Differentially private (DP) machine learning has recently become popular. The privacy loss of DP algorithms is commonly reported using -DP. In this paper, we propose a numerical accountant for evaluating the privacy loss for algorithms with continuous one dimensional output. This accountant can be appl…
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48 results for “numerical accountants”
Existing feature selection methods fail to properly account for interactions between features when evaluating feature subsets. In this paper, we attempt to remedy this issue by using orthogonal variance decomposition to evaluate features. The orthogonality of the decomposition allows us to directly calculate the total …
Efficiently calculates Brazilian stock options with discrete dividends.
problem Accurately pricing Brazilian listed equity options with discrete dividends.
method Uses the fast Laplace transform for high-accuracy computation.
result Efficiently computes option premiums and Greeks with high accuracy.
We constructively prove the existence of time-discrete consumption processes for stochastic money accounts that fulfill a pre-specified positively homogeneous projection property (PHPP) and let the account always be positive and exactly zero at the end. One possible example is consumption rates forming a martingale und…
New tontine model with transaction costs for retirees.
problem Maximizing consumption and bequest utilities for retirees.
method Formulated as a stochastic and impulse control problem, characterized by viscosity solutions.
result V-shaped transaction region with two stages: smoothing and gambling.
A Sieve-Accelerated Quadrature Method for Exact Privacy Accounting in the 2020 U.S. Decennial Censuscs.CR
Efficiently calculates privacy guarantees for 2020 Census data.
problem Evaluate privacy guarantees for 2020 U.S. Census data releases.
method Sieve-accelerated quadrature method to evaluate tail probabilities of high-dimensional convolutions.
result Achieves 1,824-fold speedup over prior methods while maintaining error tolerances.
Modeling taxation of Variable Annuities has been frequently neglected but accounting for it can significantly improve the explanation of the withdrawal dynamics and lead to a better modeling of the financial cost of these insurance products. The importance of including a model for taxation has first been observed by Mo…
The paper addresses monotonicity in machine learning models for fairness and accountability.
problem Ensuring fairness and accountability in transparent machine learning models.
method Study of three types of monotonicity (individual, weak pairwise, strong pairwise) and propose monotonic groves of neural additive models.
result Monotonic groves of neural additive models maintain transparency, accountability, and fairness.
The paper improves privacy accounting for discrete-valued mechanisms and the subsampled Gaussian mechanism.
problem Improving the accuracy and efficiency of differential privacy accounting for discrete outputs.
method Uses fast Fourier transform (FFT) for rigorous error analysis and accounting of privacy loss.
result Provides strict lower and upper bounds for -values, demonstrating up to 75% reduction in noise variance.
Gaussian DP improves reporting of ML algorithms' differential privacy guarantees.
problem Incomplete and misleading DP guarantees for ML algorithms.
method Using non-asymptotic Gaussian Differential Privacy (GDP) to provide accurate bounds on privacy profiles of ML algorithms.
result GDP captures the entire privacy profile of DP-SGD and related algorithms with virtually no error.
This paper concerns the numerical solution of a fully nonlinear parabolic double obstacle problem arising from a finite portfolio selection with proportional transaction costs. We consider the optimal allocation of wealth among multiple stocks and a bank account in order to maximize the finite horizon discounted utilit…
New method combines ODE filters and numerical quadrature to propagate model uncertainty.
problem Propagation of model uncertainty in ODE solutions with uncertain parameters.
method Combining ODE filters with numerical quadrature.
result Effective propagation of both numerical and parametric uncertainty.
This paper proposes two numerical solution based on Product Optimal Quantization for the pricing of Foreign Echange (FX) linked long term Bermudan options e.g. Bermudan Power Reverse Dual Currency options, where we take into account stochastic domestic and foreign interest rates on top of stochastic FX rate, hence we c…
Computation of moments of transformed random variables is a problem appearing in many engineering applications. The current methods for moment transformation are mostly based on the classical quadrature rules which cannot account for the approximation errors. Our aim is to design a method for moment transformation for …
Statistical analysis of Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI) data requires a computational framework that is both numerically tractable (to account for the high dimensional nature of the data) and geometric (to account for the nonlinear nature of diffusion tensors). Building upon earlier studies that have shown that a Rieman…
Paper improves privacy bounds for shuffle model using novel numerical techniques.
problem Improving privacy guarantees in the shuffle model of differential privacy.
method Develops and evaluates numerical techniques for tighter -differential privacy bounds.
result Accurately evaluates privacy loss distribution for adaptive compositions of shufflers.
