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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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13263851 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for non-discriminatory predictors

We study the interplay between sequential decision making and avoiding discrimination against protected groups, when examples arrive online and do not follow distributional assumptions. We consider the most basic extension of classical online learning: "Given a class of predictors that are individually non-discriminato…

2018-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensuring that classifiers are non-discriminatory or fair with respect to a sensitive feature (e.g., race or gender) is a topical problem. Progress in this task requires fixing a definition of fairness, and there have been several proposals in this regard over the past few years. Several of these, however, assume either…

2019-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble unsupervised anomaly detection using IRT for hidden ground truth.

problem Challenges in constructing an ensemble from unsupervised anomaly detection methods.
method Use Item Response Theory to compute latent traits and construct an ensemble that downplays noisy methods.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of IRT ensemble on extensive data repository.

The problem of forecasting conditional probabilities of the next event given the past is considered in a general probabilistic setting. Given an arbitrary (large, uncountable) set C of predictors, we would like to construct a single predictor that performs asymptotically as well as the best predictor in C, on any data.…

2016-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New bounds explain deterministic non-smooth deep nets without large Lipschitz constants.

problem Challenges in explaining generalization of deterministic non-smooth deep nets.
method De-randomized PAC-Bayes margin bounds for deterministic non-convex and non-smooth predictors.
result New bounds avoid large Lipschitz constants, providing generalization guarantees.

This paper proposes a method to reduce complexity in GLMs with categorical predictors.

problem Wasteful, hard-to-interpret, and prone to overfitting of traditional one-hot encoding for high-cardinality categorical predictors.
method Clustering categories of categorical predictors through a numerical method that preserves or improves accuracy while reducing the number of coefficients.
result Clustering categories of categorical predictors reduces complexity substantially without harming accuracy.

The article compares predictor importance in classification problems with categorical outcomes.

problem Comparing predictor importance in classification problems with categorical response variables.
method The approach is based on the categorical Gini correlation (CGC) and tests differences in CGCs across predictor groups.
result The proposed methodology accommodates predictors of arbitrary and unequal dimensions and allows for dependence between predictor groups.

Paper proposes a sparse synthetic control method to select important predictors.

problem Choosing and weighting predictors affects synthetic control estimator performance.
method Sparse synthetic control procedure that penalizes predictors, derived in a linear factor model.
result Sparse synthetic control achieves lower bias and better post-treatment performance.

WeakNAS uses a set of weaker predictors to find top architectures with fewer samples.

problem Finding the best neural architecture with heavy computation costs.
method Proposes a paradigm shift from fitting the whole architecture space to progressively fitting a search path through a set of weaker predictors.
result WeakNAS produces coarse-to-fine iteration to gradually refine the ranking of sampling space, requiring fewer samples to find top-performance architectures.

Proposes a method to create fair, robust predictors that remain consistent across different scenarios.

problem Creating fair and robust machine learning models that behave consistently across different scenarios.
method Graphical criteria and a model-agnostic framework called CIP based on HSCIC.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of CIP in enforcing counterfactual invariance across various datasets.

This paper continues study, both theoretical and empirical, of the method of Venn prediction, concentrating on binary prediction problems. Venn predictors produce probability-type predictions for the labels of test objects which are guaranteed to be well calibrated under the standard assumption that the observations ar…

2012-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Derives bounds for deterministic predictors using smooth loss functions.

problem Generalizing probabilistic predictors to deterministic ones.
method Exploits smoothness properties of loss and predictor classes, controlling the Jensen gap class through Rademacher complexity.
result Derives bounds for deterministic predictors involving flatness quantities from Jacobians and Hessians.

Study shows competition feedback can make ML predictors biased towards specific user groups.

problem How competition affects machine learning predictors and user prediction quality.
method Flexible model of competing ML predictors, empirical and mathematical analysis.
result Competition causes predictors to specialize for specific sub-populations at the cost of general performance.

Paper introduces SUEL model for integrating predictors without labeled data.

problem Combining predictors with unknown accuracy and high correlation.
method Structured unsupervised ensemble learning (SUEL) with correlation-based decomposition algorithms.
result Efficient integration of dependent predictors without labeled data.

Adaptive kernels from neural networks improve model performance.

problem Improving neural network performance through adaptive kernels.
method Deriving adaptive kernels from infinite-width neural networks using feature learning and gradient flow training.
result Adaptive kernels achieve lower test loss compared to traditional kernels.

Paper proposes SDDP for improving time series forecasting with high-dimensional predictors.

problem Improving time series forecasting with high-dimensional predictors.
method SDDP framework that incorporates target variable and lagged observations into factor extraction process.
result SDDP improves predictive accuracy in time series forecasting.

