The accurate characterization of the business cycles in the nonlinear dynamic financial and economic systems in the time of globalization represents a formidable research problem. The central banks and other financial institutions make their decisions on the minimum capital requirements, countercyclical capital buffer …
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,657 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “nonlinear interactions”
A new method quickly identifies key variables and interactions.
problem Identifying key variables and interactions in high-dimensional data.
method Kernel trick for sparse orthogonal decomposition in O(# covariates) time.
result Outperforms existing methods for large, high-dimensional data sets.
A framework detects nonlinear and interaction effects in epidemiological data with uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of reliable inference for ML-discovered nonlinearities and interactions in epidemiological data.
method Combines Bayesian sparse regression, tree ensembles, and Shapley values.
result Valid uncertainty quantification for feature effects at the individual level.
Study on identifying and inferring nonlinear dynamics on unknown networks.
problem Identifying network structure in nonlinear dynamic systems with unknown interactions.
method Showed network structure is not generically identified, requiring sufficient spectral heterogeneity. Developed necessary and sufficient conditions for identification and proposed a semiparametric estimator.
result Necessary and sufficient conditions for identification of network structure in nonlinear dynamic systems.
Locally Anisotropic Interactions: I. Nonlinear Connections in Higher Order Anisotropic Superspaceshep-th
Higher order anisotropic superspaces are constructed as generalized vector superbundles provided with compatible nonlinear connection, distinguished connection and metric structures.
New method recovers causal networks from short time-series data.
problem Inferring causal relationships from short time-series data in complex systems.
method Large-scale Nonlinear Granger Causality (lsNGC) approach.
result Captures meaningful interactions from limited observational data.
Dynamical thermalization and turbulence in social stratification modelscond-mat.stat-mech
Study chaotic dynamics in social stratification models leading to thermalization and turbulence.
problem Understanding social stratification dynamics through chaotic nonlinear systems.
method Modeling social network links with oscillators and energies, studying Hamiltonian evolution and nonlinear interactions.
result Chaotic dynamics leads to dynamical thermalization and Kolmogorov-Zakharov turbulence, with implications for wealth inequality.
Extends RRR to capture nonlinear interactions in multi-response regression.
problem Complex relationships in real-world data cannot be adequately modeled by linear interactions.
method Introduces Higher Order Reduced Rank Regression (HORRR) using tensor representations and Tucker decomposition.
result HORRR can capture nonlinear interactions in multi-response regression.
Paper improves neural interaction modeling using nonlinear Hawkes processes.
problem Inability of classic Hawkes process to model inhibitory interactions.
method Augmented auxiliary latent variables and EM algorithm for efficient inference.
result Demonstrates accurate and efficient estimation of neural interaction dynamics.
Study shows attention-style models learn pairwise interactions efficiently.
problem Learning pairwise interactions in attention-style models.
method Proved minimax rate of convergence for learning pairwise interactions.
result Minimax rate is independent of embedding dimension and token number.
This paper is concerned with the problems of interaction screening and nonlinear classification in a high-dimensional setting. We propose a two-step procedure, IIS-SQDA, where in the first step an innovated interaction screening (IIS) approach based on transforming the original -dimensional feature vector is propose…
Neural Granger Causalitystat.ML
While most classical approaches to Granger causality detection assume linear dynamics, many interactions in real-world applications, like neuroscience and genomics, are inherently nonlinear. In these cases, using linear models may lead to inconsistent estimation of Granger causal interactions. We propose a class of non…
Inferring linear and nonlinear Interaction networks using neighborhood support vector machinesstat.ML
In this paper, we consider modelling interaction between a set of variables in the context of time series and high dimension. We suggest two approaches. The first is similar to the neighborhood lasso when the lasso model is replaced by a support vector machine (SVMs). The second is a restricted Bayesian network adapted…
TRNN combines tensor geometry with neural network nonlinearity for HD data.
problem Modeling high-dimensional data with preserved tensor geometry and nonlinear interactions.
method Introduces TRNN that integrates tensor geometry and neural network nonlinearity.
result TRNN preserves tensor geometry while offering nonlinearity.
New models improve machine learning accuracy and transparency in finance.
problem Black-box machine learning models lack interpretability in regulated industries.
method Introducing generalized groves of neural additive models with clear feature categories and interactions.
result Generalized groves of neural additive models achieve high accuracy with predominantly linear and sparse nonlinear components.
