A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper tackles robust design selection for online experiments under uncertain interference mechanisms.
problem Designing experiments in ads, recommendations, and member-experience systems when interference mechanisms are unknown.
method Formulates the problem as robust design selection over uncertain exposure mechanisms. Compares designs by worst-case planning risk over an ambiguity set combining various factors.
result Develops a geometry-aware guarantee and robust selector theorem with excess-risk control, exact recovery under separation, and certified shortlists when the risk surface is flat.
Adaptive and sequential experiment design is a well-studied area in numerous domains. We survey and synthesize the work of the online statistical learning paradigm referred to as multi-armed bandits integrating the existing research as a resource for a certain class of online experiments. We first explore the tradition…
Online learning algorithms have impressive convergence properties when it comes to risk minimization and convex games on very large problems. However, they are inherently sequential in their design which prevents them from taking advantage of modern multi-core architectures. In this paper we prove that online learning …
We study the task of online boosting--combining online weak learners into an online strong learner. While batch boosting has a sound theoretical foundation, online boosting deserves more study from the theoretical perspective. In this paper, we carefully compare the differences between online and batch boosting, and pr…
In this paper, we design a nonparametric online algorithm for estimating the triggering functions of multivariate Hawkes processes. Unlike parametric estimation, where evolutionary dynamics can be exploited for fast computation of the gradient, and unlike typical function learning, where representer theorem is readily …
AUC (Area under the ROC curve) is an important performance measure for applications where the data is highly imbalanced. Learning to maximize AUC performance is thus an important research problem. Using a max-margin based surrogate loss function, AUC optimization problem can be approximated as a pairwise rankSVM learni…
We introduce several new black-box reductions that significantly improve the design of adaptive and parameter-free online learning algorithms by simplifying analysis, improving regret guarantees, and sometimes even improving runtime. We reduce parameter-free online learning to online exp-concave optimization, we reduce…
As an emerging research direction, online streaming feature selection deals with sequentially added dimensions in a feature space while the number of data instances is fixed. Online streaming feature selection provides a new, complementary algorithmic methodology to enrich online feature selection, especially targets t…
We consider the problem of online linear regression on arbitrary deterministic sequences when the ambient dimension d can be much larger than the number of time rounds T. We introduce the notion of sparsity regret bound, which is a deterministic online counterpart of recent risk bounds derived in the stochastic setting…
Adaptive online learning algorithms without manual tuning of a Lipschitz hyperparameter.
problem Designing adaptive online learning algorithms that require minimal user input and automatically adjust hyperparameters.
method Developing new versions of MetaGrad and Squint algorithms that dynamically update learning rates and adapt to the optimal Lipschitz hyperparameter.
result Automatic adaptation of the Lipschitz hyperparameter, improving performance and efficiency of online learning algorithms.
User engagement in social networks depends critically on the number of online actions their users take in the network. Can we design an algorithm that finds when to incentivize users to take actions to maximize the overall activity in a social network? In this paper, we model the number of online actions over time usin…