The paper analyzes how open-end fund sales affect prices and returns.
problem How open-end fund sales impact prices and returns.
method Continuous-time market-clearing model to derive expected-return restrictions.
result Forced-sale pressure predicts actual fund selling and positive returns.
Study finds Indian mutual funds adjust cash holdings based on inflows, impacting stock purchases.
problem Active liquidity management by mutual funds in India.
method Examined cash holdings and stock purchases of Indian equity mutual funds.
result Funds with active liquidity choices outperform, highlighting the importance of this strategy.
Deep learning models predict mutual funds' performance better than traditional methods.
problem Predicting mutual funds' performance accurately.
method Deep learning models (LSTM, GRUs) trained with Bayesian optimization and ensemble methods.
result Ensemble method of LSTM and GRUs achieves the highest accuracy in forecasting mutual funds' Sharpe ratios.
A new model selects low-carbon mutual funds considering ESG criteria, risk, and investor preferences.
problem Aligning financial investments with a low-carbon economy.
method Tri-criterion portfolio selection model using a preference-based multi-objective genetic algorithm (ev-MOGA).
result The model successfully incorporates carbon risk exposure and loss-adverse attitudes into portfolio construction.
CausalEvolve improves efficiency and discovery in open-ended scientific tasks.
problem Lack of targeted guidance and knowledge organization in evolve-based agents.
method Causal scratchpad that identifies and reasons about guiding factors for evolution.
result Effective improvement in evolutionary efficiency and better solutions.
A new framework evaluates LLM calibration in open-ended QA.
problem Evaluating LLM calibration in open-ended QA settings.
method Sem-ECE framework: sampling answers, grouping by semantic classes, and using frequencies as confidence.
result Sem-ECE estimators are unbiased and Sem2 achieves smaller calibration error. Paper reviews intrinsic motivations and their role in open-ended learning.
problem Understanding intrinsic motivations and their role in open-ended learning.
method Defining intrinsic motivations, presenting psychological/neuroscientific and computational models.
result Links between psychological/neuroscientific and computational models of intrinsic motivations.
New method for evaluating LLMs reduces bias in open-ended evaluations.
problem Bias in Elo-based ratings of LLMs due to data redundancies.
method Proposes evaluation as a 3-player game and introduces novel solution concepts.
result Novel method leads to more robust and intuitive ratings.
GSR optimizes tasks in scientific workflows, improving performance across diverse applications.
problem Uncertainty in task selection and evaluation in scientific workflow optimization.
method Generate-Select-Refine (GSR) framework that alternates between task generation and optimization.
result GSR outperforms existing LLM-based optimizers in various scientific applications.
Study examines how decoding algorithms affect fairness in language generation models.
problem Impact of decoding algorithms on fairness in open-ended language generation.
method Systematic analysis of top-p, top-k, and temperature decoding algorithms. result Decoding algorithms significantly impact fairness across demographic groups.
We consider visual domains in which a class label specifies the content of an image, and class-irrelevant properties that differentiate instances constitute the style. We present a domain-independent method that permits the open-ended recombination of style of one image with the content of another. Open ended simply me…
Meta-learning agents excel at rapidly learning new tasks from open-ended task distributions; yet, they forget what they learn about each task as soon as the next begins. When tasks reoccur - as they do in natural environments - metalearning agents must explore again instead of immediately exploiting previously discover…
Quriosity analyzes curiosity-driven questions from diverse sources.
problem Understanding and analyzing human curiosity-driven questions.
method Collection of 13.5K questions from various sources, development of an iterative prompt improvement framework.
result 42% of questions are causal, revealing unique linguistic properties.
Local-HDP learns independent topics for each 3D object category in real-time.
problem Learning independent topics for each 3D object category in real-time.
method Local-Hierarchical Dirichlet Process (Local-HDP) with online variational inference.
result Local-HDP outperforms other approaches in accuracy, scalability, and memory efficiency.
Robot learns multiple tasks hierarchically by transferring knowledge.
problem Learning multiple complex tasks in open-ended environments.
method Task-oriented procedures, goal-babbling, imitation learning, active learning, intrinsic motivation.
result Robots can learn complex tasks more efficiently by transferring knowledge from simpler ones.