We examine the possibility of incorporating information or views of market movements during the holding period of a portfolio, in the hedging of European options with respect to the underlying. Given a fixed holding period interval, we explore whether it is possible to adjust the number of shares needed to effectively …
A framework for goal-based investing with penalties for fund transfers.
problem Investors' mental accounting and multiple investment goals.
method Continuous-time portfolio selection with mental costs and penalties.
result The value function is the unique solution to a complex system of equations.
A new framework improves tensor completion accuracy by considering numerical priors.
problem Tensor completion accuracy loss due to ignoring numerical priors.
method Generalized CP Decomposition Tensor Completion (GCDTC) framework incorporating numerical priors.
result GCDTC framework outperforms state-of-the-arts in non-negative tensor completion.
EXODUS improves training of SNNs by stabilizing gradients and reducing complexity.
problem Training SNNs using BPTT is time-consuming and numerically unstable.
method EXODUS modifies SLAYER to account for neuron reset and uses IFT for correct gradient calculation, eliminating manual scaling.
result EXODUS achieves comparable or better performance than SLAYER, especially in tasks with temporal features.
Method detects errors in numerical data using regression models.
problem Noise and errors in numerical datasets.
method Introduced veracity scores and a filtering procedure for error detection.
result Method outperforms other approaches in identifying incorrect values.
New insights into privacy guarantees for subsampled mechanisms under composition.
problem Tight privacy guarantees for the composition of subsampled differentially private mechanisms.
method Addressed confusion points in privacy accounting for subsampled mechanisms, providing examples and counterexamples.
result Privacy guarantees for subsampled mechanisms differ significantly between Poisson subsampling and sampling without replacement.
We introduce an innovative theoretical framework to model derivative transactions between defaultable entities based on the principle of arbitrage freedom. Our framework extends the traditional formulations based on Credit and Debit Valuation Adjustments (CVA and DVA). Depending on how the default contingency is accoun…
We study the task of semi-supervised learning on multilayer graphs by taking into account both labeled and unlabeled observations together with the information encoded by each individual graph layer. We propose a regularizer based on the generalized matrix mean, which is a one-parameter family of matrix means that incl…
We develop a geometric version of the inverse problem of the calculus of variations for discrete mechanics and constrained discrete mechanics. The geometric approach consists of using suitable Lagrangian and isotropic submanifolds. We also provide a transition between the discrete and the continuous problems and propos…
Established techniques for simulation and prediction with Gaussian process (GP) dynamics often implicitly make use of an independence assumption on successive function evaluations of the dynamics model. This can result in significant error and underestimation of the prediction uncertainty, potentially leading to failur…
Semantic labeling for numerical values is a task of assigning semantic labels to unknown numerical attributes. The semantic labels could be numerical properties in ontologies, instances in knowledge bases, or labeled data that are manually annotated by domain experts. In this paper, we refer to semantic labeling as a r…
This paper studies optimal investment from the point of view of an investor with longevity-linked liabilities. The relevant optimization problems rarely are analytically tractable, but we are able to show numerically that liability driven investment can significantly outperform common strategies that do not take the li…
We are interested in solving the multiple measurement vector (MMV) problem for instances, where the underlying sparsity pattern exhibit spatio-temporal structure motivated by the electroencephalogram (EEG) source localization problem. We propose a probabilistic model that takes this structure into account by generalizi…
Stability of ADI schemes for multidimensional diffusion equations with mixed derivative termsmath.NA
In this paper the unconditional stability of four well-known ADI schemes is analyzed in the application to time-dependent multidimensional diffusion equations with mixed derivative terms. Necessary and sufficient conditions on the parameter theta of each scheme are obtained that take into account the actual size of the…
Ethereum Fraud Detection via Joint Transaction Language Model and Graph Representation Learningcs.CR
TLMG4Eth combines language and graph models for Ethereum fraud detection.
problem Current fraud detection methods fail to consider semantic and similarity patterns in Ethereum transactions.
method TLMG4Eth uses a transaction language model and graph-based methods to capture semantic, similarity, and structural features.
result TLMG4Eth detects anomalies in Ethereum transactions more effectively than existing methods.
