OCEAN infers online task identities from context variables.
problem Online task inference for compositional tasks with context adaptation.
method Variational inference framework OCEAN models global and local context variables in a joint latent space.
result OCEAN provides more effective task inference with sequential context adaptation.
Study uses online bootstrap for RL inference, showing effectiveness.
problem Statistical inference for RL parameters in online settings.
method Online bootstrap method applied to TD and GTD algorithms in RL.
result Method is distributionally consistent for policy evaluation inference.
Improved continual learning method using variational inference and FiLM layers.
problem Training models on new tasks and datasets in an online fashion.
method Generalized Variational Continual Learning (GVCL) with likelihood-tempering and FiLM layers.
result GVCL outperforms existing baselines in both small and large datasets, providing better calibration.
Algorithm optimizes and infers performance online, improving reliability.
problem Balancing optimization and statistical inference in complex systems.
method Online algorithm that provides consistent performance variance and confidence intervals.
result Online consistent estimator for performance variance and asymptotic confidence intervals.
New online method for statistical inference with matrix context in decision-making.
problem Statistical inference in decision-making with matrix context.
method Proposes a fully online procedure to conduct statistical inference with adaptive data collection, handling low-rank structure.
result Establishes asymptotic normality of debiased estimators and proves validity of confidence intervals.
Paper introduces online tensor inference for real-time data analysis.
problem Real-time processing of high-dimensional tensor data.
method Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) for efficient online inference.
result Establishes non-asymptotic convergence and optimal estimation error rate.
New BED method handles online inference for partially observed dynamical systems.
problem Optimizing data collection for partially observable, partially online dynamical systems.
method Derived estimators of expected information gain and its gradient for SSMs, using nested particle filters.
result Successfully handles both partial observability and online inference in realistic models.
Online SGD achieves consistent estimation in high-dimensional non-convex inference tasks.
problem Consistent estimation in high-dimensional non-convex optimization problems.
method Online stochastic gradient descent (SGD) on non-convex losses.
result Nearly sharp thresholds for sample complexity in high-dimensional settings.
Optimal online data collection for semiparametric inference reduces regret.
problem Sequential data collection decisions for efficient estimation under budget constraints.
method Online Moment Selection framework; Explore-then-Commit and Explore-then-Greedy policies.
result Online data collection policies achieve zero regret relative to an oracle policy.
The paper proposes a method to infer Q-values online with Q-Learning.
problem High variance and instability in reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Adapting FCLT for a modified Q-learning approach and constructing confidence intervals.
result The proposed method provides more stable and reliable inference of Q-values.
This paper tackles online reinforcement learning for unseen tasks with unknown boundaries.
problem Real-world tasks violate assumptions of task distributions, independence, and clear task delineations.
method A mixture of Gaussian Processes models different dynamics, and a transition prior handles temporal dependencies.
result The approach reliably handles task distribution shifts and outperforms alternatives in non-stationary tasks.
Paper proposes an efficient online Newton method with Nesterov's acceleration for streaming data.
problem Efficient inference of online Newton methods with robustness to noise and ill-conditioning.
method Online Newton method with Hessian averaging and Nesterov's accelerated sketch-and-project solver.
result Global almost-sure convergence and asymptotic normality of the last iterate with non-asymptotic convergence guarantees.
Bayesian online meta-learning framework tackles catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification problems.
method Bayesian online learning, meta-learning, Laplace approximation, variational inference.
result Framework effectively achieves goal of overcoming catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification.
OnlineSCI extends ACI for adaptive selective inference with improved coverage and IER control.
problem Adaptive selective inference in online settings with improved coverage and IER control.
method Adaptive selective inference with extended ACI algorithm.
result OnlineSCI controls average missed coverage and instantaneous error rate at selected times, up to a non-asymptotic remainder term.
TAME learns new tasks without knowing them, outperforming existing methods.
problem Learning new tasks without task identities.
method TAME detects task shifts using loss function deviations and employs online pruning.
result TAME outperforms existing methods on continual learning benchmarks.
