Sequential tests for nonparametric hypotheses using supermartingales.
problem Designing valid sequential tests for nonparametric null hypotheses.
method Using elicitable and identifiable functionals, nonnegative supermartingales, and Online Convex Optimization.
result Rigorous guarantees on asymptotic power for a wide range of alternative hypotheses.
The paper confirms two groups of gamma-ray bursts using a new nonparametric metric.
problem Determining the number of inherent groups in gamma-ray bursts.
method A new nonparametric interpoint distance-based measure, combined with clustering methods.
result Confirms two groups of short and long gamma-ray bursts.
New algorithm learns regression models privately under growth condition.
problem Private learning of nonparametric regression models.
method Novel filtering procedure to output stable hypotheses for nonparametric function classes.
result Established first nonparametric private learnability guarantee for diverging fat shattering dimensions.
Unified method for MMD variance estimation improves accuracy and computational efficiency.
problem Variance estimation for MMD in nonparametric testing.
method Unified finite-sample characterization of MMD variance through U-statistic and Hoeffding decomposition; exact acceleration method for univariate case.
result Unified estimators improve accuracy and computational efficiency for MMD variance.
This paper is about two related decision theoretic problems, nonparametric two-sample testing and independence testing. There is a belief that two recently proposed solutions, based on kernels and distances between pairs of points, behave well in high-dimensional settings. We identify different sources of misconception…
The study analyzes the performance of a nonparametric estimator for dynamical systems.
problem Analyzing the performance of a nonparametric estimator for dynamical systems.
method Nonparametric least squares estimator (LSE) and information-theoretic methods.
result Rate-optimal error bounds for nonparametric hypotheses classes.
The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability distribution. This hypothesis is close, in certain respects, to the hypothesis of exchangeab…
Scientists develop a model to identify treatment responders from non-responders.
problem Analyzing samples that respond to treatment in studies.
method Causal two-groups (C2G) model, empirical Bayes procedures.
result The C2G model controls false discovery rate and has near-optimal power.
Proposes a semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator for MMD in GOF tests and GANs.
problem Challenges in goodness-of-fit testing for intractable models.
method Semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator of MMD.
result Outperforms frequentist MMD-based methods in false rejection and acceptance rates.
PEAK tests means of multiple data streams with sequential betting.
problem Testing means of multiple data streams with nonparametric methods.
method Sequential, nonparametric testing using a betting scheme.
result PEAK provides up to 85% reduction in samples for stopping.
Kernel-based tests for shape constraints in finance.
problem Enforcing shape relations on latent functions in financial econometrics.
method Kernel-based nonparametric framework for mean-variance optimization.
result Established statistical properties and a joint Wald-type statistic for testing shape constraints.
New findings show single-treatment effects are unidentifiable in factorial experiments.
problem Identifying the effect of a single intervention in factorial experiments.
method Formalized sufficient conditions for the identifiability of single-treatment effects and developed nonparametric sharp bounds.
result Researchers must justify assumptions for extrapolating single-treatment effects.
Neural networks learn more efficiently with hidden factorial structures.
problem Challenges in high-dimensional statistical learning.
method Controlled experimental framework to test neural networks' ability to exploit hidden factorial structures.
result Neural networks can leverage hidden factorial structures to learn discrete distributions more efficiently.
Proposes a new model for testing causal structural priors and synthesizing data.
problem Testing and synthesizing causal structural priors using nonparametric knowledge and neural networks.
method Causal Structural Hypothesis Testing (C-SHT) and Causal Structural Variational Hypothesis Testing (C-SVHT) using deep neural networks.
result Demonstrates out-of-distribution generalization error as a proxy for causal structural prior hypothesis testing.
Paper develops a consistent model selection framework for learning Hypotheses Space from data.
problem Avoiding overfitting in complex spaces with limited data.
method Develops a model selection framework based on Learning Spaces, selecting a Hypotheses Space from data.
result The method converges with probability one to a target Hypotheses Space, providing a consistent framework for model selection.
Subsampling reduces computational cost in supervised learning in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
problem Reducing computational cost in supervised learning
method Subsampling minimizes empirical risk in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces
result Optimal subsampling scheme revealed
The article compares predictor importance in classification problems with categorical outcomes.
problem Comparing predictor importance in classification problems with categorical response variables.
method The approach is based on the categorical Gini correlation (CGC) and tests differences in CGCs across predictor groups.
result The proposed methodology accommodates predictors of arbitrary and unequal dimensions and allows for dependence between predictor groups.
