Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

167334500667 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for online change point detection

Develops a method to detect changes in linear systems with temporal correlations.

problem Detect abrupt changes in time series data with temporal correlations.
method Data-dependent threshold for online change point detection in linear dynamical systems.
result Achieves a pre-specified upper bound on the probability of false alarms and provides a finite-sample-based bound for detection probability.

New algorithm detects changes in high-dimensional data with mean and variance.

problem Challenges in detecting changes in high-dimensional data with mean and variance.
method Complete graph-based approach to detect changes of mean and variance from low to high-dimensional online data.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in terms of detection power.

GOCPD detects change points by maximizing the probability of two independent models.

problem Large false discovery rates in online change point detection methods.
method GOCPD uses ternary search to find change points by maximizing the probability of two independent models.
result GOCPD accelerates CPD with logarithmic complexity for single change point detection.

Online change-point detection (OCPD) is important for application in various areas such as finance, biology, and the Internet of Things (IoT). However, OCPD faces major challenges due to high-dimensionality, and it is still rarely studied in literature. In this paper, we propose a novel, online, graph-based, change-poi…

2019-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change Point Detection algorithm to also infer the number of time steps until the next cha…

2019-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Online detection of abrupt changes in high-dimensional data streams.

problem Detecting abrupt changes in high-dimensional, streaming data with multiple subspaces.
method Dynamic sparse subspace learning approach with multiple structural change-point model, Bayesian information criterion for penalty coefficients selection, and Pruned Exact Linear Time algorithm.
result Effectiveness demonstrated through simulation and real gesture data studies.

Paper reproduces a kernel-based scan B-statistic for online change-point detection.

problem Continuous detection of distribution changes in online data streams.
method Efficient kernel-based scan B-statistic for online change-point detection.
result Scan B-statistic outperforms parametric methods in challenging scenarios.

PERCEPT detects changes in high-dimensional data streams using topological data analysis.

problem Detecting changes in high-dimensional data streams, especially when embedded in a low-dimensional space.
method Leverages topological data analysis to learn embedded topology as a point cloud via persistence diagrams, then applies non-parametric monitoring for detecting changes.
result Demonstrates efficient detection of online changes from high-dimensional data streams.

New algorithms detect and react to multiple change points in online learning.

problem Learning under multiple change points in environments with unknown and frequent shifts.
method Proposed Anytime Tracking CUSUM (ATC) algorithms that balance detection of significant shifts.
result Properly tuned ATC algorithms achieve nearly minimax-optimal performance.

We consider online detection strategies for identifying a change point in a stream of quantum particles allegedly prepared in identical states. We show that the identification of the change point can be done without error via sequential local measurements while attaining the optimal performance bound set by quantum mec…

2018-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New model detects gradual changes in processes more accurately.

problem Traditional change-point models fail to identify gradual changes effectively.
method Introduces a Bayesian change-dynamic model using hierarchical models for gradual change detection.
result The model identifies gradual changes faster and more accurately than traditional models.

AUCRSS detects change points in partially observed multivariate autocorrelated data.

problem Detecting change points in multivariate autocorrelated data with limited sensing resources.
method Adaptive Upper Confidence Region (AUCRSS) with state space model (SSM), adaptive sampling policy, and generalized likelihood ratio test.
result The method outperforms existing approaches in detecting change points efficiently.

CDSSD detects sparse changes in partially observable data streams.

problem Online change detection of sparse changes in partially observable high-dimensional data streams.
method Smooth-sparse decomposition, spike-slab variational Bayesian inference, adaptive sampling via Thompson sampling.
result CDSSD effectively detects sparse changes in partially observable data streams.

Robust PCA methods are typically batch algorithms which requires loading all observations into memory before processing. This makes them inefficient to process big data. In this paper, we develop an efficient online robust principal component methods, namely online moving window robust principal component analysis (OMW…

2017-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New test detects local changes in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models online.

problem Detecting abrupt changes in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models in real-time.
method Develops a novel test based on the ℓ∞ norm of the normalized covariance matrix.
result Demonstrates good performance in various experimental settings.

New online imputation method for mixed data improves accuracy and speed.

problem Missing value imputation in online settings for mixed data types.
method Online Gaussian copula model for imputation and change point detection.
result The model improves accuracy and speed, especially on large datasets.

Detecting the emergence of an abrupt change-point is a classic problem in statistics and machine learning. Kernel-based nonparametric statistics have been used for this task which enjoy fewer assumptions on the distributions than the parametric approach and can handle high-dimensional data. In this paper we focus on th…

2015-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A flexible nonparametric online changepoint detection algorithm for high-frequency data.

problem Detecting changes in real-time in high-frequency data streams with limited computational resources.
method NP-FOCuS, a sequential likelihood ratio test for a change in the empirical cumulative density function, using functional pruning.
result NP-FOCuS outperforms current nonparametric online changepoint techniques in various settings.

This paper improves change-point detection for complex data streams using denoising score matching.

problem Timely identification of distributional shifts in high-dimensional, complex data streams.
method Score-based CUSUM change-point detection with denoising score matching.
result Denoising score matching enhances detection power by effectively controlling noise scale.

Online CPD for weighted and directed graphs using RDPG model.

problem Monitoring and detecting changes in weighted and directed graph data.
method Spectral embeddings of RDPG models for online updates and error-rate control.
result A lightweight online CPD algorithm with improved detection resolution and delay.

Triadic-OCD detects changes in data streams robustly and optimally, even in asynchronous settings.

problem Online change detection in data streams with practical constraints.
method Triadic-OCD framework for asynchronous online change detection with provable robustness, optimality, and convergence.
result The proposed triadic-OCD algorithm achieves optimal performance and convergence in asynchronous settings.

FOCuS detects changes in mean from high-frequency data efficiently.

problem Detecting changes in high-frequency data with limited resources.
method FOCuS algorithm that runs multiple window sizes and change sizes simultaneously.
result FOCuS achieves state-of-the-art performance in detecting anomalies.

Detecting a change point is a crucial task in statistics that has been recently extended to the quantum realm. A source state generator that emits a series of single photons in a default state suffers an alteration at some point and starts to emit photons in a mutated state. The problem consists in identifying the poin…

2018-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

EVARS-GPR refines Gaussian Process Regression for seasonal data with sudden scale changes.

problem Challenges in forecasting with changing system behavior over time.
method Combines online change point detection with data augmentation for refitting.
result 20.8% lower RMSE on real-world datasets compared to similar methods.

Paper proposes BOCPD for real-time order flow and market impact prediction.

problem Persistent order flow patterns in financial markets.
method Bayesian online change-point detection (BOCPD) with score-driven approach.
result Model outperforms existing models in predicting order flow and market impact.