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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2815628421,123 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for non-stationary data

Develops a deep non-stationary kernel for non-stationary spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Capturing non-stationary dependencies in point process data.
method Approximates the influence kernel with a novel low-rank decomposition and introduces a log-barrier penalty to maintain non-negativity.
result Demonstrates superior performance and computational efficiency compared to state-of-the-art methods.

We propose non-stationary spectral kernels for Gaussian process regression. We propose to model the spectral density of a non-stationary kernel function as a mixture of input-dependent Gaussian process frequency density surfaces. We solve the generalised Fourier transform with such a model, and present a family of non-…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends geometric approach to model non-stationary extremal dependence.

problem Capturing evolving extremal dependence in multivariate data.
method Geometric framework for non-stationary multivariate extreme value modelling.
result Framework can capture various dependence forms and is robust to different model formulations.

Flexible GP model improves wind power prediction accuracy.

problem Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power for grid stability.
method Heteroscedastic non-stationary Gaussian process with generalised spectral mixture kernel.
result The proposed model outperforms conventional GP models in wind power prediction.

Algorithm adapts to non-stationary rewards without prior knowledge.

problem Optimizing decisions in non-stationary environments without prior knowledge of changes.
method Optimization-based algorithm that restarts when non-stationarity is detected.
result Achieves tighter dynamic regret bound and is nearly minimax optimal.

Paper introduces a neural network-based non-stationary influence kernel for complex event data.

problem Modeling complex, non-stationary, and dependent discrete event data.
method Neural Spectral Marked Point Processes (NSMPP) with a versatile non-stationary influence kernel.
result NSMPP outperforms state-of-the-art models on synthetic and real data.

This work explores variably scaled kernels to improve non-stationary Gaussian processes.

problem Limited ability of stationary kernels to represent heterogeneous correlation structures.
method Introduces variably scaled kernels to modify correlation structures explicitly.
result Improved reconstruction accuracy and better uncertainty estimates for non-stationary data.

Framework infers Langevin dynamics from stochastic observations of latent systems.

problem Inferring non-stationary Langevin dynamics from indirect stochastic observations.
method Non-parametric framework explicitly modeling stochastic observation process and non-stationary latent dynamics.
result Correct inference of non-stationary dynamics requires accounting for non-equilibrium states and observation duration.

Kernel-based tests detect dependencies in multivariate time series, including stationary and non-stationary data.

problem Detecting dependencies in multivariate time series data, especially non-stationary data.
method Kernel-based statistical tests of joint independence, extending dHSIC to handle both stationary and non-stationary processes.
result Robustly uncovers significant higher-order dependencies in synthetic and real-world data.

We consider the problem of learning over non-stationary ranking streams. The rankings can be interpreted as the preferences of a population and the non-stationarity means that the distribution of preferences changes over time. Our goal is to learn, in an online manner, the current distribution of rankings. The bottlene…

2019-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New definition resolves ambiguity in non-stationary bandit classification.

problem Ambiguity in classifying non-stationary bandits using existing definitions.
method Introducing a formal definition that resolves ambiguity and provides a unified approach.
result Unified approach applicable to both Bayesian and frequentist formulations, resolves classification issues.

A new optimizer d-AmsGrad improves deep learning for robot learning in non-stationary problems.

problem Noise and outliers in real-world data make deep learning challenging for robot learning.
method Proposed an improved version of AmsGrad optimizer that slowly decays the maximum second momentum to adapt to non-stationary problems.
result The new optimizer outperformed baseline optimizers in robotics problems.

SmoothFBO tackles non-stationary functional bilevel optimization.

problem Current FBO methods are limited to static offline settings and perform poorly in online, non-stationary scenarios.
method SmoothFBO introduces a time-smoothed stochastic hypergradient estimator with a window parameter to handle non-stationarity.
result SmoothFBO achieves sublinear regret and outperforms existing methods in non-stationary hyperparameter optimization and model-based reinforcement learning.

This work improves Gaussian process regression for large, non-stationary data.

problem Scalability issues and performance degradation for non-stationary data.
method Combines variational free energy approximations with online expectation propagation and local splitting steps.
result Incremental adaptation to locality, heterogeneity, and non-stationarity in training data.

