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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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90180269359 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for online statistics

New framework connects online learning to statistical learning for better generalization bounds.

problem Deriving generalization bounds for statistical learning algorithms.
method Constructing an online learning game and showing a connection to statistical learning.
result Established a connection between online and statistical learning, leading to new generalization bounds.

Paper develops online statistical inference methods for stochastic optimization using Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithms.

problem Online statistical inference of model parameters in stochastic optimization problems.
method Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithm with random search directions, asymptotic distribution analysis.
result Developed valid confidence intervals for online statistical inference.

Paper develops robust policy evaluation for reinforcement learning with outlier and heavy-tailed rewards.

problem Outlier contamination and heavy-tailed rewards in reinforcement learning.
method Develops a fully online robust policy evaluation procedure and efficient statistical inference.
result Establishes the Bahadur-type representation of the estimator and develops an online inference procedure.

Paper proposes a new dynamic pricing method with always-valid online statistical learning.

problem Designing dynamic pricing policies that adapt to online uncertainty and maintain validity.
method Regularized online statistical learning with theoretical guarantees and three major advantages.
result Proposed OORMLP pricing policy secures logarithmic regret in decision horizon.

A method for efficient statistical inference from online algorithms.

problem Computational constraints in online algorithms make traditional variance estimation difficult.
method HulC method that wraps around online algorithms to produce valid confidence regions.
result The HulC method produces asymptotically valid confidence regions for online algorithms.

New method for online statistical inference in contextual bandits using SGD.

problem Online decision-making in contextual bandits with statistical inference.
method Weighted stochastic gradient descent for adaptive data collection.
result Asymptotic normality of the parameter estimator with improved efficiency.

We uncover a fairly general principle in online learning: If regret can be (approximately) expressed as a function of certain "sufficient statistics" for the data sequence, then there exists a special Burkholder function that 1) can be used algorithmically to achieve the regret bound and 2) only depends on these suffic…

2018-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New online method for statistical inference with matrix context in decision-making.

problem Statistical inference in decision-making with matrix context.
method Proposes a fully online procedure to conduct statistical inference with adaptive data collection, handling low-rank structure.
result Establishes asymptotic normality of debiased estimators and proves validity of confidence intervals.

Paper reproduces a kernel-based scan B-statistic for online change-point detection.

problem Continuous detection of distribution changes in online data streams.
method Efficient kernel-based scan B-statistic for online change-point detection.
result Scan B-statistic outperforms parametric methods in challenging scenarios.

New framework converts offline to online estimation using black-box offline estimators.

problem Convert offline estimation algorithms to online estimation algorithms.
method Oracle-Efficient Online Estimation (OEOE) framework.
result Achieves near-optimal online estimation error via black-box offline estimators.

Statistical arbitrage is a class of financial trading strategies using mean reversion models. The corresponding techniques rely on a number of assumptions which may not hold for general non-stationary stochastic processes. This paper presents an alternative technique for statistical arbitrage based on online learning w…

2018-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The aim of this paper is to get an overview of the online buyer profile, and also some key aspects in the way the online shopping is conducted. In this project we conducted a quantitative research, consisting of a questionnaire based survey. For data processing and interpretation we used SPSS statistical software and E…

2015-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

An online decision-making algorithm using stochastic gradient descent for big data.

problem Efficiently updating decision rules in online decision making with big data.
method Stochastic gradient descent for online updates, asymptotic normality of estimators.
result Asymptotic normality of parameter and value estimators, enabling statistical inference.

This paper introduces online algorithms to estimate robust geometric median in large data streams.

problem Detecting outliers in large data sets using robust statistical measures.
method Online stochastic Newton methods for estimating the geometric median.
result Rates of convergence for online estimation of the geometric median.

This work establishes always-valid risk bounds for online matrix completion.

problem Challenges in establishing always-valid concentration inequalities for online matrix completion.
method Combines non-asymptotic martingale concentration and regularized low-rank matrix regression.
result Establishes always-valid risk bound process for online matrix completion.

Study on deleting user data in linear regression models to maintain limited memory.

problem Deleting user data in a limited time frame for statistical models.
method Proposed FIFD-OLS and FIFD-Adaptive Ridge algorithms for low-dimensional and online settings.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of FIFD-Adaptive Ridge in maintaining statistical efficiency.

Unified online tensor learning algorithm reduces computational and memory costs.

problem Efficiently learning from large tensors with minimal data storage and timely predictions.
method oRGrad algorithm for online tensor learning.
result oRGrad achieves optimal O(T1/2)O(T^{1/2}) regret and O(logT)O(\log T) adaptive regret.

This paper introduces a novel online inference method for high-dimensional GLMs.

problem Real-time analysis of sequentially collected data in high-dimensional settings.
method Adaptive stochastic gradient descent with online debiasing for dynamic objective functions.
result Established the asymptotic normality of the Adaptive Debiased Lasso (ADL) estimator.