Paper tackles efficient learning of non-convex hypotheses in metric spaces.
problem Efficiently find consistent hypotheses for non-convex hypotheses composed of possibly several disconnected regions.
method Proposes a general domain-independent algorithm for finding consistent weakly convex hypotheses and proves sufficient conditions for its efficiency.
result Shows that consistent hypothesis finding problem can be solved in polynomial time for a broad class of weakly convex hypotheses over metric spaces.
A new method tests conditional independence by transforming it into an unconditional problem using transport maps.
problem Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third.
method Constructing transport maps to transform conditional independence into unconditional independence, estimating these maps from data using conditional continuous normalizing flow models.
result The proposed method is validated through simulations and real-data analysis, demonstrating practical effectiveness.
Boosting combines weak hypotheses to create accurate predictions under bounded VC dimension.
problem How to combine weak hypotheses to achieve accurate predictions efficiently.
method Designing a novel boosting algorithm with complex aggregation rules for bounded VC dimension classes.
result The new boosting algorithm requires fewer weak hypotheses than classical lower bounds, provided they belong to a bounded VC class.
DivDis learns diverse hypotheses from underspecified data to improve robustness.
problem Learning from underspecified datasets leads to multiple equally viable solutions, causing out-of-distribution issues.
method DivDis framework: 1) learns diverse hypotheses using unlabeled test data, 2) selects one hypothesis with minimal additional supervision.
result DivDis finds robust features in image and natural language processing problems.
Machine Learning benefits from prior information and computational power for better performance and understanding.
problem Improper use of Machine Learning methods leads to lack of understanding and performance issues.
method Employing prior information and computational power to solve learning problems, emphasizing interpretability and performance.
result Combining prior information and computational power can lead to better understanding and performance in Machine Learning.
New method uses LLMs to generate detailed scientific hypotheses.
problem Generating detailed, actionable scientific hypotheses from coarse initial directions.
method Hierarchical search method that incrementally adds details to hypotheses.
result Hierarchical search method consistently outperforms strong baselines on expert-annotated hypotheses.
In many practical applications of multiple hypothesis testing using the False Discovery Rate (FDR), the given hypotheses can be naturally partitioned into groups, and one may not only want to control the number of false discoveries (wrongly rejected null hypotheses), but also the number of falsely discovered groups of …
In this paper, we diagnose deep neural networks for 3D point cloud processing to explore utilities of different intermediate-layer network architectures. We propose a number of hypotheses on the effects of specific intermediate-layer network architectures on the representation capacity of DNNs. In order to prove the hy…
We propose a method to generate multiple diverse and valid human pose hypotheses in 3D all consistent with the 2D detection of joints in a monocular RGB image. We use a novel generative model uniform (unbiased) in the space of anatomically plausible 3D poses. Our model is compositional (produces a pose by combining par…
Hypothesis testing in singular models is fundamentally about identifiable vs. non-identifiable parameters.
problem Testing in singular models is inherently problematic due to non-identifiability and degeneracy of Fisher information.
method Formalized the overlap obstruction and showed that hypotheses over non-identifiable parameters are untestable, while those over identifiable parameters reduce to classical testing.
result Hypotheses over non-identifiable parameters are untestable, while those over identifiable parameters reduce to classical testing.
The paper uses RL to verify hypotheses, overcoming existing limitations.
problem Verifying hypotheses using reinforcement learning.
method Formulated hypothesis verification as an RL problem, exploiting hypothesis structure.
result RL agents can successfully verify hypotheses, even those not factorizable.
There is a significant literature on methods for incorporating knowledge into multiple testing procedures so as to improve their power and precision. Some common forms of prior knowledge include (a) beliefs about which hypotheses are null, modeled by non-uniform prior weights; (b) differing importances of hypotheses, m…
Attention-based encoder decoder network uses a left-to-right beam search algorithm in the inference step. The current beam search expands hypotheses and traverses the expanded hypotheses at the next time step. This traversal is implemented using a for-loop program in general, and it leads to speed down of the recogniti…
s-RBFN integrates multiple hypotheses for efficient and diverse prediction.
problem Integrating multiple hypotheses into learning models for regression.
method Structured Radial Basis Function Network (s-RBFN) using Voronoi tessellations and least-squares training.
result s-RBFN achieves superior generalization and efficiency compared to other models.