Accounting statement analysis at industry level. A gentle introduction to the compositional approachq-fin.ST
This paper introduces compositional data analysis for financial ratios, improving industry-level analysis.
problem Statistical issues with standard financial ratios at industry level.
method Compositional data analysis techniques for financial ratios.
result Improved analysis of financial ratios using compositional data methods.
The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student- t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of Bayesian quadrature, which allows us to treat the integral itself as a random variable…
The outlying property detection problem is the problem of discovering the properties distinguishing a given object, known in advance to be an outlier in a database, from the other database objects. In this paper, we analyze the problem within a context where numerical attributes are taken into account, which represents…
We propose a discrete time algorithm for the valuation of employee stock options based on exponential indifference prices and taking into account both the possibility of partial exercise of a fraction of the options and the use of a correlated traded asset to hedge part of their risk. We determine the optimal exercise …
Bayesian method for semi-structured models accounts for both types of uncertainty.
problem Lack of work on epistemic uncertainty in semi-structured regression models.
method Bayesian approximation with subspace inference for joint posterior sampling.
result Validated approach recovers structured effect posteriors and approaches full-space posterior.
Microscopic Models for Long Ranged Volatility Correlationscond-mat.dis-nn
We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated to random-walk like processes. We numerically demonstrate our scenario in the fr…
In this semi-tutorial paper, we first review the information-theoretic approach to account for the computational costs incurred during the search for optimal actions in a sequential decision-making problem. The traditional (MDP) framework ignores computational limitations while searching for optimal policies, essential…
We propose a long term portfolio management method which takes into account a liability. Our approach is based on the LQG (Linear, Quadratic cost, Gaussian) control problem framework and then the optimal portfolio strategy hedges the liability by directly tracking a benchmark process which represents the liability. Two…
Best linear forecast of volatility in financial time seriescond-mat.stat-mech
The autocorrelation function of volatility in financial time series is fitted well by a superposition of several exponents. Such a case admits an explicit analytical solution of the problem of constructing the best linear forecast of a stationary stochastic process. We describe and apply the proposed analytical method …
We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with respectively the trade arrival self-excitation, the price changes mean reversion…
Probabilistic solvers improve stability for stiff systems.
problem Performance penalties for small steps in stiff systems.
method Probabilistic exponential integrators that include fast linear dynamics in the prior.
result Proven L-stability and probabilistic error accounting.
Develops active learning for scale-bridging simulations.
problem Quantitative predictions in nanoporous media and inertial confinement fusion.
method Active learning approach to optimize fine-scale simulations for coarse-scale hydrodynamics.
result Optimizes use of fine-scale simulations for coarse-scale predictions.
DALTON improves ODE parameter estimation by learning from noisy data.
problem High sensitivity to parameters in ODEs produces unreliable parameter estimates.
method Data-adaptive probabilistic likelihood approximation for ODEs.
result DALTON produces more accurate parameter estimates than existing methods.
In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the uncertainty of the prediction into account and, therefore, to devise optimal decisions, e…
The square root of Fredholm determinants causes numerical instabilities in option pricing models.
problem Numerical instabilities in Fourier-based option pricing for the Volterra Stein-Stein model.
method Characterization of determinant crossing behavior, derivation of transform to handle crossings, efficient algorithms.
result Significant improvement in accuracy and reduction in computational cost for Fourier-based pricing.
We study an option pricing framework that accounts for the price impact of an earnings announcement (EA), and analyze the behavior of the implied volatility surface prior to the event. On the announcement date, we incorporate a random jump to the stock price to represent the shock due to earnings. We consider different…
Feature selection is a technique to screen out less important features. Many existing supervised feature selection algorithms use redundancy and relevancy as the main criteria to select features. However, feature interaction, potentially a key characteristic in real-world problems, has not received much attention. As a…