Novel strategy for federated learning with privacy-preserving predictors and nonvacuous generalization bounds.

problem Privacy-preserving federated learning with nonvacuous generalization bounds.
method Randomized predictors, PAC-Bayesian generalization bound, synchronous and heterogeneous/homogenous cases.
result Achieves comparable predictive performance to batch approach while preserving privacy.

Study shows interpolating predictor's risk is optimal in low-dimensional factor regression models.

problem Understanding the risk of interpolating predictors in high-dimensional factor regression models.
method Detailed finite-sample analysis of minimum-norm interpolating predictor's risk in factor regression models.
result The risk of the minimum-norm interpolating predictor approaches optimal benchmarks in low-dimensional factor regression models.

Neurosymbolic predictors fail to model uncertainty under independence assumption.

problem Neurosymbolic predictors' reliance on independence assumption limits their ability to model uncertainty.
method Formal analysis of NeSy predictors under independence assumption.
result Assuming independence among symbolic concepts prevents NeSy predictors from representing uncertainty.

GATES improves neural architecture search by modeling operations as information transformation.

problem Improving predictor-based neural architecture search efficiency.
method GATES models operations as information transformation, covering both node and edge cell search spaces.
result GATES boosts sample efficiency and improves predictor performance.

AM-PPI uses multiple predictors to reduce label cost in healthcare AI.

problem Reduces label cost in post-deployment monitoring of healthcare AI.
method Combines model predictions with a small labeled sample, routing each instance to a cost-appropriate subset of predictors.
result Produces narrower confidence intervals than single-predictor methods.

New loss function reduces outage probability in ML-assisted resource allocation.

problem Minimizing outage probability in ML-assisted resource allocation systems.
method Developed a novel loss function and trained an ML model to address the outage probability challenge.
result Exact and asymptotic expressions for the system's outage probability were established.

The paper proposes multicalibration to improve matching in graphs with imperfect predictors.

problem Finding the best matching in graphs with imperfect predictors.
method Introduces multicalibration as a fairness notion to ensure unbiasedness on protected sets of contexts.
result Constructing a multicalibrated predictor that outperforms standard optimal rules in matching algorithms.

Post-processing predictors reduces calibration errors for decision-making.

problem Predictors with low calibration error for machine learning may have high error for decision-making.
method Post-processing with ε distance to calibration adds noise to make predictions differentially private.
result Post-processing achieves O(√ε) ECE and CDL, asymptotically optimal.

Motivated by settings in which predictive models may be required to be non-discriminatory with respect to certain attributes (such as race), but even collecting the sensitive attribute may be forbidden or restricted, we initiate the study of fair learning under the constraint of differential privacy. We design two lear…

2018-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New theory validates the use of invariant predictors for OOD generalization.

problem Ensuring predictors generalize well across unseen environments.
method Developed new theoretical conditions and derived an Inter Gradient Alignment algorithm.
result Validated the necessity of invariant predictors for OOD optimality.

Understanding optimal prompts for binary sequence predictors is challenging.

problem Finding good prompts for binary sequence predictors is difficult.
method Viewing prompting as finding the best conditioning sequence on a near-optimal sequence predictor, using empirical and statistical analysis.
result Optimal prompts can be better understood given the pretraining distribution, which is not usually available.

Optimal trading strategy with predictor and costs, derived equations and shape.

problem Optimal trading strategy in presence of price predictor, costs, and risk control.
method Path-integral method to derive equations for band edges, solved explicitly for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck predictor.
result Explicit equations and shape of the optimal band strategy derived and analyzed.

New sample complexity bounds for linear predictors and neural networks, focusing on initialization.

problem Understanding sample complexity for vector-valued linear predictors and neural networks, especially under initialization-dependent conditions.
method Size-independent bounds on Frobenius norm distance from a fixed reference matrix, applying to vector-valued predictors and neural networks.
result Established new sample complexity bounds for feed-forward neural networks, resolving open questions and introducing a new learnable problem.

We consider a problem of data integration. Consider determining which genes affect a disease. The genes, which we call predictor objects, can be measured in different experiments on the same individual. We address the question of finding which genes are predictors of disease by any of the experiments. Our formulation i…

2016-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to learn fair predictors for multiple subgroups with limited data.

problem Fairness and accuracy issues in learning from multiple subgroups with limited data.
method Formulates a bilevel objective to learn subgroup-specific predictors and a fair predictor that is close to all of them.
result The method effectively controls group sufficiency and generalization error, improving fairness and accuracy.