Online field experiments are the gold-standard way of evaluating changes to real-world interactive machine learning systems. Yet our ability to explore complex, multi-dimensional policy spaces - such as those found in recommendation and ranking problems - is often constrained by the limited number of experiments that c…
Traditional model-based RL relies on hand-specified or learned models of transition dynamics of the environment. These methods are sample efficient and facilitate learning in the real world but fail to generalize to subtle variations in the underlying dynamics, e.g., due to differences in mass, friction, or actuators a…
ICEE learns new RL tasks in less time with a Transformer model.
problem Efficient in-context policy learning for reinforcement learning.
method In-context Exploration-Exploitation (ICEE) algorithm that optimizes efficiency without explicit Bayesian inference.
result ICEE solves Bayesian optimization problems as efficiently as Gaussian process biased methods but in significantly less time.
Paper proposes an ε ε ε -policy gradient for online pricing, reducing regret to O ( T ) \mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T}) O ( T ) .
problem Online pricing learning task
method Combines model-based and model-free reinforcement learning, using ε ε ε -greedy with gradient descent. result Achieves expected regret of order O ( T ) \mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T}) O ( T ) . New method for online inference using SGD with random scaling.
problem Efficient online inference for SGD parameters.
method Asymptotic pivotal statistics via random scaling.
result Robust and efficient online inference without resampling.
The paper addresses errors in online selective conformal prediction and proposes new strategies to ensure valid inference.
problem Online selective conformal prediction's exchangeability issues and false coverage rate control problems.
method Evaluation and correction of existing calibration selection strategies, proposing new ones that preserve exchangeability.
result Novel calibration selection strategies ensure both selection-conditional coverage and FCR control.
This paper develops variational continual learning (VCL), a simple but general framework for continual learning that fuses online variational inference (VI) and recent advances in Monte Carlo VI for neural networks. The framework can successfully train both deep discriminative models and deep generative models in compl…
Paper proposes using online text data to predict CPI with LLMs.
problem Forecasting Consumer Price Index (CPI) using low-frequency survey-based data.
method Develops an LLM-based approach combining online text time series with monthly CPI data.
result Establishes the asymptotic properties and provides prediction intervals for CPI forecasts.
Trading off exploration and exploitation in an unknown environment is key to maximising expected return during learning. A Bayes-optimal policy, which does so optimally, conditions its actions not only on the environment state but on the agent's uncertainty about the environment. Computing a Bayes-optimal policy is how…
New method for online inference of constrained optimization problems.
problem Online inference of constrained stochastic optimization problems.
method Random scaling of Sketched Stochastic Sequential Quadratic Programming (SSQP).
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals and matrix-free computation.
Paper develops online statistical inference methods for stochastic optimization using Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithms.
problem Online statistical inference of model parameters in stochastic optimization problems.
method Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithm with random search directions, asymptotic distribution analysis.
result Developed valid confidence intervals for online statistical inference.
We model and correct bias in sequential evaluation, improving ranking accuracy.
problem Sequential evaluation bias in online, irrevocable scoring.
method Modeling the rating process, posing as statistical inference, proposing an online algorithm.
result Near-linear time, online algorithm with guarantees in ranking metrics, information theoretically optimal.
Online Passive-Aggressive (PA) learning is a class of online margin-based algorithms suitable for a wide range of real-time prediction tasks, including classification and regression. PA algorithms are formulated in terms of deterministic point-estimation problems governed by a set of user-defined hyperparameters: the a…
BONG optimizes Bayesian inference online with natural gradient descent.
problem Sequential Bayesian inference in online settings.
method Bayesian online natural gradient (BONG) approach based on variational Bayes.
result BONG outperforms other online VB methods in non-conjugate settings.
New algorithms for online MAP inference and learning for NDPPs.
problem Online inference and learning for nonsymmetric determinantal point processes.
method Single-pass algorithms with sub-linear memory usage.
result Comparable performance to offline algorithms with multiple passes.
Paper develops an online EM algorithm for graph signal inference from streaming data.
problem Joint inference and clustering of graph signals with non-white excitation.
method Mixture model with low-rank plus sparse prior, online EM algorithm.
result Proposed online EM algorithm converges to MAP solution.
