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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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0111 · Jul 200219922001200920172026
8 results for non-predictive

Develops a new framework for integrating satellite allocations in small portfolios.

problem Feasibility constraints in small portfolios, not return predictability, are the primary concerns.
method A four-layer feasibility framework: physical, economic, structural, and epistemic.
result Closed-form feasibility bounds on satellite size, turnover, and breadth without return forecasts.

Knowledge Distillation (KD) consists of transferring “knowledge” from one machine learning model (the teacher) to another (the student). Commonly, the teacher is a high-capacity model with formidable performance, while the student is more compact. By transferring knowledge, one hopes to benefit from the student’s…

2018-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

IETNet identifies important channels for MVTS classification.

problem Multivariate time series classification with blackbox deep networks.
method End-to-end network combining temporal feature extraction, variable selection, and interaction.
result IETNet improves model accuracy and reduces overfitting by identifying and removing non-predictive variables.

Develops a Causal Transformer for estimating counterfactual outcomes from longitudinal data.

problem Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time from observational data is challenging due to complex, long-range dependencies.
method Combines three transformer subnetworks with separate inputs for time-varying covariates, previous treatments, and previous outcomes into a joint network with in-between cross-attentions. Uses a custom, end-to-end training procedure with a counterfactual domain confusion loss to address confounding bias.
result Achieves superior performance over current baselines in synthetic and real-world datasets.

The study identifies spurious correlations in high-dimensional regression and quantifies their impact.

problem Spurious correlations in high-dimensional regression models.
method Statistical characterization of spurious correlations, quantifying their amount via ridge regularization.
result The value of regularization strength that minimizes test loss is in an interval where spurious correlations increase.