We present a novel algorithm for non-linear instrumental variable (IV) regression, DualIV, which simplifies traditional two-stage methods via a dual formulation. Inspired by problems in stochastic programming, we show that two-stage procedures for non-linear IV regression can be reformulated as a convex-concave saddle-…
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48 results for “non-linear regression”
Machine learning improves joint default assessment by capturing non-linear dependencies.
problem Capturing non-linear dependencies among covariates for accurate joint default assessment.
method Application of machine learning techniques to credit card dataset, comparing with logistic regression.
result Machine learning outperforms logistic regression in assessing portfolio riskiness.
In this paper, non-linear time series models are used to describe volatility in financial time series data. To describe volatility, two of the non-linear time series are combined into form TAR (Threshold Auto-Regressive Model) with AARCH (Asymmetric Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) error term and its par…
We propose a computationally efficient estimator, formulated as a convex program, for a broad class of non-linear regression problems that involve difference of convex (DC) non-linearities. The proposed method can be viewed as a significant extension of the "anchored regression" method formulated and analyzed in [10] f…
There has been a growing interest in using non-parametric regression methods like Gaussian Process (GP) regression for system identification. GP regression does traditionally have three important downsides: (1) it is computationally intensive, (2) it cannot efficiently implement newly obtained measurements online, and …
New neural network models for complex functional data analysis.
problem Complex relations between functional predictors and responses.
method Function-on-Function regression models using neural networks with continuous hidden layers.
result Demonstrated power and flexibility in handling complex functional models.
This paper tackles efficient and scalable estimation of a complex model involving stochastic linear combinations of non-linear regressions.
problem Estimating a model involving stochastic linear combinations of non-linear regressions efficiently and scalably.
method The paper provides algorithms for estimating the model under specific assumptions about the variate vector and sample size, using techniques like zero-bias transformation and sub-sampling.
result The paper provides theoretical guarantees for the estimation of the model, showing that the estimation errors are of the order and with high probability.
We consider the task of robust non-linear regression in the presence of both inlier noise and outliers. Assuming that the unknown non-linear function belongs to a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS), our goal is to estimate the set of the associated unknown parameters. Due to the presence of outliers, common techni…
This research uses DPPs to improve semi-parametric regression models.
problem Improving comprehensibility in semi-parametric regression models without sacrificing accuracy.
method Introduced a novel representation of finite DPPs and used it to derive a key identity illustrating implicit regularization.
result Demonstrated the implicit regularization effect of determinantal sampling for semi-parametric regression.
Neural networks with at least two hidden layers are called deep networks. Recent developments in AI and computer programming in general has led to development of tools such as Tensorflow, Keras, NumPy etc. making it easier to model and draw conclusions from data. In this work we re-approach non-linear regression with d…
Paper presents a machine learning method to improve significance tests for misspecified linear models.
problem Misspecification of linear assumptions in social science models leads to inaccurate significance levels.
method Apply machine learning to fit ground truth function, calculate linear approximation, and adjust the estimator.
result The method significantly outperforms linear regression for non-linear ground truth functions.
Adversarial Regression is a proposition to perform high dimensional non-linear regression with uncertainty estimation. We used Conditional Generative Adversarial Network to obtain an estimate of the full predictive distribution for a new observation. Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) are implicit generative models …
Study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression using variational inference.
problem High-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with product priors.
method Non-linear large deviations theory and variational inference.
result Unique optimizer in variational problem governs posterior distribution under separation condition.
A non linear regression approach which consists of a specific regression model incorporating a latent process, allowing various polynomial regression models to be activated preferentially and smoothly, is introduced in this paper. The model parameters are estimated by maximum likelihood performed via a dedicated expeca…
SPQR package uses neural networks for flexible quantile regression.
problem Flexible modeling of non-linear relationships in quantile regression.
method Monotonic splines and neural networks for density estimation; model-agnostic covariate effects.
result Allows for non-linear and quantile-specific effects.
Analyzes generalization error in generalized linear models, explaining double descent phenomenon.
problem Understanding generalization of machine learning models in high dimensions.
method Develops a framework to characterize asymptotic generalization error for generalized linear models.
result Rigorously explains the double descent phenomenon in generalized linear models.