Paper uses machine learning to uncover nonlinear dynamics in CAT bond pricing.
problem Traditional linear models miss nonlinear relationships in CAT bond pricing.
method Advanced machine learning techniques applied to CAT bond transaction records.
result Machine learning enhances CAT bond pricing accuracy and reveals complex risk interactions.
We develop a new DTSM with nonlinearities using Gaussian Processes for better interest rate forecasting.
problem Linear DTSMs fail to capture nonlinear relationships between macroeconomic variables and interest rates.
method We propose a Gaussian Process-based sequential Monte Carlo estimation and forecasting scheme.
result Nonlinear models outperform linear ones in forecasting core inflation, leading to significant economic value gains.
Identifying the underlying directional relations from observational time series with nonlinear interactions and complex relational structures is key to a wide range of applications, yet remains a hard problem. In this work, we introduce a novel minimum predictive information regularization method to infer directional r…
Interpreting neural networks is a crucial and challenging task in machine learning. In this paper, we develop a novel framework for detecting statistical interactions captured by a feedforward multilayer neural network by directly interpreting its learned weights. Depending on the desired interactions, our method can a…
We propose dynamical systems trees (DSTs) as a flexible class of models for describing multiple processes that interact via a hierarchy of aggregating parent chains. DSTs extend Kalman filters, hidden Markov models and nonlinear dynamical systems to an interactive group scenario. Various individual processes interact a…
In a recent formulation of a quantum field theory of forward rates, the volatility of the forward rates was taken to be deterministic. The field theory of the forward rates is generalized to the case of stochastic volatility. Two cases are analyzed, firstly when volatility is taken to be a function of the forward rates…
Can we effectively learn a nonlinear representation in time comparable to linear learning? We describe a new algorithm that explicitly and adaptively expands higher-order interaction features over base linear representations. The algorithm is designed for extreme computational efficiency, and an extensive experimental …
Drug-drug interactions (DDIs) are a major cause of preventable hospitalizations and deaths. Predicting the occurrence of DDIs helps drug safety professionals allocate investigative resources and take appropriate regulatory action promptly. Traditional DDI prediction methods predict DDIs based on the similarity between …
The work proposes a geometric background of the theory of field interactions and strings in spaces with higher order anisotropy. Our approach proceeds by developing the concept of higher order anisotropic superspace which unifies the logical and mathematical aspects of modern Kaluza-Klein theories and generalized Lagra…
When considering the problem of unmixing hyperspectral images, most of the literature in the geoscience and image processing areas relies on the widely used linear mixing model (LMM). However, the LMM may be not valid and other nonlinear models need to be considered, for instance, when there are multi-scattering effect…
Global minimizers for fast diffusion versus nonlocal interactions on negatively curved manifoldsmath.AP
Study finds conditions for global minimizers on curved manifolds with fast diffusion and nonlocal interactions.
problem Existence of global minimizers for a free energy functional on negatively curved manifolds.
method Investigation of Carlson-Levin type inequalities for Cartan-Hadamard manifolds.
result Establishes necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of global energy minimizers.
Using ensemble methods for regression has been a large success in obtaining high-accuracy prediction. Examples are Bagging, Random forest, Boosting, BART (Bayesian additive regression tree), and their variants. In this paper, we propose a new perspective named variable grouping to enhance the predictive performance. Th…
While there are convergence guarantees for temporal difference (TD) learning when using linear function approximators, the situation for nonlinear models is far less understood, and divergent examples are known. Here we take a first step towards extending theoretical convergence guarantees to TD learning with nonlinear…
CDSSL improves representation quality by integrating linear and nonlinear dependencies.
problem Scarcity of labeled data and neglect of nonlinear dependencies in SSL.
method CDSSL combines linear correlations and nonlinear dependencies using HSIC in RKHS.
result CDSSL enhances representation quality on diverse benchmarks.
Granger causality is a widely-used criterion for analyzing interactions in large-scale networks. As most physical interactions are inherently nonlinear, we consider the problem of inferring the existence of pairwise Granger causality between nonlinearly interacting stochastic processes from their time series measuremen…
We present an introduction to the geometry of higher order vector and co--vector bundles (including higher order generalizations of the Finsler geometry and Kaluza--Klein gravity) and review the basic results on Clifford and spinor structures on spaces with generic local anisotropy modeled by higher order nonlinear con…
Tensor decomposition is an important technique for capturing the high-order interactions among multiway data. Multi-linear tensor composition methods, such as the Tucker decomposition and the CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP), assume that the complex interactions among objects are multi-linear, and are thus insufficient to repres…
Neural networks learn to mimic brain neurons with two-input activation functions, improving performance and robustness.
problem Training neural networks to mimic the complex interactions of brain neurons.
method Developed a network-in-network architecture with two-input activation functions, optimized hyperparameters, and compared to conventional ReLU networks.
result Two-input activation functions can learn soft XOR functions, improving network performance and robustness.