We propose a novel approach for analysis of the composition of an equity mutual fund based on the time series decomposition of the price movements of the individual stocks of the fund. The proposed scheme can be applied to check whether the style proclaimed for a mutual fund actually matches with the fund composition. …
New method predicts nonfactuality in LLM responses using semantic isotropy.
problem Assessing trustworthiness of long-form LLM responses efficiently.
method Semantic isotropy of text embeddings on the unit sphere.
result Higher semantic isotropy correlates with lower factual consistency.
FSPO optimizes synthetic preferences for LLM personalization.
problem Personalizing large language models for diverse users.
method FSPO reframes reward modeling as a meta-learning problem, using few labeled preferences and synthetic data.
result FSPO achieves high winrates in personalized responses, both synthetic and real.
This paper presents the beginnings of an automatic statistician, focusing on regression problems. Our system explores an open-ended space of statistical models to discover a good explanation of a data set, and then produces a detailed report with figures and natural-language text. Our approach treats unknown regression…
Funds inflate their returns due to price pressure, leading to wealth reallocation and market crashes.
problem Funds inflate their returns due to price pressure, leading to wealth reallocation and market crashes.
method Decomposed fund returns into price pressure and fundamental components, and identified the impact of price chasing on fund flows.
result Funds' self-inflated returns lead to wealth reallocation and market crashes, and can be predicted by fund illiquidity.
This report was originally written as an industry white paper on Hedge Funds. This paper gives an overview to Hedge Funds, with a focus on risk management issues. We define and explain the general characteristics of Hedge Funds, their main investment strategies and the risk models employed. We address the problems in H…
Study on CEF discount in Bangladesh, finds size and maturity impact, turnover negative.
problem Exploring the discount puzzle in closed-end mutual funds in Bangladesh.
method Fixed effects panel regression with diagnostic tests.
result Fund size and maturity positively impact CEF discount, turnover negatively impacts.
Paper finds funding rates on BitMEX predict Bitcoin inverse swap contracts.
problem Understanding the relationship between BitMEX funding rates and Bitcoin derivatives.
method Examined Heteroskedasticity of funding rates, established Granger causality, developed GARCH models for prediction.
result Funding rates on BitMEX predict Bitcoin inverse swap contracts.
This paper optimizes perpetual contract liquidity by accounting for funding rates.
problem Optimal liquidity provision for perpetual contracts with stochastic funding rates.
method Formulated a control problem, solved with a HJB scheme, and calibrated on real data.
result Funding-aware market making improves performance and reduces inventory risk.
This paper examines the risk-adjusted performance and differential fund flows for socially responsible mutual funds (SRMF). The results show that SRMF rated high on ESG, perform better than lower rated ESG funds during the period of economic crisis. The findings also show that low ESG rated SRMF had higher differential…
Blockchain protocol improves traditional mutual funds with performance fees and investor protection.
problem Operational issues and performance fees in traditional mutual funds.
method Developed a blockchain protocol that integrates features of mutual funds and hedge funds.
result Blockchain can simplify performance fee calculations and protect investors.
Study uses machine learning and PolyModel to improve hedge fund performance.
problem Improving hedge fund investment performance with machine learning.
method Integration of machine learning techniques, PolyModel feature selection, and analysis of fund size.
result Machine learning enhances cumulative returns but increases annual volatility.
In this paper we investigate the relationship between Funding Value Adjustment (FVA) and Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR). FVA is defined in a consistent way with NSFR such that the new framework of FVA monitors the costs due to keeping NSFR at an acceptable level, as well. In addition, the problem of choosing the optim…
Study examines Indian equity mutual funds' investment style and risk-shifting.
problem Understanding how Indian equity mutual funds' investment styles affect their returns.
method Estimating size and style beta coefficients, identifying breakpoints, analyzing investment styles, and assessing risk-shifting intensity.
result Funds can enhance returns by shifting to high-return styles like Small Value and Small Blend.
Sparse portfolio strategy from mutual funds' favorite stocks in China A share market.
problem Building a sparse portfolio from mutual funds' favorite stocks in a market with limited fund information.
method Analyzed mutual fund favorite stocks, used portfolio optimizer with constraints, and compared different methods.
result Sparse portfolios consistently outperform the benchmark index 930950.CSI.