The Regression Tsetlin Machine (RTM) addresses the lack of interpretability impeding state-of-the-art nonlinear regression models. It does this by using conjunctive clauses in propositional logic to capture the underlying non-linear frequent patterns in the data. These, in turn, are combined into a continuous output th…
Bayesian neural networks improve uncertainty quantification in non-linear dimensionality reduction.
problem Current neural network models lack adequate uncertainty quantification.
method Deploy Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for Bayesian inference in ANN models with latent variables.
result New research directions are needed due to fundamental challenges in neural networks with latent variables.
A new type of distributional regression tree uses soft split rules for better predictive performance.
problem Estimating complete conditional distributions in regression.
method Distributional adaptive soft regression trees using multivariate soft split rules.
result The method outperforms various benchmark methods, especially in complex non-linear interactions.
Proposes a new model for non-linear regression of multivariate time series data.
problem Regression models for non-scalar variables, especially time series, have limitations.
method Develops a non-linear function-on-function model using neural networks.
result Demonstrates effectiveness through real-world applications.
We propose a new least-squares Monte Carlo algorithm for the approximation of conditional expectations in the presence of stochastic derivative weights. The algorithm can serve as a building block for solving dynamic programming equations, which arise, e.g., in non-linear option pricing problems or in probabilistic dis…
Constructing Effective Machine Learning Models for the Sciences: A Multidisciplinary Perspectivecs.LG
The study explores how machine learning can enhance scientific research.
problem Improving scientific models with machine learning.
method Analysis of data-driven models versus manually added variables in regression.
result Complex models may not always improve over simpler ones in scientific contexts.
This paper introduces a method to approximate Gaussian process regression by representing the problem as a stochastic differential equation and using variational inference to approximate solutions. The approximations are compared with full GP regression and generated paths are demonstrated to be indistinguishable from …
Optimal algorithms for non-linear ridge bandits reduce burn-in cost.
problem Non-linear models introduce a burn-in period with fixed cost.
method Two-stage algorithm: find initial action, then treat locally linear.
result Two-stage algorithm is statistically optimal.
Selecting important features in non-linear or kernel spaces is a difficult challenge in both classification and regression problems. When many of the features are irrelevant, kernel methods such as the support vector machine and kernel ridge regression can sometimes perform poorly. We propose weighting the features wit…
Random non-linear Fourier features have recently shown remarkable performance in a wide-range of regression and classification applications. Motivated by this success, this article focuses on a sparse non-linear Fourier feature (NFF) model. We provide a characterization of the sufficient number of data points that guar…
Least-Squares Independence Regression for Non-Linear Causal Inference under Non-Gaussian Noisestat.ML
The discovery of non-linear causal relationship under additive non-Gaussian noise models has attracted considerable attention recently because of their high flexibility. In this paper, we propose a novel causal inference algorithm called least-squares independence regression (LSIR). LSIR learns the additive noise model…
Introduces neural network for interval-censored survival analysis.
problem Lack of non-linear regression algorithms for interval-censored data.
method Sparse neural network architecture for feature selection and AFT model for prediction.
result Outperforms traditional AFT algorithms in non-linear scenarios.
We consider support recovery in the quadratic logistic regression setting - where the target depends on both p linear terms and up to quadratic terms . Quadratic terms enable prediction/modeling of higher-order effects between features and the target, but when incorporated naively may involve solvi…
New model handles complex non-linear relationships with hidden graph structures.
problem Modeling non-linear relationships with hidden graph-structured interactions.
method Block-diagonal localized mixture of polynomial experts (BLoMPE) regression model with penalized maximum likelihood selection criterion.
result Strong theoretical guarantee for finite-sample oracle inequality.
In this study we introduce a new technique for symbolic regression that guarantees global optimality. This is achieved by formulating a mixed integer non-linear program (MINLP) whose solution is a symbolic mathematical expression of minimum complexity that explains the observations. We demonstrate our approach by redis…
SAFLe solves federated learning's trade-off between non-linearity and scalability.
problem Federated Learning's high communication overhead and performance collapse on non-IID data.
method SAFLe introduces a structured head of bucketed features and sparse, grouped embeddings, mathematically equivalent to a high-dimensional linear regression.
result SAFLe achieves a new state-of-the-art in analytic FL, outperforming linear AFL and multi-round DeepAFL.
