NAPLES resolves lead-lag analysis challenges in non-synchronous high-frequency data.
arXiv research
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In this article, the long-term behavior of the stock market index of the New York Stock Exchange is studied, for the period 1950 to 2013. Specifically, the CRSP Value-Weighted and CRSP Equal-Weighted index are analyzed in terms of market efficiency, using the standard ratio variance test, considering over 1600 one week…
New method for estimating lead-lag times between non-synchronously observed point processes.
We consider a simple model of rational agents competing in a single product market described by simple linear demand curve. Contrary to accepted economic theory, the agents' production levels synchronise in the absence of conscious collusion, leading to a downward spiraling of market total production until the monopoly…
We propose a novel estimation procedure for scale-by-scale lead-lag relationships of financial assets observed at high-frequency in a non-synchronous manner. The proposed estimation procedure does not require any interpolation processing of original datasets and is applicable to those with highest time resolution avail…
A streaming algorithm estimates quadratic covariation from financial data efficiently.
The structure of return spillovers is examined by constructing Granger causality networks using daily closing prices of 20 developed markets from 2nd January 2006 to 31st December 2013. The data is properly aligned to take into account non-synchronous trading effects. The study of the resulting networks of over 94 sub-…
Multi-task learning leverages shared information among data sets to improve the learning performance of individual tasks. The paper applies this framework for data where each task is a phase-shifted periodic time series. In particular, we develop a novel Bayesian nonparametric model capturing a mixture of Gaussian proc…
Many distributed machine learning (ML) systems adopt the non-synchronous execution in order to alleviate the network communication bottleneck, resulting in stale parameters that do not reflect the latest updates. Despite much development in large-scale ML, the effects of staleness on learning are inconclusive as it is …
In practice daily volatility of portfolio returns is transformed to longer holding periods by multiplying by the square-root of time which assumes that returns are not serially correlated. Under this assumption this procedure of scaling can also be applied to contributions to volatility of the assets in the portfolio. …
Networks of coupled dynamical systems provide a powerful way to model systems with enormously complex dynamics, such as the human brain. Control of synchronization in such networked systems has far reaching applications in many domains, including engineering and medicine. In this paper, we formulate the synchronization…
New method linearizes nonlinear coupled oscillators on graphs.
New method identifies whether equity return predictability is due to magnitude shrinkage or directional reversal.
We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that the exchange rate return fluctuations for all the pairs considered are well desc…
Big data sets must be carefully partitioned into statistically similar data subsets that can be used as representative samples for big data analysis tasks. In this paper, we propose the random sample partition (RSP) data model to represent a big data set as a set of non-overlapping data subsets, called RSP data blocks,…
Prevents sensitive data generation in diffusion models using labeled and unlabeled data.
Study reveals Data Shapley's inconsistent performance in data selection tasks.
PRRO generates synthetic tabular data that improves SL performance and class distribution.
Defines data science as a natural ecosystem with challenges and missions.
Differences in data size per class, also known as imbalanced data distribution, have become a common problem affecting data quality. Big Data scenarios pose a new challenge to traditional imbalanced classification algorithms, since they are not prepared to work with such amount of data. Split data strategies and lack o…
Synthetic data enhances analytics but requires careful volume management.
New test ensures quality of shared data in machine learning.
Differential privacy allows quantifying privacy loss resulting from accessing sensitive personal data. Repeated accesses to underlying data incur increasing loss. Releasing data as privacy-preserving synthetic data would avoid this limitation, but would leave open the problem of designing what kind of synthetic data. W…
Paper creates fair synthetic data ensuring equal predictions across sensitive attributes.
DPA preserves data distribution in reduced dimensions.
Efficient synthetic data generation improves model performance on tabular data.
For most problems in science and engineering we can obtain data sets that describe the observed system from various perspectives and record the behavior of its individual components. Heterogeneous data sets can be collectively mined by data fusion. Fusion can focus on a specific target relation and exploit directly ass…
DAERNN models censored data using neural networks with data augmentation.
Data preprocessing techniques are devoted to correct or alleviate errors in data. Discretization and feature selection are two of the most extended data preprocessing techniques. Although we can find many proposals for static Big Data preprocessing, there is little research devoted to the continuous Big Data problem. A…
Data stream classification methods demonstrate promising performance on a single data stream by exploring the cohesion in the data stream. However, multiple data streams that involve several correlated data streams are common in many practical scenarios, which can be viewed as multi-task data streams. Instead of handli…
Data collection is a major bottleneck in machine learning and an active research topic in multiple communities. There are largely two reasons data collection has recently become a critical issue. First, as machine learning is becoming more widely-used, we are seeing new applications that do not necessarily have enough …
This paper quantifies uncertainty in Data Shapley using statistical inference.
DCoM uses deep neural networks to detect semantic data types from raw column values.
Causal inference from observational data is the goal of many data analyses in the health and social sciences. However, academic statistics has often frowned upon data analyses with a causal objective. The introduction of the term "data science" provides a historic opportunity to redefine data analysis in such a way tha…
Task-agnostic data valuation without validation requirements.
Data mining is about obtaining new knowledge from existing datasets. However, the data in the existing datasets can be scattered, noisy, and even incomplete. Although lots of effort is spent on developing or fine-tuning data mining models to make them more robust to the noise of the input data, their qualities still st…
New algorithm improves data imputation for complex multimodal data sets.
New algorithms for clustering and synthetic data generation of heterogeneous tabular datasets.
WeMix improves data augmentation by correcting bias in deep learning.
A new method reduces data valuation variance for more trustworthy data trading.
Adapts data analysis for growing data, improving generalization guarantees.
This work redefines data-centric AI by unifying categorical and cochain notions.
SMOTE-DP enhances synthetic data privacy without sacrificing utility.
VSAE learns from missing heterogeneous data by modeling latent dependencies.
Improves anomaly detection with contaminated unlabeled data.
ArtificialReplay improves data efficiency in bandits using historical data.
Data stream clustering tackles real-time data processing challenges.
Framework evaluates quality of synthetic data generated with differential privacy.