We establish optimal rates for online regression for arbitrary classes of regression functions in terms of the sequential entropy introduced in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tewari, 2010). The optimal rates are shown to exhibit a phase transition analogous to the i.i.d./statistical learning case, studied in (Rakhlin, Sridharan,…

2014-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for online inference of constrained optimization problems.

problem Online inference of constrained stochastic optimization problems.
method Random scaling of Sketched Stochastic Sequential Quadratic Programming (SSQP).
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals and matrix-free computation.

Algorithm optimizes and infers performance online, improving reliability.

problem Balancing optimization and statistical inference in complex systems.
method Online algorithm that provides consistent performance variance and confidence intervals.
result Online consistent estimator for performance variance and asymptotic confidence intervals.

The paper advances U-statistics in dependent settings, improving spectral estimation and goodness-of-fit tests.

problem Non-asymptotic analysis of U-statistics in dependent Markov chain settings.
method Proved new concentration and exponential inequalities for U-statistics, applied to spectral estimation, online algorithms, and goodness-of-fit tests.
result Established new results for spectral estimation, online algorithms, and goodness-of-fit tests in Markov chain settings.

The paper proposes a method to infer Q-values online with Q-Learning.

problem High variance and instability in reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Adapting FCLT for a modified Q-learning approach and constructing confidence intervals.
result The proposed method provides more stable and reliable inference of Q-values.

New rules control false discoveries in online anomaly detection for time series data.

problem Controlling false discoveries in anomaly detection for time series data.
method Novel online false discovery rate control (FDRC) rules for time series anomaly detection.
result Ensures high power in detecting anomalies even when the alternative is rare and test statistics are serially dependent.

Paper studies PSGD for constrained optimization problems and its statistical properties.

problem Online inference for constrained optimization problems.
method Stochastic gradient descent with projection (PSGD) for constrained optimization.
result Limiting distribution of PSGD-based estimates under linear-equality constraints.

We study the generalization performance of online learning algorithms trained on samples coming from a dependent source of data. We show that the generalization error of any stable online algorithm concentrates around its regret--an easily computable statistic of the online performance of the algorithm--when the underl…

2011-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

FOCuS detects changes in mean from high-frequency data efficiently.

problem Detecting changes in high-frequency data with limited resources.
method FOCuS algorithm that runs multiple window sizes and change sizes simultaneously.
result FOCuS achieves state-of-the-art performance in detecting anomalies.

Online anomaly detection in surveillance videos with false alarm rate bounds.

problem Lack of theoretical performance analysis and online decision making in anomaly detection.
method Proposes an online anomaly detection method with asymptotic bounds on false alarm rate.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on publicly available data sets, outperforming state-of-the-art algorithms.

We consider online learning in an adversarial, non-convex setting under the assumption that the learner has an access to an offline optimization oracle. In the general setting of prediction with expert advice, Hazan et al. (2016) established that in the optimization-oracle model, online learning requires exponentially …

2018-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper addresses regret minimization and inference in high-dimensional online decision-making.

problem Regret minimization and statistical inference in high-dimensional online decision-making.
method Integrates ε-greedy bandit algorithm with hard thresholding for sparse bandit parameters and debiasing method for inference.
result Achieves either O(T1/2)O(T^{1/2}) regret or O(T1/2)O(T^{1/2})-consistent inference, with trade-off between exploration and exploitation.

Unified framework for high-dimensional online learning with non-divergent error bounds and adaptive gains.

problem Divergence of error bounds in high-dimensional online learning as data batches increase.
method Asynchronous decomposition framework with summary statistics and dynamic regularization.
result Non-divergent error bounds and adaptive gains in sparse online optimization.

The paper addresses statistical inference for online decision-making in a contextual bandit setting.

problem Understanding the performance of reward models in online decision-making with contextual information.
method The paper uses the contextual bandit framework with a linear reward model and the ε\varepsilon-greedy policy to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. It employs the martingale central limit theorem and inverse propensity score weighting to establish asymptotic normality of parameter estimators.
result The online ordinary least squares estimator and the online weighted least squares estimator are asymptotically normal, providing insights into the performance of the reward model.

New findings control FDR for online testing methods under positive dependence.

problem Maintaining FDR control for online testing methods under positive dependence.
method Developed new methods to control FDR for online testing procedures under positive dependence.
result SAFFRON and LORD control FDR under positive dependence, not just conditional superuniformity.

Improved online changepoint detection for autocorrelated data.

problem Changepoint detection in autocorrelated data with false positives or delays.
method Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) statistic for AR(p) processes, online focus algorithm.
result AR(p)-focus algorithm achieves high detection power in correlated data.