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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for online moment matching

Paper develops efficient recursive learning for multi-channel systems with heterogeneous dynamics.

problem Accurately learning system dynamics in complex, multi-channel systems with nonlinear and noisy data.
method Formulates system as Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs), introduces heterogeneous multi-output kernel, and develops recursive inference framework.
result Matches SOTA offline GPSSMs in accuracy with 1/100 runtime, and outperforms SOTA online GPSSMs by 70% in accuracy under noise with 1/20 runtime.

New SGMM algorithm for efficient estimation of moment restriction models.

problem Estimation and inference on overidentified moment restriction models.
method Stochastic Approximation to Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM).
result SGMM offers fast and scalable implementation with streaming dataset handling.

Generalizes moment-matching for exponential families with conditioning or hidden data.

problem Generalizing moment-matching conditions for exponential families with conditioning or hidden data.
method First-principles explanation and self-contained derivation of generalized moment-matching conditions.
result Derives generalized moment-matching conditions for conditional exponential families and hidden data.

Normal distributions ensure asymptotic variance reduction in moment matching Monte Carlo.

problem Asymptotic variance reduction in general integration problems.
method Characterization of conditions for asymptotic variance reduction using normal distributions.
result Asymptotic variance reduction is guaranteed for normal distributions in moment matching Monte Carlo.

Unified framework for imitation learning via moment matching.

problem Closing the gap between imitation and real-world performance.
method Classifying imitation learning algorithms based on reward or action-value moment matching, considering adversarial divergences.
result Derivation of bounds on policy performance for all algorithms in each class, and introduction of moment recoverability.

Develops efficient methods for approximating densities of financial models with jumps.

problem Approximating densities of affine jump diffusions with state-independent jump intensities.
method Recursive approach for deriving closed-form solutions to moments, constructing density approximations via moment matching.
result Superior computational efficiency and precision in option pricing and simulation compared to existing techniques.

Paper introduces new approximations for lognormal sums, matching comonotonicity and moments.

problem Approximating sums of lognormal random variables accurately.
method Introduces new approximations based on weighted distribution theory, emphasizing comonotonicity and moment matching.
result Approximations perform better than classical methods, especially in the right tail of the distribution.

A new method for generating samples without training, using smoothed score matching.

problem Generating samples efficiently and without training.
method Moment-matched score-smoothed overdamped Langevin dynamics (MM-SOLD).
result The method enables fast, robust, training-free sampling with competitive sample fidelity and diversity.

Study improves covariance estimation for SGD under Markovian data, matching best rates.

problem Improving covariance estimation for SGD in Markovian data settings.
method Online overlapping batch-means covariance estimator for SGD under Markovian sampling.
result Established convergence rates for covariance estimation under Markovian sampling.

Proposes DWMD for better matching of hidden representations across domains.

problem Measuring data distribution discrepancy between semantically related domains for feature representation matching.
method DWMD, a moment-based probability distribution metric that explicitly orders and weights higher-order moments.
result DWMD is error-free and can strictly reflect distribution differences without feature distribution assumptions.

We consider moment matching techniques for estimation in Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA). By drawing explicit links between LDA and discrete versions of independent component analysis (ICA), we first derive a new set of cumulant-based tensors, with an improved sample complexity. Moreover, we reuse standard ICA techni…

2015-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper identifies tensor ranks via prior predictive matching, solving system of equations.

problem Determining the latent dimensions (ranks) in tensor factorization models.
method Prior predictive moment matching to transform moment matching conditions into a log-linear system of equations.
result Identifies which tensor models have identifiable ranks and derives rank estimators.

Paper proposes efficient online estimation of causal effects by deciding which data sources to query.

problem Data fusion problems with multiple data sources capturing distinct subsets of variables.
method Online moment selection (OMS) framework, balancing exploration and exploitation.
result OMS algorithms achieve zero asymptotic regret for estimating average treatment effects.

Completely random measures (CRM) represent the key building block of a wide variety of popular stochastic models and play a pivotal role in modern Bayesian Nonparametrics. A popular representation of CRMs as a random series with decreasing jumps is due to Ferguson and Klass (1972). This can immediately be turned into a…

2016-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Q-MMR evaluates policies using reweighted rewards and moment matching.

problem Off-policy evaluation in finite-horizon MDPs.
method Q-MMR learns scalar weights for data points via a moment matching objective against a value-function discriminator class.
result Data-dependent finite-sample guarantee with a dimension-free error bound.