A fund manager invests both the fund's assets and own private wealth in separate but potentially correlated risky assets, aiming to maximize expected utility from private wealth in the long run. If relative risk aversion and investment opportunities are constant, we find that the fund's portfolio depends only on the fu…
Estimates growth loss in fund models and proposes a shrinkage method.
problem Estimating growth loss in fund models under frequentist and Bayesian estimation.
method Proposes a shrinkage method to target maximal growth with minimal deviation.
result Empirical evidence shows shrinkage gives a stable estimate closer to growth potential.
Study uses topic modeling and sentiment analysis to uncover hedge fund performance insights.
problem Hedge fund opacity and limited disclosure make them hard to analyze.
method Applied topic modeling and sentiment analysis to hedge fund documents using DistilBERT and Top2Vec.
result Automated topic modeling and sentiment analysis can predict hedge fund performance.
A polynomial knot is a smooth embedding κ:ℜ→ℜn whose components are polynomials. The case n=3 is of particular interest. It is both an object of real algebraic geometry as well as being an open ended topological knot. This paper contains basic results for these knots as well as many examples.
Funding is a cost to trading desks that they see as an input. Current FVA-related literature reflects this by also taking funding costs as an input, usually constant, and always risk-neutral. However, this funding curve is the output from a Treasury point of view. Treasury must consider Regulatory-required liquidity bu…
In this note we sketch an initial tentative approach to funding costs analysis and management for contracts with bilateral counterparty risk in a simplified setting. We depart from the existing literature by analyzing the issue of funding costs and benefits under the assumption that the associated risks cannot be hedge…
New methods for equity fund selection and portfolio construction using mutual fund top holdings.
problem Classic equity fund selection and portfolio construction problems.
method Propose an easy-to-implement framework to produce a long-short portfolio from mutual fund top holdings.
result Generate impressive results and show statistical evidence.
Upper bounds on utility for managing heterogeneous collectivised funds.
problem Managing pension funds with diverse investor preferences and mortality.
method Axiomatic approach to define optimal management strategies.
result Asymptotically optimal strategies for maximizing investor utility.
The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a Fund of Hedge Funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often has to be estimated using a relatively small sample of monthly returns data which…
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been gaining increasing popularity in the investment community as is evidenced by the high growth both in the number of ETFs and their net assets since 2000. As ETFs are in nature similar to index mutual funds, in this paper we examined if this growing demand for ETFs can be explained …
The study quantifies the impact of fund miscategorization using machine learning.
problem The impact of fund miscategorization on investment decisions.
method Formulated as a distance-based outlier detection problem, used Random Forest based distance metric learning.
result Identified funds with strong relationship to future returns as outliers.
Machine learning categorizes mutual funds for better investment strategies.
problem Identifying similar mutual funds for diversified investment applications.
method Machine learning to learn and reproduce a well-regarded categorization system.
result Machine learning can learn and reproduce a categorization system that is widely regarded.
A new method identifies similar mutual funds using graph learning.
problem Identifying similar mutual funds with nuanced portfolio similarities.
method Node2Vec machine learning method applied to a weighted bipartite network of funds and assets.
result Identifies structural similarity among mutual funds' portfolios.
Zero-sum games such as chess and poker are, abstractly, functions that evaluate pairs of agents, for example labeling them `winner' and `loser'. If the game is approximately transitive, then self-play generates sequences of agents of increasing strength. However, nontransitive games, such as rock-paper-scissors, can ex…
The paper analyzes fairness of compensation-based risk-sharing schemes for fund payouts.
problem Fair allocation of payouts in an endowment contingency fund.
method Analyzes two types of administrators and general non-negative loss distributions.
result General conditions for actuarial fairness are provided.
Investors in Target Date Funds are automatically switched from high risk to low risk assets as their retirements approach. Such funds have become very popular, but our analysis brings into question the rationale for them. Based on both a model with parameters fitted to historical returns and on bootstrap resampling, we…
By exploiting a bipartite network representation of the relationships between mutual funds and portfolio holdings, we propose an indicator that we derive from the analysis of the network, labelled the Average Commonality Coefficient (ACC), which measures how frequently the assets in the fund portfolio are present in th…
AI platforms disrupt investment by personalizing deal sourcing and insights.
problem Lack of scalable, personalized, and privacy-compliant deal sourcing and insights solutions.
method Development of in-house AI platforms that interact directly with funds and learn from interactions.
result AI platforms provide smarter, personalized use cases for funds, offering a competitive advantage.