New Hermite series estimator for Spearman rank correlation in non-stationary data.

problem Estimating time-varying Spearman rank correlation efficiently.
method Hermite series based sequential estimator for both stationary and non-stationary settings.
result Competitive performance compared to existing algorithms in simulations and real data.

Proposes a new Bayesian mixture of student-t processes for modeling non-stationary data.

problem Non-stationary data with non-Gaussian errors.
method Bayesian mixture of student-t processes with an overall-local scale structure, using SMC for online inference.
result Superior performance compared to Gaussian processes on real-world data.

The paper extends NSGPs with L1L^1-regularization for sparsity and solves the resulting R-NSGP regression problem.

problem Sparsity in non-stationary temporal data.
method Developed an ADMM-based method for solving the regularized NSGP regression problem.
result The proposed methods induce sparsity in the parameters of NSGPs.

We model non-stationary volume-price distributions with a log-normal distribution and collect the time series of its two parameters. The time series of the two parameters are shown to be stationary and Markov-like and consequently can be modelled with Langevin equations, which are derived directly from their series of …

2017-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformers achieve near-optimal dynamic regret in non-stationary reinforcement learning.

problem Understanding and handling non-stationary environments in reinforcement learning.
method Demonstrated that transformers can achieve nearly optimal dynamic regret bounds in non-stationary settings.
result Transformers can approximate and learn strategies for non-stationary environments, matching or outperforming existing expert algorithms.

Study on consistency of ML methods for moving objects in non-stationary environments.

problem Consistency of machine learning methods for moving objects in non-stationary environments.
method Least squares, ridge regression, and s\ell_s-penalized least squares methods under non-stationary spatial-temporal sampling.
result Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimates under weak conditions.

New algorithm tackles non-stationary reinforcement learning with general function approximation.

problem Understanding non-stationary MDPs with function approximation.
method Dynamic Bellman Eluder (DBE) dimension for complexity, sliding window mechanism, confidence set design.
result Upper bound on dynamic regret for proposed SW-OPEA algorithm.

New definitions of ESP for quantum reservoir computing handle non-stationary systems.

problem Traditional ESP does not apply to non-stationary systems.
method Introduce two new categories of ESP: non-stationary ESP and subset/subspace ESP.
result Demonstrates correspondence between non-stationary ESP and QRC with NARMA tasks.

Study combines VICReg and TNC for better encoding of non-stationary seismic signals.

problem Ineffective self-supervised learning on non-stationary time series.
method Combines VICReg and Temporal Neighborhood Coding (TNC).
result Effective for self-supervised learning on non-stationary seismic signals.

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a latent variable that is used to modulate the covariance function over the training …

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Image-to-image networks speed up SAR model parameter estimation.

problem Computational infeasibility of MLE for large, non-stationary spatial fields.
method Used image-to-image networks to estimate SAR model parameters.
result Image-to-image networks enable faster and more accurate parameter estimation.

Optimistic algorithm reduces regret in non-stationary linear MDPs.

problem Efficient learning in non-stationary linear MDPs with evolving reward and transition.
method OPT-WLSVI, an optimistic model-free algorithm using exponential weights.
result Achieves a regret bound of O~(d5/4H2Δ1/4K3/4)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(d^{5/4}H^2 Δ^{1/4} K^{3/4}).

Non-linear shrinkage isn't optimal for portfolio optimization, especially when asset dependence is non-stationary.

problem Optimizing portfolios with non-stationary asset dependence structures.
method Derived and compared non-linear shrinkage with an optimal target for covariance matrix estimation.
result Non-linear shrinkage can be significantly improved for portfolio optimization.

This paper develops the first method for the exact simulation of reflected Brownian motion (RBM) with non-stationary drift and infinitesimal variance. The running time of generating exact samples of non-stationary RBM at any time tt is uniformly bounded by O(1/γˉ2)\mathcal{O}(1/\barγ^2) where γˉ\barγ is the average drift of…

2013-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