Study tackles nonlinear factor models with unknown monotone links from incomplete and noisy data.
problem Learning nonlinear factor models with unknown monotone links from incomplete and noisy data.
method Formulated as joint recovery of low-rank factors, loadings, and nonlinear link function; proposed BCD algorithm with regularization.
result Established convergence guarantees and sublinear regret bounds for link-function updates.
Paper uses machine learning to uncover nonlinear dynamics in CAT bond pricing.
problem Traditional linear models miss nonlinear relationships in CAT bond pricing.
method Advanced machine learning techniques applied to CAT bond transaction records.
result Machine learning enhances CAT bond pricing accuracy and reveals complex risk interactions.
The paper reviews identifiability in linear and nonlinear models, from Gaussian to non-Gaussian.
problem Identifiability issues in latent-variable and structural-equation models, especially in nonlinear cases.
method Review of identifiability theory for linear and nonlinear models, including factor analysis and structural equation models.
result Even nonparametric nonlinear models can be estimated with additional assumptions.
Robust method learns nonlinear structures robustly to noise.
problem Learning nonlinear structures in noisy data.
method Robust Non-Linear Matrix Factorization (RNLMF).
result RNLMF achieves noticeable improvements in denoising and clustering.
We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space models where sequential approximate inference results in the factorization of a data…
Factor graphs have recently gained increasing attention as a unified framework for representing and constructing algorithms for signal processing, estimation, and control. One capability that does not seem to be well explored within the factor graph tool kit is the ability to handle deterministic nonlinear transformati…
Optimistic estimate predicts best fitting performance of nonlinear models.
problem Evaluating the potential of nonlinear models in fitting.
method Proposes an optimistic estimate to quantify the smallest sample size for fitting nonlinear models.
result Predicts specific subsets of targets that can be fitted at overparameterization.
This paper develops a fast algorithm for solving nonlinear PDEs using sparse Cholesky factorization.
problem Efficiently solving nonlinear PDEs with Gaussian processes and kernel methods.
method Sparse Cholesky factorization for near-linear complexity.
result Near-linear complexity algorithm for working with kernel matrices of nonlinear PDEs.
Deep neural networks decompose SDF into linear and nonlinear components.
problem Constructing accurate stochastic discount factors (SDFs) for pricing.
method Additive decomposition of a deep neural network trained to construct SDFs.
result The PTK representation delivers significant performance gains in equity data.
MPTE uses Transformer attention to estimate mixed-frequency factor models.
problem Estimating factor models in panel datasets with mixed frequencies and nonlinear signals.
method Mixed-Panels-Transformer Encoder (MPTE) with attention mechanisms.
result MPTE achieves competitive performance in nonlinear forecasting environments.
Matrix factorization techniques have been widely used as a method for collaborative filtering for recommender systems. In recent times, different variants of deep learning algorithms have been explored in this setting to improve the task of making a personalized recommendation with user-item interaction data. The idea …
This paper introduces a robust mixing model to describe hyperspectral data resulting from the mixture of several pure spectral signatures. This new model not only generalizes the commonly used linear mixing model, but also allows for possible nonlinear effects to be easily handled, relying on mild assumptions regarding…
Proposes FATTNN for tensor-on-tensor regression with improved prediction and reduced computation.
problem Tensor-on-tensor regression with complex tensor structures and nonlinear relationships.
method Integrates tensor factor models into deep neural networks to handle nonlinearity and reduce data dimensionality.
result Significant improvements in prediction accuracy and computational efficiency over traditional methods.
FactorGCL uses hypergraph learning to predict stock returns by mining hidden factors.
problem Mining effective factors in data-driven models is challenging due to low signal-to-noise ratio in market data.
method FactorGCL employs a hypergraph structure and temporal residual contrastive learning to extract hidden factors.
result FactorGCL outperforms existing methods and mines effective hidden factors for predicting stock returns.
Proposes CoDEAL for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data models.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models with covariate effects.
method Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) integrating neural networks and autoencoders.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees and demonstrates compelling performance in simulations and real data.
Method learns shared and specific factors in multi-study gene expression data.
problem Understanding shared and specific factors in high-dimensional multi-study data.
method Nonlinear multi-study factor model with sparse variational autoencoder.
result Method recovers meaningful shared and specific factors in platelet gene expression data.
