A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
SSL framework identifies non-linear systems without labeled data.
Paper models non-linear dynamics from time series data.
Latent force models are systems whereby there is a mechanistic model describing the dynamics of the system state, with some unknown forcing term that is approximated with a Gaussian process. If such dynamics are non-linear, it can be difficult to estimate the posterior state and forcing term jointly, particularly when …
Modeling dynamical systems is important in many disciplines, e.g., control, robotics, or neurotechnology. Commonly the state of these systems is not directly observed, but only available through noisy and potentially high-dimensional observations. In these cases, system identification, i.e., finding the measurement map…
We develop algorithms to learn non-linear dynamical systems without mixing assumptions.
This work extends identifiability analysis to sequential latent variable models, focusing on Switching Dynamical Systems.
Develops inverse EKF for non-linear systems with stability guarantees and learning unknown dynamics.
KalmanNet uses neural networks to improve state estimation in systems with unknown dynamics.
In this contribution we review results on the kinematics of a quantum system localized on a connected configuration manifold and compatible dynamics for the quantum system including external fields and leading to non-linear Schrödinger equations for pure states.
Neural ODEs control graph dynamics with low energy feedback.
We introduce a prototype model in an attempt to capture some aspects of market dynamics simulating a trading mechanism. The model description starts with a discrete-space, continuous-time Markov process describing arrival and movement of orders with different prices. We then perform a re-scaling procedure leading to a …
This paper studies the Yang--Mills ASD equation over the cylinder as a non-linear evolution equation. We consider a dynamical system consisting of bounded orbits of this evolution equation. This system contains many chaotic orbits, and moreover it becomes an infinite dimensional and infinite entropy system. We study th…
The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models of the climate or the functioning of the human brain. The models we are interest…
Active learning selects inputs for GPSSM to learn latent states.
Tractable model explains market dynamics using Langevin and SUSY QM.
Unified theory of -expectations derived from chaotic dynamics.
DREAM model improves computational efficiency for non-linear effects in relational event models.
This paper presents a new causal network learning algorithm (FSNN, Feedback System Neural Network) based on the construction and analysis of a non-linear system of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). The constructed system provides insight into the mechanisms responsible for generating the past and potential future…
Reduced modeling of a computationally demanding dynamical system aims at approximating its trajectories, while optimizing the trade-off between accuracy and computational complexity. In this work, we propose to achieve such an approximation by first embedding the trajectories in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS…
Optimally explores dynamical systems with varying properties using context inference.
We derive a system of equations governing the coupled gravitational and electromagnetic perturbations of Reissner-Nordström spacetime. The equations are derived in the context of global non-linear stability of Reissner-Nordström under axially symmetric polarized perturbations, as a generalization of the recent work on …
This work introduces the concept of tangent space regularization for neural-network models of dynamical systems. The tangent space to the dynamics function of many physical systems of interest in control applications exhibits useful properties, e.g., smoothness, motivating regularization of the model Jacobian along sys…
In this communication, complex systems with a near trivial dynamics are addressed. First, under the hypothesis of equiprobability in the asymptotic equilibrium, it is shown that the (hyper) planar geometry of an -dimensional multi-agent economic system implies the exponential (Boltzmann-Gibss) wealth distribution an…
Two effective methods for writing the dynamical equations for non-holonomic systems are illustrated. They are based on the two types of representation of the constraints: by parametric equations or by implicit equations. They can be applied to linear as well as to non-linear constraints. Only the basic notions of vecto…
We present the MagNet, a neural network-based multi-agent interaction model to discover the governing dynamics and predict evolution of a complex multi-agent system from observations. We formulate a multi-agent system as a coupled non-linear network with a generic ordinary differential equation (ODE) based state evolut…
In recent years, deep learning has proven to be a viable methodology for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification for a vast number of physical systems. However, in their traditional form, such models can require a large amount of training data. This is of particular importance for various engineering and scie…
In conventional ODE modelling coefficients of an equation driving the system state forward in time are estimated. However, for many complex systems it is practically impossible to determine the equations or interactions governing the underlying dynamics. In these settings, parametric ODE model cannot be formulated. Her…
Derivation of reduced order representations of dynamical systems requires the modeling of the truncated dynamics on the retained dynamics. In its most general form, this so-called closure model has to account for memory effects. In this work, we present a framework of operator inference to extract the governing dynamic…
New method infers dynamical systems from population data.
Proposes local coordinate frames for improving model performance in complex dynamical systems.
R package for online forecasting in various fields.
Variational auto-encoder frameworks have demonstrated success in reducing complex nonlinear dynamics in molecular simulation to a single non-linear embedding. In this work, we illustrate how this non-linear latent embedding can be used as a collective variable for enhanced sampling, and present a simple modification th…
Develops inverse unscented Kalman filter for non-linear systems.
Tensor networks help learn complex physical laws from data.
Develops inverse extended Kalman filter for predicting adversarial steps.
This research improves dynamical systems understanding by identifying latent states and their nonlinear transitions.
Many real-valued stochastic time-series are locally linear (Gassian), but globally non-linear. For example, the trajectory of a human hand gesture can be viewed as a linear dynamic system driven by a nonlinear dynamic system that represents muscle actions. We present a mixed-state dynamic graphical model in which a hid…
This research evaluates learning models for bionic robots, focusing on transfer function identification.
We propose a simple non-equilibrium model of a financial market as an open system with a possible exchange of money with an outside world and market frictions (trade impacts) incorporated into asset price dynamics via a feedback mechanism. Using a linear market impact model, this produces a non-linear two-parametric ex…
The Kosambi-Cartan-Chern (KCC) theory represents a powerful mathematical method for the investigation of the properties of dynamical systems. The KCC theory introduces a geometric description of the time evolution of a dynamical system, with the solution curves of the dynamical system described by methods inspired by t…
New framework for online control in evolving populations.
The paper argues that attracting more economists and adopting a more-precise definition of dynamic complexity might help econophysics acquire more attention in the economics community and bring new lymph to economic research. It may be necessary to concentrate less on the applications than on the basics of economic com…
Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on assumptions of linearity and Gaussianity that are rarely met in practice. In this p…
Safe RL in linear systems achieves -regret.
Gaussian processes are used in machine learning to learn input-output mappings from observed data. Gaussian process regression is based on imposing a Gaussian process prior on the unknown regressor function and statistically conditioning it on the observed data. In system identification, Gaussian processes are used to …
Combining neural networks and multiscale decomposition for financial market analysis.
The paper classifies solitons for a specific type of flow.
Study on synchronization in financial markets with time delays.