A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New model for Knightian uncertainty with jumps.
New framework for analyzing games with multi-dimensional singular controls and non-linear jumps.
Enhances RJMCMC efficiency with non-linear transport-based proposals.
In this paper, we pursue the study of second order BSDEs with jumps (2BSDEJs for short) started in our accompanying paper [15]. We prove existence of these equations by a direct method, thus providing complete wellposedness for 2BSDEJs. These equations are a natural candidate for the probabilistic interpretation of som…
It is well-known from the work of Schönbucher (2005) that the marginal laws of a loss process can be matched by a unit increasing time inhomogeneous Markov process, whose deterministic jump intensity is called local intensity. The Stochastic Local Intensity (SLI) models such as the one proposed by Arnsdorf and Halperin…
In this article, we follow the study of quadratic backward SDEs with jumps,that is to say for which the generator has quadratic growth in the variables (z; u), started in our accompanying paper [15]. Relying on the existence and uniqueness result of [15], we define the corresponding g-expectations and study some of the…
We explore martingale and convex duality techniques to study optimal investment strategies that maximize expected risk-averse utility from consumption and terminal wealth. We consider a market model with jumps driven by (multivariate) marked point processes and so-called non-linear wealth dynamics which allows to take …
Mandatory emission trading schemes are being established around the world. Participants of such market schemes are always exposed to risks. This leads to the creation of an accompanying market for emission-linked derivatives. To evaluate the fair prices of such financial products, one needs appropriate models for the e…
We develop algorithms for the numerical computation of the quadratic hedging strategy in incomplete markets modeled by pure jump Markov process. Using the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman approach, the value function of the quadratic hedging problem can be related to a triangular system of parabolic partial integro-differential…
Methodology for estimating marked Hawkes processes with neural networks.
In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and calibration of implied volatility is the addition of a few other factors to the volatil…
Starting from ideas of Furuta, we develop a general formalism for the construction of cohomotopy invariants associated with a certain class of -equivariant non-linear maps between Hilbert bundles. Applied to the Seiberg-Witten map, this formalism yields a new class of cohomotopy Seiberg-Witten invariants which hav…
Various valuation adjustments, or XVAs, can be written in terms of non-linear PIDEs equivalent to FBSDEs. In this paper we develop a Fourier-based method for solving FBSDEs in order to efficiently and accurately price Bermudan derivatives, including options and swaptions, with XVA under the flexible dynamics of a local…
Researchers improve visualization of neural network loss landscapes.
A new clustering method estimates non-linear boundaries and automatically selects the number of clusters.
News might trigger jump arrivals in financial time series. The "bad" and "good" news seems to have distinct impact. In the research, a double exponential jump distribution is applied to model downward and upward jumps. Bayesian double exponential jump-diffusion model is proposed. Theorems stated in the paper enable est…
We quantify how co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets. To disentangle the continuous part of quadratic covariation from co-jumps, and study the influence of co-jumps on correlations, we propose a new wavelet-based estimator. The proposed estimation framework is able to localize the co-jumps very precisely th…
Neural jump model improves option pricing accuracy.
We study the role of co-jumps in the interest rate futures markets. To disentangle continuous part of quadratic covariation from co-jumps, we localize the co-jumps precisely through wavelet coefficients and identify statistically significant ones. Using high frequency data about U.S. and European yield curves we quanti…
We investigate the extension of the multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation method to jump-diffusion SDEs. We consider models with finite rate activity, using a jump-adapted discretisation in which the jump times are computed and added to the standard uniform dis- cretisation times. The key component in multilevel analy…
We develop a modelling framework for multiple yield curves driven by continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI processes). Exploiting the self-exciting behavior of CBI jump processes, this approach can reproduce the relevant empirical features of spreads between different interbank rates. In particular…
Study proposes pricing mechanism for cryptocurrency options.
Study uses BSDEs to price European options in markets with multiple defaults.
Mean-field approximations simplify insurance liability calculations.
Develops a new model for pricing without arbitrage opportunities.
Extends nonlinear filtering to predictable jump times.
The paper studies the continuous-time dynamics of VIX with stochastic volatility and jumps in VIX and volatility. Built on the general parametric affine model with stochastic volatility and jump in logarithm of VIX, we derive a linear relation between the stochastic volatility factor and VVIX index. We detect the exist…
A method to identify new classes of price jumps in financial markets.
Efficiently reconstructs jump-diffusion processes from data using neural networks.
The paper models financial data with multivariate jump processes.
Method detects jumps in high-frequency order prices using local minima.
Model predicts jump risk premia influencing cryptocurrency futures and option performance.
A machine learning method for short-maturity options with jumps and stochastic volatility.
RL for jump-diffusions applies to financial portfolio selection and option hedging.
In order to understand the origin of stock price jumps, we cross-correlate high-frequency time series of stock returns with different news feeds. We find that neither idiosyncratic news nor market wide news can explain the frequency and amplitude of price jumps. We find that the volatility patterns around jumps and aro…
In this note we investigate the consistency under inversion of jump diffusion processes in the Foreign Exchange (FX) market. In other terms, if the EUR/USD FX rate follows a given type of dynamics, under which conditions will USD/EUR follow the same type of dynamics? In order to give a numerical description of this pro…
The paper introduces walks with jumps for modeling neuron activity in hyperbolic space.
In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as semimartingales, with drift, diffusion and jump components. The jump activity index measures the strength of the jumps at high frequencies, and is of interest both in model selection and fitting, and in volatility estimation. In this paper, we give a novel estimat…
Develops efficient methods for approximating densities of financial models with jumps.
Study on short-term behavior of ATM-IV for jump-diffusion model.
Study short maturity Asian options in jump-diffusion models with local volatility.
Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns from high frequency data is complicated by asynchronous returns, market mi- crostructure noise and jumps. One technique for addressing both asynchronous returns and market microstructure is the Kalman-EM (KEM) algorithm. However the KEM approach assumes log-normal pr…
New insights into Khovanov polynomials using tangle calculus.
New framework analyzes pre-stock jump trading behaviors using multivariate time series analysis.
In this article, we consider a Markov process X, starting from x and solving a stochastic differential equation, which is driven by a Brownian motion and an independent pure jump component exhibiting state-dependent jump intensity and infinite jump activity. A second order expansion is derived for the tail probability …
Enhances RL for jump processes using MSBVE algorithm.
We analyse the behaviour of the implied volatility smile for options close to expiry in the exponential Lévy class of asset price models with jumps. We introduce a new renormalisation of the strike variable with the property that the implied volatility converges to a non-constant limiting shape, which is a function of …
Projects Markovian processes from Itô semimartingales with jumps.