We introduce three novel semi-parametric extensions of probabilistic canonical correlation analysis with identifiability guarantees. We consider moment matching techniques for estimation in these models. For that, by drawing explicit links between the new models and a discrete version of independent component analysis …

2016-02-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes an efficient online Newton method with Nesterov's acceleration for streaming data.

problem Efficient inference of online Newton methods with robustness to noise and ill-conditioning.
method Online Newton method with Hessian averaging and Nesterov's accelerated sketch-and-project solver.
result Global almost-sure convergence and asymptotic normality of the last iterate with non-asymptotic convergence guarantees.

Learning rate needs to decrease with higher data moments for effective ICA in high dimensions.

problem Slower convergence of ICA in high-dimensional data with high-order moments.
method High-dimensional ODE analysis of ICA algorithm under controlled moment structure.
result Critical learning rate threshold for effective ICA when moments are high.

GANs learn distributions by matching low-degree moments.

problem Understanding when GANs learn the target distribution efficiently.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical observation of GAN training process.
result GANs can learn notable distributions by matching polynomially many low-degree moments.

IMM generates high-quality samples in few steps with stable training.

problem Slow inference and instability in generating high-quality samples using diffusion models and Flow Matching.
method Inductive Moment Matching (IMM) is a new generative model for one- or few-step sampling with a single-stage training procedure.
result IMM achieves state-of-the-art 2-step FID of 1.98 on CIFAR-10 for a model trained from scratch.

Greedy algorithm performs well in online matching despite non-i.i.d. connections.

problem Online matching in sparse random graphs with fixed degree distributions.
method Approximating stochastic processes with partial differential equations.
result GREEDY algorithm can outperform RANKING in certain configurations.

New algorithm uses imperfect advice to improve online bipartite matching performance.

problem Online bipartite matching with imperfect advice.
method Designing an algorithm that uses external advice to improve performance between advice-free methods and optimal ratio.
result Algorithm achieves competitive ratio interpolating between advice-free methods and optimal ratio of 1.

This paper compares VaR estimation methods under tail misspecification, finding importance sampling underestimates VaR.

problem Tail misspecification in VaR estimation.
method Importance sampling and moment-based VaR bracketing.
result Importance sampling underestimates VaR under heavy-tailed returns, while moment-based methods are robust.

Unified approach to domain generalization by aligning gradients and Hessians.

problem Developing models that generalize well across unseen domains.
method Moment Alignment, extending transfer measure to DG, aligning derivatives across domains.
result Moment Alignment unifies gradient and Hessian matching approaches, improving generalizability.

Unified framework for distribution shift estimation, explanation, and improvement.

problem Estimating, explaining, and improving model performance on target domains with distribution shift.
method Entropic Projection Alignment (EPA) aligns source and target distributions by matching moments and minimizing KL divergence.
result EPA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines while offering computational efficiency.

A new method approximates option pricing in stochastic interest rate markets.

problem Approximating option pricing in markets with stochastic interest rates.
method Gaussian moment matching technique applied to a conditional Black \& Scholes formula.
result The method performs remarkably well, even compared to other techniques.

Unified framework for FDR control in knockoffs, validating Gaussian knockoffs.

problem Asymptotic FDR control in knockoffs with user-specified distributions.
method Unified theoretical framework, three conditions on approximate knockoff statistics, Gaussian knockoffs generator based on moments matching.
result Gaussian knockoffs generator achieves asymptotic FDR control.

This work develops efficient methods for computing moments of Gaussian mixtures.

problem Efficient computation of moments for Gaussian mixtures with large dimensions.
method Theory and numerical methods for implicit computations with moment tensors of Gaussian mixtures.
result Reduced computational and storage costs for moment tensors of Gaussian mixtures.

New SQ lower bounds for NGCA without requiring chi-squared condition.

problem Proving SQ hardness for NGCA under moment-matching conditions.
method General SQ lower bound methodology applied to NGCA under moment-matching conditions.
result Proved near-optimal SQ lower bounds for NGCA without chi-squared condition.

Theoretical models applied to option pricing should take into account the empirical characteristics of the underlying financial time series. In this paper, we show how to price basket options when assets follow a shifted log-normal process with jumps capable of accommodating negative skewness. Our technique is based on…

2013-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