A neural network model tackles high-dimensional data with latent structures.
problem Modeling high-dimensional data with latent low-dimensional structures.
method Integrates PCA and Soft PCA layers into neural network architecture for factor modeling and non-linear transformations.
result Demonstrates improved performance in forecasting and nowcasting with real-world data.
This work extends VQR to non-linear cases and provides scalable solvers.
problem Limitations of VQR in handling non-linear relationships and scalability.
method Extension to non-linear VQR, vector monotone rearrangement, fast solvers.
result Substantial improvement over linear VQR and scalable solvers.
This paper studies the dynamic generator model for spatial-temporal processes such as dynamic textures and action sequences in video data. In this model, each time frame of the video sequence is generated by a generator model, which is a non-linear transformation of a latent state vector, where the non-linear transform…
BART and MOTR-BART improve tree-based predictions with local linear models.
problem Non-linearity and high-order interactions in data.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) and Model Trees BART (MOTR-BART) using piecewise linear functions.
result MOTR-BART achieves equal or better performance with fewer trees than BART.
It is shown that the the popular least squares method of option pricing converges even under very general assumptions. This substantially increases the freedom of creating different implementations of the method, with varying levels of computational complexity and flexible approach to regression. It is also argued that…
We propose a novel kernel based post selection inference (PSI) algorithm, which can not only handle non-linearity in data but also structured output such as multi-dimensional and multi-label outputs. Specifically, we develop a PSI algorithm for independence measures, and propose the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criteri…
New method for interpreting non-linear models using forward marginal effects.
problem Interpreting non-linear models' feature effects is challenging.
method Introducing forward marginal effects and partitioning feature space for better interpretation.
result Improved interpretation of non-linear prediction functions.
We extend the empirical results published in article "Empirical Evidence on Arbitrage by Changing the Stock Exchange" by means of machine learning and advanced econometric methodologies based on Smooth Transition Regression models and Artificial Neural Networks.
Improved interpretability methods for ML models using local regressions and variable importance.
problem Inability of existing interpretability methods to provide reliable explanations for ML models, especially in high-dimensional problems with irrelevant features and non-linear relationships.
method Introduces VarImp and SupClus methods using local regressions with weighted distance considering variable importance.
result VarImp and SupClus methods yield better explanations than state-of-the-art approaches, especially in high-dimensional problems with irrelevant features and non-linear relationships.
A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of interacting entities. This formulation jointly estimates non-linearities in the…
A comparative analysis of the UK and Italian small businesses using Generalised Extreme Value modelsstat.AP
This paper presents a cross-country comparison of significant predictors of small business failure between Italy and the UK. Financial measures of profitability, leverage, coverage, liquidity, scale and non-financial information are explored, some commonalities and differences are highlighted. Several models are consid…
This review clarifies XAI for regression models and establishes new theoretical insights.
problem Lack of XAI techniques for regression models, especially in safety-critical applications.
method Clarifies conceptual differences, establishes theoretical insights, provides demonstrations, discusses challenges.
result Novel theoretical insights and demonstrations of XAI for regression models.
The paper develops a state-space approach to deep Gaussian processes for efficient state estimation.
problem Efficient regression and state estimation for deep Gaussian processes.
method Hierarchical transformed Gaussian process priors, state-space representation, linear stochastic differential equations, sequential methods.
result The state-space approach enables efficient state estimation and regression for deep Gaussian processes.
Develops algorithms for CCBs with non-linear costs, improving safety and performance.
problem Safety constraints in sequential decision making with non-linear arm costs.
method Innovative algorithms using Inverse Gap Weighting (IGW) and online regression oracle.
result Sub-linear regret bounds for C-SquareCB and first-order regret for C-FastCB.
We formulate probabilistic numerical approximations to solutions of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) as problems in Gaussian process (GP) regression with non-linear measurement functions. This is achieved by defining the measurement sequence to consist of the observations of the difference between the derivative …
MTL improves multi-dimensional regression in luminescence sensing.
problem Challenges in modeling multi-dimensional regression problems with classical methods.
method Multi-task learning (MTL) with feed-forward neural networks (FFNNs).
result MTL allows predicting multiple parameters from a single set of measurements.