Study on online nonparametric regression using Sobolev kernel methods.
problem Adversarial nonparametric regression in high dimensions.
method Online kernelized ridge regression with Sobolev kernel analysis.
result Upper bounds on regret for Sobolev space classes, revealing optimality in certain cases.
Adversarial online nonparametric regression achieves optimal rates with locally adaptive learning.
problem Adversarial online nonparametric regression with general convex losses.
method Parameter-free learning algorithm leveraging chaining trees to compete against H{ö}lder functions, dynamically tracking and adapting to local smoothness variations.
result First computationally efficient algorithm with locally adaptive optimal rates for online regression in an adversarial setting.
We establish optimal rates for online regression for arbitrary classes of regression functions in terms of the sequential entropy introduced in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tewari, 2010). The optimal rates are shown to exhibit a phase transition analogous to the i.i.d./statistical learning case, studied in (Rakhlin, Sridharan,…
Paper introduces P-FGD for online quantile regression models.
problem Training nonparametric additive quantile regression models in online settings.
method Projected functional gradient descent algorithm (P-FGD) for pinball loss.
result P-FGD achieves minimax optimal consistency rate O(t−2s+12s). New algorithms achieve near-optimal cumulative loss in nonparametric online learning and games.
problem Fast rates of convergence in nonparametric online regression and classification.
method Randomized proper learning algorithms, hierarchical aggregation, multi-scale extension, stability proof.
result Achieved near-optimal cumulative loss bounds for real-valued and binary games.
We consider the problem of online nonparametric regression with arbitrary deterministic sequences. Using ideas from the chaining technique, we design an algorithm that achieves a Dudley-type regret bound similar to the one obtained in a non-constructive fashion by Rakhlin and Sridharan (2014). Our regret bound is expre…
Adaptive algorithm minimizes online prediction errors for irregular data.
problem Online adversarial regression with highly irregular prediction rules.
method Adaptive wavelet-based algorithm for Besov space regression.
result Minimax-optimal regret bounds in adversarial settings.
New algorithm learns regression models privately under growth condition.
problem Private learning of nonparametric regression models.
method Novel filtering procedure to output stable hypotheses for nonparametric function classes.
result Established first nonparametric private learnability guarantee for diverging fat shattering dimensions.
Develops an online nonparametric classifier for massive data.
problem Challenges of batch kernel-based nonparametric classifiers in massive data.
method Online principle components analysis to reduce dimensionality, followed by stochastic approximation algorithm for real-time calculation.
result Online classifier provides the best trade-off between accuracy and computation cost.
Wavelet-based online learning adapts to noisy Besov spaces with high probability.
problem Minimizing integrated squared error in Besov spaces with noisy observations.
method Adaptive wavelet-based online learning algorithm that dynamically adjusts to gradient noise.
result Achieves minimax-optimal integrated squared error with high probability.
BaNk-UCB tackles batched nonparametric bandits with k-NN regression and UCB.
problem Sequential decision-making with limited online feedback in domains like medicine and marketing.
method Combines k-NN regression with UCB principle for fully nonparametric, adaptive, and simple implementation.
result Near-optimal regret guarantees under Lipschitz smoothness and margin assumptions, with minimax-optimal rates.
This paper establishes minimax rates for online regression with arbitrary classes of functions and general losses. We show that below a certain threshold for the complexity of the function class, the minimax rates depend on both the curvature of the loss function and the sequential complexities of the class. Above this…
Distributed computing offers a high degree of flexibility to accommodate modern learning constraints and the ever increasing size of datasets involved in massive data issues. Drawing inspiration from the theory of distributed computation models developed in the context of gradient-type optimization algorithms, we prese…
New algorithm reduces contextual bandits to efficient regression.
problem Developing efficient algorithms for contextual bandits with general function classes.
method Reduction from contextual bandits to online regression with oracle.
result First universal and optimal reduction with no overhead.
This work improves Gaussian process regression for large, non-stationary data.
problem Scalability issues and performance degradation for non-stationary data.
method Combines variational free energy approximations with online expectation propagation and local splitting steps.
result Incremental adaptation to locality, heterogeneity, and non-stationarity in training data.
