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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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79158237316 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for online control

Biological research often involves testing a growing number of null hypotheses as new data is accumulated over time. We study the problem of online control of the familywise error rate (FWER), that is testing an apriori unbounded sequence of hypotheses (p-values) one by one over time without knowing the future, such th…

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents competitive algorithms for a novel class of online optimization problems with memory. We consider a setting where the learner seeks to minimize the sum of a hitting cost and a switching cost that depends on the previous pp decisions. This setting generalizes Smoothed Online Convex Optimization. The…

2020-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a new algorithm for online linear-quadratic control in a known system subject to adversarial disturbances. Existing regret bounds for this setting scale as T\sqrt{T} unless strong stochastic assumptions are imposed on the disturbance process. We give the first algorithm with logarithmic regret for arbitra…

2020-02-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms control FDX while achieving more power in online multiple testing.

problem Problems with previous online multiple testing methods, including high FDX and low power.
method Developed new dynamic algorithms that adjust testing levels based on accumulated wealth.
result SupLORD algorithm achieves higher power and FDR control in synthetic experiments.

Paper tackles online control of linear systems with unbounded noise.

problem Online control of linear systems under unbounded noise with unknown convex cost functions.
method Developed an algorithm achieving ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) high-probability regret under unbounded noise, and established O(mpoly(logT)) O({ m poly} (\log T)) regret bound for strongly convex costs and sub-Gaussian noise.
result Achieved ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) high-probability regret under unbounded noise, and O(mpoly(logT)) O({ m poly} (\log T)) regret bound for specific noise and cost conditions.

We consider Online Convex Optimization (OCO) in the setting where the costs are mm-strongly convex and the online learner pays a switching cost for changing decisions between rounds. We show that the recently proposed Online Balanced Descent (OBD) algorithm is constant competitive in this setting, with competitive rat…

2018-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We study data poisoning attacks in the online setting where training items arrive sequentially, and the attacker may perturb the current item to manipulate online learning. Importantly, the attacker has no knowledge of future training items nor the data generating distribution. We formulate online data poisoning attack…

2019-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New findings control FDR for online testing methods under positive dependence.

problem Maintaining FDR control for online testing methods under positive dependence.
method Developed new methods to control FDR for online testing procedures under positive dependence.
result SAFFRON and LORD control FDR under positive dependence, not just conditional superuniformity.

New rules control false discoveries in online anomaly detection for time series data.

problem Controlling false discoveries in anomaly detection for time series data.
method Novel online false discovery rate control (FDRC) rules for time series anomaly detection.
result Ensures high power in detecting anomalies even when the alternative is rare and test statistics are serially dependent.

Optimal control in changing systems without strong convexity assumptions.

problem Adversarial changes in convex costs for unknown linear systems.
method Non-convex lower confidence bounds and computationally-efficient regret minimization.
result Achieves T\smash{\sqrt{T}}-regret rate, optimal compared to best stabilizing controller.

New method controls false discoveries in online testing with deadlines.

problem Controlling false discoveries in online hypothesis testing with decision deadlines.
method Benjamini-Hochberg-type procedure over a moving window of hypotheses with adaptive threshold parameters.
result Controls false discovery rate at every stage and adaptively chosen stopping times.

AdaptOn achieves logarithmic regret in adaptive control of unknown partially observable linear systems.

problem Adaptive control in partially observable linear dynamical systems.
method AdaptOn algorithm that estimates system dynamics through online learning and gradient descent.
result AdaptOn achieves a logarithmic regret bound of polylog(T) after T steps.

New algorithm achieves optimal regret in non-stochastic control, showing stochasticity is not beneficial.

problem Achieving optimal control in non-stochastic systems with adversarial noise.
method Novel online Newton step algorithm adapted to adversarial disturbances, using policy regret bounds.
result Optimal O~(T)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) regret achieved in unknown dynamics, poly(logT)\mathrm{poly}(\log T) regret in known dynamics.

New approach generates optimal disturbances for controller verification.

problem Optimizing disturbances for controller verification with blackbox access.
method Online learning approach that adaptively generates disturbances based on controller inputs.
result New algorithm (MOTR) outperforms existing methods in simulated examples.

Paper proposes online optimization for uncertain systems using machine learning and DRO.

problem Optimization of uncertain dynamical systems with distributional uncertainty.
method Combines machine learning with Distributional Robust Optimization (DRO) to handle uncertainty.
result Online solutions with probabilistic regret bounds for uncertain systems.