Interpretable deep convolutional model for nonlinear multivariate time series in complex systemsstat.ML
DCIts interprets complex time series data with interpretable coefficients.
problem Interpreting nonlinear multivariate time series data.
method Deep convolutional architecture with a Focuser and Modeler components.
result DCIts provides interpretable coefficients and interaction patterns.
We review the geometric setting of the field theory with locally anisotropic interactions. The concept of locally anisotropic space is introduced as a general one for various type of extensions of Lagrange and Finsler geometry and higher dimension (Kaluza--Klein type) spaces. The problem of definition of spinors on gen…
We study dynamic allocation problems for discrete time multi-armed bandits under uncertainty, based on the the theory of nonlinear expectations. We show that, under strong independence of the bandits and with some relaxation in the definition of optimality, a Gittins allocation index gives optimal choices. This involve…
The method to derive uniform bounds with Gaussian and Rademacher complexities is extended to the case where the sample average is replaced by a nonlinear statistic. Tight bounds are obtained for U-statistics, smoothened L-statistics and error functionals of l2-regularized algorithms.
New framework IIA identifies innovations in general nonlinear vector autoregressive processes.
problem Limited generality of NVAR models due to additive innovation assumption.
method Independent Innovation Analysis (IIA) framework, assuming mutual independence and modulation by an auxiliary variable.
result Guarantees identifiability of innovations with arbitrary nonlinearities, up to permutation and component-wise invertible nonlinearities.
Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always the result of optimal information processing. On the contrary, agents are bounded…
A new method for embedding sparse high-order interactions.
problem Learning embeddings from sparse high-order interaction events.
method Hybridizing sparse hypergraph and matrix Gaussian processes.
result Strong asymptotic bounds on sparsity ratio.
Matrix factorization techniques have been widely used as a method for collaborative filtering for recommender systems. In recent times, different variants of deep learning algorithms have been explored in this setting to improve the task of making a personalized recommendation with user-item interaction data. The idea …
A Sparse Bayesian Learning Algorithm for Estimation of Interaction Kernels in Motsch-Tadmor Modelstat.ML
Sparse Bayesian learning algorithm for estimating interaction kernels in Motsch-Tadmor model.
problem Data-driven identification of asymmetric interaction kernels in the Motsch-Tadmor model.
method Variational framework reformulating kernel identification as a subspace identification problem; sparse Bayesian learning algorithm with informative priors.
result Accurate, robust, and interpretable estimation of interaction kernels across various noise levels and data regimes.
We study inverse problems consisting on determining medium properties using the responses to probing waves from the machine learning point of view. Based on the understanding of propagation of waves and their nonlinear interactions, we construct a deep convolutional neural network in which the parameters are used to cl…
The central aim in this paper is to address variable selection questions in nonlinear and nonparametric regression. Motivated by statistical genetics, where nonlinear interactions are of particular interest, we introduce a novel and interpretable way to summarize the relative importance of predictor variables. Methodol…
Bayesian model learns multiscale interactions in complex systems.
problem Understanding dynamic interplay between processes at different time scales.
method Bayesian learning framework with Particle Gibbs with Ancestor Sampling (PGAS) algorithm.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed approach through simulations.
In this work the system of agents is applied to establish a model of the nonlinear distributed signal processing. The evolution of the system of the agents - by the prediction time scale diversified trend followers, has been studied for the stochastic time-varying environments represented by the real currency-exchange …
While most classical approaches to Granger causality detection repose upon linear time series assumptions, many interactions in neuroscience and economics applications are nonlinear. We develop an approach to nonlinear Granger causality detection using multilayer perceptrons where the input to the network is the past t…
Intelligent agents need a physical understanding of the world to predict the impact of their actions in the future. While learning-based models of the environment dynamics have contributed to significant improvements in sample efficiency compared to model-free reinforcement learning algorithms, they typically fail to g…