It was proved in 1998 by Ben-David and Litman that a concept space has a sample compression scheme of size d if and only if every finite subspace has a sample compression scheme of size d. In the compactness theorem, measurability of the hypotheses of the created sample compression scheme is not guaranteed; at the same…
Bayesian nonparametrics adapt model complexity to diverse datasets.
problem Complex challenges across statistics, computer science, and engineering.
method Flexible Bayesian nonparametric models that adapt model complexity.
result Bayesian nonparametrics offer innovative solutions to multi-object tracking.
NP-iMCMC algorithm for nonparametric models in universal PPLs.
problem Developing inference algorithms for arbitrary nonparametric models in universal PPLs.
method Unifying involutive MCMC framework with a general procedure for state movement.
result Proves the correctness of the NP-iMCMC sampler and shows significant performance improvements.
Near-optimal private tests for simple and MLR hypotheses developed under Gaussian differential privacy.
problem Developing private tests for simple and MLR hypotheses under Gaussian differential privacy.
method A private mean estimator with data-driven clamping bounds, constructing private test statistics.
result Private tests achieve the same asymptotic relative efficiency as non-private most powerful tests.
A boosting method improves nonparametric density estimation without smoothing assumptions.
problem Overfitting in nonparametric data fitting.
method Introduces a boosting algorithm for univariate nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the boosting approach through simulations and real data experiments.
Current statistical inference problems in areas like astronomy, genomics, and marketing routinely involve the simultaneous testing of thousands -- even millions -- of null hypotheses. For high-dimensional multivariate distributions, these hypotheses may concern a wide range of parameters, with complex and unknown depen…
Confirmation bias leads to biased estimates in noisy data analysis.
problem Confirmation bias affects scientific conclusions in noisy data environments.
method Investigation of confirmation bias in Gaussian mixture models using K-means and EM algorithms.
result Estimates from algorithms are biased and resemble initial hypotheses, not the noise.
The study examines Fisher-Riemann geodesics for nonparametric probability densities.
problem Understanding nonparametric probability densities using Fisher-Riemann geometry.
method Obtaining Fisher-Riemann geodesics as a limit of parametric cases with increasing parameters.
result The weak limit approach for nonparametric probability densities.
The paper proves weaker conditions for global smoothings of special Lagrangian submanifolds with conical singularities.
problem Conditions for global smoothings of special Lagrangian submanifolds with isolated conical singularities.
method Proof of weaker conditions for global smoothings.
result Global smoothings are possible under weaker hypotheses than previously known.
Surveying nonparametric inference with shape constraints, past and future.
problem Statistical inference under shape constraints.
method Historical overview and future directions.
result Outlook on future research directions.
Optimal nonparametric regression estimator adapts to unknown smoothness.
problem Nonparametric regression with unknown smoothness.
method Constructs an interpolating estimator that adapts to unknown smoothness.
result Minimax optimal rates achieved on Hölder classes.
Study identifies and analyzes spurious correlations in data-driven models.
problem Spurious correlations in data-driven models are unreliable and hard to detect.
method Collect and analyze synthetic datasets generated from causal graphs to investigate spurious correlations.
result Patterns connecting spurious correlation hypotheses and model design choices were observed.
Bayesian nonparametric models improve OOD detection, especially with complex covariance structures.
problem Improving out-of-distribution detection methods, especially in complex scenarios.
method Proposes Bayesian nonparametric mixture models with hierarchical priors that generalize the Mahalanobis distance score.
result Bayesian nonparametric methods outperform existing OOD methods, especially in complex scenarios.
Boosting algorithms produce a classifier by iteratively combining base hypotheses. It has been observed experimentally that the generalization error keeps improving even after achieving zero training error. One popular explanation attributes this to improvements in margins. A common goal in a long line of research, is …
We consider a distributed learning setup where a network of agents sequentially access realizations of a set of random variables with unknown distributions. The network objective is to find a parametrized distribution that best describes their joint observations in the sense of the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Apart fr…
We propose to use nonparametric Bernstein copulas as bivariate pair-copulas in high-dimensional vine models. The resulting smooth and nonparametric vine copulas completely obviate the error-prone need for choosing the pair-copulas from parametric copula families. By means of a simulation study and an empirical analysis…
Crowdsourcing has been successfully applied in many domains including astronomy, cryptography and biology. In order to test its potential for useful application in a Smart Grid context, this paper investigates the extent to which a crowd can contribute predictive hypotheses to a model of residential electric energy con…