the Open-Loop Optimistic Planning (OLOP) algorithm enjoys good theoretical guarantees but is …
In this paper, we apply the idea of fictitious play to design deep neural networks (DNNs), and develop deep learning theory and algorithms for computing the Nash equilibrium of asymmetric -player non-zero-sum stochastic differential games, for which we refer as \emph{deep fictitious play}, a multi-stage learning pro…
Cointegration helps insurers understand long-range mortality patterns.
Paper uses deep reinforcement learning for better control of rocket engines during start-up phases.
This paper addresses the problem of learning the optimal control policy for a nonlinear stochastic dynamical system with continuous state space, continuous action space and unknown dynamics. This class of problems are typically addressed in stochastic adaptive control and reinforcement learning literature using model-b…
Method improves volatility targeting for index construction.
The problem of Reinforcement Learning (RL) in an unknown nonlinear dynamical system is equivalent to the search for an optimal feedback law utilizing the simulations/ rollouts of the dynamical system. Most RL techniques search over a complex global nonlinear feedback parametrization making them suffer from high trainin…
Study on estimating unstable open-loop matrices from state trajectories.
In the context of tree-search stochastic planning algorithms where a generative model is available, we consider on-line planning algorithms building trees in order to recommend an action. We investigate the question of avoiding re-planning in subsequent decision steps by directly using sub-trees as action recommender. …
Driven by the need for parallelizable hyperparameter optimization methods, this paper studies \emph{open loop} search methods: sequences that are predetermined and can be generated before a single configuration is evaluated. Examples include grid search, uniform random search, low discrepancy sequences, and other sampl…
Control Contraction Metrics (CCMs) provide a nonlinear controller design involving an offline search for a Riemannian metric and an online search for a shortest path between the current and desired trajectories. In this paper, we generalize CCMs to Finsler geometry, allowing the use of non-Riemannian metrics. We provid…
We study the system of heterogeneous interbank lending and borrowing based on the relative average of log-capitalization given by the linear combination of the average within groups and the ensemble average and describe the evolution of log-capitalization by a system of coupled diffusions. The model incorporates a game…
A new framework reduces inconsistencies in chaotic surrogate modeling.
New framework optimizes forecasting and decision-making in dynamic systems.
Framework for robust control in cooperative systems with uncertain common noise.
Decouples critic chunk length from policy to improve policy reactivity and performance.
A \emph{new} notion of equilibrium, which we call \emph{strong equilibrium}, is introduced for time-inconsistent stopping problems in continuous time. Compared to the existing notions introduced in ArXiv: 1502.03998 and ArXiv: 1709.05181, which in this paper are called \emph{mild equilibrium} and \emph{weak equilibrium…
Two-cycle GEILA equilibria are OLG equilibria and vice versa, with applications to indeterminacy and bubbles.
We prove the existence of a Radner equilibrium in a model with proportional transaction costs on an infinite time horizon and analyze the effect of transaction costs on the endogenously determined interest rate. Two agents receive exogenous, unspanned income and choose between consumption and investing into an annuity.…
A new method relaxes molecules without needing non-equilibrium data.
Existence of Radner equilibrium proven with growing population.
Study how transaction costs impact stock returns and holdings in equilibrium.
Equilibrium found for multi-agent trading with transaction costs.
The paper examines Nash equilibrium in GANs for stationary Gaussian processes.
Study on equilibrium with non-convex preferences.
We combine general equilibrium theory and theorie generale of stochastic processes to derive structural results about equilibrium state prices.
The theorems we proved describe the structure of economic equilibrium in the exchange economy model. We have studied the structure of property vectors under given structure of demand vectors at which given price vector is equilibrium one. On this ground, we describe the general structure of the equilibrium state and gi…
Study equilibrium consumption habits in a large population using mean field games.
By generalizing the measurements on the game experiments of mixed strategy Nash equilibrium, we study the dynamical pattern in a representative dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE). The DSGE model describes the entanglements of the three variables (output gap [], inflation [] and nominal interest rate [$…
We construct continuous-time equilibrium models based on a finite number of exponential utility investors. The investors' income rates as well as the stock's dividend rate are governed by discontinuous Levy processes. Our main result provides the equilibrium (i.e., bond and stock price dynamics) in closed-form. As an a…
Study analyzes market equilibrium returns with price impact and transaction costs.
DEQs converge to optimal solutions with mild over-parameterization.
Kyle's equilibrium model stability proven for 1-2 trading times, but not for 3 or more.
Geometric programming approach for traffic equilibrium problems.