Automatically identifies geometric flat outputs for robotic systems.
problem Lack of systematic and practical means to identify flat outputs for arbitrary robotic systems.
method Casts the search for a globally valid, equivariant flat output as an optimization problem using Riemannian geometry, Lie group theory, and differential forms.
result Approximate transcription of continuum formulation to a quadratic program achieves precise agreement with known closed-form flat outputs.
A method for constructing tight prediction intervals for multiple numerical outputs.
problem Constructing tight prediction intervals for multiple related numerical outputs.
method A novel coordinate-wise standardization procedure that makes residuals comparable across output dimensions, estimating suitable scaling parameters using calibration data.
result The method produces tighter prediction intervals than existing baselines while maintaining valid simultaneous coverage.
New methods improve insurance data quality for catastrophic events.
problem Improving precision and size of insurance data for catastrophic events.
method Bootstrap, bootknife, and GAN algorithms.
result Compared MSE and MAE of simulated outputs, direct algorithm for fuzzy expert opinion.
Surrogate model construction for vector-valued outputs
problem Improving surrogate model accuracy and stability for complex engineering systems
method Adaptive sequential sampling for polynomial chaos expansion
result Improves surrogate accuracy and stability
Unified framework for output analysis using Monte Carlo sampling.
problem Accurately assess the quality of estimated values in predictive models.
method Unified output analysis framework through Monte Carlo sampling, leveraging fast iterative bootstrap sampling and higher-order influence functions.
result Clear advantage in building more robust confidence intervals with higher coverage probability.
A new method reduces high-dimensional parameter spaces for faster numerical tasks.
problem Efficiently reducing high-dimensional parameter spaces for numerical tasks.
method Local Active Subspaces (LAS) combining active subspaces with clustering techniques.
result Significant speed-up in numerical tasks through efficient dimension reduction.
New clustering method uses Wasserstein distance to analyze simulation outputs.
problem Analyzing stochastic simulation outputs to uncover relationships and patterns.
method Agglomerative clustering using regularized Wasserstein distance.
result Identifies staffing plans yielding similar performance outcomes.
Proposes SHORE model for efficient MOR with sparsity and scalability.
problem Challenges of interpretability and scalability in MOR with high-dimensional outputs.
method Incorporates sparsity requirements and a two-stage optimization framework for efficient compression.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of the proposed framework's efficiency and accuracy.
The original Broad Learning System (BLS) on new added nodes and its existing efficient implementation both assume the ridge parameter lambda -> 0 in the ridge inverse to approximate the generalized inverse, and compute the generalized inverse solution for the output weights. In this paper, we propose two ridge solution…
Sig-PCA integrates model outputs and observations to correct model biases.
problem Improving model accuracy and reliability by correcting biases and numerical approximations.
method Sig-PCA framework that combines summary statistics from model outputs with localized observations via a neural network.
result Corrects model outputs to align closely with observational data, preserving essential statistical information.
New framework learns physics from output measurements only.
problem Learning governing physics from only output measurements.
method Stochastic calculus, sparse learning, Bayesian statistics, Euler Maruyama scheme.
result Potential to identify governing physics from sparse, noisy, incomplete data.
Graph-to-Tree Neural Networks improve structured input-output translation in tasks like semantic parsing and math word problems.
problem Improving performance on tasks like semantic parsing and math word problem solving.
method Graph-to-Tree Neural Networks, consisting of a graph encoder and a hierarchical tree decoder.
result Graph2Tree model outperforms or matches state-of-the-art models on neural semantic parsing and math word problem tasks.
The goal of this paper is to assess the utility of Reduced-Order Models (ROMs) developed from 3D physics-based models for predicting transient thermal power output for an enhanced geothermal reservoir while explicitly accounting for uncertainties in the subsurface system and site-specific details. Numerical simulations…
Algorithm identifies bilinear dynamical systems from noisy data.
problem Learning a realization of a partially observed bilinear dynamical system.
method Regression of outputs to highly correlated covariates for Markov-like parameters.
result High probability error bounds on identification algorithm under uniform stability assumption.