PCGS-TF uses a Transformer to adaptively control expert switching in non-stationary environments.

problem Static regret is insufficient for strictly online prediction in non-stationary settings.
method Policy-Controlled Generalized Share (PCGS) with a Transformer as an update controller.
result PCGS-TF achieves the lowest dynamic regret in non-stationary families and expert pools.

A/B testing improves marketing decisions by selecting effective stratification variables.

problem Improving the sensitivity of A/B testing through stratified sampling.
method Designing an algorithm to select a subset of stratification variables for variance reduction.
result The subset selection method outperforms other variance reduction techniques in A/B testing.

Accurate MR-to-CT synthesis is a requirement for MR-only workflows in radiotherapy (RT) treatment planning. In recent years, deep learning-based approaches have shown impressive results in this field. However, to prevent downstream errors in RT treatment planning, it is important that deep learning models are only appl…

2019-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

MaxCOSD algorithm tackles non-i.i.d. demands and stateful dynamics in online inventory control.

problem Managing inventory with non-i.i.d. demands and stateful dynamics.
method MaxCOSD, an online algorithm with provable guarantees for non-degeneracy assumptions.
result MaxCOSD achieves optimal performance for non-i.i.d. demands and stateful dynamics.

This work proposes an online learning approach to tighten constraints in stochastic control problems.

problem Solving chance-constrained stochastic optimal control problems is computationally challenging.
method Reformulate chance constraints as a binary regression problem and use a GP model to learn constraint-tightening parameters online.
result The approach tightens constraints more effectively, leading to lower costs in numerical experiments.

The paper addresses errors in online selective conformal prediction and proposes new strategies to ensure valid inference.

problem Online selective conformal prediction's exchangeability issues and false coverage rate control problems.
method Evaluation and correction of existing calibration selection strategies, proposing new ones that preserve exchangeability.
result Novel calibration selection strategies ensure both selection-conditional coverage and FCR control.

FavMac maximizes value while controlling cost in multi-label prediction.

problem Value-maximizing predictions with strict cost control in multi-label scenarios.
method FavMac pipeline combining any multi-label classifier with online update mechanism.
result FavMac achieves higher value with strict cost control compared to baselines.

We study optimal regret bounds for control in linear dynamical systems under adversarially changing strongly convex cost functions, given the knowledge of transition dynamics. This includes several well studied and fundamental frameworks such as the Kalman filter and the linear quadratic regulator. State of the art met…

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Multiple hypothesis testing is a core problem in statistical inference and arises in almost every scientific field. Given a set of null hypotheses H(n)=(H1,,Hn)\mathcal{H}(n) = (H_1,\dotsc, H_n), Benjamini and Hochberg introduced the false discovery rate (FDR), which is the expected proportion of false positives among rejected nu…

2016-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

A method to minimize regret in multi-agent control systems with adversarial disturbances.

problem Optimal control of dynamical systems with adversarial disturbances and multiple agents.
method Reduction from online convex optimization to a distributed algorithm for multi-agent control.
result The resulting distributed algorithm has low regret relative to the optimal precomputed joint policy.

We study the control of a linear dynamical system with adversarial disturbances (as opposed to statistical noise). The objective we consider is one of regret: we desire an online control procedure that can do nearly as well as that of a procedure that has full knowledge of the disturbances in hindsight. Our main result…

2019-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Multiple hypothesis testing, a situation when we wish to consider many hypotheses, is a core problem in statistical inference that arises in almost every scientific field. In this setting, controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), which is the expected proportion of type I error, is an important challenge for making …

2019-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal algorithm for LQR control with improved regret bound.

problem Nonstochastic control with quadratic losses (LQR control).
method Online algorithm with optimal dynamic regret of ildeO(extmax{n1/3TV(M1:n)2/3,1}) ilde{O}( ext{max}\{n^{1/3} \mathcal{TV}(M_{1:n})^{2/3}, 1\}).
result Improves the best known rate of ildeO(n(TV(M1:n)+1)) ilde{O}(\sqrt{n (\mathcal{TV}(M_{1:n})+1)} ) for general convex losses.

SA algorithms control dynamic regret in non-stationary settings with strong convexity or exp-concavity.

problem Non-stationary Online Convex Optimization with dynamic regret control.
method Strongly Adaptive (SA) algorithms view dynamic regret as path variation of the comparator sequence.
result SA algorithms achieve ildeO(TVTlogT) ilde O(\sqrt{TV_T} \vee \log T) and ildeO(dTVTdlogT) ilde O(\sqrt{dTV_T} \vee d\log T) dynamic regret for strongly convex and exp-concave losses, respectively.