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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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208416624832 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for online experiment design

New method optimizes experiments under constraints.

problem Adapting BED to dynamic constraints in real-world tasks.
method Offline pre-training of an amortized policy and posterior network with online multi-step lookahead planning.
result Significantly more informative design sequences than existing methods.

The paper tackles robust design selection for online experiments under uncertain interference mechanisms.

problem Designing experiments in ads, recommendations, and member-experience systems when interference mechanisms are unknown.
method Formulates the problem as robust design selection over uncertain exposure mechanisms. Compares designs by worst-case planning risk over an ambiguity set combining various factors.
result Develops a geometry-aware guarantee and robust selector theorem with excess-risk control, exact recovery under separation, and certified shortlists when the risk surface is flat.

New BED method handles online inference for partially observed dynamical systems.

problem Optimizing data collection for partially observable, partially online dynamical systems.
method Derived estimators of expected information gain and its gradient for SSMs, using nested particle filters.
result Successfully handles both partial observability and online inference in realistic models.

This work establishes always-valid risk bounds for online matrix completion.

problem Challenges in establishing always-valid concentration inequalities for online matrix completion.
method Combines non-asymptotic martingale concentration and regularized low-rank matrix regression.
result Establishes always-valid risk bound process for online matrix completion.

We study the task of online boosting--combining online weak learners into an online strong learner. While batch boosting has a sound theoretical foundation, online boosting deserves more study from the theoretical perspective. In this paper, we carefully compare the differences between online and batch boosting, and pr…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm extsc{Pedel} learns near-optimal policies efficiently on specific problems.

problem Learning near-optimal policies in linear MDPs with minimal samples.
method Online experiment design to focus exploration on relevant directions.
result Achieves instance-dependent complexity, outperforming minimax-optimal algorithms.

A/B testing improves marketing decisions by selecting effective stratification variables.

problem Improving the sensitivity of A/B testing through stratified sampling.
method Designing an algorithm to select a subset of stratification variables for variance reduction.
result The subset selection method outperforms other variance reduction techniques in A/B testing.

Study estimates long-term effects of online advertising mechanisms on user behavior and revenue.

problem Estimating long-term treatment effects in online advertising systems.
method Modeling treatment effects as a stopped random walk, using experimental design, and statistical methods.
result Confidence intervals for long-term treatment effects constructed using statistical techniques.

Paper accelerates nonlinear mapping in online systems with lower time complexity.

problem Speeding up nonlinear mapping in online systems.
method Integrates an acceleration module into Dendrite Net (DD) to reduce time complexity.
result DD with AC has lower time complexity while maintaining nonlinear mapping and system identification properties.

New method learns low-dimensional representations of AI-generated treatments.

problem Representing AI-generated treatments without losing semantic meaning.
method Double kernel representation learning with alternating minimization.
result Efficiently learned representations guide generative models and facilitate adaptive online experiments.

Interactive user interfaces need to continuously evolve based on the interactions that a user has (or does not have) with the system. This may require constant exploration of various options that the system may have for the user and obtaining signals of user preferences on those. However, such an exploration, especiall…

2018-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Robust method estimates state, input, and parameters of linear systems online.

problem Joint estimation of state, input, and parameters in noisy or outlier-prone measurements.
method Combines recursive, alternating, and iteratively-reweighted least squares into a single algorithm.
result Good performance in presence of outliers and compared to state-of-the-art methods.

This paper introduces a reinforcement learning framework for A/B testing with dynamic causal effects.

problem Challenges in online experiments with sequential treatments and long-term impacts.
method Reinforcement learning framework for sequential monitoring and updating.
result Demonstrates improved treatment effect evaluation over current methods.

Biological research often involves testing a growing number of null hypotheses as new data is accumulated over time. We study the problem of online control of the familywise error rate (FWER), that is testing an apriori unbounded sequence of hypotheses (p-values) one by one over time without knowing the future, such th…

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new dynamic pricing method with always-valid online statistical learning.

problem Designing dynamic pricing policies that adapt to online uncertainty and maintain validity.
method Regularized online statistical learning with theoretical guarantees and three major advantages.
result Proposed OORMLP pricing policy secures logarithmic regret in decision horizon.

Algorithm improves reinforcement learning policies using offline data.

problem Improving reinforcement learning policies with limited online data.
method Designs a single non-reactive policy using offline data with provable guarantees.
result Algorithm achieves better policy quality with less online data.