New principle for disentangling latent factors using sparse regularization.
problem Disentangling latent factors from complex data.
method Sparse regularization of latent mechanisms to induce disentanglement.
result Recovery of latent variables up to permutation under certain conditions.
RVRAE combines deep learning and dynamic factor models for better stock returns prediction.
problem Improving stock returns prediction in volatile markets.
method Combines dynamic factor modeling with variational recurrent autoencoder (VRAE). Uses prior-posterior learning for optimal factor model.
result RVRAE outperforms traditional methods in predicting stock returns and estimating variances.
A recent theoretical analysis shows the equivalence between non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) and spectral clustering based approach to subspace clustering. As NMF and many of its variants are essentially linear, we introduce a nonlinear NMF with explicit orthogonality and derive general kernel-based orthogonal m…
We solve a high-dimensional model where nonlinear autoencoders detect hidden structure missed by PCA.
problem Hidden structure in high-dimensional data not detected by PCA.
method Tractable spiked model with two latent factors, one visible and one uncorrelated.
result Nonlinear autoencoders can extract hidden structure missed by PCA, even if reconstruction loss is higher.
Develops a method for causal inference with noisy confounders.
problem Noisy measurements of confounders in treatment effects models.
method Local principal subspace approximation combining K-nearest neighbors matching and PCA.
result Estimators of treatment effects and counterfactual distributions are constructed.
Tensor factorization is a powerful tool to analyse multi-way data. Compared with traditional multi-linear methods, nonlinear tensor factorization models are capable of capturing more complex relationships in the data. However, they are computationally expensive and may suffer severe learning bias in case of extreme dat…
Kernel Three-Pass Regression Filter improves forecasting efficiency for nonlinear dependencies.
problem Forecasting with high-dimensional predictors and latent factors.
method Developed a new estimator, Kernel Three-Pass Regression Filter (K3PRF), to address nonlinear dependencies.
result Empirically shows significant improvement in long-term forecasting performance.
DMSTF models spatio-temporal data with deep Markov priors.
problem Analyzing nonlinear multimodal spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Deep Markov spatio-temporal factorization with stochastic variational inference.
result DMSTF outperforms other methods in predictive performance and clustering.
New findings on identifying latent variables in nonlinear ICA models.
problem Identifying latent variables in nonlinear ICA models is challenging due to spurious solutions.
method Proved that conformal maps are identifiable and provided theoretical results on preventing spurious solutions.
result Conformal maps are identifiable in nonlinear ICA models, preventing spurious solutions.
Modeling dynamic user interests using neural matrix factorization.
problem Challenging extraction of valuable insights from unstructured, high-dimensional, and dynamic online content data.
method Combines matrix factorization with neural networks to model nonlinear user and content factors.
result Accurately identifies nuanced and coherent consumption patterns of Boston Globe readers over five years.
The paper develops adaptive deep learning methods for nonlinear time series models.
problem Estimating mean functions of non-stationary and nonlinear time series models.
method Develops non-penalized and sparse-penalized DNN estimators for general non-stationary time series, derives minimax lower bounds, and shows the sparse-penalized DNN estimator is adaptive and optimal.
result Sparse-penalized DNN estimator achieves minimax optimal rates for many nonlinear AR models.
MediEncoder learns nonlinear representations for causal mediation analysis.
problem High-dimensional noisy covariates and mediators in biomedical studies.
method Coupled encoder-decoder architecture with cross-factor network.
result Improves estimation accuracy in high-dimensional causal mediation analysis.
A new model explains asset returns with a single factor, improving cross-sectional performance.
problem Understanding the cross-section of asset returns with complex models.
method Proposes a non-linear single-factor asset pricing model with a nonparametric link function estimated jointly with sieve-based estimators.
result The model delivers superior cross-sectional performance with a low-dimensional approximation of the link function.
Many machine learning algorithms require precise estimates of covariance matrices. The sample covariance matrix performs poorly in high-dimensional settings, which has stimulated the development of alternative methods, the majority based on factor models and shrinkage. Recent work of Ledoit and Wolf has extended the sh…
Expands experimental design for causal discovery from limited data.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational and interventional data.
method Bayesian optimal experimental design incorporating recent advances in causal discovery.
result Active causal discovery of large, nonlinear SCMs with both intervention target and value selection.