Despite their attractiveness, popular perception is that techniques for nonparametric function approximation do not scale to streaming data due to an intractable growth in the amount of storage they require. To solve this problem in a memory-affordable way, we propose an online technique based on functional stochastic …
New method improves online nonparametric estimators with minimal extra computation.
problem Model selection and hyperparameter tuning for online nonparametric estimators.
method Weighted rolling validation procedure for online cross-validation.
result Improves base estimators to achieve better heuristic performance and adaptive convergence rate.
In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online learning of the hyper-parameters have a constant (rather than cubic) time complexity an…
Techniques known as Nonlinear Set Membership prediction, Lipschitz Interpolation or Kinky Inference are approaches to machine learning that utilise presupposed Lipschitz properties to compute inferences over unobserved function values. Provided a bound on the true best Lipschitz constant of the target function is known…
Optimal nonparametric regression estimator adapts to unknown smoothness.
problem Nonparametric regression with unknown smoothness.
method Constructs an interpolating estimator that adapts to unknown smoothness.
result Minimax optimal rates achieved on Hölder classes.
Study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models and mixed regression.
problem Uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models and mixed regression models.
method Construct uniformly consistent estimators under general conditions, develop novel technical tools.
result Prove uniform consistency results for nonparametric mixtures and mixed regression models.
A debiasing method improves nonparametric regression's statistical properties.
problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for modern nonparametric regression methods.
method Model-free debiasing method incorporating a correction term.
result Debiased estimator satisfies pointwise and uniform risk convergence, asymptotic normality.
Nonparametric correlations such as Spearman's rank correlation and Kendall's tau correlation are widely applied in scientific and engineering fields. This paper investigates the problem of computing nonparametric correlations on the fly for streaming data. Standard batch algorithms are generally too slow to handle real…
New method detects changes online with bounds on delay.
problem Detecting changes in data streams efficiently.
method Maximizes discrepancy between pre-change and post-change distributions.
result Non-asymptotic bounds on average running length and detection delay.
Tensors are becoming prevalent in modern applications such as medical imaging and digital marketing. In this paper, we propose a sparse tensor additive regression (STAR) that models a scalar response as a flexible nonparametric function of tensor covariates. The proposed model effectively exploits the sparse and low-ra…
Improved nonparametric regression with debiasing for root-n consistency.
problem Challenges in achieving root-n consistency and normal distribution for nonparametric estimators.
method Debiasing technique by adding a correction term to nonparametric estimators.
result Achieves root-n consistency and asymptotic normality.
SPARKLE handles high-dimensional covariates for online decision-making.
problem Complex reward-covariate relationships in high-dimensional settings.
method SPARKLE uses a sparse additive reward model with doubly penalized estimator and adaptive screening.
result SPARKLE achieves sublinear regret bound logarithmic in covariate dimensionality.
Develops an online Gaussian process method that maintains convergence guarantees without sample complexity issues.
problem The computational intractability of Gaussian processes with streaming data.
method Parsimonious Online Gaussian Processes (POG) that maintains asymptotic consistency with bounded memory.
result POG preserves convergence guarantees to the population posterior with finite memory, even for constant error radius.
Transformers can efficiently approximate nonparametric regression with minimal parameters and sequences.
problem Efficiently approximating nonparametric regression functions with transformers.
method Kernel-weighted polynomial basis and gradient descent.
result Achieves minimax optimal rate of convergence with fewer parameters and sequences.
Learning linear predictors with the logistic loss---both in stochastic and online settings---is a fundamental task in machine learning and statistics, with direct connections to classification and boosting. Existing "fast rates" for this setting exhibit exponential dependence on the predictor norm, and Hazan et al. (20…
A novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression using conditional diffusion models.
problem Nonparametric regression with efficient sampling and accurate estimation.
method Conditional diffusion model for learning conditional distributions, integrating sampling and regression into a unified generative framework.
result Established optimal convergence rates in the Wasserstein distance and convergence guarantees for the bootstrap procedure.
Procedure groups nonparametric regression curves automatically.
problem Determining groups of nonparametric regression curves when curves are numerous.
method Automatic selection of group number through testing procedure.
result Groups of nonparametric regression curves exist in tunnel geometry.