Runge-Kutta methods are the classic family of solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs), and the basis for the state of the art. Like most numerical methods, they return point estimates. We construct a family of probabilistic numerical methods that instead return a Gauss-Markov process defining a probability d…
Reverse sensitivity analysis for risk models under various stresses.
problem Understanding model changes under output stress.
method Deriving the closest stressed distribution and model parameters.
result Numerically efficient method for calculating stressed model.
Convex optimization models predict outputs from inputs via optimization problems.
problem Predicting outputs from inputs using convex optimization models.
method Proposed a heuristic for learning parameters of convex optimization models from datasets.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed method on three model classes.
The paper proposes a framework to calibrate multi-agent simulation models from output series using Bayesian optimization.
problem Calibrating multi-agent simulation models from observable output series.
method Novel eligibility set concept, two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test with Bonferroni correction, Bayesian optimization (BO), and trust-region BO (TuRBO).
result Demonstrated the efficiency of the proposed framework using numerical experiments.
Neural dynamical systems are dynamical systems that are described at least in part by neural networks. The class of continuous-time neural dynamical systems must, however, be numerically integrated for simulation and learning. Here, we present a compact neural circuit for two common numerical integrators: the explicit …
We present a principled framework to address resource allocation for realizing boosting algorithms on substrates with communication or computation noise. Boosting classifiers (e.g., AdaBoost) make a final decision via a weighted vote from the outputs of many base classifiers (weak classifiers). Suppose that the base cl…
Proposes a flexible MGP model for dynamic, sparse correlations.
problem Handling dynamic and sparse correlations in multivariate data.
method Non-stationary MGP with dynamic spike-and-slab prior and EM algorithm.
result Captures dynamic and sparse correlations effectively.
PCENet reduces uncertainty in high-dimensional data efficiently.
problem Uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional data is computationally expensive.
method Two-stage learning process: variational autoencoder for low-dimensional representation, polynomial chaos expansion for mapping.
result Model captures system dynamics, learns under uncertainty, estimates high-dimensional data uncertainty, matches output distribution moments.
DeepONet learns operators for PDEs with varying parameters and initial conditions.
problem Learning operators for partial differential equations with different parameters or initial conditions.
method DeepONet uses a Branch net and Trunk net to minimize error between evaluated and expected outputs, incorporating a scalar auxiliary variable approach for energy dissipation.
result DeepONet can accurately approximate operators for PDEs with varying parameters or initial conditions.
We introduce a proximal version of dual coordinate ascent method. We demonstrate how the derived algorithmic framework can be used for numerous regularized loss minimization problems, including ℓ1 regularization and structured output SVM. The convergence rates we obtain match, and sometimes improve, state-of-the-…
A new algorithm computes Fourier coefficients for a specified range efficiently.
problem Inefficiency in FFT due to fixed output size for all applications.
method Fast Partial Fourier Transform (PFT) that allows specifying the range of Fourier coefficients to compute.
result PFT achieves significant speedup over state-of-the-art FFT algorithms for small output sizes.
We consider a contracting problem in which a principal hires an agent to manage a risky project. When the agent chooses volatility components of the output process and the principal observes the output continuously, the principal can compute the quadratic variation of the output, but not the individual components. This…
Existing feature selection methods fail to properly account for interactions between features when evaluating feature subsets. In this paper, we attempt to remedy this issue by using orthogonal variance decomposition to evaluate features. The orthogonality of the decomposition allows us to directly calculate the total …
This paper proposes an Adaptive Stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for stable linear time-invariant systems in the presence of bounded disturbances. We consider multi-input, multi-output systems that can be expressed by a Finite Impulse Response (FIR) model. The parameters of the FIR model corresponding…
We develop a method for quantile-based sensitivity analysis in models with discontinuities.
problem Uncertainty in interpreting discontinuous models using traditional derivatives.
method Quantile-based derivatives for discontinuous models with discrete inputs.
result Derivatives of quantile-based outputs are well-defined and provide meaningful insights.
Mapper is an unsupervised machine learning algorithm generalising the notion of clustering to obtain a geometric description of a dataset. The procedure splits the data into possibly overlapping bins which are then clustered. The output of the algorithm is a graph where nodes represent clusters and edges represent the …
Algorithm mines environment assumptions for cyber-physical systems.
problem Modeling and verifying complex cyber-physical systems.
method Supervised learning to mine STL formulas for input signals.
result Algorithm learns both the structure and constants of STL formulas.