Deep learning searches for nonlinear factors for predicting asset returns. Predictability is achieved via multiple layers of composite factors as opposed to additive ones. Viewed in this way, asset pricing studies can be revisited using multi-layer deep learners, such as rectified linear units (ReLU) or long-short-term…
New method identifies latent causal factors from observational data alone.
problem Identifying latent causal factors without interventions or graphical restrictions.
method Characterization of latent factors in nonlinear causal models with additive Gaussian noise and linear mixing, using a practical algorithm based on solving a quadratic program over observed data.
result Latent causal variables can be identified up to a layer-wise transformation, and further disentanglement is not possible.
New method linearizes nonlinear coupled oscillators on graphs.
problem Predicting global synchronization in nonlinear coupled oscillators on graphs.
method Latent dynamic filters learned through supervised matrix factorization.
result Latent dynamics filters enable effective prediction of global synchronization.
Factor analysis aims to determine latent factors, or traits, which summarize a given data set. Inter-battery factor analysis extends this notion to multiple views of the data. In this paper we show how a nonlinear, nonparametric version of these models can be recovered through the Gaussian process latent variable model…
Proposes CC-NMDF for analyzing manifold-valued data.
problem Nonlinear structure in manifold-valued data requires new analysis methods.
method Curvature-corrected nonnegative manifold data factorization (CC-NMDF) with an iterative algorithm.
result Demonstrates CC-NMDF on real-world diffusion tensor MRI data.
A mixture of factor analyzers is a semi-parametric density estimator that generalizes the well-known mixtures of Gaussians model by allowing each Gaussian in the mixture to be represented in a different lower-dimensional manifold. This paper presents a robust and parsimonious model selection algorithm for training a mi…
Novel KAN-based autoencoder improves asset pricing models' accuracy and interpretability.
problem Improving asset pricing models' accuracy and interpretability.
method Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) inspired autoencoder for latent factor exposures.
result Outperforms Multilayer Perceptrons in both accuracy and interpretability.
Unified framework for uniform signal recovery in nonlinear GCS with 1-bit/quantized measurements.
problem Uniform recovery guarantees for nonlinear generative compressed sensing.
method Unified framework using generalized Lasso and Lipschitz approximation.
result Uniform recovery of all signals in the ball up to an error of ε using approximately O(k/ε^2) samples.
DF2M uses deep neural networks within a factor model for high-dimensional functional time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting high-dimensional functional time series with explainability and accuracy.
method Bayesian nonparametric model based on Indian Buffet Process and multi-task Gaussian Process, incorporating a deep kernel function.
result DF2M provides better explainability and superior predictive accuracy compared to conventional deep learning models.
Model learns disentangled representations from natural videos.
problem Disentangling factors of variation in natural data.
method Sparse prior on temporally adjacent observations.
result Model reliably learns disentangled representations on natural data.
This work connects LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA through a stochastic perspective.
problem Exploring the theoretical connection between LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA.
method Solving the stochastic linear reconstruction of LLE using expectation maximization.
result LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA are shown to be connected through a stochastic perspective.
Study nonparametric factor analysis with arbitrary noise.
problem Identify latent variables in noisy, non-invertible settings.
method Developed a general framework and estimation methods.
result Identify latent variables up to certain indeterminacies.
Deep generative models have recently yielded encouraging results in producing subjectively realistic samples of complex data. Far less attention has been paid to making these generative models interpretable. In many scenarios, ranging from scientific applications to finance, the observed variables have a natural groupi…
The Duffing oscillator's parameters are identified online using variational message passing.
problem Estimating parameters of a nonlinear Duffing oscillator in real-time.
method Variational message passing on a factor graph of the Duffing oscillator's generative model.
result The online inference procedure performs as well as offline methods.
We consider the problem of discriminative factor analysis for data that are in general non-Gaussian. A Bayesian model based on the ranks of the data is proposed. We first introduce a new {\em max-margin} version of the rank-likelihood. A discriminative factor model is then developed, integrating the max-margin rank-lik…
Existing nonnegative matrix factorization methods focus on learning global structure of the data to construct basis and coefficient matrices, which ignores the local structure that commonly exists among data. In this paper, we propose a new type of nonnegative matrix factorization method, which learns local similarity …
Linear mixture models have proven very useful in a plethora of applications, e.g., topic modeling, clustering, and source separation. As a critical aspect of the linear mixture models, identifiability of the model parameters is well-studied, under frameworks such as independent component analysis and constrained matrix…