The problem of Reinforcement Learning (RL) in an unknown nonlinear dynamical system is equivalent to the search for an optimal feedback law utilizing the simulations/ rollouts of the dynamical system. Most RL techniques search over a complex global nonlinear feedback parametrization making them suffer from high trainin…
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The paper tackles combinatorial pure exploration with various feedback structures and proposes efficient algorithms.
A vast majority of computation in the brain is performed by spiking neural networks. Despite the ubiquity of such spiking, we currently lack an understanding of how biological spiking neural circuits learn and compute in-vivo, as well as how we can instantiate such capabilities in artificial spiking circuits in-silico.…
Families of explicit solutions are found to a nonlinear Black-Scholes equation which incorporates the feedback-effect of a large trader in case of market illiquidity. The typical solution of these families will have a payoff which approximates a strangle. These solutions were used to test numerical schemes for solving …
Active learning method estimates nonlinear systems efficiently.
Feedback improves ESN performance by 30-60% across various tasks.
The study explains how market-makers' hedging affects stock volatility during gamma-squeeze events.
New method for online learning IC models with node-level feedback.
Improved stability analysis of neural network systems using Zames-Falb multipliers.
Paper classifies conic submanifolds in control systems.
Proposes estimators for complex dose-response curves using kernel methods.
The paper introduces reservoir computing models for complex systems.
Modulo-SK outperforms Deepcode in error probability and feedback rounds.
Control Barrier Functions (CBF) have been recently utilized in the design of provably safe feedback control laws for nonlinear systems. These feedback control methods typically compute the next control input by solving an online Quadratic Program (QP). Solving QP in real-time can be a computationally expensive process …
Exact asymptotic solutions found for nonlinear Hawkes processes.
We study a class of nonlinear pricing models which involves the feedback effect from the dynamic hedging strategies on the price of asset introduced by Sircar and Papanicolaou. We are first to study the case of a nonlinear demand function involved in the model. Using a Lie group analysis we investigate the symmetry pro…
MAXMINLCB optimizes unknown target functions with preference feedback using a Stackelberg game approach.
FP uses random projections to train networks without feedback, achieving comparable performance to backpropagation.
The main object of our study is a four dimensional Lie algebra which describes the symmetry properties of a nonlinear Black-Scholes model. This model implements a feedback effect which is typical for an illiquid market. The structure of the Lie algebra depends on one parameter, i.e. we have to do with a one-parametric …
The purpose of this paper is to analyze and compute the early exercise boundary for a class of nonlinear Black--Scholes equations with a nonlinear volatility which can be a function of the second derivative of the option price itself. A motivation for studying the nonlinear Black--Scholes equation with a nonlinear vola…
Market illiquidity, feedback effects, presence of transaction costs, risk from unprotected portfolio and other nonlinear effects in PDE based option pricing models can be described by solutions to the generalized Black-Scholes parabolic equation with a diffusion term nonlinearly depending on the option price itself. Di…
The paper discusses the main ideas of the chaos theory and presents mainly the importance of the nonlinearities in the mathematical models. Chaos and order are apparently two opposite terms. The fact that in chaos can be found a certain precise symmetry (Feigenbaum numbers) is even more surprising. As an illustration o…
In this paper we consider -flat nonlinear control systems with two inputs, and show that every such system can be rendered static feedback linearizable by prolongations of a suitably chosen control. This result is not only of theoretical interest, but has also important implications on the design of flatness bas…
Geometric framework for dynamic feedback linearization of control systems with symmetry.
QS-BO optimizes functions using only rank-based feedback.
This paper explores using nonlinear control for robust logarithmic growth in coin flipping games.
We analyze and calculate the early exercise boundary for a class of stationary generalized Black-Scholes equations in which the volatility function depends on the second derivative of the option price itself. A motivation for studying the nonlinear Black Scholes equation with a nonlinear volatility arises from option p…
The paper tackles exact linearization and control of flat discrete-time systems.