A scalable online method for Gaussian processes that improves decision-making in various applications.
problem Scalability issues with Gaussian processes for online decision-making.
method Online variational conditioning (OVC) for SVGPs.
result OVC enables efficient online learning and decision-making with SVGPs.
Online algorithm detects community structure in dynamic event streams.
problem Community detection in networks with temporal event streams.
method Continuous-time point process latent network models with fast online variational inference.
result Online inference achieves comparable community recovery to non-online methods but with computational gains.
Ensemble Kalman Filter improves GPSSM inference for online learning.
problem Non-mean-field variational inference issues in GPSSM.
method Combining EnKF with NMF variational inference.
result Improved online learning performance and data-fitting accuracy.
New CLT for SGD in high-dimensional regression provides online inference.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in SGD for high-dimensional regression.
method Established a high-dimensional CLT for online SGD iterates.
result Developed an online approach for estimating variance in CLT.
A method for efficient statistical inference from online algorithms.
problem Computational constraints in online algorithms make traditional variance estimation difficult.
method HulC method that wraps around online algorithms to produce valid confidence regions.
result The HulC method produces asymptotically valid confidence regions for online algorithms.
Optimal sampling reduces power grid data analysis costs.
problem Efficient online analysis of high-speed, correlated IoT data.
method D-optimality criterion-based sampling methods combining Bernoulli and leverage score sampling.
result Leverage score sampling improves computational efficiency and outperforms benchmarks.
Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely feasible in practice and approximation methods are usually employed, but do such met…
We review three algorithms for Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA). Two of them are variational inference algorithms: Variational Bayesian inference and Online Variational Bayesian inference and one is Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm -- Collapsed Gibbs sampling. We compare their time complexity and performance.…
Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change Point Detection algorithm to also infer the number of time steps until the next cha…
New method for online statistical inference in contextual bandits using SGD.
problem Online decision-making in contextual bandits with statistical inference.
method Weighted stochastic gradient descent for adaptive data collection.
result Asymptotic normality of the parameter estimator with improved efficiency.
New algorithm for online meta-learning with task boundary detection.
problem Adapting to new tasks in a non-stationary environment.
method Two detection mechanisms for task switches and distribution shift; online model updates based on current data.
result Achieves sublinear task-averaged regret under mild conditions.
Deep reinforcement learning algorithms require large amounts of experience to learn an individual task. While in principle meta-reinforcement learning (meta-RL) algorithms enable agents to learn new skills from small amounts of experience, several major challenges preclude their practicality. Current methods rely heavi…
We study parameter inference in large-scale latent variable models. We first propose an unified treatment of online inference for latent variable models from a non-canonical exponential family, and draw explicit links between several previously proposed frequentist or Bayesian methods. We then propose a novel inference…
ContraBAR uses contrastive learning to learn Bayes-optimal policies in RL.
problem Learning optimal policies for unknown tasks sampled from a known distribution.
method Proposes ContraBAR, a meta RL algorithm using contrastive predictive coding (CPC) for belief inference.
result ContraBAR achieves comparable performance to state-of-the-art methods and is computationally efficient.
Bayesian method improves online NARMAX model identification.
problem Online identification of nonlinear systems with small sample sizes and low noise.
method Variational Bayesian inference using message passing algorithm for polynomial NARMAX models.
result Variational Bayesian estimator outperforms recursive and offline least-squares methods.
AMS improves video inference on edge devices by adapting a small model with online knowledge distillation.
problem High computation cost of Deep Neural Networks for real-time video inference on edge devices.
method AMS uses a remote server to continually train and adapt a small model on edge devices, using online knowledge distillation from a large model.
result 0.4--17.8 percent mean Intersection-over-Union improvement in video semantic segmentation.
Paper addresses regret minimization and inference in high-dimensional online decision-making.
problem Regret minimization and statistical inference in high-dimensional online decision-making.
method Integrates ε-greedy bandit algorithm with hard thresholding for sparse bandit parameters and debiasing method for inference.
result Achieves either O ( T 1 / 2 ) O(T^{1/2}) O ( T 1/2 ) regret or O ( T 1 / 2 ) O(T^{1/2}) O ( T 1/2 ) -consistent inference, with trade-off between exploration and exploitation.