Online learning algorithms update models via one sample per iteration, thus efficient to process large-scale datasets and useful to detect malicious events for social benefits, such as disease outbreak and traffic congestion on the fly. However, existing algorithms for graph-structured models focused on the offline set…

2019-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework uses tempered optimism to handle imperfect experts in online learning.

problem Challenges of implicit optimism in practical online learning environments.
method Introduces tempered optimism as a framework for online non-convex learning, modifies existing algorithms.
result Demonstrates tempered optimism as a fruitful paradigm for online non-convex learning.

Designs efficient factorial experiments for product design under budget constraints.

problem Designing effective experiments for product design with limited traffic and overlapping experiments.
method Two-stage design: first stage samples and infers performance, second stage selects a final policy.
result The method outperforms one-shot tensor completion and unstructured best-arm benchmarks.

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework for optimizing online experiments to maximize profit.

problem Statistical flaws and reliance on proxy metrics in A/B tests compromise their effectiveness.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model for estimating conversion probability and monetary value, decision-theoretic stopping rule.
result The framework ensures experiments conclude when no variant offers a significant profit improvement, conserving resources.

Optimal sampling reduces power grid data analysis costs.

problem Efficient online analysis of high-speed, correlated IoT data.
method D-optimality criterion-based sampling methods combining Bernoulli and leverage score sampling.
result Leverage score sampling improves computational efficiency and outperforms benchmarks.

Optimizes crowdsourced preference-based subjective evaluation with online learning.

problem Large-scale evaluation of generative media using crowdsourcing due to combinatorial explosion.
method Automatic optimization of pair combination selections and evaluation volumes with online learning.
result Optimizes evaluation by reducing pair combinations and allocating optimal evaluation volumes.

Inverse optimization is a powerful paradigm for learning preferences and restrictions that explain the behavior of a decision maker, based on a set of external signal and the corresponding decision pairs. However, most inverse optimization algorithms are designed specifically in batch setting, where all the data is ava…

2018-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

As data streams become more prevalent, the necessity for online algorithms that mine this transient and dynamic data becomes clearer. Multi-label data stream classification is a supervised learning problem where each instance in the data stream is classified into one or more pre-defined sets of labels. Many methods hav…

2018-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider in this paper the problem of optimal experiment design where a decision maker can choose which points to sample to obtain an estimate β^\hatβ of the hidden parameter ββ^{\star} of an underlying linear model. The key challenge of this work lies in the heteroscedasticity assumption that we make, meaning that…

2019-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Classification methods based on sparse estimation have drawn much attention recently, due to their effectiveness in processing high-dimensional data such as images. In this paper, a method to improve the performance of a sparse representation classification (SRC) approach is proposed; it is then applied to the problem …

2018-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New collaborative algorithm improves personalized mean estimation in online settings.

problem Online estimation of means from multiple, possibly overlapping distributions.
method Novel collaborative strategy for active querying and mean estimation.
result Algorithm improves mean estimates through communication among agents.

This paper proposes a new AED framework for multi-metric experiments with fixed budget.

problem Statistical power challenges in testing multiple metrics simultaneously.
method Two-phase structure: adaptive exploration followed by validation. SHRVar algorithm with relative-variance-based sampling.
result Achieves provable error probability that decreases exponentially.

Proposes a new sampling method for online learning with cumulative oversampling.

problem Budgeted Influence Maximization in online learning.
method Cumulative Oversampling (CO) method for online learning.
result CO-based algorithm achieves comparable regret to UCB-based algorithms and performs similarly to Thompson Sampling.

DaringFed incentivizes clients in OFL with dynamic rewards under TII.

problem Designing incentives for OFL clients under dynamic, incomplete information.
method Formulated as a dynamic signaling and pricing allocation problem in a Bayesian persuasion game.
result Optimal design of DaringFed improves accuracy and convergence speed by 16.99%.

New algorithm fills gaps in offline data for hybrid RL, achieving similar gains without coverage assumptions.

problem Lack of provable benefits in hybrid RL with coverage assumptions.
method Warm-starting optimistic online algorithms with offline data in experience replay buffer.
result Hybrid RL gains similar to offline-only RL without coverage assumptions, demonstrating efficient exploration.

Paper develops an online EM algorithm for graph signal inference from streaming data.

problem Joint inference and clustering of graph signals with non-white excitation.
method Mixture model with low-rank plus sparse prior, online EM algorithm.
result Proposed online EM algorithm converges to MAP solution.

This paper tackles online strategic decision making with asymmetry and knowledge transportability.

problem Strategic decision making with information asymmetry and knowledge transportability challenges.
method Developed a sample-efficient algorithm for online learning under these conditions.
result Proved sample complexity of O(1/ε2)O(1/ε^2) for learning an εε-optimal policy.