arXiv research

The paper sets thresholds for testing correlation in hypergraphs, distinguishing between independent and correlated states.

Markov regime switching models have been used in numerous empirical studies in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic for testing the number of regimes in Markov regime switching models has been an unresolved problem. This paper derives the asymptotic distribu…

Transforms any test into anytime-valid with sample savings.

Finite resources limit false discovery rate control in structured hypothesis spaces.

The problem of detecting data anomaly is considered. Under the null hypothesis that models anomaly-free data, measurements are assumed to be from an unknown distribution with some authenticated historical samples. Under the composite alternative hypothesis, measurements are from an unknown distribution positive distanc…

New framework for valid hypothesis testing in complex data settings.

There are many statistical tests that verify the null hypothesis: the variable of interest has the same distribution among k-groups. But once the null hypothesis is rejected, how to present the structure of dissimilarity between groups? In this article, we introduce The Merging Path Plot - a methodology, and factorMerg…

Unified Bayesian framework improves clinical trial hypothesis testing.

We propose to investigate test statistics for testing homogeneity in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Asymptotic null distributions under null hypothesis are derived, and consistency against fixed and local alternatives is assessed. Finally, experimental evidence of the performance of the proposed approach on both ar…

Research shows curves in Walker 3-manifolds can lie in flat cylinders.

We propose a methodology for testing linear hypothesis in high-dimensional linear models. The proposed test does not impose any restriction on the size of the model, i.e. model sparsity or the loading vector representing the hypothesis. Providing asymptotically valid methods for testing general linear functions of the …

Testing-by-betting strategies almost surely go bankrupt under null hypotheses.

Detecting edge correlation between two graphs sharpens a threshold based on densest subgraph.

New theorem removes uniform finite upper bound for shrinkability of null decompositions.

In this article, the long-term behavior of the stock market index of the New York Stock Exchange is studied, for the period 1950 to 2013. Specifically, the CRSP Value-Weighted and CRSP Equal-Weighted index are analyzed in terms of market efficiency, using the standard ratio variance test, considering over 1600 one week…

Framework for online hypothesis testing across various data types.

We propose procedures for testing whether stock price processes are martingales based on limit order type betting strategies. We first show that the null hypothesis of martingale property of a stock price process can be tested based on the capital process of a betting strategy. In particular with high frequency Markov …

This work examines the effects of allowing borrowing in betting-based hypothesis testing.

Multiple hypothesis testing is a core problem in statistical inference and arises in almost every scientific field. Given a set of null hypotheses $\mathcal{H}(n) = (H_1,\dotsc, H_n)$, Benjamini and Hochberg introduced the false discovery rate (FDR), which is the expected proportion of false positives among rejected nu…

This work constructs a hypothesis test for detecting whether an data-generating function $h: R^p \rightarrow R$ belongs to a specific reproducing kernel Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}_0$ , where the structure of $\mathcal{H}_0$ is only partially known. Utilizing the theory of reproducing kernels, we reduce this hypothesis …

Improved sequential tests detect anomalies faster in multi-stream auditing.

New findings on null measurability in symmetrization interface of VC learning.

This article develops a statistical test for the null hypothesis of strict stationarity of a discrete time stochastic process in the frequency domain. When the null hypothesis is true, the second order cumulant spectrum is zero at all the discrete Fourier frequency pairs in the principal domain. The test uses a window …

A family of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) kernel two-sample tests is introduced. Members of the test family are called Block-tests or B-tests, since the test statistic is an average over MMDs computed on subsets of the samples. The choice of block size allows control over the tradeoff between test power and computatio…

We consider the problem of uncertainty assessment for low dimensional components in high dimensional models. Specifically, we propose a decorrelated score function to handle the impact of high dimensional nuisance parameters. We consider both hypothesis tests and confidence regions for generic penalized M-estimators. U…

Study on continuous sequence classification with distribution uncertainty.

We consider the goodness-of-fit testing problem of distinguishing whether the data are drawn from a specified distribution, versus a composite alternative separated from the null in the total variation metric. In the discrete case, we consider goodness-of-fit testing when the null distribution has a possibly growing or…

Using one of the key property of copulas that they remain invariant under an arbitrary monotonous change of variable, we investigate the null hypothesis that the dependence between financial assets can be modeled by the Gaussian copula. We find that most pairs of currencies and pairs of major stocks are compatible with…

This article develops a framework for testing general hypothesis in high-dimensional models where the number of variables may far exceed the number of observations. Existing literature has considered less than a handful of hypotheses, such as testing individual coordinates of the model parameter. However, the problem o…

We prove that compact Cauchy horizons in a smooth spacetime satisfying the null energy condition are smooth. As an application, we consider the problem of determining when a cobordism admits Lorentzian metrics with certain properties. In particular, we prove a result originally due to Tipler without the smoothness hypo…

Paper proposes a new framework for hypothesis testing in imaging.

Detects dense subhypergraphs in heterogeneous random hypergraphs.

Unified framework controls false discovery rate in bandit multiple testing.

In this paper, we introduce the notion of modular class of a Lie algebroid $A$ equipped with a Nambu structure satisfying some suitable hypothesis. We also introduce cohomology and homology theories for such Lie algebroids and prove that these theories are connected by a duality isomorphism when the modular class is nu…

In many practical applications of multiple hypothesis testing using the False Discovery Rate (FDR), the given hypotheses can be naturally partitioned into groups, and one may not only want to control the number of false discoveries (wrongly rejected null hypotheses), but also the number of falsely discovered groups of …

Sequential tests for two-sample and independence testing using betting strategies.

Emergent and unscheduled cardiology admissions from cardiac catheterization laboratory add complexity to the management of Cardiology and in-patient department. In this article, we sought to study the behavior of cardiology admissions from Catheterization laboratory using time series models. Our research involves retro…

Do two data samples come from different distributions? Recent studies of this fundamental problem focused on embedding probability distributions into sufficiently rich characteristic Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHSs), to compare distributions by the distance between their embeddings. We show that Regularized Ma…

Study detects edge correlation between unlabeled random graphs.

Robust hypothesis testing designs a test for worst-case distributions using kernel methods.

A wild bootstrap method for nonparametric hypothesis tests based on kernel distribution embeddings is proposed. This bootstrap method is used to construct provably consistent tests that apply to random processes, for which the naive permutation-based bootstrap fails. It applies to a large group of kernel tests based on…

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis testing: the statistical properties of the empirical time series are tested again…

Kernel tests assess equivalence between distributions without assuming specific moments.

ElbowSig assesses clustering structure at multiple scales.

Usually one compares the accuracy of two competing classifiers via null hypothesis significance tests (nhst). Yet the nhst tests suffer from important shortcomings, which can be overcome by switching to Bayesian hypothesis testing. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model which jointly analyzes the cross-validation res…

Sharp boundaries for detecting dense subhypergraphs established.

New private algorithm for sequential hypothesis testing with privacy and error rate guarantees.

SIMPLE-RC method tests group membership profiles in large networks with weak signals.