We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do a hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type 1 error inflation under continuous monitoring. The proposed test does not require knowledge of the underlying…
Method constructs nonparametric prediction intervals with finite-sample guarantees.
problem Nonparametric instrumental variable regression with finite-sample coverage.
method Conformal inference framework applied to NPIV, combining with various estimators.
result Distribution-free, finite-sample coverage over chosen IV shifts.
In this paper, we design a nonparametric online algorithm for estimating the triggering functions of multivariate Hawkes processes. Unlike parametric estimation, where evolutionary dynamics can be exploited for fast computation of the gradient, and unlike typical function learning, where representer theorem is readily …
Study shows rates for Laplacian-eigenmap methods in nonparametric regression.
problem Minimizing error in nonparametric regression using Laplacian-eigenmap.
method Adaptive and non-adaptive minimax rates using Sobolev space constraints.
result Extends minimax rates to various weighted Laplacian matrices.
Develops abstention procedure for nonparametric regression via variance testing.
problem Prediction with selective abstention in error-critical machine learning.
method Nonparametric heteroskedastic regression via testing hypothesis on conditional variance.
result Non-asymptotic risk bounds and convergence regimes for the estimator.
Sequential tests for nonparametric hypotheses using supermartingales.
problem Designing valid sequential tests for nonparametric null hypotheses.
method Using elicitable and identifiable functionals, nonnegative supermartingales, and Online Convex Optimization.
result Rigorous guarantees on asymptotic power for a wide range of alternative hypotheses.
New similarity measure for covariate shift improves nonparametric regression rates.
problem Improving nonparametric regression under covariate shift.
method Introducing a new similarity measure based on probability ratios.
result Shows a sharper rate of convergence compared to transfer exponent.
Neural networks improve nonparametric regression with measurement errors.
problem Nonparametric regression with measurement errors.
method Proposes a neural network design using FNN, normalizing flow, and inference network.
result Neural network approach is more flexible and superior or comparable to classical methods.
Kernel-based methods enjoy powerful generalization capabilities in handling a variety of learning tasks. When such methods are provided with sufficient training data, broadly-applicable classes of nonlinear functions can be approximated with desired accuracy. Nevertheless, inherent to the nonparametric nature of kernel…
NTK neural networks are robust to adversarial attacks in nonparametric regression.
problem Adversarial robustness of neural networks in nonparametric regression.
method Gradient flow with early stopping for NTK neural networks, proving robustness in Sobolev spaces.
result NTK neural networks achieve optimal adversarial robustness rates in Sobolev spaces.
A new algorithm reduces regret in high-dimensional online learning problems.
problem High-dimensional covariates with unknown reward function.
method BV-LASSO algorithm incorporating binning and voting for nonparametric variable selection.
result Achieves optimal regret ildeO(T(dx∗+dy+1)/(dx∗+dy+2)). Develops nonparametric regression for non-smooth functions using fractional Laplacian.
problem Non-smooth regression functions in high dimensions.
method Fractional Laplacian eigenmaps for L2-fractional Sobolev spaces. result Upper bound on estimation error of $n^{- rac{2s}{2s+d}}$.
Localized transfer learning improves nonparametric regression performance.
problem Improving nonparametric regression performance on target tasks.
method Localized transfer learning framework that models heterogeneity and partition covariate space into cells.
result Sharp minimax rates show local transfer mitigates the curse of dimensionality.
Improves MARS for nonparametric multivariate regression with dimension reduction.
problem High number of basis functions in MARS for high-order interactions.
method Linear combinations of covariates for dimension reduction, facilitating gradient calculation and eigen-analysis for estimation.
result Asymptotic theory and numerical studies show improved performance over MARS.
Bayesian methods estimate regression functions on submanifolds using graph Laplacian eigenbasis.
problem Estimating regression functions on unknown smooth submanifolds.
method Random geometric graph structure, Bayesian priors based on random basis expansion in graph Laplacian eigenbasis.
result Posterior contraction rates are minimax optimal for any positive smoothness index.
Paper extends nonparametric regression bounds for dependent β-mixing samples.
problem Analyzing error in nonparametric regression with dependent data.
method Extends uniform deviation inequalities from independent to dependent β-mixing samples. result Derives generalization bounds for nonparametric regression with dependent data.