We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a multivariate Bernoulli process with auto-regressive feedback in the high-dimensional setting where the number of samples available is much less than the number of parameters. This problem arises in learning interconnections of networks of dynamical systems with …
AutoStan improves Bayesian models via predictive feedback.
Keeping a basic tenet of economic theory, rational expectations, we model the nonlinear positive feedback between agents in the stock market as an interplay between nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. The derived hyperbolic stochastic finite-time singularity formula transforms a Gaussian white noise into a rich time…
We propose a method for learning cyclic causal models from a combination of observational and interventional equilibrium data. Novel aspects of the proposed method are its ability to work with continuous data (without assuming linearity) and to deal with feedback loops. Within the context of biochemical reactions, we a…
Causal inference uses observations to infer the causal structure of the data generating system. We study a class of functional models that we call Time Series Models with Independent Noise (TiMINo). These models require independent residual time series, whereas traditional methods like Granger causality exploit the var…
Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) model feedback causal relations in interwoven webs of causality and policy variables. FCMs are fuzzy signed directed graphs that allow degrees of causal influence and event occurrence. Such causal models can simulate a wide range of policy scenarios and decision processes. Their directed loo…
We propose a probabilistic numerical algorithm to solve Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) with nonnegative jumps, a class of BSDEs introduced in [9] for representing fully nonlinear HJB equations. In particular, this allows us to numerically solve stochastic control problems with controlled volatility,…
First, classes of Markov processes that scale exactly with a Hurst exponent H are derived in closed form. A special case of one class is the Tsallis density, advertised elsewhere as nonlinear diffusion or diffusion with nonlinear feedback. But the Tsallis model is only one of a very large class of linear diffusion with…
Finding optimal feedback controllers for nonlinear dynamic systems from data is hard. Recently, Bayesian optimization (BO) has been proposed as a powerful framework for direct controller tuning from experimental trials. For selecting the next query point and finding the global optimum, BO relies on a probabilistic desc…
New algorithms solve complex function optimization problems.
The problem of optimal switching between nonlinear autonomous subsystems is investigated in this study where the objective is not only bringing the states to close to the desired point, but also adjusting the switching pattern, in the sense of penalizing switching occurrences and assigning different preferences to util…
Random features enhance control of complex systems.
We show that the flatness of a nonlinear discrete-time system can be checked by computing a unique sequence of involutive distributions. The well-known test for static feedback linearizability is included as a special case. Since the computation of the sequence of distributions requires only the solution of algebraic e…
The purpose of this survey chapter is to present a transformation technique that can be used in analysis and numerical computation of the early exercise boundary for an American style of vanilla options that can be modelled by class of generalized Black-Scholes equations. We analyze qualitatively and quantitatively the…
This work proposes a new method for simultaneous probabilistic identification and control of an observable, fully-actuated mechanical system. Identification is achieved by conditioning stochastic process priors on observations of configurations and noisy estimates of configuration derivatives. In contrast to previous w…
Uncertainty propagation in nonlinear dynamic systems remains an outstanding problem in scientific computing and control. Numerous approaches have been developed, but are limited in their capability to tackle problems with more than a few uncertain variables or require large amounts of simulation data. In this paper, we…
New framework learns nonlinear cyclic causal models from data.
We consider stochastic multi-armed bandit problems with complex actions over a set of basic arms, where the decision maker plays a complex action rather than a basic arm in each round. The reward of the complex action is some function of the basic arms' rewards, and the feedback observed may not necessarily be the rewa…
New algorithm solves Schrödinger bridge problem with mismatched channels.
We propose two rational expectation models of transient financial bubbles with heterogeneous arbitrageurs and positive feedbacks leading to self-reinforcing transient stochastic faster-than-exponential price dynamics. As a result of the nonlinear feedbacks, the termination of a bubble is found to be characterized by a …