The paper introduces a method for learning nonparametric Volterra kernels using Gaussian processes.
problem Learning nonparametric nonlinear operators from data.
method NVKM model using Volterra series and Gaussian processes for unobserved and observed input functions.
result The NVKM model can perform both single and multiple output regression and system identification.
Simplifies neural network constraints with computationally efficient method.
problem Implementing hard output constraints in neural networks.
method Additional neural network layer for output constraints.
result Computational simplicity with complexity O(n*m) for linear constraints.
Study uses LLMs to improve financial forecasting by integrating textual and numerical data.
problem Challenges in fusing multimodal information and measuring qualitative outputs from LLMs.
method Created context sets by segmenting daily securities reports into key factors and combining them with numerical data. Used dynamic updates and crafted prompts to assign scores to qualitative insights.
result LLMs outperform time-series models in market forecasting, though challenges remain.
Industrial process control systems try to keep an output variable within a given tolerance around a target value. PID control systems have been widely used in industry to control input variables in order to reach this goal. However, this kind of Transfer Function based approach cannot be extended to complex processes w…
Probabilistic numerics expands numerical tasks with black box methods.
problem Difficult conditioning of random variables in numerical tasks.
method Construct probabilistic numerical methods based on final outputs, extrapolating limiting quantities.
result Higher orders of convergence achieved in various numerical tasks.
Third-generation neural networks, or Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs), aim at harnessing the energy efficiency of spike-domain processing by building on computing elements that operate on, and exchange, spikes. In this paper, the problem of training a two-layer SNN is studied for the purpose of classification, under a Ge…
This work introduces a tensor-based method to perform supervised classification on spatiotemporal data processed in an echo state network. Typically when performing supervised classification tasks on data processed in an echo state network, the entire collection of hidden layer node states from the training dataset is …
Bayesian method for estimating inputs leading to specific probability outputs.
problem Estimating inputs for specific probability outputs of uncertain functions.
method Bayesian strategy using Gaussian process modeling and SUR principle.
result Surpassed performance of existing methods through numerical experiments.
Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods are a set of tools providing posterior distributions on the output of numerical methods. The use of these methods is usually motivated by the fact that they can represent our uncertainty due to incomplete/finite information about the continuous mathematical problem being approxi…
Proposes a method for evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness using DEA.
problem Evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness in large data sets.
method Introduces two regularized DEA models (SBM and GP-SBM) to estimate both dimension-specific and aggregate efficiency scores.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency and validity compared to conventional methods.
Two-layer CNNs can overfit well if initialized correctly.
problem Understanding the conditions for benign overfitting in over-parameterized CNNs.
method Extending analysis to fully trainable two-layer CNNs, examining initialization scaling effects.
result Initialization scaling of the output layer is crucial; large scales lead to fixed output behavior, small scales to complex interactions.
Recently there has been an increasing interest in the multivariate Gaussian process (MGP) which extends the Gaussian process (GP) to deal with multiple outputs. One approach to construct the MGP and account for non-trivial commonalities amongst outputs employs a convolution process (CP). The CP is based on the idea of …
A method for predicting signals on graphs using Gaussian processes and optimal transport.
problem Predicting signals on complex, graph-based inputs with uncertainty quantification.
method Combining regularized optimal transport, dimension reduction, and Gaussian processes indexed by graphs.
result Efficient prediction of signals on graphs with confidence intervals.
A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical methods that enable the coherent propagation of probabilities through a (possibly dete…
IGNIS uses neural networks to estimate copula parameters robustly.
problem Pathological properties of Archimedean copulas make traditional estimators brittle.
method Unified neural estimation framework with multi-input architecture and softplus output layer.
result Accurate and stable estimates for real-world datasets.
In this paper we introduce a novel method for linear system identification with quantized output data. We model the impulse response as a zero-mean Gaussian process whose covariance (kernel) is given by the recently proposed stable spline kernel, which encodes information on regularity and exponential stability. This s…
A method constructs a stochastic surrogate from dimensionality reduction results for high-dimensional uncertainty quantification.
problem High-dimensional uncertainty quantification with physics-based models.
method Constructs a stochastic surrogate model from dimensionality reduction results.
result Preserves convenience of sequential dimensionality reduction and Gaussian process regression while overcoming limitations.